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Tolly Price Today & AI Analysis

TOLLY
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 17, 2026

$0.061439

+904.58%24h
LiveContract:0x19ff725c5364578882d01cb754ab59c0fc531b4bChain:BaseHolders:23.1KMarket cap:$143.89KLiquidity:$46.14K

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Ask Unhosted AI about TOLLY

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 17, 2026, 01:17 AM UTC
Market Cap

$143.89K

24h Volume

$206.47K

Liquidity

$46.14K

FDV

—

Holders

23.1K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Tolly (TOLLY) is a Base-chain token deployed only 10 hours ago, already trading on Uniswap with $46,140 in liquidity and a $143,888 fully diluted valuation. It has attracted 23,123 holders and $206K in 24h trading volume, but its price history consists of just two daily candles showing a pullback from a launch-day high of $1.697e-7 to $1.439e-7. There is no project description, no social presence, no security audit data, and no verifiable holder-level or deployer forensics, making this a purely speculative, data-thin asset at this stage.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 17, 2026, 01:17 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Extremely young contract (10 hours old) with no established price trend
Unusually large holder count (23,123) for such a young token, suggesting rapid organic or incentivized distribution
No project description, category, or social links provided, leaving fundamentals entirely unverifiable

Tolly AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

After spiking from a period low of $1.432e-8 to a high of $1.697e-7, TOLLY's two available daily closes fell from $1.572e-7 to $1.439e-7 (about -8.5%), and the 1-hour change of -14.5% shows the post-launch pump losing steam despite a 51% 4-hour spike. Price still sits at 83% of its brief trading range, leaving room for further mean reversion toward the lower part of that range.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

With the contract only 10 hours old, there is no 7d/30d/90d trend data to anchor a medium-term directional call. Outcomes over the next 30-90 days will hinge almost entirely on whether initial holder and volume momentum persists once the launch-day novelty fades.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy volume ($118,940) exceeds sell volume ($87,527), a 57.6%/42.4% split indicating net demand pressure
  • +Unique buyers (109) outnumber unique sellers (93) over 24h, suggesting broader accumulation interest
  • +23,123 holders have already accumulated within 10 hours of launch, pointing to strong initial viral distribution
Bearish Factors
  • -The two available daily closes fell from $1.572e-7 to $1.439e-7 (~-8.5%), pulling back from the period high of $1.697e-7
  • -1-hour price change of -14.5% follows a +51% 4-hour spike, a fade pattern typical of meme-coin launches rolling over
  • -Total liquidity of $46,140 against a $143,888 market cap leaves the token vulnerable to sharp slippage on moderate trade sizes
  • -Top 10 holders control 56.7% of supply in a token only 10 hours old, with no protocol/staking infrastructure yet in existence to explain such concentration

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TOLLY call history

Full track record →
Sep 17bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x19ff...1b4b
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extremely short track record (10 hours old) means there is no reliable trend history to base a directional thesis on
•Thin $46,140 liquidity pool creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price swings from moderate-sized trades
•56.7% of supply concentrated in the top 10 holders with no way to verify whether these are individual insiders or benign contracts
•No security audit, contract verification status, or deployer history is available, leaving smart-contract risk fully unknown

Trading Insight

bullish

24h trading shows buy volume ($118,940) outweighing sell volume ($87,527), a mild net-demand tilt of about 15 points on a -100/100 scale. Transaction counts are fairly balanced (117 buys vs 96 sells) with a healthy number of distinct participants (109 buyers, 93 sellers), suggesting broad-based rather than single-wallet activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

Short-term price action shows a pullback: the two available daily closes fell roughly 8.5% and the 1-hour change is -14.5% despite a 51% 4-hour spike, suggesting the initial launch pump is rolling over. Medium-term trend cannot be assessed since no 7d/30d/90d data exists yet.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Price still sits at 83% of its brief $1.432e-8-$1.697e-7 range even after the recent pullback, indicating the token remains extended relative to its short trading history despite fading short-term momentum.

