CHZ

Chiliz Price Today & AI Analysis

CHZBaseAnalysis as of Aug 2, 2026

Price

$0.0125

+5.17% 24h

Contract

Live
0x70c8392de9b39a1e48d12a70af6ff4be25d6d0a2

Chain

Base

Holders

1.3K

Market cap

$214.94K

Liquidity

$84.55K

At a $1M market cap, $CHZ would be $0.0581 (4.65x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is CHZ a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 31

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about CHZ

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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Chiliz: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-02 14:15 UTC

Holder addresses

523

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Chiliz ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 523 addresses (2026-08-02 14:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Chiliz?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Chiliz liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-02 14:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 2, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$134.50M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

523

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

This contract on Base (0x2105) claims to represent CHZ, the native token of the Chiliz sports and entertainment ecosystem powering Socios.com and the Chiliz Chain. However, the on-chain data presents several critical anomalies: only 523 total holders, a market cap of $134.5M against a fully diluted valuation of just $168,687, and 100% of supply concentrated in the top 10 holders — all of which are deeply inconsistent with the legitimate CHZ token's known market profile. The price has collapsed 68.7% over 90 days and currently sits at 1% of its 90-day range, reflecting severe and sustained selling pressure. Investors should exercise extreme caution and independently verify whether this contract represents the authentic CHZ token before any engagement.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 2, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme market cap vs. FDV discrepancy ($134.5M cap vs. $168,687 FDV) is a fundamental data anomaly that undermines valuation reliability
  • Fan token utility model linking blockchain ownership to sports team engagement via Socios.com — a real-world use case if this is the authentic token
  • Protocol/contract addresses hold the overwhelming majority of supply (>86%), structurally limiting dumpable supply to just 2.3%

Chiliz AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The 7-day decline of -9.8% and 14-day closing sequence showing a consistent step-down from $0.01508 to $0.01285 confirm sustained selling pressure with no reversal signal. Price is sitting at just 1% of its 90-day range ($0.01256–$0.05007), meaning it is hugging the absolute floor of its historical trading band. With immediate support at $0.01278 only $0.00007 below current price, a breach would expose the major support at $0.01256.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day loss of -30.9% and 90-day collapse of -68.7% establish a deeply entrenched downtrend with no structural base yet formed. Price has not reclaimed any meaningful level since the $0.05007 high, and the absence of retail accumulation (retail holds ~0% of supply) means organic demand is not building. A sustained recovery would require a reversal of the macro downtrend and a break above the $0.01304 immediate resistance followed by a reclaim of higher structural levels.

Bullish Factors

  • Price is at 1% of its 90-day range ($0.01256–$0.05007), meaning it is near maximum historical compression — a technical bounce from this extreme is statistically plausible
  • Holder count has grown 11% over 30 days (+58 holders), suggesting some accumulation interest despite the price decline
  • Dumpable supply is only 2.3% of total supply, as 83.98% and other large positions are held by protocol/contract addresses — genuine sell-side pressure from individual wallets is structurally limited
  • Smart money traders are net profitable on this token: top six tracked wallets show positive realized PnL ranging from +7% to +73%, indicating the token is tradeable with skill

Bearish Factors

  • The 90-day price decline of -68.7% from $0.05007 to $0.01285 represents a near-total destruction of value over the analysis window, with no recovery phase visible in the 14-day close sequence
  • The sole tracked individual whale (0xc341e7…, 1.09% of supply) has realized a loss of -$20,919 across 11,872 trades with an average buy price of $0.02290 — nearly 78% above current price — signalling persistent underwater selling pressure from the largest dumpable holder
  • Total holder count of only 523 on a $134M market cap token is extremely thin, indicating the on-chain instance being analyzed has very limited organic adoption relative to its stated valuation
  • The security score of 60/100 is below the threshold for high confidence, and the market cap ($134.5M) versus FDV ($168,687) discrepancy is anomalous and warrants scrutiny

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x70c8...d0a2
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • The market cap ($134.5M) vs. FDV ($168,687) discrepancy is a fundamental data anomaly — if the market cap figure is inflated or erroneous, the token's true valuation may be a fraction of what is displayed, representing a severe mispricing risk
  • The primary dumpable whale (0xc341e7…) is underwater by ~44% on an average buy of $0.02290 and has executed nearly 12,000 trades — this wallet represents persistent overhead supply that could suppress any recovery attempt
  • The 90-day price decline of 68.7% with no structural reversal signal means momentum is firmly negative; continued deterioration toward and below the $0.01256 major support is a realistic near-term scenario

Trading Insight

bearish

The consistent downward close sequence over 14 days and the -9.8% weekly decline reflect persistent net selling with no meaningful demand absorption. The token's position at the bottom of its 90-day range suggests sellers have dominated every attempted stabilization.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

All three trend windows are negative: -9.8% over 7 days, -30.9% over 30 days, and -68.7% over 90 days, confirming a multi-timeframe downtrend with no sign of structural reversal. The 14-day close sequence (from $0.01508 down to $0.01285) shows a staircase decline with each attempted stabilization failing to hold. Price is at 1% of its 90-day range, indicating it is at maximum compression near the historical floor.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

A 68.7% decline over 90 days with price sitting at 1% of the period range places this token in deeply oversold territory by any standard momentum measure. Daily volatility of 4.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, reflecting ongoing uncertainty rather than a calm base-building phase. While oversold conditions can precede technical bounces, the absence of any positive close sequence in the recent 14-day data means momentum has not yet turned.

