afk

afk Price Today & AI Analysis

afkSolanaAnalysis as of May 6, 2026

Price

$0.042576

+6.58% 24h · FDV $24,420

Contract

Live
kMKX8hBaj3BTRBbeYix9c16EieBP5dih8DTSSwCpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,660

Market cap

$24,420

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of May 6, 04:48 PM UTC

FDV

$3,574,339

Liquidity

$174,202

Holders

2,243

Snipers

37

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

afk (AFK) is a Solana meme/culture token launched on PumpSwap with mint address kMKX8hBaj3BTRBbeYix9c16EieBP5dih8DTSSwCpump. The token has a total supply of ~948M and a current FDV of ~$3.57M. It is experiencing a sharp 24h price surge of ~42.6%, driven by elevated buy-side activity, though sell volume significantly outpaces buy volume ($572K vs $353K). Holder count has collapsed ~63% over 30 days (from ~6,100+ to 2,243), a major red flag. The token trades on PumpSwap with $174K in liquidity.

Key points

  • Sharp 42.6% 24h price spike on PumpSwap with elevated volume
  • Holder count has declined ~63% over 30 days — from ~6,100 to 2,243
  • Top 10 holders control only 19.24% of supply — relatively dispersed for a meme token
  • 20 identified snipers with majority in profit, including one sniper at +628% realized PnL
  • Sell pressure dominates at 61.9% of 24h volume ($572K sells vs $353K buys)
  • Mutable flag is false; update authority unknown — authority risk partially mitigated

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24–72 hours

neutral

The token has surged ~42.6% in 24h and ~78% in 6h, reaching $0.003770. The spike appears momentum-driven with sell pressure dominating (61.9%). A pullback toward the $0.0028–$0.0032 range is likely as profit-takers and snipers exit. Sustained upside requires fresh buy-side catalysts.

Target low

$0.0025

Target high

$0.0045

Support

$0.0032 (candle [1] close / prior resistance), $0.0028 (candles [3]–[4] range), $0.0022 (candles [12]–[17] consolidation zone)

Resistance

$0.0042 (candle [2] high: $0.004161), $0.0045 (candle [1] high: $0.004067 — round resistance), $0.0050 (psychological level)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The 30-day holder trend is deeply negative (-3,834 holders, -170%), indicating sustained disengagement. Unless a new narrative or catalyst emerges, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels (~$0.0020–$0.0022). Liquidity at $174K is thin relative to daily volume, increasing slippage risk on exits.

Catalysts

  • Renewed social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme season rally lifting all small caps
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Sustained holder accumulation reversing the 30-day decline

Bullish factors

  • 42.6% 24h price surge with momentum continuing into candle [1]
  • 6h price change of +78.2% signals strong short-term buying interest
  • Top 10 concentration at 19.24% is relatively healthy for a meme token
  • Majority of snipers are in profit, suggesting early buyers have conviction
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($572K) far exceeds buy volume ($353K) — 61.9% sell pressure
  • Holder count collapsed from ~6,100 to 2,243 over 30 days (-63%)
  • Only 376 unique buyers vs 740 unique sellers in 24h — twice as many sellers
  • Liquidity of $174K is shallow relative to daily volume of ~$925K
  • Several snipers with very high realized PnL (628%, 462%, 312%) are likely distributing
  • Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm full authority renouncement

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme token nature, missing sniper cost-basis data, unknown update authority, and the extreme volatility of the 24h candle series. The 30-day holder collapse adds significant uncertainty to any directional call.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
kMKX8h...pump
Total Supply
948,048,960.98

Key Risks

  • Catastrophic 30-day holder decline (-3,834 holders, -63% of peak base) indicating sustained disengagement
  • Sell pressure dominates at 61.9% of 24h volume with 2x more sellers than buyers
  • Shallow liquidity ($174K) relative to daily volume (~$925K) — high slippage on exits
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — cannot rule out rug risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidenceMedium risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the vast majority are in realized profit. Notable outliers include wallet wBrU62... at +628.4% realized PnL ($4,414 sold), 5aLY85... at +462.8% ($17,162 sold), A4DCAj... at +312.1% ($6,874 sold), and 9VFPwm... at +108.9%. Only 3 snipers show negative PnL (BUzJoU at -24.2%, 9yCDkp at -4.6%, 4eiHXU at -4.1%). The high sell-through rate and large realized profits from top snipers suggest significant early supply has already been distributed, reducing immediate dump risk from this cohort — but also indicating the token has already rewarded insiders substantially.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
2.10%
PnL state
Mostly In Profit
Sell-through rate
High
Profit-taking risk
medium

