CHAD

Based Chad Price Today & AI Analysis

CHAD
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

$0.055472

+46.57%24h
LiveContract:0xecaf81eb42cd30014eb44130b89bcd6d4ad98b92Chain:BaseHolders:134.5KMarket cap:$379.84KLiquidity:$31.51K

More tokens on Base

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about CHAD

Movement since reportreport from Sep 15, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC
Market Cap

$379.84K

24h Volume

$151.50K

Liquidity

$31.51K

FDV

Holders

134.5K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Based Chad (CHAD) is a meme token on Base that has been live for 29.9 months, currently priced at $0.00000547 with a $379,838 market cap and $31,511 in on-chain liquidity via Uniswap. The token just posted a sharp +46.6% daily close move that extends a strong 7-day (+92.8%) and 30-day (+193.2%) rally, but intraday price action shows extreme volatility (1h -33.8%, 4h +55.3%), and liquidity is thin relative to market cap. With 134,506 holders and top-10 wallets controlling 27.3% of supply, the token has a broad but not fully transparent distribution.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 15, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
29.9-month operating history, unusually long-lived for a meme token that has survived multiple price cycles
Large holder base of 134,506 wallets despite a sub-$400k market cap
Full social stack present (Twitter, Telegram, Discord, Website) supporting community-driven narrative

Based Chad AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

CHAD's daily closes jumped from $0.000003733 to $0.000005471 in the latest session (+46.6%), extending a 7-day gain of 92.8%. However, intraday action is extremely choppy (4h +55.3%, 1h -33.8%), signalling that the move is being driven by thin, volatile speculative flow rather than steady accumulation.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day (+193.2%) and 90-day (+80.6%) trends both point higher, and price still sits at only 41% of the 91-day range, leaving room to major resistance at $0.00001067 before prior highs are retested. Sustaining this trajectory depends on whether buy-side volume and unique buyer counts (457 vs 423 sellers in 24h) continue to outpace distribution.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price change of +92.8% and 30-day change of +193.2% show a durable multi-week uptrend, not just a one-day spike
  • +24h buy volume ($79,103) exceeds sell volume ($72,401), a modest net inflow of ~$6,700 with more unique buyers (457) than sellers (423)
  • +Token has traded for 29.9 months without disappearing, giving it more operating history than the vast majority of meme tokens
Bearish Factors
  • -1-hour price move of -33.8% immediately following a +55.3% 4-hour move indicates violent whipsaw action typical of thin order books
  • -Total liquidity of $31,511 against a $379,838 market cap (~8.3% ratio) means even moderate-sized trades can move price significantly
  • -Daily volatility (11.3% stdev) is high, and price is still well below the 91-day high of $0.00001067, with no daily OHLC evidence yet of the breakout holding

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

CHAD call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0xecaf...8b92
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Thin liquidity ($31,511) relative to market cap creates high slippage and price-impact risk for meaningful trade sizes
Extreme short-term volatility (1h -33.8%, 4h +55.3%) makes entry/exit timing highly unpredictable
Holder concentration data is limited to an aggregate top-10 figure (27.3%) with no visibility into whether these are individual wallets or contracts, and no contract-security data exists to rule out administrative risk
No disclosed utility beyond meme/community branding, meaning value is entirely dependent on continued speculative and social interest

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows a modest buy-side tilt (52.2% buy pressure vs 47.8% sell pressure) with more unique buyers (457) than sellers (423), consistent with the recent price surge. However, the split is close enough to balanced that it does not represent overwhelming one-sided conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Daily closes show a clear breakout from a multi-day consolidation band near $0.0000028-$0.0000030 to $0.000005471, driving the 7-day change to +92.8%. The 30-day (+193.2%) and 90-day (+80.6%) figures confirm this is part of a broader medium-term uptrend, not an isolated spike.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A single-session gain of +46.6% following weeks of consolidation, combined with 11.3% daily volatility, points to short-term overbought conditions where a pullback or consolidation toward the immediate support level would be a normal technical response.

Volume Analysis

Buy 52.2%Sell 47.8%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24h volume of $151,504 combined with 1,515 total transactions indicates a marked pickup in trading activity coinciding with the price breakout; buy-side volume ($79,103) modestly exceeds sell-side ($72,401).

