SUPERGEMMA

Supergemma4-26b-multimodal Price Today & AI Analysis

SUPERGEMMA
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 8, 2026

$0.056417

-9.13%24h
LiveContract:0x572c4fa77623652411574c51b5ddb7e1b750aba3Chain:BaseHolders:2.6KMarket cap:$641.70KLiquidity:$303.41K

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Movement since reportreport from Aug 8, 2026, 02:59 PM UTC
Market Cap

$1.58M

24h Volume

$49.21K

Liquidity

$314.51K

FDV

Holders

2.6K

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

SUPERGEMMA (0x572c4fa7…) is a Base-chain token approximately 3.8 months old with a market cap of $1.58M and $314,514 in liquidity. Its price has surged +487.5% over 30 days and +49.1% over 7 days, placing it firmly in an uptrend, though it has retraced to 39% of its 82-day range from a peak of $0.00004081. The token has no disclosed project description or category, making fundamental valuation impossible; its investment case rests entirely on momentum and on-chain metrics. With 2,639 holders, a 78/100 security score, and a verified contract, it clears basic legitimacy thresholds, but extreme volatility and the absence of utility documentation make it a high-risk speculative asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranAug 8, 2026, 02:59 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bullish
Exceptional 30-day price momentum (+487.5%) with a verified, non-rugpulled contract still active after 3.8 months
Dumpable supply of only 26.2% despite top-10 holders controlling 31%, because the largest position (10.75%) is a non-sellable Uniswap pool contract
Smart money participation is confirmed with multiple wallets showing triple-digit percentage realized gains across hundreds of trades

Supergemma4-26b-multimodal AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

SUPERGEMMA has posted a +49.1% gain over the past 7 days and is currently consolidating just above immediate support at $0.00001571, with the current price of $0.00001584 sitting at 39% of its 82-day range. Buy pressure at 60.9% of 24h volume and a net buy-to-sell volume ratio of roughly 1.56:1 support continued near-term upside. The token is in a clear short-term uptrend based on the daily close sequence, which has risen from $0.000005459 to $0.00001584 over the observed window.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day return of +487.5% demonstrates sustained momentum rather than a single-day spike, and the token has only retraced to 39% of its full 82-day range despite the recent pullback from the $0.00004081 high. Holder count has grown 15% over 30 days (+390 wallets), indicating genuine accumulation rather than a purely speculative pump. If the token can reclaim and hold above the $0.00001622 immediate resistance, the path toward retesting the $0.00004081 major resistance opens up, though the extreme 561.1% annualised daily volatility means drawdowns of 40–60% are plausible at any point.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price appreciation of +49.1% and 30-day appreciation of +487.5% confirm a sustained multi-week uptrend, not a single-day anomaly
  • +Buy volume ($29,972) outpaced sell volume ($19,232) by 60.9% vs 39.1% over 24 hours, indicating net capital inflow
  • +Holder count grew by 390 wallets (+15%) over 30 days, showing broadening adoption
  • +Dumpable supply is only 26.2% — the largest single holder (10.75%) is a Uniswap protocol contract and is non-dumpable, meaningfully reducing immediate sell-side risk
  • +Smart money wallet 0x2bb27b… has realised +$2,426 (+35%) and 0x18dd3c… has realised +$2,363 (+118%), suggesting informed traders have found profitable setups in this token
Bearish Factors
  • -Daily return volatility of 561.1% (annualised stdev) is extreme even by micro-cap standards, meaning violent drawdowns are a routine feature of this token
  • -The current price at only 39% of the 82-day range means the token has already shed more than 60% from its $0.00004081 peak, indicating prior distribution at higher levels
  • -Sell transactions (191) outnumbered buy transactions (119) over 24 hours despite net buy volume, suggesting a larger number of individual sellers are active
  • -Whale 0x093703… (3.00% of supply) has realised a loss of -$2,959 over 95 trades with an average buy of $0.000002798, indicating this large holder is underwater on recent activity and may seek exits on strength
  • -No project description, no disclosed utility, and an 'Uncategorized' classification leave the token's fundamental value proposition entirely unverifiable

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

SUPERGEMMA call history

Full track record →
Aug 8bullish
24h+5.2%
7d-34.7%
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x572c...aba3
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Extreme price volatility (561.1% daily stdev) means a 50–80% drawdown from current levels is statistically plausible within days, as evidenced by the prior decline from $0.00004081 to $0.000007114 in the observed history
Complete absence of disclosed utility, project description, or team identity means the token has no fundamental floor — if speculative demand evaporates, there is no product or revenue to support a price recovery
The 3.00% whale (0x093703…) has realised -$2,959 in losses and may be motivated to exit on any price strength, creating a persistent overhead sell pressure from a distressed large holder