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; individual balances unknown but sell activity is high across most wallets

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The top 5 snipers by realized PnL have collectively sold over $30,000 worth of tokens. This suggests the token has been through at least one prior pump cycle, with smart money having already taken profits.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour hourly OHLC series shows a clear two-phase structure. Candles [24]–[13] (17:00 May 5 to 04:00 May 6) represent a tight consolidation range between ~$0.0021–$0.0026, with low volume (typically $1,200–$4,700/hr) and small bodies — consistent with accumulation or low-interest drift. Candle [8] (09:00) shows a notable wick low at $0.001792, the session low. From candle [4] onward (13:00 May 6), a strong breakout begins: candle [4] opens at $0.002116 and closes at $0.002825 on $42K volume. Candle [2] (15:00) is the most explosive — open $0.002759, high $0.004161, close $0.003453 on $55K volume — a large bullish candle with a long upper wick indicating selling pressure at the top. Candle [1] (16:00) continues the move: open $0.003450, high $0.004067, close $0.003722 on $35K volume. The upper wicks on candles [1] and [2] suggest distribution near $0.0041–$0.0042.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is strongly bullish following the breakout from the $0.0021–$0.0026 consolidation zone. Medium-term trend is sideways-to-bearish given the 30-day holder decline and the prior multi-week range. The current spike appears to be a sharp deviation from the medium-term base.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

38%

Sell

62%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0032 (candle [1] close area / prior breakout level)

Major support

$0.0022 (multi-hour consolidation zone, candles [12]–[17])

Immediate resistance

$0.0042 (candle [2] high: $0.004161)

Major resistance

$0.0050 (psychological round number above session highs)

The $0.0032 level is the first meaningful support, representing the candle [1] close and the top of the prior breakout candle [4]. Below that, $0.0028 (candle [3] close) and $0.0022 (the multi-hour consolidation zone) are key supports. Resistance sits at $0.0042 (session high from candle [2]) and $0.0050 as a psychological target.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish breakout from multi-hour consolidation range ($0.0021–$0.0026) starting candle [4]
  • Long upper wicks on candles [1] and [2] — distribution/rejection near $0.0041–$0.0042
  • Volume climax at candle [3] ($100.5K) followed by declining volume — bearish divergence
  • Wick low at candle [8] ($0.001792) — potential shakeout / stop-hunt before the rally
  • Higher highs and higher closes from candle [8] through candle [1] — short-term uptrend intact
  • Candle [3] shows a bearish engulfing-style body (open = high, close < open) on peak volume — distribution signal

Holder growth

Total holders

2,243

24h Δ

+0.04

7d Δ

+2.2

30d Δ

-170

Accelerating Growth

No

Correlation with price

Holder count and price appear inversely correlated over the 30-day window — as holders exited en masse (peak ~6,103 on Apr 12 down to 2,243 today, a loss of ~3,860 holders), price likely declined. The current 24h price spike has not yet attracted meaningful new holders (+1 in 24h, +49 in 7d), suggesting the pump is not yet driving broad adoption.

The holder trend is deeply concerning. From April 6 to April 23, the token lost holders at an accelerating rate — shedding 146 holders in a single day on April 23 (-5.8%), 208 on April 21 (-7.5%), 294 on April 20 (-9.8%), and a catastrophic -605 on April 19 (-18%). The 30-day net change is -3,834 holders (-170% relative to current base), meaning the token has lost roughly 63% of its peak holder base. The recent 7-day trend shows modest stabilization (+49, +2.2%), and the last few days show small positive deltas (May 4: +46, May 5: +15). However, the 24h figure of +1 holder despite a 42.6% price spike is a red flag — the pump is not attracting new participants at scale.

Concentration

Top 10 hold

19.24%

Top 100 hold

70.88%

Sentiment

Mixed

The top 10 holders control 19.24% of supply, and the top 100 control 70.88% — indicating moderate-to-high concentration at the top-100 level but relatively dispersed top-10 ownership for a meme token. The largest single holder (4mn6orJA6..., 2.84%) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address, indicating it is the DEX liquidity pool rather than a whale. Holders [2]–[5] each hold 2.01%–2.50%, suggesting a cluster of similarly-sized individual whales rather than a single dominant actor. Holders [17] and [18] each hold exactly 10,000,000 tokens (1.05%), which may indicate structured allocation or team/insider wallets. The 70.88% top-100 concentration means a significant portion of supply is held by a relatively small group, creating distribution risk if these holders decide to exit.

