wtSPYM

Wrapped State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF ST0x Price Today & AI Analysis

wtSPYM
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 5, 2026

$94.09

+3.21%24h
LiveContract:0x31c2c14134e6e3b7ef9478297f199331133fc2d8Chain:BaseHolders:1.0KMarket cap:$31.40KLiquidity:$37.54K

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Ask Unhosted AI about wtSPYM

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 5, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC
Market Cap

$31.40K

24h Volume

$482.22K

Liquidity

$37.54K

FDV

—

Holders

1.0K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Wrapped State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF ST0x (wtSPYM) is a 7-month-old token on Base with a market cap of approximately $31,399 and a fully diluted valuation of $118,081, trading on Uniswap with critically thin liquidity of $37,543. The token's name implies a wrapped representation of a traditional finance ETF product, but no project description is available to verify this claim, and the token type is unclassified. Price has recovered modestly over the past week (+3.3%) after what appears to have been a severe drawdown from a historical high of $1,339.83 to the current $94.05. With 1,004 holders, high daily transaction counts relative to its tiny liquidity pool, and no available contract-security or whale data, this token carries very high risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 5, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Name implies a tokenized or wrapped traditional finance ETF product (SPDR S&P 500), though no description or verified use case is available to substantiate this claim
Extremely high daily trading volume ($482,220 combined) relative to a critically shallow liquidity pool ($37,543), creating severe slippage and manipulation risk
Price has declined approximately 93% from its 89-day high of $1,339.83 to the current $94.05, placing it at the very bottom of its historical range

Wrapped State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF ST0x AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

wtSPYM has posted a 7-day gain of +3.3% and is building on a series of rising daily closes from $90.46 to $94.05 over the past two weeks. The price sits just below immediate resistance at $95.56, and the recent upward momentum in daily closes suggests continued near-term buying interest. However, the token sits at only 1% of its 89-day range ($85.27–$1,339.83), meaning the current price level is historically near the bottom of its observed range.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 30-day gain mirrors the 7-day gain exactly at +3.3%, indicating that essentially all of the 30-day performance was compressed into the last week — the prior three weeks were flat to negative. With 90-day data unavailable and the price sitting at just 1% of the historical range that once reached $1,339.83, the medium-term picture is one of a token that has shed the vast majority of its value and has not demonstrated sustained recovery momentum. The $37,543 liquidity pool is extremely thin relative to $246,785 in 24-hour buy volume, creating structural fragility.

Bullish Factors
  • +Seven consecutive daily closes have trended upward from $90.46 to $94.05, a consistent +3.9% climb that reflects genuine near-term buying pressure rather than a single-day spike.
  • +Buy pressure at 51.2% across 574 buy transactions versus 413 sell transactions in 24 hours shows a modest but real buyer majority, with 257 unique buyers versus 210 unique sellers.
  • +The 4-hour window shows 553 buy transactions versus 377 sell transactions, suggesting the buying activity is concentrated and accelerating in the most recent session.
Bearish Factors
  • -The token's current price of $94.05 sits at just 1% of its 89-day observed range ($85.27–$1,339.83), meaning it has lost approximately 93% from its historical high of $1,339.83 — a severe structural decline.
  • -Total liquidity of $37,543 is critically low relative to $482,220 in combined 24-hour volume, meaning large trades will cause extreme slippage and the pool can be drained rapidly.
  • -The fully diluted valuation of $118,081 is nearly four times the market cap of $31,399, implying significant unlocked or non-circulating supply that could enter the market and suppress price.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

wtSPYM call history

Full track record →
Sep 5bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x31c2...c2d8
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Regulatory risk is elevated: the token name directly references a registered US ETF (SPDR S&P 500), which could attract SEC or other regulatory scrutiny regarding unauthorized use of a regulated product's branding or potential securities law violations
•Liquidity collapse risk: with only $37,543 in the Uniswap pool and no verified liquidity lock data, a liquidity removal event would make the token untradeable and effectively worthless for remaining holders
•The 93% drawdown from the $1,339.83 historical high to the current $94.05 suggests the token has already experienced a near-total value destruction event, and the current recovery may be a dead-cat bounce rather than a genuine reversal

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is marginally bullish by transaction count — 574 buys versus 413 sells in 24 hours — but the near-equal buy/sell volume ($246,785 vs $235,435) and the sharp 4-hour price drop of -25.9% earlier in the session reveal significant volatility and two-sided conviction. The 4-hour window showing 553 buys and 377 sells suggests a burst of buying activity that may be recovering from that earlier drawdown rather than representing organic accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

The short-term trend is clearly bullish: 14 daily closes show a consistent grind from $90.46 to $94.05, with the 7-day gain of +3.3% confirming directional momentum. However, the medium-term context is deeply bearish — the current price of $94.05 sits at just 1% of the 89-day range, meaning the token spent the majority of the observed period at far higher prices, with the $1,339.83 historical high representing a 93% drawdown from current levels. The 30-day gain matching the 7-day gain exactly at +3.3% confirms the prior weeks were flat or negative.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Daily volatility of 0.7% (standard deviation of daily returns) is low, indicating the recent upward grind is steady rather than explosive. The price is approaching the immediate resistance at $95.56 after a series of small positive closes, suggesting momentum is building but has not yet reached an overbought condition at this price level. The severe intraday swing of -25.9% over 4 hours followed by recovery introduces uncertainty about whether the daily close momentum is sustainable.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.2%Sell 48.8%

Volume Trend: Increasing

The concentration of 553 buy transactions in the most recent 4-hour window out of 574 total 24-hour buys indicates a sharp volume spike in the latest session. This surge in activity, coinciding with the price recovery from the -25.9% 4-hour drop, suggests reactive buying rather than steady accumulation. The volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 12.8:1 is extreme and unsustainable, pointing to high speculative activity.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes form a gradual ascending pattern from $90.46 to $94.05, with only minor pullbacks (e.g., $90.09, $89.97) before resuming higher. This is overlaid by a sharp intraday -25.9% drop in the 4-hour window that was subsequently recovered, suggesting the daily close trend is intact but intraday volatility is extreme.