Trading Insight

bullish

Net capital flow is positive — buy volume of $29,972 exceeded sell volume of $19,232 over 24 hours — but the transaction count skew (119 buys vs 191 sells) reveals that while buyers are deploying larger individual positions, a greater number of individual sellers are active. Activity is thinning in the most recent windows (4 buy transactions and 9 sell transactions in the last hour), suggesting the 24-hour momentum is fading into consolidation near the $0.00001584 level.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The daily close sequence from $0.000005459 to $0.00001584 over the observed 14-day window is a clear staircase uptrend, with higher lows and higher highs. The 7-day gain of +49.1% and 30-day gain of +487.5% confirm the trend is intact across both timeframes. The current price is consolidating near the lower end of the recent range ($0.00001127–$0.00001691), which is normal post-rally behaviour and does not yet constitute a trend reversal.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

After a peak daily close of $0.00001691 followed by a pullback to $0.00001127 and a partial recovery to $0.00001584, momentum has moderated from its peak but has not reversed. The price sitting at 39% of the full 82-day range ($1.873e-7 to $0.00004081) means there is substantial headroom to the upside but also a long way to fall if the trend breaks. The thinning hourly transaction volume suggests momentum is in a cooling phase rather than an acceleration phase.

Volume Analysis

Buy 60.9%Sell 39.1%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Transaction activity is declining across successive time windows — 310 transactions in 24 hours, 45 in 4 hours, and 13 in 1 hour — indicating that the volume surge that drove the recent price appreciation is dissipating. This is consistent with a consolidation phase following a momentum run and is not inherently bearish unless sell-side volume begins to dominate on a sustained basis.

Recent Price Action

The last 14 daily closes show a sharp rally from $0.000005459 to a peak of $0.00001691, followed by a pullback to $0.00001127, and a recovery sequence back to $0.00001584 — a classic rally-pullback-recovery structure.

This pattern suggests the initial momentum buyers partially distributed near $0.00001691, and the subsequent recovery to $0.00001584 indicates demand absorption at lower levels. A sustained hold above $0.00001571 (immediate support) would confirm the recovery and set up a retest of $0.00001622 resistance.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00001571
Major$0.0000001873
Resistance
Immediate$0.00001622
Major$0.00004081

The immediate support at $0.00001571 and resistance at $0.00001622 define an extremely tight $51 range at current price scale — a breakout in either direction from this band will likely be decisive. The major resistance at $0.00004081 represents the 82-day swing high and would require a +158% move from current price to retest. The major support at $0.0000001873 (the 82-day low) is so far below current price that it is effectively a catastrophic-loss scenario rather than a near-term trading level.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders2,639
24h Change+18
Growth Rate+0.68%

Holder growth has been consistent and accelerating — +18 in 24 hours, +70 in 7 days, and +390 in 30 days — with the 30-day figure representing a 15% expansion of the holder base. This trajectory is a positive signal for a token of this age and market cap, suggesting organic discovery rather than a single viral event. The 24-hour growth of 18 holders is modest in isolation but consistent with the broader trend.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders31%
Top 100 Holders85%
Retail Holders15.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 31% and the top 100 control 85% of supply, the concentration risk is assessed as medium rather than high because the single largest position (10.75%) is a Uniswap pool contract that cannot sell. Stripping that out, the genuine dumpable supply from individual whales and labelled wallets is 26.2% — meaningful but not extreme for a token of this size and age. The 85% top-100 concentration does mean retail holders (15%) have limited price influence.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swap was a $998 buy by 0x56c262…, followed by a $528 sell by 0x3e5882… and a $413 sell by 0x2afaed…. The largest single transaction is a buy, but the next four largest are sells, reflecting the broader transaction-count skew toward sellers.

  • BUY $998 by 0x56c262… — the single largest recent swap, indicating at least one participant deploying meaningful capital at current prices
  • SELL $528 by 0x3e5882… and SELL $413 by 0x2afaed… — the two largest sell-side transactions, suggesting active distribution by some holders near current levels

Whale-level on-chain activity is mixed: the top individual whale (0x7f448f…) holds a large unrealised profit and has not been observed selling in recent notable trades, while the second-largest whale (0x093703…) has a history of realised losses suggesting less disciplined trading. The transfer-acquired position of 0x4dbb38… (2.15%) with no DEX swap history is an unknown variable — its cost basis and exit intent cannot be determined from available data.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

The most profitable smart money wallet (0x2bb27b…) has realised +$2,426 (+35%) across 965 trades, and 0x18dd3c… has realised +$2,363 (+118%) across 950 trades — both indicating sustained profitable engagement rather than a single lucky trade. However, the high trade counts (950–1,026 trades per wallet) suggest these are active traders rather than long-term holders, meaning their positions can reverse quickly.

Five of six tracked smart money wallets are in profit on this token, with aggregate realised gains of approximately $6,849 across the group. The one loss-making wallet (0xa67d7e…, -$38 or -3%) is a minor outlier. The consistent profitability across multiple wallets with hundreds of trades each suggests the token has provided genuine trading opportunities, but the high trade frequency also means these wallets are likely to continue active two-way trading rather than holding, contributing to ongoing sell-side pressure.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$314,514.68
Depth:
Moderate
Slippage Risk:
Medium

$314,514 in liquidity against a $1.58M market cap gives a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 19.9%, which is moderate for a micro-cap token. The largest recent trade ($998) would represent roughly 0.32% of the pool, suggesting low slippage for trades in the hundreds of dollars. However, any attempt to move tens of thousands of dollars — as would be the case if a 2–3% whale decided to exit — would face meaningful slippage and could materially move the price.

