GAI

GraphAI Price Today & AI Analysis

GAIBaseAnalysis as of Aug 12, 2026

Price

$0.003590

-1.91% 24h

Contract

Live
0x3489256febdb1dc930dc3743617ad387cd6d3568

Chain

Base

Holders

6.8K

Market cap

$359.01K

Liquidity

$115.37K

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GraphAI: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-12 10:30 UTC

Holder addresses

6,796

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$196,439.30
How concentrated is GraphAI ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,796 addresses (2026-08-12 10:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling GraphAI?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is GraphAI liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $196,439.30. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 12, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC

Market Cap

$161.92K

24h Volume

$5.90K

Liquidity

$196.44K

FDV

—

Holders

6,796

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

GraphAI (GAI) is a 12.9-month-old DePIN/AI-infrastructure token on Base (chain 0x2105), trading at $0.003665 with a market cap of ~$162K and FDV of ~$366K. The token has delivered a steady +20% gain over both 30 and 90 days, placing it at 90% of its 90-day range high, and its holder concentration risk is genuinely low because the dominant top-10 positions are protocol and contract addresses rather than dumpable individual wallets. However, the project remains micro-cap with very thin daily trading activity (~$5,900 volume, 18 unique traders in 24h), meaning price discovery is fragile and liquidity constraints are a material concern for any position of meaningful size. Smart money participation is notable, with six tracked wallets having realised over $699K in aggregate profits, which adds a layer of informed-buyer credibility to the uptrend.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 12, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Genuine low dumpable-supply risk (5.1%) despite a 65% top-10 concentration figure, because the dominant holders are protocol/contract addresses
  • Verified smart money participation with six wallets realising $699K+ in aggregate profits, including a +1,019% return across 47 trades
  • Positioned at the intersection of DePIN infrastructure and AI-agent automation — a dual-narrative exposure that is currently attracting sector capital

GraphAI AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

GAI has posted a +8.1% gain over the past 7 days and currently sits at 90% of its 90-day range high, signalling sustained buying pressure rather than a one-off spike. The recent daily close sequence shows a clear staircase pattern from $0.003233 to $0.003665, with each pullback finding higher lows. Immediate resistance at $0.003732 is the next test; a clean break would open the door to the 90-day high at $0.003865.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day (+20.1%) and 90-day (+20.6%) gains are nearly identical, indicating a steady, non-parabolic uptrend rather than a pump-and-dump dynamic. With the token now 12.9 months old and still holding above its mid-range, the structural trend favours continuation if macro conditions remain supportive. A breakout above the $0.003865 major resistance would represent a new 90-day high and could attract fresh momentum buyers.

Bullish Factors

  • Consistent uptrend across all measured windows: +8.1% (7d), +20.1% (30d), +20.6% (90d), with price at 90% of the 90-day range high
  • Daily close sequence shows higher lows over the past 14 sessions, from $0.003233 to $0.003665, confirming structural accumulation
  • Dumpable supply is only 5.1% of total — the two individual whale wallets (1.33% and 1.00%) represent minimal sell-side overhang
  • Smart money presence is strong: six tracked traders have collectively realised over $699,000 in profits on GAI, with one wallet achieving +1,019% returns across 47 trades, signalling informed, repeat participation
  • Top-10 concentration is dominated by protocol/contract addresses (8 of 10 slots, ~57% of supply) that are non-dumpable, meaning the apparent concentration does not translate into sell pressure

Bearish Factors

  • 24-hour combined trading volume of only ~$5,900 across just 18 unique traders is extremely thin, making the price highly susceptible to manipulation by even small sell orders
  • Liquidity pool of $196,439 against a market cap of $161,922 is a reasonable ratio, but the shallow daily volume means large exits would incur significant slippage
  • Holder growth is negligible: only 24 net new holders over 7 days (+0.35%) and 14 over 30 days (+0.21%), indicating the project is not attracting meaningful new participants
  • Security score of 61/100 is below the threshold most institutional or risk-aware participants require, limiting the addressable buyer pool
  • Both individual whale wallets (0xa3bbf0 and 0x4a5258) show $0 realised PnL across 3 and 9 trades respectively, suggesting they are sitting on unrealised positions that could become sell pressure if sentiment shifts