Volume Analysis

Buy 57.6%Sell 42.4%

Volume Trend: Stable

24h volume is split 57.6% buys ($118,940) to 42.4% sells ($87,527) across 213 total trades, a moderate net-buy skew. No multi-day volume series exists to confirm whether this represents an increasing or decreasing trend.

Recent Price Action

TOLLY surged from a low of $1.432e-8 to a high of $1.697e-7 (roughly 12x) shortly after launch, then pulled back to the current $1.439e-7, with the most recent daily close down ~8.5% from the prior one and the 1-hour change at -14.5%.

This is a classic post-launch parabolic-spike-then-fade pattern common to new meme tokens, where early momentum buyers exit into initial demand, often followed by continued volatility rather than a stable trend.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

The token moved from a low of $1.432e-8 to a high of $1.697e-7 within its short trading history (roughly 12x), with a -14.5% 1-hour swing and +51% 4-hour swing showing continued extreme volatility.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $46,140 is small in absolute terms relative to the $143,888 market cap, meaning trades of even moderate size could cause significant price slippage.

Concentration
High

Top 10 holders control 56.7% of supply in a contract only 10 hours old, and with no staking/protocol infrastructure likely to exist yet, this concentration probably reflects individual or team wallets rather than benign contracts; per-wallet classification is unavailable to confirm either way.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security or audit data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than a genuine risk assessment.

Regulatory
Low

As an apparently unclassified/uncategorized token with no stated financial use case, it does not exhibit obvious characteristics that would attract near-term regulatory scrutiny, though this could change if utility or marketing claims emerge.

Key Risks

  • •Extremely short track record (10 hours old) means there is no reliable trend history to base a directional thesis on
  • •Thin $46,140 liquidity pool creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price swings from moderate-sized trades
  • •56.7% of supply concentrated in the top 10 holders with no way to verify whether these are individual insiders or benign contracts
  • •No security audit, contract verification status, or deployer history is available, leaving smart-contract risk fully unknown
  • •Recent price action shows the initial launch pump fading (-8.5% across the two available daily closes, -14.5% over the last hour)

Mitigating Factors

  • •24h buy volume ($118,940) exceeds sell volume ($87,527), and unique buyers (109) exceed unique sellers (93), indicating broad participation rather than one-sided selling
  • •23,123 holders already onboarded suggests the token has organically or virally attracted a wide user base rather than being confined to a handful of wallets

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total-loss scenarios; not appropriate for conservative investors or anyone seeking capital preservation.

Tolly is a 10-hour-old Base token showing early viral holder growth and net-positive buy pressure, but with a thin liquidity base, an already-fading price spike, and no verifiable fundamentals, security data, or social presence. Any thesis here is inherently speculative and time-sensitive.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

If buy-side momentum (57.6% of 24h volume) and holder growth continue, the token could retest or exceed its recent high of $1.697e-7 on renewed speculative interest.

  • +Sustained net-buy pressure and growing unique buyer count
  • +Viral holder growth continuing to attract new speculative capital
Base Case

Given the extreme newness and lack of multi-day trend data, the most likely near-term path is continued high volatility in both directions without a clear sustained trend, driven primarily by speculative flow rather than fundamentals.

  • •No new liquidity or fundamental catalysts emerge in the immediate term
  • •Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders
Bear Case
Medium

The initial launch pump continues to fade — consistent with the -8.5% decline across the two available daily closes and the -14.5% 1-hour move — leading to a deeper retracement toward the lower end of the $1.432e-8-$1.697e-7 range, exacerbated by thin liquidity.

  • -Concentrated top-10 holder base (56.7%) potentially exiting positions
  • -Thin $46,140 liquidity amplifying any sell-side pressure into larger price drops

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 17, 2026, 01:17 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$1.43887556221e-7
Market Cap$143.9K
24h Volume$206.5K
Holders23,123
Liquidity$46.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Token is only 10 hours old, providing no 7d/30d/90d trend history to validate directional calls
  • •Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • •No individual holder or deployer forensics could be inspected, limiting concentration and insider-risk analysis to aggregate figures only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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