VANA

Vana Price Today & AI Analysis

VANABaseAnalysis as of Jul 31, 2026

Price

$0.8607

+1.04% 24h

Contract

Live
0x7ff7fa94b8b66ef313f7970d4eebd2cb3103a2c0

Chain

Base

Holders

1.1K

Market cap

$71.91K

Liquidity

$36.96K

At a $1M market cap, $VANA would be $11.97 (13.9x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is VANA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 29

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

  • The contract owner has not given up control.
  • Control of the contract can be handed to another wallet.
  • The liquidity could not be measured.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about VANA

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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Vana: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-31 04:15 UTC

Holder addresses

978

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Vana ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 978 addresses (2026-07-31 04:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Vana?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Vana liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 31, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$26.78M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

978

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

Vana (VANA) is a 20.2-month-old EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain on Base (0x2105) that enables users to tokenize personal data for AI model training via Data Liquidity Pools and a Proof-of-Contribution system. With a market cap of ~$26.8M against a fully diluted valuation of only ~$38K — a stark discrepancy that likely reflects a very small circulating supply of 43,901 tokens — the token's valuation metrics are highly unusual and warrant scrutiny. The price has declined 29.7% over the past 7 days from a 26-day high of $1.68, and the holder base has contracted by 28% over the past month. Supply concentration is extreme, with the top 10 holders controlling 100% of supply and individual whales holding positions that collectively exceed circulating supply on paper.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 31, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Data Liquidity Pools (DLPs) that allow individuals to tokenize and monetize personal data for AI training — a novel primitive in the data economy
  • Proof-of-Contribution validation mechanism that enforces data quality standards before rewarding contributors with VANA tokens
  • EVM-compatible Layer 1 architecture enabling composability with existing Ethereum tooling while targeting the AI/data ownership vertical

Vana AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

VANA has shed 29.7% over the past 7 days, with daily closes declining from $1.24 to $0.87 in a clear staircase pattern. The token is now sitting just below the immediate resistance at $1.03, which was previously support, and the holder trajectory has been declining for 31 days (1,210 → 866 holders). Without a catalyst to reclaim $1.03, the path of least resistance remains downward.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With only 26 days of price history available, 30d and 90d trend data are absent, but the available window shows a peak near $1.68 followed by a sustained decline to current levels — a roughly 48% drawdown from the high. The declining holder base (net -344 over 31 days) and extreme supply concentration in non-retail hands suggest continued distribution pressure. A recovery above $1.03 and then $1.68 would be required to shift this outlook.

Bullish Factors

  • Holder acquisition is predominantly via swap (663 of 978 holders), indicating genuine market-driven demand rather than purely airdrop-inflated counts
  • The 26-day price range low of $0.1069 vs. a high of $1.68 shows the token has already demonstrated a 15x price discovery range, suggesting speculative upside potential if sentiment reverses
  • Vana operates in the high-growth AI + data-ownership narrative, with a differentiated Proof-of-Contribution mechanism and Data DAOs that address a real market gap

Bearish Factors

  • Price has declined 29.7% in 7 days, with daily closes falling from $1.24 to $0.87 in a consistent downtrend — not a single-day noise event
  • The holder trajectory is structurally declining: 1,210 holders 31 days ago vs. 866 today, a net loss of 344 holders (-28%), indicating sustained exit pressure
  • Dumpable supply is reported at 128.1% of circulating supply — a figure that exceeds 100% and likely reflects rebasing or cross-chain accounting anomalies, but in any case signals extreme concentration risk from individual whales holding 94.45% and 22.59% of supply

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x7ff7...a2c0
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Anomalous tokenomics: the market cap ($26.78M) is approximately 700x the fully diluted valuation ($38,171), which is internally inconsistent and may indicate a data error, token migration, or deliberate obfuscation — investors cannot reliably value the token without resolving this discrepancy
  • The largest individual whale (94.45% of supply, 0x34219b) holds its position via transfer with no DEX history and has a wallet first-active date in the future (2025-09-10), making its nature and intentions entirely opaque — an unannounced sale of even a fraction of this position could be catastrophic for price
  • Structural holder attrition of -344 wallets (-28%) over 31 days, coinciding with a price decline from $1.68 to $0.87, suggests the token is in a distribution phase with no visible accumulation floor

Trading Insight

bearish

The 7-day price decline of 29.7% combined with a shrinking holder base signals net distribution pressure. The majority of holders entered via swap (663 vs. 314 via transfer), meaning a significant portion of the holder base has a cost basis that may now be underwater given the recent drawdown from $1.24+ levels.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14 available daily closes paint a clear picture: after consolidating between $1.14–$1.24 for the first 10 sessions, price broke down sharply through $1.09, $1.02, and settled at $0.87 — a 29.7% decline over 7 days. With only 26 days of history, the medium-term trend is also defined by this same declining structure from the $1.68 peak. There is no evidence of a reversal pattern in the available data.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

A 29.7% decline in 7 days on a token with 5.2% daily volatility represents approximately 5.7 standard deviations of downward movement — statistically extreme and consistent with oversold conditions. While this could attract mean-reversion buyers, oversold readings in low-liquidity, high-concentration tokens can persist for extended periods without a fundamental catalyst.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Explicit volume figures were not provided in the data. However, the price pattern — a sharp breakdown after a period of consolidation — is typically associated with a volume spike on the breakdown candle followed by declining volume as price drifts lower. The 5.2% daily return standard deviation confirms this is a high-volatility asset where volume-driven moves can be sudden and severe.

