MCDX

McDonald's xStock Price Today & AI Analysis

MCDX
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 6, 2026

XsqE9cRRpzxcGKDXj1BJ7Xmg4GRhZoyY1KpmGSxAWT2

$285.07

+4.57%

FDV $15,576,732

LiveContract:XsqE9cRRpzxcGKDXj1BJ7Xmg4GRhZoyY1KpmGSxAWT2Chain:SolanaHolders:6,985Market cap:$15,576,732

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about MCDX

Report snapshotas of Sep 6, 05:47 PM
FDV

$15,576,732

Liquidity

$140,326

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

McDonald's xStock (MCDX) is a tokenized tracker certificate on Solana, purportedly representing 1:1 custodied McDonald's Corporation (MCD) common stock shares issued by xStocks. Trading at $285.07, the token has a fully diluted valuation of ~$15.58M with a total supply of ~54,641 tokens. The 24-hour period saw a +4.57% price gain, though sell pressure (52.7%) marginally exceeds buy pressure (47.3%). Liquidity is shallow at $140.33K relative to the FDV, posing meaningful slippage risk. No sniper data is available, and holder/whale distribution data is not provided by the upstream endpoints.

Risk: High
Sentiment: Neutral
Tokenized equity tracker: claims 1:1 backing by custodied MCD shares with automatic dividend/split rebasing
Operates on Raydium CLMM (concentrated liquidity), enabling tighter spreads but amplifying slippage risk at low TVL
24/7 on-chain trading exposure to a traditional equity (McDonald's Corp) without brokerage access
Very low circulating supply (~54,641 tokens) relative to $15.58M FDV, implying high per-token price (~$285)
Significant intraday volatility: price ranged from ~$252 to ~$325 within the 24-hour window

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
1–24 hours

Price is consolidating near $285 after a volatile spike to $320+ in candles 10–11. Sell pressure (52.7%) slightly dominates, and recent candles show wicks to the downside suggesting sellers are active. The token is hovering near its 24h open range midpoint. Short-term direction is neutral-to-slightly-bearish given the marginal sell dominance and post-spike consolidation.

Target low$260
Target high$300
Support: $274 (candle 24 low), $260–$261 (candles 14 & 20 lows), $252–$256 (candles 1 & 10 lows)
Resistance: $299–$300 (candles 13 & 23 highs), $314–$317 (candles 10, 21, 24 highs), $320–$325 (candles 11 & 22 all-time highs in window)

Medium term

neutral
1–7 days

Medium-term direction will be heavily influenced by the underlying MCD stock price, custody/redemption mechanics, and broader DeFi sentiment. The shallow liquidity pool ($140.33K) means any meaningful buying or selling pressure can cause outsized price moves. Without confirmed mint/freeze authority renouncement or verified custody proof, fundamental uncertainty caps upside conviction.

Catalysts
  • MCD stock price movements during traditional market hours
  • Liquidity additions to the Raydium CLMM pool deepening the order book
  • Verification or audit of 1:1 custody backing
  • Broader Solana DeFi market sentiment and SOL price action

Bullish factors

  • 24h price up +4.57%, showing positive momentum over the full day
  • High transaction count (3,752 buys / 4,688 sells) indicates active market participation
  • Unique concept: tokenized equity exposure on Solana with 24/7 trading
  • Candles 19–24 show a recovery from lows back toward $285–$285, suggesting demand at lower levels
  • Volume spike in candles 9–11 (248K–1.19M) indicates strong interest event

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure exceeds buy pressure: 52.7% sell vs 47.3% buy over 24h
  • More unique sellers (2,638) than unique buyers (2,201) in 24h
  • Shallow liquidity ($140.33K) relative to $15.58M FDV — liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~0.9%
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority are all unknown — significant rug/manipulation risk
  • Post-spike candles (11–18) show consistent lower highs and lower closes, a bearish structure
  • Extreme intraday range ($252–$325, ~29% swing) signals high volatility and potential manipulation
  • No verified custody proof or audited backing for the 1:1 MCD share claim
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no holder or whale distribution data available, (2) no sniper data, (3) update authority and mint/freeze authority status are unknown, (4) the token's peg to MCD stock introduces external price dependencies not captured in on-chain data alone, and (5) shallow liquidity makes price targets highly sensitive to single large trades.

