TLOS

TLOS Price Today & AI Analysis

TLOSBaseAnalysis as of Aug 4, 2026

Price

$0.0158

+3.10% 24h

Contract

Live
0x7252c865c05378ffc15120f428dd65804dd0ce63

Chain

Base

Holders

575

Market cap

$158.37K

Liquidity

$91.69K

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Movement since report

report from Aug 4, 2026, 03:33 PM UTC

Market Cap

$8.58M

24h Volume

$19.69K

Liquidity

$152.94K

FDV

—

Holders

509

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

TLOS is the native utility token of the Telos blockchain, a Layer 1 and ZK-accelerated Layer 2 platform targeting DeFi, NFT, and GameFi applications. The token is 13.7 months old, trades on Aerodrome on Base (chain 0x2105), and has a circulating market cap of approximately $8.58 million against thin liquidity of $152,941. After a prolonged consolidation near $0.010, TLOS broke out sharply over the past 30 days (+64.4%), and the price now sits at 80% of its 90-day range with a constructive holder growth trajectory. Concentration risk is structurally low because 96.5% of supply is locked in protocol/contract addresses, though the shallow liquidity pool means the token remains sensitive to even small order flows.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 4, 2026, 03:33 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Hardware-accelerated ZK EVM Layer 2 architecture positions Telos in the high-growth ZK scaling narrative
  • Extremely low dumpable supply (3.5%) due to near-total protocol/contract custody of top-10 holdings, reducing sell-side overhang
  • Verified smart contract with an active smart-money cohort all in realized profit, suggesting informed, sustained accumulation

TLOS AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

TLOS is sitting at 80% of its 90-day range after a 6.0% gain over the past 7 days and a remarkable 64.4% surge over 30 days, signalling sustained buying momentum rather than a one-day spike. The price is consolidating just above immediate support at $0.01891, which is a constructive pattern following a strong trend. However, the last 4 hours show zero buys and 11 sells from a single seller, suggesting short-term distribution pressure that could test that support before the next leg higher.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day gain of 64.4% on top of a modest 90-day gain of 1.6% indicates the token broke out of a prolonged base and is in an early-to-mid stage uptrend rather than a blow-off top. Holder count grew 6.9% over 30 days (35 new holders), and all six tracked smart-money wallets are in profit, suggesting the trend has genuine participation. A sustained break above major resistance at $0.02119 would confirm the next leg of the uptrend.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price gain of 64.4% reflects a genuine trend breakout from the $0.01031 base, not a noise event
  • All six tracked smart-money traders are in realized profit, with the top wallet booking +$13,719 (+95%) across 76 trades, indicating informed accumulation
  • Holder count grew 3.5% in 7 days and 6.9% in 30 days, showing steady organic adoption
  • Dumpable supply is only 3.5% of total supply — the remaining 96.5% sits in protocol/contract addresses that cannot sell into the market, sharply limiting sell-side pressure
  • Price sits at 80% of the 90-day range, well above the midpoint, confirming buyers are in control of the broader structure

Bearish Factors

  • The last 4 hours recorded zero buys and 11 sells from a single seller, pointing to active short-term distribution at current levels
  • Total liquidity of $152,941 is shallow; even modest sell orders can cause outsized slippage and rapid price dislocations
  • Whale wallet 0x8678f5 (1.03% of supply) has realized a loss of $4,140 across 705 trades at an average buy of $0.02392 — above current price — creating a persistent overhead seller who may continue to exit
  • Buy pressure over 24 hours is only 46% versus 54% sell pressure, confirming net outflow despite the broader uptrend

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TLOS call history

Full track record →

Aug 4bullish
24h+26.9%
7d+27.9%
30d-1.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x7252...ce63
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity ($152,941) means a single large seller can cause disproportionate price impact — the two recent $1,500 sells already represent ~1% of the liquidity pool each
  • Whale wallet 0x8678f5 holds 1.03% of supply at an average cost of $0.02392, which is 26% above current price — this wallet has an incentive to sell on any rally toward its cost basis, creating persistent overhead resistance
  • The security score of 61/100 leaves meaningful uncertainty about contract-level vulnerabilities; combined with bridge risk on Base, the smart contract attack surface is broader than a native token

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite a strong multi-week uptrend, the 24-hour trading window shows net outflow: sell volume of $10,642 exceeds buy volume of $9,049, and sell pressure stands at 54%. The 4-hour and 1-hour windows are particularly weak, with zero buy transactions and continued selling from a single wallet, suggesting the short-term momentum has stalled.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The daily OHLC sequence tells a clear story: TLOS traded in a tight range around $0.0139 for several days before accelerating through $0.0157, $0.0179, and ultimately reaching $0.0190 in recent closes. Both the 7-day (+6.0%) and 30-day (+64.4%) windows confirm an uptrend across timeframes, with the 90-day gain of +1.6% showing the token has recovered from a deep trough near $0.01031. The price sitting at 80% of the 90-day range confirms buyers have maintained control of the broader structure.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

After a 64.4% surge over 30 days, momentum is elevated but not yet at an extreme. The daily volatility of 4.0% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a small-cap token, and the price is consolidating near recent highs rather than parabolic — suggesting momentum is healthy but the token is approaching near-term resistance at $0.01942 that could cause a pause.