Recent Price Action

Consolidation-then-breakdown: price held a tight range of $1.14–$1.24 for approximately 10 sessions before breaking down through $1.09 and $1.02 in rapid succession, closing at $0.87. The former support zone of $1.00–$1.03 has now flipped to resistance.

This consolidation-breakdown pattern typically signals exhaustion of buying interest at the consolidation level, with sellers gaining control. The failure to hold $1.00 psychological support is technically significant and increases the probability of a test of lower levels.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.1069

Major support

$0.1069

Immediate resistance

$1.03

Major resistance

$1.68

The immediate and major support levels both converge at $0.1069 — the 26-day OHLC low — indicating there is no intermediate OHLC-derived support between current price ($0.87) and the range floor. This is a significant bearish structural observation: if $0.87 fails to hold, there is no computed swing-low support until $0.1069, an 88% drawdown from current levels. Immediate resistance at $1.03 represents the recent breakdown level that must be reclaimed for any bullish reversal thesis. Major resistance at $1.68 is the 26-day high and would represent a full recovery.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 5.2% implies annualized volatility exceeding 100%. The 29.7% 7-day decline and a 26-day range spanning $0.1069 to $1.68 (a 15.7x ratio) confirm this is an extremely volatile asset where large drawdowns can occur rapidly.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Vana's model of tokenizing personal data and enabling AI training monetization sits at the intersection of data privacy regulation (GDPR, CCPA) and securities law. As regulators increase scrutiny of AI-adjacent crypto projects, Vana's data monetization model may face compliance challenges in key jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Anomalous tokenomics: the market cap ($26.78M) is approximately 700x the fully diluted valuation ($38,171), which is internally inconsistent and may indicate a data error, token migration, or deliberate obfuscation — investors cannot reliably value the token without resolving this discrepancy
  • The largest individual whale (94.45% of supply, 0x34219b) holds its position via transfer with no DEX history and has a wallet first-active date in the future (2025-09-10), making its nature and intentions entirely opaque — an unannounced sale of even a fraction of this position could be catastrophic for price
  • Structural holder attrition of -344 wallets (-28%) over 31 days, coinciding with a price decline from $1.68 to $0.87, suggests the token is in a distribution phase with no visible accumulation floor

Mitigating Factors

  • The project has a verified contract, active social presence, and a differentiated use case in the AI/data economy that addresses genuine market demand
  • The token has survived 20.2 months on-chain without a reported exploit, and the majority of holders (663/978) entered via swap, indicating some level of genuine market-driven demand

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with micro-cap, high-concentration crypto assets who can afford to lose their entire investment. The anomalous tokenomics, extreme supply concentration, declining holder base, and unresolved data anomalies make this inappropriate for conservative or moderate-risk investors.

Vana occupies a genuinely differentiated position at the intersection of AI and data ownership, but the current on-chain state — extreme concentration, declining holders, a 29.7% 7-day price decline, and multiple data anomalies — makes the near-term risk/reward unfavorable. The investment thesis hinges on whether the project's fundamental narrative can attract new capital and resolve the structural distribution pressure.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The AI/data ownership narrative gains mainstream traction, driving new institutional and retail interest in Vana's Data Liquidity Pool model. New holder inflows reverse the 31-day attrition trend, price reclaims the $1.03 resistance, and the project announces partnerships or DLP milestones that validate the Proof-of-Contribution mechanism. Price recovers toward the $1.68 major resistance.

  • Broader AI sector rotation into data-infrastructure tokens driving speculative inflows
  • Vana ecosystem growth metrics (DLP TVL, active data contributors) demonstrating real utility adoption

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.50–$1.03 range as the token finds a temporary equilibrium between ongoing distribution from large holders and modest new inflows from AI narrative interest. Holder counts stabilize but do not meaningfully grow. The tokenomics anomaly (market cap vs. FDV discrepancy) remains unresolved, capping institutional interest.

  • The largest whale wallets do not aggressively sell their transfer-acquired positions in the near term
  • The AI/data economy narrative maintains sufficient ambient interest to sustain modest swap-based holder acquisition

Bear Case

Medium probability

The largest individual whale (94.45% of supply) begins distributing its transfer-acquired position, overwhelming the shallow Uniswap liquidity. The declining holder base accelerates, and the absence of OHLC-derived support between $0.87 and $0.1069 means price could collapse toward the 26-day low with minimal resistance.

  • Opaque whale wallet (94.45% of supply, acquired via transfer) initiating sales into thin liquidity
  • Continued holder attrition beyond the current -28% 31-day trend, signalling loss of community confidence

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 31, 2026, 04:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-31 04:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$26.78M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

978

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain holder distribution and trajectory analytics (31-day daily timeseries)Daily OHLC price history (26-day window, 14 closing prices)Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates, acquisition method)Token fundamentals and security assessment (contract verification, security score)Supply concentration metrics (top 10/100 holder percentages, dumpable supply classification)

Limitations

  • Only 26 days of OHLC data are available, making 30d/90d trend comparisons impossible and limiting the reliability of medium-term technical analysis
  • The market cap vs. FDV discrepancy ($26.78M vs. $38,171) and the dumpable supply figure exceeding 100% of circulating supply are unresolved anomalies that undermine confidence in the tokenomics analysis
  • The top whale wallet's first-active date (2025-09-10) is anomalous relative to the token's November 2024 creation, and the $3.18B smart money PnL figure is almost certainly a data artifact — both limit the reliability of whale and smart money analysis
  • No explicit liquidity depth, 24h transaction volume, or buy/sell count data were provided, requiring inference from price action and holder metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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