MCDX call history

Full track record →
Sep 6neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-09-05T18:00 to 2026-09-06T17:00), price opened around $268 and closed at ~$285. The session featured a dramatic volume-driven spike in candles 9–11: candle 9 broke above $304 (volume 248K), candle 10 reached a high of $316.98 (volume 1.19M — the session's peak), and candle 11 hit $320.77 (volume 527K). Following this three-candle surge, price retraced and consolidated in the $273–$293 range through candles 12–18. Candles 20–22 saw another attempt at $313–$325 highs with very high volume (549K–628K), but closes remained well below the highs, forming large upper wicks — a bearish rejection pattern. The final candle (24) closed at $285.13 with a high of $314.98, again showing upper wick rejection.

Trend

Short-term
sideways
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
neutral

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 47%Sell 53%

Short-term (last 6–8 candles): sideways-to-slightly-bearish consolidation between $260 and $300 with repeated upper wick rejections near $314–$325. Medium-term (full 24h): uptrend from the $252 session low to current $285, representing a net gain of ~+4.57%. However, the inability to hold above $290–$295 after multiple attempts suggests the uptrend is losing momentum.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$274 (candle 24 low / candle 16 low cluster)
Major$252–$256 (candle 1 low of $252.22 and candle 10 low of $256.42 — session floor)
Resistance
Immediate$299–$300 (candles 13 & 23 highs, repeatedly tested)
Major$320–$325 (candle 11 high $320.77 and candle 22 high $325.08 — session ceiling)

The $274 level has acted as intraday support across multiple candles (16, 24). The $252–$256 zone represents the deepest pullback levels and constitutes major support. On the upside, $299–$300 is a key resistance cluster that has capped multiple rallies. The $320–$325 zone is the session's absolute ceiling and would require significant new buying pressure to breach.

Notable patterns

  • Volume spike + price surge in candles 9–11: classic momentum breakout pattern, but with subsequent failure to hold gains
  • Repeated upper wick rejections at $313–$325 in candles 10, 20, 21, 22, 24: bearish shooting star / upper wick pattern indicating seller dominance at highs
  • Candle 10: extremely long-bodied candle with high volume (1.19M) — potential climax candle / exhaustion signal
  • Candles 12–18: lower highs and lower closes following the spike — bearish consolidation / distribution pattern
  • Candle 19: bullish recovery candle (O:280.47, C:292.10) with expanding volume — temporary demand resurgence
  • Candles 20–22: second high-volume surge with closes well below highs — bearish engulfing / distribution at resistance
  • Overall 24h structure: double-top attempt near $316–$325 with failure to close above $295 on either attempt

Liquidity$140,330
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$1,120,000
Sell$1,250,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,201
Unique sellers2,638

Liquidity is critically shallow at $140.33K against a $15.58M FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 0.9%. This means even moderately sized trades can cause significant price impact on the Raydium CLMM pool. The 24h net flow is negative: sell volume ($1.25M) exceeds buy volume ($1.12M) by ~$130K, and unique sellers (2,638) outnumber unique buyers (2,201). Total transaction count is high (8,440 combined buys and sells), indicating active but net-selling market participation. The shallow liquidity combined with high volatility (29% intraday range) creates a high slippage risk environment, particularly for larger position sizes. The Raydium CLMM structure can provide tighter spreads within the active price range but offers no depth outside of it.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply54,641.12019008 MCDX
FDV$15,576,732

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 54,641.12 MCDX tokens with a current FDV of ~$15.58M at $285.07/token. The update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this is a significant red flag. If mint authority has not been renounced, new tokens could be minted, diluting holders. If freeze authority is active, individual wallets could be frozen. The token claims to rebase automatically for dividends and splits, which may require some form of active authority — but this should be explicitly disclosed and audited. The description claims 1:1 backing by custodied MCD shares, but no on-chain proof, audit, or verified custodian is referenced in the provided data. The 'verified contract: unknown' status further compounds uncertainty. Investors should treat authority risks as unresolved until independently verified.

