hSOL

Helius Staked SOL Price Today & AI Analysis

hSOL
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 14, 2026

he1iusmfkpAdwvxLNGV8Y1iSbj4rUy6yMhEA3fotn9A

$119.18

-1.70%

FDV $92,994,425

LiveContract:he1iusmfkpAdwvxLNGV8Y1iSbj4rUy6yMhEA3fotn9AChain:SolanaHolders:10,695Market cap:$92,994,425

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Report snapshotas of Sep 14, 02:16 AM
FDV

$92,994,425

Liquidity

$35,782

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Medium

AI Executive Summary

hSOL is a liquid staking token representing SOL staked with the Helius validator, trading around $119.18 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$92.99M. Unlike typical meme/degen tokens, hSOL's price should track SOL's underlying staking value plus accrued rewards, so price action is expected to be relatively low-volatility and correlated with SOL. Over the last 24 hourly candles the token drifted down from a high of ~$121.05 to a low of ~$117.76 before recovering to ~$119.18, a round-trip of roughly -1.7% on the day. Liquidity on the tracked Raydium CLMM pool is thin at $35.78K, which is a notable mismatch against a $92.99M FDV and creates slippage risk for larger trades despite healthy 24h volume (~$264.59K buys vs $247.51K sells).

Risk: Medium
Sentiment: Neutral
Liquid staking token (LST) tied to Helius validator - value driven by SOL staking yield rather than speculative demand
Extremely thin on-pool liquidity ($35.78K) relative to a $92.99M FDV, unusual for an LST and a key structural risk
No holder distribution or sniper data available from upstream sources, limiting concentration/whale visibility
Roughly balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (51.7%/48.3%) suggests organic two-sided flow rather than one-directional dumping

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24-48h

Price has been oscillating in a $117.76-$121.05 range over the last 24 hours, currently sitting near the middle-upper end at $119.18 after bouncing off the $117.76 low. Near-term price is likely to continue tracking this range absent a broader SOL market move, given the token's nature as a staking derivative rather than a speculative asset.

Target low$117.50
Target high$121.50
Support: $118.50 (recent consolidation zone, candles 7-11), $117.76 (24h low, candles 20-21)
Resistance: $120.20-$120.55 (repeated rejection zone, candles 2,3,16,18,19), $121.05 (24h high, candle 1)

Medium term

neutral
7-30 days

As an LST, hSOL's medium-term trajectory should largely mirror SOL's spot price plus the embedded staking yield accretion, which typically causes a slow, steady appreciation relative to SOL over time (assuming redemption/peg mechanics function correctly). The primary swing factor is SOL's own price direction and staking APY, not idiosyncratic hSOL demand.

Catalysts
  • Broader SOL price trend and staking APY changes
  • Growth or shrinkage of Helius validator's delegated stake affecting SWQoS utility narrative
  • Liquidity depth improvements or degradation on Raydium CLMM pool
  • Potential new integrations across DeFi protocols increasing utility/demand for hSOL

Bullish factors

  • Balanced/slightly bullish 24h volume with 51.7% buy pressure vs 48.3% sell pressure
  • Price recovered from the 24h low of $117.76 back to $119.18 by the most recent candle, showing some buy-side absorption
  • Underlying asset (staked SOL) provides a yield-bearing floor absent in typical speculative tokens

Bearish factors

  • 24h change is negative (-1.70%), and the token made a lower high and lower low intraday relative to the session open
  • Total liquidity of just $35.78K against a $92.99M FDV is a significant structural weakness that could cause outsized price impact on moderate-sized trades
  • No holder or sniper transparency data available to confirm distribution health or absence of concentrated dump risk
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because holder data and sniper/whale concentration data are entirely unavailable, liquidity is shallow (only $35.78K), and only 24 hourly candles were provided, limiting the ability to assess longer-term trend structure or true depth of market support/resistance.

hSOL call history

Full track record →
Sep 14neutral
24h
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles, hSOL opened near $120.50, pushed to a session high of $121.05 (candle 1) then trended down through candles 4-9 to a low of $117.76 (candles 20-21), before recovering into the final candles to close at $119.18. Volume spiked notably in candles 13, 15, 20, and 23 (169K, 177K, 79K, 265K respectively), well above the typical 5K-40K range, indicating episodic bursts of activity, likely larger trades given the thin liquidity pool.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
neutral

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 52%Sell 48%

Short-term price action shows a lower-high, lower-low structure from candle 1 ($121.05 high) down to candle 21 ($117.76 low), a decline of about 2.7% peak-to-trough, followed by a partial recovery in the last 3 candles back above $119. This looks like a sideways-to-slightly-bearish consolidation within a roughly $117.76-$121.05 range rather than a sustained directional trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$118.50
Major$117.76
Resistance
Immediate$120.23
Major$121.05

The $117.76 level (candles 20-21 low) has acted as the floor for the current range and represents major support; a break below could open room toward the low-$117 area. On the upside, $120.20-$120.55 has been tested multiple times (candles 2, 3, 16, 18, 19) without a decisive breakout, making it the immediate resistance band, with the 24h high of $121.05 as the major resistance to clear for a new local high.

