ADA Price Today & AI Analysis

ADASolanaAnalysis as of Apr 30, 2026

$0.000199

-8.55% 24h

Contract

Live

skDGuSDyKYGbYTWnMCNcPeDd4vHUxAsMNVVxxUfpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,996

Market cap

$199,421

At a $1M market cap, $ADA would be $0.001000 (5.01x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ADA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 28

Watch insiders

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, but wallets from the launch still hold 51% of the supply.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Launch wallets hold

51%168 insiders still holding

Wallets linked to the creator hold a large share.

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about ADA

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

More tokens on Solana

CHARIZARDCharizard$0.0₄2525+12.2%MC $20.1K

ChonkethaChonketha the Wet Beaver$0.001542+3.3%MC $1.54M

INURANUSUraniumInUrAnus$0.0₄1149-24.5%MC $11.5K

dev/nulldev/null$0.0₄1171-14.4%MC $10.9K

IncognitoIncognito69420$0.0₄1761-3.2%MC $17.5K

FrongusFrongus$0.000209+404.5%MC $201.2K

ADA: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-30 20:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,289

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$77,653.61

How concentrated is ADA ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,289 addresses (2026-04-30 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ADA?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ADA liquidity falling?: As of 2026-04-30 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $77,653.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-30 20:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 30, 08:17 PM UTC

FDV

$465,460

Liquidity

$77,653.61

Holders

1,289

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ADA (mint: skDGuSDyKYGbYTWnMCNcPeDd4vHUxAsMNVVxxUfpump) is a Solana-based meme/pump token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~999.85M tokens and a current price of ~$0.000466. The token has experienced an extraordinary 821% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (85.8% sell volume), rapidly declining holders in the last hour (-55, -4.3%), and very shallow liquidity ($77.65K). The token shares its ticker with Cardano's ADA, which may attract confused buyers. Overall risk is very high.

Key points

821%+ 24h price pump on PumpSwap — extreme volatility event
Zero snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — no early sniper concentration risk
Overwhelming sell pressure: 85.8% of 24h volume is sells ($575.47K vs $94.92K buys)
Top 10 holders control 44.39% of supply; top 100 control 84.53% — highly concentrated
Ticker 'ADA' mimics Cardano — potential confusion-driven buy interest

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in sharp short-term decline after its pump peak. The 5m change is -8.59% and 1h change is -10.38%, indicating the pump is unwinding rapidly. Sell pressure at 85.8% of volume and 1,505 unique sellers vs 233 buyers confirm distribution is dominant. Price is likely to retrace significantly toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000049–$0.000052) unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low

$0.000040

Target high

$0.000600

Support: $0.000048 (pre-pump base, multiple candle lows), $0.000040 (psychological floor)
Resistance: $0.000466 (current price / pump high zone), $0.000526 (candle [7] high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or viral social momentum, the token is likely to retrace toward its pre-pump price range of $0.000047–$0.000052. The holder base was essentially flat for 30 days prior to the pump (ranging 891–935), suggesting no organic growth trend. Liquidity is very shallow at $77.65K, making any recovery fragile.

Catalysts

Renewed social media attention leveraging the 'ADA' ticker confusion
Broader Solana meme coin market rally
Whale accumulation at lower price levels
Listing on additional DEXes or aggregators

Bullish factors

821% 24h price surge demonstrates explosive momentum potential
Zero sniper concentration — no early whale dump overhang from snipers
Ticker 'ADA' may attract confused or speculative buyers
24h holder count grew +364 (+28%) suggesting new entrant interest
Token is not flagged as spam

Bearish factors

85.8% sell volume ($575.47K sells vs $94.92K buys) — heavy distribution
Holders dropped -55 (-4.3%) in the last hour — rapid exit
Liquidity is only $77.65K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
Top 10 hold 44.39%, top 100 hold 84.53% — extreme concentration
No verified contract, no description, mutable=false but update authority unknown
Pre-pump holder base was flat/declining for 30 days — no organic growth
Price already -10.38% in last hour — pump unwinding in real time

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (821% 24h move), very shallow liquidity, and the speculative meme nature of the token. OHLC data shows anomalous candle structures (Open = High in most candles), and the 24h price change magnitude makes reliable price targeting extremely difficult. The token's behavior is driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: skDGuS...pump
Total Supply: 999,853,888.26

Key Risks

Top whale holds 20.21% of supply — single wallet dump could be catastrophic
85.8% sell pressure with only $77.65K liquidity — price collapse risk is immediate
Holder count already dropping -55 (-4.3%) in the last hour post-pump
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 14 hourly OHLC candles reveal a highly unusual structure: the vast majority of candles (candles 3–6, 8–10, 12, 14) show Open = High = Low = Close, indicating single-price prints with negligible volume (often <100 USD). This is characteristic of extremely illiquid trading with sporadic single transactions. Candle [1] (20:00 UTC) shows a dramatic anomaly: O=$0.0000490, H=$0.0000490, L=$0.000433 — the Low is actually HIGHER than the Open/Close in absolute terms, suggesting a data inversion or the candle captured the pump spike. Candle [2] (19:00 UTC) similarly shows L=$0.000220 with volume of $671K — this is the pump candle. Candles [7] and [11] show genuine wicks with H > O, indicating minor upward price discovery. The dominant pattern is a sharp pump followed by immediate distribution.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is clearly bearish — price is -10.38% in the last hour and -8.59% in the last 5 minutes after the pump peak. Medium-term (pre-pump) the token was in a tight sideways range between ~$0.0000476 and $0.0000526, with no meaningful directional trend over the prior 30 days.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

14%

Sell

86%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000219 (candle [2] low / mid-pump level)

Major support

$0.000048 (pre-pump base — multiple candles clustered here)

Immediate resistance

$0.000466 (current price, near pump high zone)

Major resistance

$0.000526 (candle [7] high — highest confirmed wick)

The pre-pump price range of $0.0000476–$0.0000526 represents the major support zone where the token traded for weeks. The pump high area near $0.000433–$0.000466 now acts as resistance. The mid-pump level around $0.000219 (candle [2] low) is an intermediate support if selling continues.