Notable holders

  • DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address matches trading pair)4mn6orJA6Cap4419W6x5Nvavex5WmZjjceG2E36AQe9U2.84%
  • Individual whale — large holder, no known exchange classificationCy4mhsC92d8mpSKeRpL598vePoVGdRBMVKy6GmQ9Sa142.50%
  • Individual whaleBe24Gbf5KisDk1LcWWZsBn8dvB816By7YzYF5zWZnRR62.21%
  • Individual whaleGxoNyAc8h78pgjet1n5nd5rp78oqhuQEAWAPy9Bns2EB2.17%
  • Individual whale7cEhovptdZ3RE6MYTLL1SwV5GPrNi8i3pp5UgKtpWHgD2.01%

Liquidity

Liquidity

$174,200

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $174.2K is very shallow relative to 24h total volume of ~$924.8K (buy + sell), representing a liquidity-to-volume ratio of only ~18.8%. This means large trades will experience significant slippage. The sell-to-buy ratio is heavily skewed: 740 unique sellers vs 376 unique buyers, and $572K in sell volume vs $353K in buy volume (61.9% sell pressure). Net flow is clearly outflow. The 24h transaction count of 14,441 (6,487 buys + 7,954 sells) indicates active trading, but the imbalance suggests the price spike is being met with aggressive distribution. The FDV of $2.84M (per analytics) vs $3.57M (per metadata) discrepancy likely reflects real-time price movement. Overall market health is weak despite the price spike — volume is driven by sellers, not buyers.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$352,720

Sell volume

$572,080

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

376

Unique sellers

740

Supply & authorities

Total supply

948,048,960.98

FDV

$3,574,338.70

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

The token has a total supply of ~948M with 6 decimals, launched via PumpFun (pump suffix in mint address). The metadata shows 'Mutable: false', which is a positive signal — the token metadata cannot be changed. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown', preventing a definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The 'Mutable: false' flag suggests the update authority may have been renounced or set to a null address, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The token is verified and not flagged as spam. No vesting schedule or allocation data is available. The FDV of ~$3.57M at current price implies the token is a micro-cap with high volatility risk. The PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns LP tokens and renounces mint authority upon graduation, but this cannot be confirmed without on-chain authority data.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token gained 78.2% in 6 hours and 42.6% in 24 hours. Such extreme short-term volatility is characteristic of meme tokens and indicates high risk of equally sharp reversals. The 30-day holder collapse from ~6,100 to 2,243 suggests prior severe drawdowns.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $174.2K against ~$924.8K in 24h volume creates a liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~18.8%. Large exits will face significant slippage. The PumpSwap pair is the sole trading venue identified.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top 10 holders control 19.24% of supply — relatively dispersed for a meme token. However, top 100 holders control 70.88%, and two wallets hold exactly 10M tokens each (possible insider allocation). The distribution across top 20 is fairly even (1.02%–2.84%), reducing single-actor dump risk.

  • Sniper Dumpmedium

    20 snipers identified with majority in significant profit (628%, 462%, 312%, 124%, 108% realized PnL). However, high sell-through rates suggest much of the sniper supply has already been distributed. Remaining sniper balances are unknown, so residual dump risk cannot be fully quantified.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority is unknown. 'Mutable: false' is a positive indicator suggesting metadata is locked, but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. PumpFun tokens typically renounce mint authority on graduation, but this is unverified here.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic 30-day holder decline (-3,834 holders, -63% of peak base) indicating sustained disengagement
  • Sell pressure dominates at 61.9% of 24h volume with 2x more sellers than buyers
  • Shallow liquidity ($174K) relative to daily volume (~$925K) — high slippage on exits
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — cannot rule out rug risk
  • Price spike not accompanied by meaningful new holder acquisition (+1 in 24h)
  • Snipers with 300%–628% realized PnL may still hold residual positions
  • No utility, roadmap, or fundamental value proposition beyond meme/culture narrative

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false — metadata is locked, reducing manipulation risk
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Top 10 concentration (19.24%) is relatively healthy for a meme token
  • Most sniper supply appears already distributed (high sell-through)
  • 7-day holder trend has stabilized (+49, +2.2%) after the severe April decline
  • Token trades on PumpSwap with an active market (14K+ transactions in 24h)

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or those without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal given the very high overall risk score.