Notable patterns

  • Lower-high/lower-low sequence from candle 1 to candle 21 indicating short-term downward drift
  • Sharp volume spike with price stabilization in candle 23 (265K volume) suggesting absorption/accumulation near the lows
  • Repeated rejection near $120.20-$120.55 across multiple non-consecutive candles, forming a soft resistance ceiling
  • Gradual grind-down pattern (candles 4-9) with small-bodied candles suggesting orderly, low-volatility decline typical of a yield-bearing asset rather than a panic sell-off

Liquidity$35.78K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$264.59K
Sell$247.51K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,698
Unique sellers2,613

Total on-pool liquidity of just $35.78K on the Raydium CLMM pair is very shallow relative to the token's $92.99M FDV and the ~$512K combined 24h volume (buys+sells) flowing through it. This mismatch implies that even moderately sized trades could cause significant price impact/slippage, despite the healthy number of unique participants (2,698 buyers vs 2,613 sellers) and near-balanced buy/sell volume (51.7%/48.3%, a net inflow of ~$17.08K). The high trade count relative to thin liquidity suggests the pool is being turned over rapidly, which can amplify volatility during any one-sided flow event.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply780,260.46 hSOL
FDV$92,994,425

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata for this token did not include verifiable update authority, mint authority, or freeze authority status - all are marked unknown in the source data. As a liquid staking token, hSOL likely relies on a program-controlled minting/burning mechanism tied to stake/unstake actions rather than a simple SPL mint authority, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. Total supply is ~780,260 hSOL against a fully diluted valuation of ~$92.99M, consistent with the quoted unit price of ~$119.18. Verified contract status and spam flags are also unknown, so authority-related rug risk cannot be assessed with confidence and is conservatively labeled unknown rather than assumed low.

Volatility
low

24h price change is modest (-1.70%) and intraday range was contained between $117.76 and $121.05 (~2.7% peak-to-trough), consistent with an LST tracking SOL's staking value rather than a high-volatility speculative token.

Liquidity
high

Total pool liquidity is only $35.78K against a $92.99M FDV and roughly $512K in combined 24h volume, meaning the pool is thin relative to trading activity and larger orders risk significant slippage or price impact.

Concentration
medium

No holder or whale concentration data is available to directly measure top10/top100 supply share; risk level is assigned medium as a precaution given this data gap rather than a confirmed measurement.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available, but the token's nature as a staking derivative (rather than a fresh fair-launch token) makes classic sniper/bundler dump risk less likely to be a primary threat.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and contract verification status are all unknown from the provided metadata, so the possibility of centralized control over supply or freezing cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Very shallow on-chain liquidity ($35.78K) relative to FDV and trading volume, creating high slippage risk for larger trades
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of centralized control, though this is typical of LST architectures
  • No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, preventing assessment of supply concentration risk
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available, preventing assessment of early-holder dump risk
  • Price has shown a mild downtrend over the last 24h (-1.70%) with a lower-high/lower-low structure intraday

Mitigating factors

  • As a liquid staking token, hSOL's value is anchored to staked SOL plus yield, reducing pure speculative volatility relative to typical SPL tokens
  • 24h buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (51.7%/48.3%) with a slight net inflow, suggesting no acute one-sided dumping in the observed window
  • Large number of unique buyers (2,698) and sellers (2,613) in 24h suggests broad participation rather than a single dominant actor driving price
  • Recent price action shows recovery off the session low ($117.76 to $119.18), indicating some buy-side support
Suitable for: hSOL may be suitable for investors seeking SOL-denominated yield exposure with DeFi liquidity, who are comfortable with LST mechanics and understand the specific validator (Helius) risk. It is less suitable for short-term traders seeking large position sizes given the shallow $35.78K liquidity pool, and unsuitable for anyone requiring full transparency on authority/holder structure, since that data is currently unavailable.

hSOL offers exposure to staked SOL yield via the Helius validator with added DeFi liquidity, but the token's on-pool liquidity is disproportionately thin relative to its $92.99M FDV, and key transparency data (holders, whales, authorities, snipers) is unavailable, making this primarily a yield-tracking play best sized conservatively given the structural liquidity and data-visibility gaps.