Notable patterns

Single-price doji candles dominating pre-pump period — extreme illiquidity
Volume spike-and-fade: $671K pump candle followed by rapid volume collapse
Open = High in most candles — sellers immediately absorbing any upward movement
Anomalous candle [1]: L > O/C suggesting data inversion or pump artifact
No higher highs pattern pre-pump — flat base for 30+ days before explosive move

Liquidity

$77,653.61

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $77.65K is extremely shallow relative to the 24h sell volume of $575.47K — sellers have moved ~7.4x the available liquidity in a single day, which explains the extreme price volatility. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 85.8% sell pressure with 1,505 unique sellers vs only 233 unique buyers. The ratio of sells to buys (3,444 vs 659 transactions) confirms broad-based distribution. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). Slippage risk is high — any meaningful position exit will move the price significantly given the shallow $77.65K liquidity pool. The FDV of $645.42K vs liquidity of $77.65K gives a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~12%, which is low but not atypical for new pump tokens. The trading pair is on PumpSwap (rSyt64cs33cvfqXQ2KvnY13A7isRkkE3DBMUc8T9PL8).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,853,888.26

FDV

$645,420 (per trading analytics) / $465,459.97 (per metadata)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
821% 24h price surge followed by -10.38% in 1h and -8.59% in 5m. Extreme volatility typical of pump-and-dump dynamics. Pre-pump price was ~$0.000049; current price ~$0.000466 represents a 9.5x move that is rapidly unwinding.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity is only $77.65K. Sell volume in 24h ($575.47K) is 7.4x the available liquidity. Any significant position exit will cause severe slippage. The shallow pool makes price manipulation trivial.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Top whale holds 20.21% of supply — single wallet dump could be catastrophic
85.8% sell pressure with only $77.65K liquidity — price collapse risk is immediate
Holder count already dropping -55 (-4.3%) in the last hour post-pump
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
No project description, no verified contract, no utility disclosed
Ticker 'ADA' mimics Cardano — may attract confused buyers who sell upon realization
Pre-pump holder base was flat for 30 days — no organic community

Mitigating factors

Zero snipers in first 1,000 blocks — no sniper dump overhang
Token not flagged as spam by data provider
Mutable=false — metadata cannot be altered
PumpFun origin typically implies mint authority burned on graduation
24h holder growth of +364 shows some new community interest
Social links present (Twitter, Moralis) — some marketing effort

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

ADA (Solana) is a high-risk, speculative pump token that has experienced an 821% price surge in 24 hours, driven by momentum and possible ticker confusion with Cardano's ADA. The token lacks fundamentals, utility, or verified contracts. The pump is already unwinding with 85.8% sell pressure, -10.38% price decline in the last hour, and -55 holders in the last hour. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven, with the bear case being the most probable near-term outcome.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social media momentum sustains buying interest, ticker confusion drives continued inflows from Cardano ADA searchers, and the token establishes a new higher price floor above $0.000200 with growing liquidity.

Sustained Twitter/social virality leveraging the 'ADA' ticker
Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all pump tokens
Whale accumulation at current levels stabilizing price
New liquidity additions deepening the pool above $200K

Base Case

Price retraces 70–85% from pump peak over 24–72 hours, settling in the $0.000070–$0.000120 range with reduced but non-zero trading activity. A small speculative community remains, with occasional volatility spikes on social mentions.

Sell pressure gradually normalizes as weak hands exit
The top whale does not dump entire position immediately
Liquidity pool remains above $20K preventing complete price collapse
Token retains some speculative interest due to 'ADA' ticker

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fully unwinds to pre-pump levels (~$0.000048–$0.000052), the top whale (20.21%) dumps, liquidity drains, and the token returns to near-zero trading activity with a small residual holder base.

Top whale (20.21%) begins selling into remaining liquidity
Continued 85.8% sell pressure exhausts the $77.65K liquidity pool
Holder exodus accelerates beyond the -55/hour rate seen in the last hour
No new catalysts emerge to sustain momentum
Shallow liquidity amplifies downward price moves

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 30, 08:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-30 20:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (14 hourly candles)
Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, concentration)
Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
Moralis/on-chain data aggregator

Limitations

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot fully assess rug risk
Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
OHLC candle data shows anomalous structures (O=H=L=C in most candles) suggesting data quality issues or extreme illiquidity
Sniper data is absent (0 snipers) — cannot assess early buyer PnL or sell-through rates
No project description or whitepaper — fundamentals cannot be assessed
FDV discrepancy between metadata ($465K) and trading analytics ($645K) suggests price snapshot timing differences
30-day holder history only goes back to March 31 — longer-term trends unavailable
Token is unverified — smart contract code cannot be reviewed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in newly launched pump tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ADA a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, but wallets from the launch still hold 51% of the supply. Wallets linked to the creator hold a large share. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell ADA?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is ADA ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,289 addresses (2026-04-30 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling ADA?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ADA liquidity falling?

As of 2026-04-30 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $77,653.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for ADA (ADA)?

Is ADA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding ADA?

Top whale holds 20.21% of supply — single wallet dump could be catastrophic • 85.8% sell pressure with only $77.65K liquidity — price collapse risk is immediate • Holder count already dropping -55 (-4.3%) in the last hour post-pump