Volume Analysis

Buy

46%

Sell

54%

Volume Trend

Stable

Daily turnover of ~$19,691 represents roughly 13% of the $152,941 liquidity pool, a moderate but not exceptional activity level. The asymmetry between buy transaction count (118) and sell dollar volume dominance signals distribution into strength — a pattern worth monitoring as the price approaches the $0.01942 resistance.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a clear staircase pattern: a flat base around $0.0139, a breakout candle to $0.0157, acceleration to $0.0179, a brief pullback to $0.0165, then a steady grind higher to $0.0190. The current price of $0.01903 is consolidating just above the $0.01891 immediate support.

This staircase breakout pattern — base, breakout, consolidation — is typically a continuation signal in trending markets. The key test is whether $0.01891 holds as support during the current short-term distribution phase.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01891

Major support

$0.01031

Immediate resistance

$0.01942

Major resistance

$0.02119

The $0.01891 immediate support is the nearest OHLC-derived floor and the first line of defense during the current consolidation. A hold here keeps the short-term uptrend intact. The $0.01942 immediate resistance is the next hurdle; clearing it would target the 90-day high at $0.02119. Major support at $0.01031 represents the 90-day low and the base of the entire breakout — a breach of that level would invalidate the bullish thesis entirely.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders

509

24h Change

+0

Growth Rate

+0%

While the 24-hour holder change is flat (0 new holders), the 7-day (+18, +3.5%) and 30-day (+35, +6.9%) trends confirm steady organic growth that correlates with the price breakout. A 509-wallet holder base is small in absolute terms, meaning the token is still in an early adoption phase where individual wallet decisions can have outsized impact on price.

Holder Distribution

Concentration Risk: Low

Top 10 Holders

85%

Top 100 Holders

100%

Retail Holders

0.0%

Although the top 10 holders control 85% of supply and the top 100 hold 100%, every top-10 position is classified as a protocol/contract address — these are non-dumpable by nature. The genuine dumpable supply from individual wallets is only 3.5%, which is exceptionally low and means the token faces minimal sell-side overhang from large holders. Retail holds effectively 0% of supply, which reflects the early-stage, protocol-dominated distribution rather than a retail exclusion risk.

Whale Activity

Sentiment: Distributing
  • SELL of $1,530 by 0xc686da — the single largest transaction in the recent window, representing nearly 8% of daily buy volume in one trade
  • SELL of $1,484 by 0xffd98b — the second largest transaction, confirming two distinct sellers are responsible for the majority of recent dollar outflow

The two largest recent on-chain swaps were sells: $1,530 by 0xc686da and $1,484 by 0xffd98b. The largest buys were $343 and $341 by 0x5d98f5 (two separate transactions) and $295 by the same wallet, plus $268 by 0x9200e9. This confirms the asymmetric size dynamic where sellers are moving 4-5x more per transaction than buyers.

Recent whale-level activity is net distributing: the two largest swaps are sells totalling $3,014, while the four largest buys total only $1,247. Whale wallet 0x8678f5 (1.03% of supply) is underwater at an average buy of $0.02392 versus the current price of $0.01903, making it a likely continued seller. Wallet 0x7bdb55 (1.69% of supply) shows $0 realized PnL across only 2 trades, suggesting it is a long-term holder with minimal recent activity.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence

Medium

Profit-Taking Risk

Medium

All six tracked smart-money wallets are in realized profit. The top performer, 0xcf57bf, has booked +$13,719 (+95%) across 76 trades, while 0xaf2bfb achieved the highest return rate at +232% (+$4,868) across 27 trades. The presence of multiple profitable traders with dozens to hundreds of trades each suggests these are active, informed participants rather than lucky one-time buyers.

The smart-money cohort is broadly profitable, which is a positive signal for the token's trading history. However, with gains of 95% to 232% already locked in by top wallets, there is a medium risk that these traders begin taking additional profits near the $0.01942–$0.02119 resistance zone. The high trade counts (up to 256 trades for 0x6b8e89) suggest these are traders, not long-term holders, increasing the probability of continued profit-taking activity.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity

$152,941

Depth

Shallow

Slippage Risk

High

At $152,941, the Aerodrome liquidity pool is shallow relative to the $8.58 million market cap — a ratio of roughly 1.8%. This means a $15,000 sell order (less than 10% of daily volume) could cause meaningful slippage. The shallow depth amplifies both upside and downside price moves, making TLOS susceptible to sharp dislocations on any significant order flow. Traders should use limit orders and be aware of slippage costs on positions larger than a few thousand dollars.

