ONDO

Ondo Price Today & AI Analysis

ONDOSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 1, 2026

Price

$0.4894

-3.08% 24h

Contract

Live
ondohH8Vssxiqcy5u6Efi4AYN17KZrzQtv2a91dnrgW

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,658

Market cap

$318,275

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Ondo: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-01 20:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,658

Top 10 supply share

27.22%

Reported liquidity

$8,907.00
How concentrated is Ondo ownership?
As of 2026-10-01 20:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 27.22% of supply. It reports 2,658 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Ondo?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-01 20:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $452,986.00 in buys and $471,968.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Ondo liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -64.64%, from $471,455.67 (2026-10-01 18:00 UTC) to $166,709.94 (2026-10-01 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-01 20:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-01 18:00 UTC$471,455.67
2026-10-01 19:00 UTC$123,669.34
2026-10-01 20:00 UTC$166,709.94

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 1, 08:16 PM UTC

FDV

$318,275

Liquidity

$8,907.00

Holders

2,658

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ONDO on Solana (Raydium CPMM pair) trades at about $0.489, down 3.08% over 24h. Total liquidity is only $8.91K against roughly $925K of 24h volume. Reported FDV is about $318K. That is inconsistent with the 650,286 supply and the price, so the supply or FDV data may be unreliable. Authority, sniper and holder-history data are unavailable.

Key points

  • Liquidity of $8.91K is very thin against $924.96K of 24h volume
  • Volume is roughly 100x liquidity
  • Buy pressure is 49.0% and sell pressure 51.0%
  • Top-10 holders own 27.22% across 2,658 holder addresses
  • FDV ($318.27K) does not reconcile with supply 650,286.6 x $0.489 (about $318K, consistent only if the supply figure is correct) and the token name matches a known project, so impersonation is possible

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-72 hours

bearish

Price is drifting lower, with slightly more sell pressure and tiny liquidity. Moves can be large on small trades.

Target low

$0.43

Target high

$0.52

Support

$0.4844, $0.45

Resistance

$0.4958, $0.5601

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Direction can't be reliably inferred from three hourly candles. Outcomes depend on liquidity growth and on whether the token is authentic.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity additions
  • Verification of the contract
  • Changes in volume

Bullish factors

  • Buyers (2,527) outnumber sellers (2,149)
  • Buys (4,812) outnumber sells (3,764) by count
  • Top-10 share of 27.22% is moderate

Bearish factors

  • Price is down 3.08% over 24h
  • Sell volume ($471.97K) exceeds buy volume ($452.99K)
  • Liquidity is only $8.91K
  • A long upper wick to $0.560 was rejected

Confidence: low. Only three candles are available, liquidity is very thin, and authority and sniper data are missing.

ONDO call history

Full track record →

Oct 1bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
ondohH...nrgW
Total Supply
650,286.61

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity
  • Unverified contract (verification status unknown)
  • Authority status unknown
  • Possible impersonation of a known project name

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles. The first spiked to a high of 0.560 on 11.5M volume and closed at 0.4965. The next two are lower-range, lower-volume candles, closing at 0.4951 and 0.4866.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Closes are lower (0.4965, 0.4951, 0.4866) and highs are lower after the spike. The medium-term trend can't be determined from this sample, so sideways is only a placeholder.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.4844

Major support

$0.45 (round-number estimate)

Immediate resistance

$0.4958

Major resistance

$0.5601

Levels come from the three candles' highs and lows only.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper wick (spike to 0.560, rejected) in the first candle
  • Lower closes across the three candles
  • Fading volume

Liquidity

Liquidity

$8,907.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $8.91K is tiny relative to $924.96K of 24h volume. Even small orders could cause heavy slippage, and exits may be hard. Flow is nearly balanced, with a slight net outflow of about $19K.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

650,286.61

FDV

$318.27K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    A spike to 0.560 was followed by a drop, and the 24h change is -3.08%.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Liquidity is only $8.91K against about $925K of daily volume.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 27.22%. Top-100 data and wallet types are unavailable.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity
  • Unverified contract (verification status unknown)
  • Authority status unknown
  • Possible impersonation of a known project name
  • Sniper and holder-history data missing

Mitigating factors

  • 2,658 holder addresses
  • Active two-sided trading (4,812 buys, 3,764 sells)
  • Top-10 share of 27.22% is moderate

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerance traders who have verified the mint. Not suitable for larger positions. This is not financial advice.

This is a speculative, illiquid listing with major unknowns. The evidence does not support a confident thesis.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Liquidity grows and the contract is verified as legitimate, supporting a recovery above $0.56.

  • Liquidity additions
  • Sustained buyer growth
  • Verification

Base Case

Choppy, range-bound trading with a slight downward bias around $0.48-$0.50.

  • Liquidity stays thin
  • Volume continues to fade
  • No major holder actions

Bear Case

High probability

Thin liquidity and ongoing sell pressure drive a sharp drop, and exits are difficult.

  • $8.91K liquidity
  • Sell volume above buy volume
  • Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 1, 08:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-01 20:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Raydium CPMM price and trading analytics
  • 3 hourly OHLC candles
  • Holder aggregates (current snapshot)

Limitations

  • Only 3 candles
  • No sniper data
  • No authority data
  • No holder history or wallet labels
  • FDV and supply may be inconsistent with the real token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Ondo ownership?

As of 2026-10-01 20:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 27.22% of supply. It reports 2,658 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Ondo?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-01 20:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $452,986.00 in buys and $471,968.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Ondo liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -64.64%, from $471,455.67 (2026-10-01 18:00 UTC) to $166,709.94 (2026-10-01 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Ondo (ONDO)?

Price is drifting lower, with slightly more sell pressure and tiny liquidity. Moves can be large on small trades. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-72 hours), with a target range of $0.43 to $0.52.

Is ONDO a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 82/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerance traders who have verified the mint. Not suitable for larger positions. This is not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding ONDO?

Extremely thin liquidity • Unverified contract (verification status unknown) • Authority status unknown

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