FRIEND

FRIEND Price Today & AI Analysis

FRIENDBaseAnalysis as of Sep 21, 2026

Price

$0.002267

-22.76% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0bd4887f7d41b35cd75dff9ffee2856106f86670

Chain

Holders

83.4K

Market cap

$215.09K

Liquidity

$77.82K

More tokens on Base

FRIEND: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-21 22:45 UTC

Holder addresses

83,360

Top 10 supply share

52.57%

Reported liquidity

$77,821.00
How concentrated is FRIEND ownership?
As of 2026-09-21 22:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 52.57% of supply. It reports 83,360 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling FRIEND?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-21 22:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $6,786.00 in buys and $12,076.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is FRIEND liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -7.22%, from $70,809.47 (2026-09-21 09:00 UTC) to $65,698.47 (2026-09-21 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-21 22:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 09:00 UTC$70,809.47
2026-09-21 10:00 UTC$71,632.24
2026-09-21 11:00 UTC$74,290.94
2026-09-21 12:00 UTC$74,395.94
2026-09-21 13:00 UTC$73,094.12
2026-09-21 15:00 UTC$73,195.00
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC$74,728.06
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC$75,288.49
2026-09-21 20:00 UTC$75,299.50
2026-09-21 21:00 UTC$70,359.00
2026-09-21 22:00 UTC$65,698.47

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 21, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC

Market Cap

$215.09K

24h Volume

$18.86K

Liquidity

$77.82K

FDV

Holders

83,360

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

FRIEND is a Base-chain token, live for approximately 28.7 months, currently trading at $0.00226688 with a $215,093 market cap and $77,821 in liquidity on Uniswap. The token has crashed 54.8% over the past week and now trades at just 1% of its 91-day range ($0.0008586–$0.09999), despite a nominal 90-day gain of 87.6% reflecting an earlier rally that has since fully reversed. Its stated purpose ('precious spaces online and onchain') is vague and uncategorized, and key on-chain forensics (holder growth, whale wallets, smart money, contract security) are unavailable for this chain, leaving significant analytical blind spots.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 21, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • 28.7-month token age with 83,360 holders, unusually long-lived and broadly distributed for a token at this market cap
  • Extreme realized volatility (43.9% daily stdev) and a 91-day range spanning over 100x from low to high
  • Vague, non-specific project description with no clear category or utility disclosed in available data

FRIEND AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

FRIEND is down 22.8% in the past 24 hours and 54.8% over the past 7 days, with daily closes sliding almost uninterrupted from $0.006046 to $0.002274 over the last two weeks. Price now sits at just 1% of its 91-day range, and while buy transaction counts ticked up in the most recent hour (20 buys vs 4 sells), 24h sell dollar volume still exceeds buy dollar volume, keeping short-term momentum bearish.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Although the 30d (+19.1%) and 90d (+87.6%) changes are nominally positive, that reflects an earlier rally that has since fully unwound: price has bled steadily for the last two visible weeks and now sits at only 1% of the 91-day range near its low. Without a clear reversal in the sell-dominant order flow, the path of least resistance into the next 30-90 days remains lower or, at best, choppy consolidation near current lows.

Bullish Factors

  • Unique buyers outnumbered unique sellers 30:6 over 24h and 18:2 in the most recent hour, showing continued retail interest despite the price decline
  • 90d price change remains positive (+87.6%), indicating the token has not simply been in freefall for its entire recent history

Bearish Factors

  • 7-day price change of -54.8% with an uninterrupted slide in daily closes from $0.006046 to $0.002274, and price now at just 1% of the 91-day range
  • 24h sell volume ($12,076) exceeds buy volume ($6,786), and average sell size (~$863) is roughly 4.8x average buy size (~$179), consistent with larger holders distributing into smaller buyers
  • Daily volatility of 43.9% (stdev of daily returns) signals a high-risk, thinly-traded asset prone to sharp continued moves in either direction

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

FRIEND call history

Full track record →

Sep 21bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x0bd4...6670
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

  • Price has fallen 54.8% over the past 7 days with an uninterrupted decline in daily closes and now sits at only 1% of its 91-day trading range
  • Liquidity of $77,821 is thin in absolute terms, meaning moderately sized trades could cause outsized slippage or price impact
  • 24h sell dollar volume ($12,076) exceeds buy dollar volume ($6,786), with average sell size (~$863) roughly 4.8x average buy size (~$179), suggesting larger holders may be distributing
  • No contract-security, holder-growth, whale-wallet, or smart-money data is available, significantly limiting the ability to assess rug-pull or insider risk

Trading Insight

bearish

24h trading shows buy transactions outnumbering sells nearly 3:1 (38 vs 14) and buyers outnumbering sellers 5:1 (30 vs 6), yet sell dollar volume dominates at 64% versus 36% buy pressure. This mismatch between transaction counts and dollar flow points to a handful of larger sellers offloading into many smaller buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 7-day change of -54.8%, combined with an uninterrupted slide in daily closes from $0.006046 to $0.002274 over roughly two weeks, confirms a clear short-term downtrend. The nominal 30d (+19.1%) and 90d (+87.6%) gains reflect an earlier rally phase that has since been fully erased, with price now at just 1% of the 91-day range, so the dominant medium-term structure is also downward.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

Having lost more than half its value in a week and sitting near its 91-day low with 43.9% daily volatility, the token shows classic oversold characteristics, though in a thinly-liquid market like this one, oversold conditions can persist without a near-term bounce.