Volume Analysis

Buy

38%

Sell

62%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Explicit volume figures were not provided in the data. The price action — a slow, grinding decline rather than a sharp capitulation spike — is consistent with declining volume and thin liquidity, where even modest sell orders move price meaningfully downward.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a descending channel: $0.01508 → $0.01513 → $0.01485 → $0.01452 → $0.01413 → $0.01420 → $0.01424 → $0.01317 → $0.01361 → $0.01297 → $0.01282 → $0.01288 → $0.01265 → $0.01285. Minor two-day recoveries (e.g., $0.01317 to $0.01361, $0.01282 to $0.01288) have each been followed by renewed selling, forming a lower-highs, lower-lows structure.

A consistent lower-highs, lower-lows pattern in the close sequence is a textbook bearish continuation signal. The brief recoveries failing to sustain indicate that buyers are not yet absorbing supply at these levels, and the path of least resistance remains downward toward the major support at $0.01256.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01278

Major support

$0.01256

Immediate resistance

$0.01304

Major resistance

$0.05007

Immediate support at $0.01278 is just $0.00007 (0.5%) below current price — an extremely thin buffer that could be breached on any moderate sell event. Major support at $0.01256 represents the 90-day range low; a close below this level would constitute a new multi-month low with no historical demand zone beneath it. Immediate resistance at $0.01304 is the first level price must reclaim to signal any near-term stabilization. Major resistance at $0.05007 is the 90-day high and is 290% above current price — a level that would require a complete trend reversal and sustained fundamental catalyst to approach.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 4.3% compounds to extreme multi-week moves — the 90-day decline of 68.7% is direct evidence of this. Price at 1% of its 90-day range means any directional move is amplified.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Fan tokens and sports-linked digital assets operate in a regulatory grey zone in multiple jurisdictions. The EU's MiCA framework and ongoing SEC scrutiny of utility tokens create medium-term regulatory uncertainty for the Chiliz ecosystem.

Key Risks

  • The market cap ($134.5M) vs. FDV ($168,687) discrepancy is a fundamental data anomaly — if the market cap figure is inflated or erroneous, the token's true valuation may be a fraction of what is displayed, representing a severe mispricing risk
  • The primary dumpable whale (0xc341e7…) is underwater by ~44% on an average buy of $0.02290 and has executed nearly 12,000 trades — this wallet represents persistent overhead supply that could suppress any recovery attempt
  • The 90-day price decline of 68.7% with no structural reversal signal means momentum is firmly negative; continued deterioration toward and below the $0.01256 major support is a realistic near-term scenario

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is only 2.3%, meaning the structural sell-side float from individual wallets is very limited — a supply-side squeeze is possible if demand returns
  • All six tracked smart money wallets are profitable, demonstrating the token has been tradeable with positive expected value for skilled participants

Investor Suitability

This token, in its current state, is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant traders with deep familiarity with the Chiliz ecosystem who have independently verified the contract's authenticity. It is not appropriate for capital preservation, income-seeking, or risk-averse investors. The data anomalies present require resolution before any investment thesis can be responsibly constructed.

This token presents a deeply bearish technical picture overlaid with fundamental data anomalies that make standard valuation impossible. The bear case is strongly supported by multi-window trend data, while the bull case depends on resolving the market cap discrepancy and a reversal of the 90-day downtrend — both of which require external catalysts not visible in current data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The market cap/FDV discrepancy is resolved as a data feed error, confirming the token's true valuation is ~$168,687. Price, already at the 90-day floor, finds support at $0.01256 and begins a technical recovery driven by the Chiliz ecosystem's real-world sports partnerships and renewed fan token demand. The 11% 30-day holder growth accelerates, and smart money's profitable track record attracts additional active traders.

  • Resolution of the market cap/FDV data anomaly restoring investor confidence in the token's valuation
  • A major Socios.com partnership or Chiliz Chain adoption milestone driving ecosystem-wide CHZ demand

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.01256–$0.01304 range near the 90-day floor, with the thin holder base and low dumpable supply preventing a sharp collapse but the entrenched downtrend preventing any meaningful recovery. The token trades as a low-liquidity, high-volatility instrument with modest smart money activity until a macro or ecosystem catalyst emerges.

  • The $0.01256 major support holds as the 90-day range low, providing a technical floor for near-term price action
  • No major positive catalyst emerges from the Chiliz ecosystem in the 30–90 day window to reverse the structural downtrend

Bear Case

High probability

The market cap anomaly reflects a genuine misrepresentation or structural issue with this specific contract. Price breaks below the $0.01256 major support, establishing a new multi-month low with no historical demand zone beneath it. The underwater primary whale (avg buy $0.02290) continues distributing into any strength, and the thin 523-holder base provides insufficient demand to absorb selling pressure.

  • Continued failure to reclaim the $0.01304 immediate resistance, confirming the lower-highs pattern and accelerating the 90-day downtrend
  • The primary dumpable whale's 11,872-trade distribution pattern persisting, creating sustained overhead supply at every price level up to $0.02290

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 2, 2026, 02:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-02 14:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$134.50M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

523

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain OHLC price history (90-day daily closes)Holder distribution analytics and size-bucket classificationSmart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Whale wallet behavioral data (trade count, realized PnL, average buy price, first active date)Supply concentration and acquisition method dataSmart contract security assessment

Limitations

  • The severe market cap ($134.5M) vs. FDV ($168,687) discrepancy could not be resolved from available data — this anomaly materially limits the reliability of any valuation-based analysis
  • 24-hour transaction counts, buy/sell volumes, and liquidity pool depth were not provided, limiting granular trading activity analysis
  • The authenticity of this contract as the legitimate CHZ token cannot be confirmed from the provided data alone — investors must independently verify against official Chiliz sources
  • Only one individual whale wallet was profiled in the WHALE WALLET INTEL block; the second dumpable whale (0.73% of supply) has no behavioral data available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Questions about CHZ?