Overall Risk:
High
72/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return standard deviation of 561.1% (annualised) is extreme. The 82-day price range spans from $0.0000001873 to $0.00004081 — a 218x spread — confirming that catastrophic drawdowns are a feature of this token's history, not an edge case.

Liquidity
Medium

$314,514 in liquidity is moderate for a $1.58M market cap token. Small retail trades face manageable slippage, but any whale-sized exit (2–3% of supply) would significantly impact price given the pool depth.

Concentration
Medium

Dumpable supply is 26.2% across individual whales and labelled wallets. The top-10 concentration of 31% is partially offset by the largest holder being a non-dumpable Uniswap contract. The 2.15% transfer-acquired whale position with unknown cost basis is the primary unquantifiable concentration risk.

Smart Contract
Low

Verified contract with a 78/100 security score. No critical vulnerabilities flagged. The contract has been live for 3.8 months without a documented exploit.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized token with no disclosed utility on a public blockchain, SUPERGEMMA faces the same general regulatory uncertainty applicable to all unregistered crypto assets. No specific regulatory red flags are identifiable from the available data.

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility (561.1% daily stdev) means a 50–80% drawdown from current levels is statistically plausible within days, as evidenced by the prior decline from $0.00004081 to $0.000007114 in the observed history
  • Complete absence of disclosed utility, project description, or team identity means the token has no fundamental floor — if speculative demand evaporates, there is no product or revenue to support a price recovery
  • The 3.00% whale (0x093703…) has realised -$2,959 in losses and may be motivated to exit on any price strength, creating a persistent overhead sell pressure from a distressed large holder

Mitigating Factors

  • The largest holder (10.75%) is a Uniswap liquidity contract and structurally cannot dump, meaningfully reducing the immediate sell-side risk from top-holder concentration
  • The verified contract with a 78/100 security score and 3.8 months of operation without incident reduces the probability of an imminent technical exploit or rug pull via contract mechanism

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for experienced speculative traders who understand micro-cap momentum trading, can tolerate total loss of capital, and are actively monitoring positions. It is not appropriate for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a small fraction of a diversified portfolio.

SUPERGEMMA is a pure momentum play with no verifiable fundamental backing. The bull case rests on continued speculative demand and trend continuation from a strong multi-week uptrend; the bear case rests on the absence of utility, extreme volatility, and the token's prior 60%+ drawdown from its all-time high. The base case is continued high-volatility consolidation with outcome heavily dependent on whether new buyers continue to enter the market.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The 30-day momentum (+487.5%) attracts broader attention, holder growth accelerates beyond the current 15% monthly rate, and the token reclaims the $0.00001622 immediate resistance, triggering a momentum-driven move toward the $0.00004081 major resistance — a potential +158% gain from current price.

  • +Sustained net capital inflow (buy volume consistently exceeding sell volume) converting the current consolidation into a new leg higher
  • +Continued holder base expansion drawing in new liquidity and reducing the relative impact of any single whale exit
Base Case

SUPERGEMMA continues to trade in a high-volatility range between the $0.00001571 support and $0.00001622 resistance in the near term, with the medium-term direction determined by whether the 30-day momentum attracts sufficient new holders to absorb ongoing sell-side activity from active traders and the distressed whale.

  • No major negative catalyst (exploit, rug, regulatory action) disrupts the current market structure
  • Holder growth continues at a pace sufficient to absorb sell-side pressure from the 26.2% dumpable supply
Bear Case
Medium

Speculative momentum fades as the token fails to hold the $0.00001571 immediate support, triggering stop-loss selling and whale distribution. Without any fundamental value proposition to attract buyers, the price reverts toward the mid-range of its 82-day history, implying a 50–70% decline from current levels.

  • -The distressed whale (0x093703…, 3.00% of supply, -$2,959 realised) selling into any price strength, adding consistent overhead pressure
  • -Declining transaction volume in recent hourly windows indicating the buying impulse is exhausting without a new catalyst

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 8, 2026, 02:59 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000015837588917147
Market Cap$1.58M
24h Volume$49.2K
Holders2,639
Liquidity$314.5K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis)
Daily OHLC price history (82-day window)
Smart contract security analysis
Whale wallet forensics and realized PnL data
Smart money realized PnL tracking
Liquidity pool depth data (Uniswap PoolManager)

Limitations

  • No project description, whitepaper, or team information is available — fundamental analysis is entirely absent and the token's value proposition cannot be assessed
  • The 90-day price change is unavailable (token is only 82 days old), limiting long-term trend context; the 561.1% daily volatility figure makes any price target highly unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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