Volatility
high

Intraday price range of ~$252–$325 (~29% swing) within 24 hours. Multiple volume spikes exceeding 500K–1.19M USD in single candles. The 5m change is -0.23% and 1h is near flat, but the session history shows extreme volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $140.33K against $15.58M FDV (0.9% ratio). High slippage risk for any trade exceeding a few thousand dollars. Concentrated in a single Raydium CLMM pool (6HqstnfN8RN5sAdRZMCr88tD2GKpuWBjRntwyKxLG75V).

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. With only ~54,641 total tokens in existence and unknown wallet distribution, concentration risk cannot be measured but must be assumed high by default for a low-supply token with unknown authority status.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Rated low only because no sniper activity was detected — not because the risk has been ruled out.

Authority
high

Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority are all listed as 'unknown'. This is the highest possible authority risk state — any of these could be active and controlled by the issuer, enabling token minting, wallet freezing, or metadata manipulation. The rebase mechanism described in the token description may require active authority, but this is unverified.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint, freeze, and update authority status — potential for rug pull, dilution, or wallet freezing
  • Unverified 1:1 MCD share custody claim — no auditor, custodian, or proof-of-reserve referenced
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($140.33K) relative to FDV ($15.58M) — high slippage and exit risk
  • High intraday volatility (29% range) with repeated upper wick rejections suggesting distribution
  • Net selling pressure over 24h: more sellers than buyers, negative net flow
  • No holder or whale distribution data available — concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Token description contains financial product claims ('backed 1:1', 'rebases automatically') that may be unverified or misleading
  • Regulatory risk: tokenized equity products may face securities law scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions

Mitigating factors

  • Active market with 8,440+ transactions in 24h, indicating genuine trading interest
  • 24h price performance is positive (+4.57%), suggesting net demand over the period
  • Raydium CLMM pool provides some price discovery mechanism
  • No sniper concentration detected, reducing one specific dump risk vector
  • High per-token price (~$285) may deter low-effort manipulation compared to micro-cap meme tokens
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, sophisticated investors who fully understand the risks of tokenized equity products, DeFi liquidity constraints, and unverified custody claims. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Due diligence on the xStocks issuer, custody arrangements, and authority status is essential before any position is taken.

MCDX offers a novel concept — 24/7 on-chain exposure to McDonald's Corporation equity via a tokenized tracker certificate on Solana. However, the investment case is severely undermined by unknown authority status, unverified custody claims, shallow liquidity, and the absence of holder/whale data. The token is best characterized as a high-risk, speculative instrument with an unproven infrastructure backing its core value proposition.

Bull case (low)

xStocks custody is legitimate and audited, mint/freeze authorities are renounced or properly governed, and MCDX becomes a leading tokenized equity product on Solana DeFi. Liquidity deepens as institutional and retail demand for on-chain equity exposure grows, and MCD stock price appreciation drives MCDX higher.

  • Verified and audited 1:1 MCD share custody by a regulated custodian
  • Renouncement or transparent governance of mint and freeze authorities
  • Significant liquidity additions to the Raydium pool (10x+ current depth)
  • MCD stock price appreciation in traditional markets
  • Regulatory clarity on tokenized equity products enabling broader adoption
  • Integration as DeFi collateral on major Solana lending protocols

Base case

MCDX continues trading as a niche tokenized equity tracker with moderate activity. Price broadly tracks MCD stock with a volatility premium due to DeFi mechanics. Liquidity remains thin, limiting institutional adoption. The token maintains its current user base without significant growth or collapse.

