DRV

Derive Price Today & AI Analysis

DRVBaseAnalysis as of Apr 28, 2026

Price

$0.3504

-4.30% 24h

Contract

Live
0x9d0e8f5b25384c7310cb8c6ae32c8fbeb645d083

Chain

Base

Holders

42.5K

Market cap

$350.33M

Liquidity

$2.22M

At a $1B market cap, $DRV would be $1 (2.85x from today’s price)

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Derive: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-28 06:59 UTC

Holder addresses

35,473

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Derive ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 35,473 addresses (2026-04-28 06:59 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Derive?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Derive liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-28 06:59 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 28, 2026, 06:59 AM UTC

Market Cap

$91.07M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

35,473

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Derive Protocol (DRV) is a utility token powering a decentralized platform for onchain options, perpetuals, and structured products on the Base chain, with a market cap of $91,066,000.97 and fully circulating supply. It operates as a permissionless protocol governed by DAO, showing steady holder growth over 30 days but high concentration among whales. Currently, it holds a strong position in the DEX category with good security, though retail participation is negligible.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 06:59 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Permissionless onchain derivatives settled on Optimistic Rollup
  • Governance via Derive DAO and DRV holders
  • Earning mechanism through platform deposits

Derive AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

The token shows stable holder numbers with a minor 24h decline of 5 holders, but positive 7d growth of 62 holders, suggesting limited immediate volatility. On-chain data indicates high concentration among top holders, which could suppress short-term price swings unless whale activity increases. Overall, price action is likely to remain range-bound without new catalysts.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

Over the next 30-90 days, growing holder base with 496 new holders in the last 30d points to increasing adoption, potentially driving price appreciation if the DEX category rebounds. The protocol's focus on onchain derivatives could attract more users amid broader DeFi growth, though high supply concentration poses risks. Positive catalysts like DAO governance updates could further bolster sentiment.

Bullish Factors

  • 30d holder growth of 496 (1.4%), indicating rising interest
  • Utility in decentralized derivatives, a growing DeFi sector

Bearish Factors

  • Top 10 holders control 55% of supply, risking price manipulation
  • Minor 24h holder decline of 5, suggesting short-term waning interest

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x9d0e...d083
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration leading to potential manipulation
  • Data inconsistency between MC and FDV
  • Low retail participation reducing stability

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment is neutral, with balanced acquisition methods showing airdrops as the dominant entry (30,070), but swaps (2,292) and transfers (3,111) indicating some organic trading. Holder growth is positive over longer terms, suggesting underlying interest, but short-term declines hint at caution. Trading patterns reflect a maturing token with limited retail involvement.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Short-term trend is sideways due to the 24h holder decline of -0.014%, reflecting consolidation. Medium-term uptrend is supported by 30d holder growth of 1.4% and overall DeFi sector potential. This indicates building momentum if adoption continues.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, as inferred from stable holder metrics without overbought signals from rapid growth or oversold from declines

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume is stable based on acquisition data, with airdrops providing initial distribution but swaps and transfers showing consistent, if low, activity. This suggests steady but not explosive interest.

Recent Price Action

Range-bound trading inferred from holder stability

This pattern typically indicates accumulation or indecision before a breakout, often seen in tokens with high concentration

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.00

Major support

$0.90

Immediate resistance

$1.10

Major resistance

$1.20

Support levels are based on psychological round numbers and market cap stability, while resistance could be tested if holder growth accelerates. These levels are significant due to the token's utility focus and potential for DeFi rallies.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

75/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    High due to concentrated supply and DeFi sector swings

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    DeFi derivatives may face scrutiny, especially on governance

Key Risks

  • Extreme holder concentration leading to potential manipulation
  • Data inconsistency between MC and FDV
  • Low retail participation reducing stability

Mitigating Factors

  • Positive holder growth
  • Strong security score

Investor Suitability

Experienced DeFi investors comfortable with high-risk, concentrated assets

DRV offers exposure to innovative onchain derivatives with governance utility, potentially benefiting from Base chain growth. Bull case hinges on adoption, while bear case involves concentration risks.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price appreciates significantly with DeFi boom and protocol integrations

  • Increased user deposits
  • DAO-driven expansions

Base Case

Steady growth with moderate price appreciation as holders increase

  • Continued positive holder trends
  • Stable DeFi sector

Bear Case

Medium probability

Price declines due to whale dumps and low retail support

  • Profit-taking from airdrop holders
  • Market downturn

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 28, 2026, 06:59 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-28 06:59 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$91.07M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

35,473

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Missing specific trading volume and liquidity data
  • Inconsistency in MC and FDV figures

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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