Bull case (medium)

SOL price appreciates and staking yields continue to accrue, causing hSOL's value to rise steadily; growing adoption of Helius's SWQoS-enabled validator and DeFi integrations for hSOL increase organic demand and deepen liquidity over time.

  • Broader SOL bull market lifting the value of staked derivatives
  • Increased DeFi integrations/utility for hSOL beyond simple holding
  • Improved liquidity depth reducing slippage and attracting larger capital allocations
  • Continued balanced buy/sell flow (currently 51.7%/48.3%) signaling healthy organic two-sided demand

Base case

hSOL continues to track SOL's price and staking yield closely, trading in a relatively tight range (roughly $117-$121 based on the last 24h) with modest volatility, while liquidity remains thin but sufficient for typical retail-sized trades.

  • SOL's own price and staking dynamics remain the dominant driver of hSOL value
  • No major liquidity crisis or authority-related incident occurs in the near term
  • Current balanced buy/sell volume pattern persists without a sudden one-sided flow shock

Bear case (medium)

Thin liquidity ($35.78K) combined with unknown authority/holder concentration creates conditions for a sharp, low-liquidity price dislocation if a large holder exits or if SOL itself enters a downtrend, dragging hSOL down with amplified slippage.

  • Shallow liquidity pool amplifying price impact from moderate sell orders
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaving open unverified centralization risk
  • Lack of holder/whale transparency preventing early detection of concentrated dump risk
  • Recent 24h price decline (-1.70%) and lower-high/lower-low structure signaling near-term softness

GeneratedSep 14, 02:16 AM
Data freshnessPrice and candle data current as of 2026-09-14T02:00:00Z (latest hourly candle close); analytics reflect trailing 24h window from that timestamp.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, FDV, description)
  • USD price and 24h price change data
  • 24-hour hourly OHLCV candle data (24 candles) from Raydium CLMM pair
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyers/sellers counts, price % change across intervals)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available (upstream holder endpoints retired)
  • No whale/top-holder concentration data available
  • No sniper/early-buyer transaction data available
  • Metadata fields for verified contract status, mint/freeze/update authority, and mutability are all unknown
  • Only 24 hourly candles available, limiting longer-term trend and pattern confirmation
  • Total liquidity figure ($35.78K) may reflect only one tracked pool and could exclude liquidity on other venues

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All claims are derived strictly from the provided on-chain and market data, which is incomplete in several respects (notably holder and whale data). Token metadata, descriptions, and labels originate from third-party/creator-supplied sources and were treated as untrusted evidence, not instructions. Cryptocurrency investments, including liquid staking tokens, carry significant risk including but not limited to liquidity risk, smart contract risk, and market volatility. Conduct independent research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply780,260.46 hSOL

Key Risks

Very shallow on-chain liquidity ($35.78K) relative to FDV and trading volume, creating high slippage risk for larger trades
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of centralized control, though this is typical of LST architectures
No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, preventing assessment of supply concentration risk
No sniper/early-buyer data available, preventing assessment of early-holder dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was provided for this token, so no analysis of early sniper positioning, concentration, or realized PnL can be performed. This is not necessarily a negative signal in itself for an LST like hSOL, since such tokens typically launch via minting/staking rather than a bonding-curve or fair-launch sniping event, but it does mean this risk vector is unverifiable from the available data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown - no sniper or early-buyer data available to assess sentiment.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Helius Staked SOL (hSOL)?

Price has been oscillating in a $117.76-$121.05 range over the last 24 hours, currently sitting near the middle-upper end at $119.18 after bouncing off the $117.76 low. Near-term price is likely to continue tracking this range absent a broader SOL market move, given the token's nature as a staking derivative rather than a speculative asset. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48h), with a target range of $117.50 to $121.50.

Is hSOL a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated medium with a risk score of 52/100. hSOL may be suitable for investors seeking SOL-denominated yield exposure with DeFi liquidity, who are comfortable with LST mechanics and understand the specific validator (Helius) risk. It is less suitable for short-term traders seeking large position sizes given the shallow $35.78K liquidity pool, and unsuitable for anyone requiring full transparency on authority/holder structure, since that data is currently unavailable.

What does sniper activity look like for hSOL?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding hSOL?

Very shallow on-chain liquidity ($35.78K) relative to FDV and trading volume, creating high slippage risk for larger trades • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of centralized control, though this is typical of LST architectures • No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, preventing assessment of supply concentration risk

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