RED

RedStone Price Today & AI Analysis

REDBaseAnalysis as of Aug 6, 2026

Price

$0.1490

+6.25% 24h

Contract

Live
0x4eb92702ba4cfbf80561bad64d89c706ac824960

Chain

Base

Holders

1.1K

Market cap

$176.58K

Liquidity

$105.46K

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RedStone: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-06 02:03 UTC

Holder addresses

994

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is RedStone ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 994 addresses (2026-08-06 02:03 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling RedStone?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is RedStone liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-06 02:03 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 6, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC

Market Cap

$39.48M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

994

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

RedStone is a 16.7-month-old modular blockchain oracle protocol deployed on 70+ chains, serving 130+ clients with price feeds for 1,250+ assets — a legitimate infrastructure project with real adoption metrics. The RED token currently trades at $0.08388 on Base (chain 0x2105), sitting at the absolute floor of its 90-day range after a -45.1% drawdown, with a market cap of approximately $39.5M against a fully diluted valuation of only $110K — a stark discrepancy that warrants scrutiny. Holder concentration is extreme on paper (top 10 hold 91%), but 66.96% of supply resides in a single protocol/contract, reducing genuine dumpable supply to 24.8% across individual whale wallets. The token's security score of 58/100 and the presence of several large individual whale positions acquired via transfer rather than market buys introduce meaningful insider and distribution risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 6, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Modular oracle architecture supporting 70+ chains and 1,250+ assets — one of the broadest multi-chain oracle footprints in the sector
  • 66.96% of supply locked in a protocol/contract, creating a structurally constrained float that amplifies price sensitivity to demand changes
  • Market cap ($39.5M) vs. FDV ($110K) discrepancy is anomalous and suggests either a data inconsistency or an unusual token distribution structure that requires independent verification

RedStone AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

RedStone (RED) is sitting at the absolute floor of its 90-day range at $0.08388, just $0.00027 above the computed immediate support of $0.08361. The 14-day closing sequence shows an unbroken staircase of lower closes from $0.09597 to $0.08388, with no sign of a reversal candle. Immediate resistance at $0.08658 is only 3.2% above current price, meaning any bounce faces a ceiling almost immediately.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day decline of -16.3% and 90-day decline of -45.1% establish a firmly entrenched downtrend with no structural reversal yet visible. Price sitting at 0% of its 90-day range means there is no historical demand zone below current levels to cushion further selling. A recovery toward major resistance at $0.1572 would require a near-doubling from current price, which demands a significant fundamental or macro catalyst that is not yet evident in the on-chain data.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day holder base grew by 70 wallets (+7%), indicating net new participants are still entering despite the price decline — a divergence that can precede accumulation phases
  • 66.96% of supply is locked in a protocol/contract (non-dumpable), meaning the effective float is constrained and a demand spike could move price sharply
  • RedStone's documented deployment across 70+ chains and 1,250+ supported assets represents real, growing infrastructure utility that underpins long-term token demand

Bearish Factors

  • Price has declined -45.1% over 90 days and now sits at 0% of its 90-day range ($0.08361–$0.1572), meaning there is no historical support below current levels
  • The 14 most recent daily closes form an unbroken descending sequence with no consolidation, indicating persistent sell pressure and absence of buyer conviction
  • Recent notable on-chain swaps are micro-sized (largest buy $200, sells as small as $10), reflecting extremely thin active trading interest and negligible buy-side demand

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x4eb9...4960
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Price is at the 90-day range floor ($0.08388 vs. $0.08361 support) with no historical demand zone below — a support breach would enter uncharted territory with no technical floor
  • The market cap ($39.5M) vs. FDV ($110K) anomaly is unexplained and could indicate a data error or structural token issue that materially affects valuation analysis
  • Whale 0x007f14… holds 3.19% of supply at an average entry of $0.1143 (currently ~27% underwater) — a price recovery toward that level could trigger exit selling that caps upside

Trading Insight

bearish

On-chain swap activity is dominated by micro-transactions — the largest recent buy was $200 and sells were as small as $10 — indicating the token is in a low-liquidity, low-interest phase with no institutional or large-wallet participation visible in recent trades. The buy/sell count skews slightly toward buys (4 buys vs. 2 sells in recent notable trades) but the dollar volumes are negligible and do not signal meaningful accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

All three measured windows confirm a downtrend: -6.6% over 7 days, -16.3% over 30 days, and -45.1% over 90 days. The 14 most recent daily closes form a near-unbroken descending sequence from $0.09597 to $0.08388 with no consolidation or reversal pattern. Price is at 0% of the 90-day range, meaning it has retraced the entire period's gains and sits at the lowest point observed.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With price at the absolute floor of the 90-day range and a sustained 14-session decline, momentum indicators would be deeply oversold by any standard measure. Daily volatility of 3.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate, meaning the token moves meaningfully each day but without the explosive spikes that would signal a capitulation bottom — the decline has been grinding rather than panicked.

Volume Analysis

Buy

94%

Sell

6%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Active on-chain swap volume is extremely thin, with the largest recent trade being a $200 buy. This low-volume decline is characteristic of a token losing market interest rather than experiencing forced liquidation, which can prolong the downtrend as there is no capitulation event to mark a bottom.