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

GAI call history

Full track record →

Aug 12bullish
24h-3.4%
7d—
30d+8.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x3489...3568
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme illiquidity: daily volume of ~$5,900 means the token is effectively untradeable at any meaningful position size without significant market impact, and a single motivated seller could break the uptrend
  • Stagnant holder growth (24 new holders in 7 days, 14 in 30 days) suggests the project is not gaining new users, which is a fundamental concern for a utility token that requires network effects to deliver value
  • Both individual whale wallets are deeply underwater on their average cost basis ($0.069 and $0.034 vs current $0.003665), creating latent sell pressure if either wallet decides to cut losses — though their combined 2.33% of supply limits systemic impact

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour buy/sell pressure split of 47.7% buys vs 52.3% sells is essentially balanced, and the $275 net outflow is noise relative to the overall liquidity pool. More telling is the extreme asymmetry between transaction counts (165 buys vs 10 sells) and unique participants (11 buyers vs 7 sellers), which suggests a small number of sellers are executing larger individual orders while buyers are accumulating in smaller increments.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The 14-session daily close sequence from $0.003382 to $0.003665 shows a clear pattern of higher lows and higher closes, with only minor retracements along the way. The 7-day gain of +8.1% confirms the short-term momentum, while the near-identical 30-day (+20.1%) and 90-day (+20.6%) returns indicate the uptrend has been steady and consistent rather than driven by a single spike. Price sitting at 90% of the 90-day range high is a technically constructive position.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With price at 90% of the 90-day range and daily volatility of 4.8%, the token is approaching but has not yet reached overbought territory. The recent session on July 13 printed a high of $0.003732 (the immediate resistance) before pulling back to close at $0.003665, suggesting some selling pressure at that level. Momentum is positive but not stretched, leaving room for continuation without an immediate mean-reversion risk.

Volume Analysis

Buy

47.7%

Sell

52.3%

Volume Trend

Stable

Daily trading volume of ~$5,900 is consistent with the micro-cap nature of this token but is insufficient to confirm the price uptrend with high conviction. The 47.7%/52.3% buy/sell volume split is essentially balanced, and the dominance of a single wallet in recent trades means volume figures should be interpreted cautiously as a trend signal.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a controlled staircase uptrend: a base around $0.003233-$0.003338, a consolidation phase around $0.003390-$0.003485, then a breakout leg to $0.003553-$0.003732, followed by a mild pullback to $0.003665. The July 13 session printed the highest close in the dataset at $0.003732 before the most recent session closed slightly lower.

This pattern of higher lows with a brief consolidation after each leg higher is characteristic of organic accumulation in a low-liquidity environment. The pullback from $0.003732 to $0.003665 is minor (1.8%) and does not break the uptrend structure. A sustained close above $0.003732 would confirm the next leg toward the $0.003865 major resistance.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.003558

Major support

$0.001918

Immediate resistance

$0.003732

Major resistance

$0.003865

The immediate support at $0.003558 corresponds to a recent swing low and represents the first line of defence in any pullback — a break below this level would suggest the current uptrend leg is exhausted. Major support at $0.001918 is the 90-day range low and would only be tested in a severe drawdown scenario. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.003732 is the most recent swing high and the level that capped the July 13 session; a confirmed break above it targets the 90-day range high at $0.003865, which is the key bull-case target.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 4.8% (standard deviation) implies annualised volatility of roughly 90%+, which is high even by crypto standards. The micro-cap size means individual trades can move the price materially, amplifying both upside and downside moves.

  • LiquidityHigh

    With only ~$5,900 in daily trading volume against $196,439 in pool liquidity, the effective market depth for any position above a few hundred dollars is limited. Exiting a position of $5,000+ would likely require multiple sessions and incur meaningful slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    The RWA and AI-agent narrative intersects with securities regulation in multiple jurisdictions — tokenized real estate, commodities, and financial instruments are areas of active regulatory scrutiny. As the project scales, compliance requirements could impose operational constraints.