Volume Analysis

Buy

36%

Sell

64%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Sell-side dollar volume dominates the 24h aggregate (64% vs 36% buy), but transaction-count ratios have skewed increasingly toward buyers in shorter windows (1h: 20 buys/4 sells vs 24h: 38/14), suggesting sell pressure intensity may be easing intraday even though the daily aggregate remains sell-heavy.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes have declined steadily for roughly two weeks, from $0.006046 to $0.002274 (-62.4%), with no visible reversal candle in the provided series, and price now sits at just 1% of its 91-day range of $0.0008586–$0.09999.

A persistent grinding decline of this magnitude combined with high realized volatility typically reflects sustained distribution following an earlier speculative pump rather than healthy consolidation, and warrants caution against assuming an imminent reversal.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0008586

Major support

$0.0008586

Immediate resistance

$0.003154

Major resistance

$0.09999

The immediate and major support both sit at $0.0008586, the 91-day low, meaning there is no intermediate cushion identified between current price and that level. Immediate resistance at $0.003154 is roughly 39% above current price and would need to be reclaimed to suggest any near-term bottoming, while major resistance at $0.09999 reflects the 91-day high and is over 40x the current price, underscoring how far the token has fallen from its peak.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 43.9% (stdev of returns), a -54.8% 7-day decline, and a price position at just 1% of the 91-day range together indicate extreme price risk in either direction.

  • LiquidityHigh

    With only $77,821 in total liquidity against a $215,093 market cap, trades of moderate size can produce significant slippage, and liquidity could be pulled or thinned quickly on a Uniswap pool of this size.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders control 52.6% of supply, a notable concentration, but without individual wallet data it cannot be determined whether these are exchange/contract addresses or dumpable individual whale positions, so this is classified conservatively as medium rather than high.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    No specific regulatory red flags (e.g., securities-like promises, centralized custody claims) appear in the available data, though the vague project description limits full assessment.

Key Risks

  • Price has fallen 54.8% over the past 7 days with an uninterrupted decline in daily closes and now sits at only 1% of its 91-day trading range
  • Liquidity of $77,821 is thin in absolute terms, meaning moderately sized trades could cause outsized slippage or price impact
  • 24h sell dollar volume ($12,076) exceeds buy dollar volume ($6,786), with average sell size (~$863) roughly 4.8x average buy size (~$179), suggesting larger holders may be distributing
  • No contract-security, holder-growth, whale-wallet, or smart-money data is available, significantly limiting the ability to assess rug-pull or insider risk
  • The project description ('precious spaces online and onchain') is vague and lacks a clearly defined utility, category, or roadmap in the data provided

Mitigating Factors

  • The token has been live for 28.7 months and has 83,360 holders, indicating it has not collapsed or been abandoned despite volatility
  • Buy transactions and unique buyers exceeded sells in the most recent 1h and 4h windows (20 vs 4, and 29 vs 12 respectively), showing some active dip-buying interest

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can tolerate extreme volatility, thin liquidity, and significant data gaps; not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those requiring verified security and fundamental clarity.

FRIEND is a long-lived but currently deeply distressed token, down over half its value in the past week and trading near its 91-day lows amid thin liquidity and sell-dominant order flow. Any thesis here is highly speculative and contingent on a demand-driven reversal that has not yet materialized in the available data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A wave of dip-buying (already visible in the increasing buy-transaction share over the past 1h-4h) builds enough momentum to reclaim the $0.003154 immediate resistance, triggering a short-covering or momentum-driven bounce.

  • Sustained increase in unique buyers relative to sellers across successive time windows
  • A shift of 24h dollar volume from sell-dominant to buy-dominant

Base Case

Price continues to chop at depressed levels near the bottom of its 91-day range, with high realized volatility but no clear resolution until either buy-dollar volume decisively overtakes sell-dollar volume or further distribution pushes it to new lows.

  • No new fundamental catalyst or liquidity injection emerges in the near term
  • Current holder concentration and trading patterns persist without material change

Bear Case

Medium probability

Continued distribution by larger sellers (average sell size ~4.8x average buy size) drives price down through the $0.0008586 support/91-day low, extending the current -54.8% weekly downtrend.

  • Persistently sell-dominant dollar volume despite favorable buy transaction counts
  • Thin liquidity ($77,821) amplifying downside moves on continued selling

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 21, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-21 22:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.00226688028158

Market Cap

$215.1K

24h Volume

$18.9K

Holders

83,360

Liquidity

$77,821.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, and smart-money cohort data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Contract-level security data (audit, verification, honeypot checks) was unavailable for this chain
  • Token genesis, deployer profile, and whale wallet forensics could not be inspected, limiting insider-risk assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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