afk (AFK) is a high-risk Solana meme token experiencing a sharp short-term price spike (+42.6% in 24h, +78.2% in 6h) on PumpSwap. The token has undergone a severe holder base collapse over 30 days (-63%), sell pressure dominates trading activity, and liquidity is thin. The current pump appears momentum-driven rather than fundamentally supported. The bull case relies on sustained social momentum and broader meme season tailwinds; the bear case — which carries higher probability — is a rapid retracement as profit-takers and snipers exit into thin liquidity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Sustained social media momentum drives new holder acquisition, the 7-day stabilization in holders accelerates into growth, and broader Solana meme season lifts the token toward $0.0045–$0.0060 FDV range (~$4.3M–$5.7M). Early buyers continue to hold, and the relatively dispersed top-10 ownership prevents a coordinated dump.

  • Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme token bull market
  • New exchange listing or aggregator feature
  • Holder base stabilization and renewed accumulation
  • Token narrative ('It's okay to press pause') resonating with a wider audience

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.0025–$0.0038 range over the next 7 days as momentum fades. Sell pressure gradually absorbs the spike, holders stabilize near current levels (2,200–2,300), and the token trades with moderate volatility. Without a new catalyst, price drifts back toward $0.0022–$0.0028 over 30 days.

  • No major new catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Holder base stabilizes but does not grow significantly
  • Snipers continue gradual distribution without a coordinated dump
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$174K)
  • Broader Solana market remains range-bound

Bear Case

High probability

The 24h price spike is a dead-cat bounce or coordinated pump. Sell pressure continues to dominate, snipers with 300%–628% PnL distribute remaining holdings into thin liquidity, and the holder base resumes its decline. Price retraces to the $0.0018–$0.0022 consolidation zone or lower within 7 days.

  • Sell volume 61.9% of total — structural selling pressure
  • 740 unique sellers vs 376 unique buyers in 24h
  • 30-day holder collapse not reversing despite price spike
  • Thin liquidity ($174K) amplifies downside on large sells
  • Snipers with very high realized PnL likely to continue distributing
  • No fundamental utility or catalyst beyond price momentum

Analysis details

Generated

May 6, 04:48 PM UTC

Data freshness

Data reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-06T16:00:00Z. Most recent candle is the 16:00 UTC hour. Holder data is current as of the latest snapshot.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap OHLC hourly candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buyers/sellers, liquidity)
  • Historical holder data (30-day daily series)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Price feed (USD and native SOL)

Limitations

  • Sniper cost basis (amount sniped in USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers — PnL percentages cannot be fully validated
  • Sniper current balances are largely unknown — residual dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • No vesting schedule or team allocation data available
  • 30-day holder data shows a net change of -3,834 which exceeds the current holder count of 2,243, suggesting the token had significantly more holders at peak (implied peak ~6,077+)
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($3.57M) and analytics ($2.84M) reflects real-time price movement during data collection
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Social sentiment data not available beyond the presence of Twitter/website links

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for afk (afk)?

The token has surged ~42.6% in 24h and ~78% in 6h, reaching $0.003770. The spike appears momentum-driven with sell pressure dominating (61.9%). A pullback toward the $0.0028–$0.0032 range is likely as profit-takers and snipers exit. Sustained upside requires fresh buy-side catalysts. Short-term outlook is neutral (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0025 to $0.0045.

Is afk a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 8.2/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or those without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal given the very high overall risk score.

How are afk holders trending?

afk currently has 2,243 holders and is declining (24h: 0.04, 7d: 2.2, 30d: -170). The holder trend is deeply concerning. From April 6 to April 23, the token lost holders at an accelerating rate — shedding 146 holders in a single day on April 23 (-5.8%), 208 on April 21 (-7.5%), 294 on April 20 (-9.8%), and a catastrophic -605 on April 19 (-18%). The 30-day net change is -3,834 holders (-170% relative to current base), meaning the token has lost roughly 63% of its peak holder base. The recent 7-day trend shows modest stabilization (+49, +2.2%), and the last few days show small positive deltas (May 4: +46, May 5: +15). However, the 24h figure of +1 holder despite a 42.6% price spike is a red flag — the pump is not attracting new participants at scale.

What does sniper activity look like for afk?

Snipers hold roughly 2.10% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding afk?

Catastrophic 30-day holder decline (-3,834 holders, -63% of peak base) indicating sustained disengagement • Sell pressure dominates at 61.9% of 24h volume with 2x more sellers than buyers • Shallow liquidity ($174K) relative to daily volume (~$925K) — high slippage on exits

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