Key Risks

  • Extreme illiquidity: daily volume of ~$5,900 means the token is effectively untradeable at any meaningful position size without significant market impact, and a single motivated seller could break the uptrend
  • Stagnant holder growth (24 new holders in 7 days, 14 in 30 days) suggests the project is not gaining new users, which is a fundamental concern for a utility token that requires network effects to deliver value
  • Both individual whale wallets are deeply underwater on their average cost basis ($0.069 and $0.034 vs current $0.003665), creating latent sell pressure if either wallet decides to cut losses — though their combined 2.33% of supply limits systemic impact

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply of only 5.1% means the realistic sell-side overhang from individual wallets is minimal, reducing the risk of a coordinated dump
  • Smart money participation with $699K+ in aggregate realised profits across six wallets indicates informed, repeat buyers who have validated the token's trading thesis over multiple cycles

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with a small position size relative to their portfolio, who understand micro-cap illiquidity and can withstand drawdowns of 50%+ without being forced to sell. It is not appropriate for investors who require liquidity, have short time horizons, or are allocating more than speculative capital.

GAI presents a speculative opportunity at the intersection of DePIN infrastructure and AI-agent automation, with a technically constructive uptrend (+20% over 90 days) and genuine smart money validation. The core risk is that the project remains micro-cap with near-zero holder growth and extremely thin liquidity, meaning the thesis depends heavily on the AI/RWA narrative attracting new capital rather than on demonstrated product traction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The AI-agent and RWA tokenization narratives accelerate in H2 2025, driving sector rotation into infrastructure tokens. GAI breaks above the $0.003865 major resistance, establishing a new 90-day high and attracting momentum buyers. Smart money wallets that have already realised $699K+ in profits continue to cycle back in, and the Gate.io listing drives incremental retail discovery. Price could test the $0.006-$0.008 range if the breakout is sustained.

  • Sustained AI-agent and RWA sector momentum driving capital into DePIN infrastructure tokens
  • Breakout above $0.003865 triggering momentum-driven inflows from technical traders

Base Case

GAI consolidates in the $0.003200-$0.003865 range over the next 30-90 days, with the uptrend intact but lacking the volume expansion needed for a decisive breakout. Smart money continues to trade the range, holder count grows slowly, and the token maintains its position as a niche DePIN/AI infrastructure play awaiting a broader narrative catalyst.

  • Daily trading volume remains in the $3,000-$10,000 range without a significant new catalyst or exchange listing
  • The AI-agent and RWA narratives remain active but do not produce a sector-wide breakout that would drive new capital into micro-cap infrastructure tokens

Bear Case

Medium probability

Holder growth remains flat, daily volume fails to expand, and the dominant trading wallet (0x1708b7) completes its distribution cycle. The two underwater individual whales decide to exit, adding 2.33% of supply to the sell side. Price breaks below immediate support at $0.003558 and retraces toward the mid-range around $0.002800-$0.003000, erasing the recent 90-day gains.

  • Continued failure to attract new holders, leading to a liquidity vacuum where even small sell orders drive disproportionate price declines
  • Underwater whale wallets (avg cost $0.034-$0.069) capitulating and selling into thin liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 12, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-12 10:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.003664593071707177

Market Cap

$161.9K

24h Volume

$5.9K

Holders

6,796

Liquidity

$196,439.30

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome DEX, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)90-day daily OHLC price history with computed swing-high/low key levelsSmart money realised PnL tracking (six wallets, real on-chain data)Notable recent trade data (real on-chain swaps)Whale wallet intel (first-active dates, average buy prices, realised PnL)Smart contract security scoring and verification status

Limitations

  • Daily trading volume is so thin (~$5,900) that price levels and trend signals are less statistically reliable than they would be for higher-liquidity tokens — a single large trade could invalidate short-term technical levels
  • Holder growth data reflects net changes and does not distinguish between new organic buyers and wallet reshuffling by existing holders, potentially overstating or understating genuine community growth
  • No public third-party audit report was available to explain the specific deductions in the 61/100 security score, limiting the precision of the smart contract risk assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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