Overall Risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 4.0% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day range spans from $0.01031 to $0.02119 — a 105% spread — confirming the token can halve or double within a single quarter.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The $152,941 liquidity pool on Aerodrome is shallow relative to the $8.58M market cap. Large orders face significant slippage, and a liquidity withdrawal event could cause severe price impact. The 1.8% liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is well below the 5-10% threshold considered adequate for small-cap tokens.

  • ConcentrationLow

    Despite 85% of supply sitting in the top 10 holders, all are protocol/contract addresses that cannot sell. Dumpable supply is only 3.5%, making this one of the lowest genuine concentration risks in the small-cap space.

  • Smart ContractMedium

    The contract is verified and has a 13.7-month track record without exploit, but the 61/100 security score indicates unresolved concerns. Bridge-related risks add an additional layer of smart contract exposure beyond the token contract itself.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for a Layer 1/L2 blockchain platform, TLOS faces standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to crypto infrastructure tokens. The ZK and DeFi focus areas are under increasing regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity ($152,941) means a single large seller can cause disproportionate price impact — the two recent $1,500 sells already represent ~1% of the liquidity pool each
  • Whale wallet 0x8678f5 holds 1.03% of supply at an average cost of $0.02392, which is 26% above current price — this wallet has an incentive to sell on any rally toward its cost basis, creating persistent overhead resistance
  • The security score of 61/100 leaves meaningful uncertainty about contract-level vulnerabilities; combined with bridge risk on Base, the smart contract attack surface is broader than a native token

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply of only 3.5% structurally limits the maximum sell-side pressure from large holders, providing a floor for organic price discovery
  • A 13.7-month contract age with no reported exploits and a verified contract provides a meaningful safety track record relative to newer tokens

Investor Suitability

TLOS on Base is suitable for risk-tolerant investors with a high-risk appetite who have conducted independent research on the Telos ecosystem, understand bridge and liquidity risks, and can tolerate 50%+ drawdowns. It is not suitable for capital preservation strategies or investors unfamiliar with small-cap DeFi tokens.

TLOS presents a speculative opportunity in the ZK scaling narrative, backed by a genuine 30-day breakout (+64.4%), low dumpable supply (3.5%), and a profitable smart-money cohort. The primary risks are shallow liquidity, a below-average security score, and an underwater whale creating overhead resistance near $0.02392.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Telos ZK EVM Layer 2 gains developer and user traction, driving organic demand for TLOS. The price breaks above the $0.02119 major resistance, entering price discovery above the 90-day high. Smart-money traders continue accumulating, holder count accelerates past 600, and liquidity deepens as the project gains visibility.

  • Successful ZK EVM mainnet milestones or partnership announcements that drive ecosystem activity
  • Sustained breakout above $0.02119 with increasing buy volume, confirming the uptrend has legs beyond the current 30-day move

Base Case

TLOS consolidates between $0.01891 immediate support and $0.01942 immediate resistance over the near term, with the broader uptrend intact but progress toward $0.02119 slow and choppy. Holder growth continues at the current 3-7% monthly pace, and the token gradually builds liquidity as the ZK narrative sustains interest.

  • The $0.01891 immediate support holds during the current distribution phase, preventing a deeper retracement
  • Telos continues active development and communication, maintaining the existing community and attracting incremental new holders

Bear Case

Medium probability

The current distribution phase intensifies as smart-money traders take profits near resistance and the underwater whale (0x8678f5) continues selling. Shallow liquidity amplifies the downside, and the price retraces toward the $0.01031 major support, erasing the 30-day gains.

  • Continued zero-buy activity in short-term windows combined with persistent selling from the underwater whale wallet at $0.02392 average cost
  • A liquidity withdrawal event on Aerodrome that reduces the pool below $100K, triggering slippage-driven selling

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 4, 2026, 03:33 PM UTC

Data Freshness

Real-time on-chain data at time of analysis

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.019025879212952349

Market Cap

$8.58M

24h Volume

$19.7K

Holders

509

Liquidity

$152.9K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome DEX, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (90-day window)Smart money realized PnL trackingWhale wallet behavioral forensicsSmart contract security assessment (61/100 score)Liquidity pool depth data

Limitations

  • The FDV ($153,851) vs market cap ($8.58M) discrepancy suggests this is a bridged/wrapped token; full tokenomics analysis requires cross-referencing the native Telos chain supply and price
  • Holder tier thresholds (whale, shark, dolphin, etc.) use Moralis-defined buckets whose exact supply-share boundaries are not published, limiting precise interpretation of tier distributions
  • Smart contract security score of 61/100 is a summary metric; the specific vulnerabilities flagged are not detailed in the available data, limiting the depth of security analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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