Recent Price Action

Price declined from $0.000004083 to a low near $0.0000028 over several sessions, stabilized around $0.0000030 for a handful of days, then surged through $0.0000037 to $0.0000055 in the most recent session — a classic base-and-breakout pattern with high day-over-day volatility (11.3% stdev).

This pattern typically signals renewed speculative interest after a basing period, but the accompanying extreme intraday swings (-33.8% in 1h) suggest the breakout has not yet been confirmed by stable follow-through and remains vulnerable to a sharp retracement.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000004419
Major$0.000001859
Resistance
Immediate$0.00001067
Major$0.00001067

Immediate support at $0.000004419 marks the recent swing low that would need to hold to keep the breakout intact; a break below opens room down to the major support/90-day low of $0.000001859. Resistance is concentrated at $0.00001067, the 91-day high, which represents roughly 95% upside from current price and has not yet been retested since the pullback.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 11.3% combined with intraday swings of -33.8% (1h) and +55.3% (4h) indicates the token can move dramatically in short windows, exposing traders to significant timing risk.

Liquidity
High

Liquidity of $31,511 against a $379,838 market cap is thin; the 24h trading volume of $151,504 turning over roughly 5x the pool size suggests trades of even moderate size can cause substantial slippage.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 holders control 27.3% of supply, a moderate concentration; without per-wallet identity data, whether these are individual whales, exchanges, or protocol wallets cannot be determined, so a middle-ground risk level is applied.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security or audit data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than an actual risk assessment.

Regulatory
Low

As an unaffiliated meme/community token with no disclosed utility, financial product features, or centralized issuer claims, near-term regulatory exposure appears limited, though meme tokens broadly remain subject to general crypto market regulatory uncertainty.

Key Risks

  • Thin liquidity ($31,511) relative to market cap creates high slippage and price-impact risk for meaningful trade sizes
  • Extreme short-term volatility (1h -33.8%, 4h +55.3%) makes entry/exit timing highly unpredictable
  • Holder concentration data is limited to an aggregate top-10 figure (27.3%) with no visibility into whether these are individual wallets or contracts, and no contract-security data exists to rule out administrative risk
  • No disclosed utility beyond meme/community branding, meaning value is entirely dependent on continued speculative and social interest

Mitigating Factors

  • 29.9-month trading history without apparent collapse suggests some resilience relative to typical short-lived meme tokens
  • Broad holder base of 134,506 wallets reduces single-party dependency compared to newly launched, highly concentrated tokens

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced traders comfortable with meme-token volatility and thin-liquidity execution risk; not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation or predictable returns.

CHAD is in the midst of a strong multi-week uptrend (+92.8% 7d, +193.2% 30d) following a breakout from a multi-day base, but thin liquidity and extreme intraday volatility mean the trade carries substantial execution and reversal risk. The setup favors momentum-driven speculation rather than fundamentals-based investment given the lack of disclosed utility or security data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Continued buy-side demand (52.2% buy pressure, more unique buyers than sellers) extends the breakout toward the major resistance at $0.00001067, roughly 95% above current price, as renewed community and social attention drives further volume.

  • +Sustained net inflow of buy volume over sell volume
  • +Growing social engagement translating into new buyer cohorts
Base Case

Price continues to trade with high volatility within the broader 91-day range ($0.000001859–$0.00001067), oscillating around the current breakout zone as speculative flows dominate in the absence of fundamental catalysts.

  • Liquidity remains near current levels ($31,511) without significant expansion
  • No new utility, partnership, or security disclosures emerge to shift the token's risk profile
Bear Case
Medium

The recent +46.6% single-day surge proves unsustainable given thin liquidity, and profit-taking or a large sell order triggers a sharp reversal back toward immediate support at $0.000004419 or lower toward the 90-day low of $0.000001859.

  • -High volatility (11.3% daily stdev) increasing odds of a sharp mean-reversion move
  • -Shallow $31,511 liquidity pool amplifying the price impact of any large sell

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 15, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.00000547159853128
Market Cap$379.8K
24h Volume$151.5K
Holders134,506
Liquidity$31.5K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Per-wallet holder identity and acquisition method (e.g., insider vs. market buyer) could not be verified, limiting concentration analysis to an aggregate top-10 percentage only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Track CHAD