The ascending daily close pattern is a constructive short-term signal, but the intraday volatility spike and the token's position at 1% of its historical range suggest the recovery is fragile. A failure to break $95.56 resistance could see a retest of the $92.98 immediate support.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$92.98
Major$85.27
Resistance
Immediate$95.56
Major$1,339.83

The $92.98 immediate support represents the nearest OHLC-derived floor and is only 1% below the current price, meaning a modest pullback could test it quickly. The $85.27 major support is the 89-day range low and represents the last meaningful structural floor before uncharted territory. The $95.56 immediate resistance is the next hurdle for the current uptrend — a confirmed break above it would be the first meaningful bullish technical signal. The $1,339.83 major resistance is the 89-day high and illustrates the magnitude of the token's historical decline; it is not a realistic near-term target.

Overall Risk:
Very High
85/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A -25.9% price swing within a single 4-hour window demonstrates extreme intraday volatility despite a low daily standard deviation of 0.7%. The token has declined approximately 93% from its 89-day high of $1,339.83, confirming a history of severe drawdowns. The shallow liquidity pool amplifies price impact for any individual trade.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $37,543 against $482,220 in 24-hour combined volume represents a 12.8:1 volume-to-liquidity ratio. This means the pool turns over more than 12 times daily, creating extreme slippage risk for any trade of meaningful size. Exit liquidity for larger holders is severely constrained.

Concentration
Medium

The top 10 holders control 38.3% of supply, which is notable. However, without per-wallet classification data, it is impossible to determine how much of this represents dumpable individual whale supply versus protocol contracts or exchange wallets. The concentration risk is assessed as medium due to this uncertainty — it could be higher if the top holders are individual wallets.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available for this token on this chain's data provider. This is an uninformed default rating of medium rather than a genuine assessment — the actual smart contract risk could be higher or lower, and investors should independently verify contract safety before interacting with this token.

Regulatory
High

The token's name explicitly references a registered US ETF product (SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF) managed by State Street Global Advisors. Using the name and branding of a regulated financial product in a tokenized wrapper raises significant regulatory risk, including potential securities law implications and the possibility of enforcement action or rebranding that could destroy token value.

Key Risks

  • •Regulatory risk is elevated: the token name directly references a registered US ETF (SPDR S&P 500), which could attract SEC or other regulatory scrutiny regarding unauthorized use of a regulated product's branding or potential securities law violations
  • •Liquidity collapse risk: with only $37,543 in the Uniswap pool and no verified liquidity lock data, a liquidity removal event would make the token untradeable and effectively worthless for remaining holders
  • •The 93% drawdown from the $1,339.83 historical high to the current $94.05 suggests the token has already experienced a near-total value destruction event, and the current recovery may be a dead-cat bounce rather than a genuine reversal

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token is 7 months old with 1,004 holders and active social links, suggesting it has not been abandoned and retains a minimal community
  • •The consistent 14-day ascending daily close pattern and positive 7-day trend (+3.3%) provide a short-term technical floor above the $85.27 major support

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand the risks of extremely low-liquidity tokens, unverified project claims, regulatory uncertainty, and severe historical drawdowns. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable value, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment.

wtSPYM is a high-risk speculative token with an unverified TradFi branding claim, critically thin liquidity, and a 93% drawdown from its historical high. The short-term technical picture is modestly constructive with 14 days of rising closes, but the medium-term structural backdrop is deeply bearish and the regulatory risk from the ETF name reference is a material overhang.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The token successfully breaks above the $95.56 immediate resistance on sustained volume, attracts new liquidity to the Uniswap pool, and the project substantiates its claimed connection to S&P 500 exposure — driving a re-rating toward higher historical price levels.

  • +A confirmed break above $95.56 resistance with follow-through volume would validate the current ascending daily close pattern
  • +Liquidity additions to the pool would reduce slippage risk and enable larger participants to enter positions
Base Case

The token continues to trade in a narrow range between $85.27 and $95.56, with sporadic volume spikes driven by speculative retail activity, while the project remains unverified and liquidity stays thin — resulting in gradual value erosion over the medium term.

  • •No significant liquidity additions or removals occur in the near term
  • •The project does not provide verifiable documentation of its claimed ETF connection, maintaining the current uncertainty
Bear Case
High

Regulatory scrutiny of the ETF branding, a liquidity removal event, or a large holder exit through the shallow pool triggers a rapid price collapse back toward or below the $85.27 major support, potentially resulting in near-total loss of value for remaining holders.

  • -The $37,543 liquidity pool is insufficient to absorb any meaningful sell pressure, making a liquidity crisis the most likely path to value destruction
  • -The unverified ETF branding creates regulatory overhang that could force a project shutdown or rebrand at any time

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 5, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$94.0883650063
Market Cap$31.4K
24h Volume$482.2K
Holders1,004
Liquidity$37.5K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, and acquisition-method data were unavailable for this chain's data provider — holder analysis is limited to aggregate count and top-10 concentration only
  • •Whale transaction data and smart-money cohort data were unavailable — large holder behavior and profitable trader positioning cannot be assessed
  • •Contract-security data (audit status, honeypot checks, vulnerability scoring) was unavailable for this chain's data provider — smart contract risk is an uninformed default
  • •90-day price trend data was unavailable, limiting the medium-term technical analysis to the 30-day and 7-day windows
  • •No project description or verified documentation is available, making fundamental analysis of the token's claimed use case impossible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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