Recent Price Action

Fourteen consecutive daily closes in a descending staircase pattern from $0.09597 to $0.08388, with the most recent close ($0.08388) being the lowest in the 90-day dataset. No bullish reversal candles, gaps, or consolidation zones are visible in the closing price sequence.

A sustained descending close sequence without consolidation typically indicates persistent sell pressure with no meaningful demand absorption. The price reaching the 90-day range floor without a bounce suggests the prior support has been tested and is at risk of failing.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.08361

Major support

$0.08361

Immediate resistance

$0.08658

Major resistance

$0.1572

Immediate and major support converge at $0.08361 — the 90-day range low — making this a critical level; a daily close below it would represent a new multi-month low with no historical demand zone beneath. Immediate resistance at $0.08658 is only 3.2% above current price and represents the most recent swing high cluster; reclaiming it would be the first technical sign of stabilization. Major resistance at $0.1572 is the 90-day range high, approximately 87% above current price, and would require a substantial trend reversal to become relevant.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 3.8% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The -45.1% 90-day drawdown and price at the 90-day range floor confirm high realized volatility with sustained downside momentum.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token for oracle infrastructure in the DeFi sector, RED faces the same regulatory uncertainty as the broader DeFi ecosystem. Oracle tokens providing financial data feeds may attract additional scrutiny in jurisdictions regulating financial data services.

Key Risks

  • Price is at the 90-day range floor ($0.08388 vs. $0.08361 support) with no historical demand zone below — a support breach would enter uncharted territory with no technical floor
  • The market cap ($39.5M) vs. FDV ($110K) anomaly is unexplained and could indicate a data error or structural token issue that materially affects valuation analysis
  • Whale 0x007f14… holds 3.19% of supply at an average entry of $0.1143 (currently ~27% underwater) — a price recovery toward that level could trigger exit selling that caps upside

Mitigating Factors

  • 66.96% of supply in a protocol/contract is structurally non-dumpable, limiting the maximum sell pressure from the largest supply concentration
  • RedStone's 130+ live clients and 70+ chain deployments represent real revenue-generating infrastructure that provides fundamental demand for the token independent of speculative trading

Investor Suitability

This token may be suitable for risk-tolerant investors with a high conviction in the oracle sector and RedStone's specific competitive positioning, who can tolerate a -45% drawdown from recent highs and understand the liquidity constraints of a 994-holder token on Base. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquid exit options, or those relying on technical support levels as a safety net given the price is at the range floor.

RedStone presents a genuine infrastructure utility case — a live, multi-chain oracle with 130+ clients — but the token is in a confirmed multi-month downtrend with price at the 90-day floor, thin liquidity, and an unexplained market cap/FDV anomaly. The investment thesis hinges on whether the protocol's real-world adoption translates into token demand before the current downtrend exhausts holder patience.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

RedStone accelerates client acquisition beyond 130, driving protocol revenue and token utility demand. The 30-day holder growth (+7%) continues, new institutional integrations are announced, and the broader DeFi oracle sector re-rates upward. Price recovers from the $0.08361 floor toward the $0.1572 major resistance, representing an ~87% gain.

  • Continued expansion of oracle integrations on high-TVL chains converting protocol usage into token demand
  • Broader DeFi market recovery lifting infrastructure tokens disproportionately

Base Case

Price consolidates near the $0.08361–$0.08658 range for the near term as the downtrend loses momentum without a clear reversal catalyst. Holder count continues its slow 30-day growth trajectory, and the token trades as a low-liquidity infrastructure asset awaiting a macro or protocol-specific catalyst.

  • The $0.08361 support holds in the near term, preventing a new multi-month low
  • RedStone's client base continues growing organically, maintaining fundamental relevance without a near-term price catalyst

Bear Case

Medium probability

The $0.08361 support fails on volume, sending price into uncharted territory with no historical demand zone below. Individual whale positions (24.8% dumpable supply) begin distributing as the downtrend continues, and the thin liquidity amplifies selling. The market cap/FDV anomaly is confirmed as a data or structural issue, further eroding investor confidence.

  • Breach of the 90-day range floor at $0.08361 with no technical support below
  • Underwater whale (0x007f14… at $0.1143 entry) capitulating and adding to sell pressure

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 6, 2026, 02:03 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-06 02:03 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$39.48M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

994

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, contract 0x4eb92702ba4cfbf80561bad64d89c706ac824960)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis-classified size buckets and concentration metrics)90-day daily OHLC price history and computed swing-high/swing-low key levelsSmart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates, acquisition method)Notable recent on-chain swap dataSmart contract security score and verification status

Limitations

  • Liquidity pool depth data was not provided, preventing precise slippage and liquidity risk quantification
  • The market cap ($39.5M) vs. FDV ($110K) discrepancy could not be resolved from the provided data and may indicate a data feed error that affects valuation conclusions
  • Whale wallet 0x9b9dff… shows a first-active date of 2026-06-20 (future date relative to analysis), which is a data anomaly that could not be explained from available information
  • 24h granular transaction counts (buys/sells/volume) were not available in the provided dataset, limiting short-term trading activity analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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