Research
We audit our own systems and publish what we find — including the parts that are unflattering — with the method and the raw data attached. Every number traces to a source quote or an exchange candle; datasets are CC BY 4.0, so cite freely with a link.
The honeypot a test sell can’t catch: 45 of 46 buyers frozen
Tokens from one Ethereum launch group pass a test sell. Then, seconds after a real buy, the group puts the buyer’s wallet on the token’s blacklist: it can still buy, never sell. We traced all 21 launches from September to November block by block.
Best rug checkers in 2026: four tools tested on the same 122 tokens
RugCheck, GoPlus, Honeypot.is and our own checker on 24 long-lived tokens and 98 launched in the previous two days. 38 new tokens got a danger rating from at least one tool, and on 14 of those another tool said OK. The long-lived tokens drew 4 false alarms. Check two.
1,581 crypto predictions from YouTube, scored against the market
Bullish calls — 84% of everything said — were made at worse moments than random dates on the same assets. The one stable split: people with positions scored at baseline; people with theses scored reliably below it.
Anatomy of a memecoin pump: early wallets vs chasers
The same tokens paid wallets copied ≤1h behind the earliest buyers a median +62% in 24 hours — and cost buyers of the pump’s close a median −18%. The side of the trade is decided by when you act, not what you pick.
The live experiment: our own predictions, scored in public
The same scoring rules these studies apply to others run continuously against our own AI: every directional call is written to an append-only log before the outcome is known, then scored at 24h, 7d and 30d. Hits and misses both stay on the board.
See the track record