LARPCHECK

Larpcheck Price Today & AI Analysis

LARPCHECKSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 12, 2026

Price

$0.000290

+1024.59% 24h

Contract

Live
t9bnCGiZVUYsRKvx4d5dPcoDCSyuBM9C33ZNGNULARP

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,118

Market cap

$276,081

At a $1M market cap, $LARPCHECK would be $0.001050 (3.62x from today’s price)

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Larpcheck: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-12 03:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,118

Top 10 supply share

24.45%

Reported liquidity

$25,287.00
How concentrated is Larpcheck ownership?
As of 2026-10-12 03:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 24.45% of supply. It reports 1,118 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Larpcheck?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-12 03:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $371,756.00 in buys and $347,178.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Larpcheck liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +149.52%, from $10,221.36 (2026-10-11 04:00 UTC) to $25,504.72 (2026-10-12 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-12 03:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-11 04:00 UTC$10,221.36
2026-10-11 05:00 UTC$11,157.84
2026-10-11 06:00 UTC$9,114.96
2026-10-11 07:00 UTC$11,269.65
2026-10-11 08:00 UTC$11,854.02
2026-10-11 09:00 UTC$12,161.03
2026-10-11 10:00 UTC$10,424.66
2026-10-11 11:00 UTC$11,018.75
2026-10-11 12:00 UTC$10,762.56
2026-10-11 13:00 UTC$9,729.58
2026-10-11 14:00 UTC$7,584.65
2026-10-11 15:00 UTC$9,173.37
2026-10-11 16:00 UTC$10,434.06
2026-10-11 17:00 UTC$9,874.69
2026-10-11 18:00 UTC$9,280.78
2026-10-11 19:00 UTC$10,786.74
2026-10-11 20:00 UTC$11,572.16
2026-10-11 21:00 UTC$9,805.39
2026-10-11 22:00 UTC$9,383.78
2026-10-11 23:00 UTC$10,542.39
2026-10-12 00:00 UTC$11,185.37
2026-10-12 01:00 UTC$20,259.38
2026-10-12 02:00 UTC$28,868.70
2026-10-12 03:00 UTC$25,504.72

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 12, 03:16 AM UTC

FDV

$276,081

Liquidity

$25,287.00

Holders

1,118

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Larpcheck (LARPCHECK) is a PumpSwap token trading at about $0.00029 with a ~$276K FDV and only ~$25.3K liquidity. It rose 1024.6% in 24h, mostly in one parabolic burst at 01:00-03:00 UTC on 2026-10-12, and is already pulling back (-25.3% 1h, -12.4% 5m). Liquidity is very thin against the FDV, and authority and sniper data are missing.

Key points

  • Parabolic spike: hourly close went from $0.0000593 to $0.000377 in two candles, with a high of $0.000607
  • Liquidity of $25.29K is about 9% of the $276K FDV
  • Top-10 holders at 24.4% across 1,118 holder addresses
  • Mint/freeze authority and sniper data unavailable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-72 hours

bearish

After a vertical move and a -25% 1h reversal, mean reversion toward the prior $0.00005-0.00007 range is plausible. Another spike is also possible given the volatility.

Target low

$0.00006

Target high

$0.00040

Support

$0.00027, $0.00019, $0.00006

Resistance

$0.00039, $0.00060

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Outcome is highly uncertain. Thin liquidity and a spike-driven price make a durable trend hard to infer from this data.

Catalysts

  • Continued social or marketing attention
  • Liquidity additions
  • Fading volume after the spike

Bullish factors

  • Buy pressure 51.7% vs 48.3% sell
  • 2,208 buyers vs 1,668 sellers
  • Price still about 5x the pre-spike level
  • Social links present

Bearish factors

  • Price fell from the $0.000607 high to $0.00029 within hours
  • -25.3% in 1h and -12.4% in 5m
  • Liquidity only $25.29K
  • Authority status unknown

Confidence: low. Only 24 hourly candles, one outlier spike, no authority or sniper data, and very thin liquidity.

LARPCHECK call history

Full track record →

Oct 12bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
t9bnCG...LARP
Total Supply
952,830,293.5

Key Risks

  • Extreme volatility and a possible full retracement
  • Thin liquidity and high slippage
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority
  • No sniper or holder history data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

For 21 hours the price ranged roughly $0.000025-$0.000089 with choppy, overlapping candles. Candle 22 broke out (high $0.000236), and candle 23 reached $0.000607 on $433K volume. Candle 24 was a large red rejection that closed at $0.000290.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

The 24h view is strongly up because of the breakout. The latest candle and the 1h/5m declines show a short-term pullback.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000275

Major support

$0.0000593

Immediate resistance

$0.000386

Major resistance

$0.000607

Immediate support is the low of the last candle. The pre-breakout range top near $0.00008 is a gap-fill zone if the spike fully unwinds.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout with volume climax
  • Long upper wick and red rejection candle after the peak
  • Prior 21 hours of range-bound consolidation

Liquidity

Liquidity

$25,287.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

24h volume of about $719K is roughly 28x liquidity. That means heavy churn on a thin pool. There were 5,589 buys and 3,986 sells. Net flow is about +$24.6K, which is small compared with the volume. Large trades will cause significant slippage.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

952,830,293.5

FDV

$276,081

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +1024% in 24h with a 10x spike in about 2 hours and a -25% 1h reversal.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $25.29K liquidity against a $276K FDV and about $719K 24h volume.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 24.45%. Top-100 and wallet classification data are unavailable, so the picture is incomplete.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme volatility and a possible full retracement
  • Thin liquidity and high slippage
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority
  • No sniper or holder history data
  • Description is empty and contract verification is unknown

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 share of 24.45% is moderate
  • Balanced buy/sell flow
  • Active trading from thousands of wallets

Suitable for

Only for speculative traders who accept total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

This is a high-risk momentum trade that follows a speculative spike. The data does not support a confident view.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum resumes and liquidity grows, retesting the $0.0006 high.

  • Renewed buy volume
  • Liquidity additions
  • Social attention

Base Case

Volatile pullback and chop, with the price settling between $0.0001 and $0.0003.

  • Volume keeps declining from the peak
  • No major liquidity change
  • Holders stay near current levels

Bear Case

High probability

The spike fully unwinds toward $0.00005-0.00008 as liquidity is thin and momentum has turned.

  • -25% 1h reversal
  • Profit-taking after a 10x move
  • Thin liquidity

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 12, 03:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-12 03:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Hourly OHLC candles (24)
  • Trading analytics
  • Codex holder aggregates

Limitations

  • No sniper data
  • No mint/freeze authority data
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Only 24 hourly candles
  • Top-100 concentration unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Larpcheck ownership?

As of 2026-10-12 03:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 24.45% of supply. It reports 1,118 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Larpcheck?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-12 03:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $371,756.00 in buys and $347,178.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Larpcheck liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +149.52%, from $10,221.36 (2026-10-11 04:00 UTC) to $25,504.72 (2026-10-12 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Larpcheck (LARPCHECK)?

After a vertical move and a -25% 1h reversal, mean reversion toward the prior $0.00005-0.00007 range is plausible. Another spike is also possible given the volatility. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-72 hours), with a target range of $0.00006 to $0.00040.

Is LARPCHECK a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Only for speculative traders who accept total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

What are the key risks of holding LARPCHECK?

Extreme volatility and a possible full retracement • Thin liquidity and high slippage • Unknown mint/freeze authority

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