  • xStocks issuer continues operating and maintaining the token
  • No adverse regulatory action in the near term
  • MCD stock price remains relatively stable (~$280–$300 range)
  • Liquidity stays in the $100K–$300K range, sufficient for small retail trades
  • No major exploit or custody failure occurs
  • Holder base remains stable without significant new inflows or mass exits

Bear case (medium)

Custody claims are unverified or fraudulent, mint authority is used to dilute supply, or the token is abandoned by its issuer. Shallow liquidity means early sellers capture most value while later participants face severe slippage. Regulatory action against tokenized equity products forces delisting.

  • Unknown authority status enables issuer to mint, freeze, or manipulate the token
  • No verifiable proof of 1:1 MCD share backing
  • Liquidity remains shallow, making large exits impossible without severe price impact
  • Regulatory crackdown on unregistered tokenized securities
  • MCD stock price decline in traditional markets dragging MCDX lower
  • Loss of community confidence if custody or rebase mechanisms fail

GeneratedSep 6, 05:47 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of the most recent candle close (2026-09-06T17:00 UTC). Price and volume data is current to within the last hour.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, description, social links)
  • Price feed: USD spot price and 24h change
  • OHLC hourly candles (24 candles, 2026-09-05T18:00 to 2026-09-06T17:00)
  • Trading analytics: buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)
  • Raydium CLMM pool data (pair address: 6HqstnfN8RN5sAdRZMCr88tD2GKpuWBjRntwyKxLG75V)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is unavailable — upstream holder endpoints retired; no wallet-level concentration analysis possible
  • Whale map data is unavailable — no top holder addresses or balances provided
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority status are all unknown — authority risk cannot be precisely quantified
  • Custody verification for the 1:1 MCD share backing claim is outside the scope of on-chain data analysis
  • 24h dollar change and native price are listed as unknown in the data
  • 6h price change is unavailable
  • Unique wallet count for 24h is unknown
  • Analysis covers only 24 hourly candles — longer-term trend analysis is not possible
  • Token description and metadata are supplied by the token creator and are treated as unverified claims

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of the MCDX token or xStocks platform. Tokenized equity products carry unique regulatory, custodial, and technical risks beyond standard DeFi tokens. Always conduct independent due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. The analyst has no position in MCDX.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply54,641.12019008 MCDX

Key Risks

Unknown mint, freeze, and update authority status — potential for rug pull, dilution, or wallet freezing
Unverified 1:1 MCD share custody claim — no auditor, custodian, or proof-of-reserve referenced
Extremely shallow liquidity ($140.33K) relative to FDV ($15.58M) — high slippage and exit risk
High intraday volatility (29% range) with repeated upper wick rejections suggesting distribution

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for MCDX. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token launched without detectable bot activity, or that the data source does not cover this token's launch mechanics. Analysis is limited to observable on-chain trading patterns.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data is available. The high per-token price (~$285) and low total supply (~54,641 tokens) suggest early participants may have acquired tokens at lower prices if the token launched near MCD's traditional market price, but this cannot be confirmed without wallet-level data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for McDonald's xStock (MCDX)?

Price is consolidating near $285 after a volatile spike to $320+ in candles 10–11. Sell pressure (52.7%) slightly dominates, and recent candles show wicks to the downside suggesting sellers are active. The token is hovering near its 24h open range midpoint. Short-term direction is neutral-to-slightly-bearish given the marginal sell dominance and post-spike consolidation. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $260 to $300.

Is MCDX a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated high with a risk score of 7.8/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, sophisticated investors who fully understand the risks of tokenized equity products, DeFi liquidity constraints, and unverified custody claims. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Due diligence on the xStocks issuer, custody arrangements, and authority status is essential before any position is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for MCDX?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding MCDX?

Unknown mint, freeze, and update authority status — potential for rug pull, dilution, or wallet freezing • Unverified 1:1 MCD share custody claim — no auditor, custodian, or proof-of-reserve referenced • Extremely shallow liquidity ($140.33K) relative to FDV ($15.58M) — high slippage and exit risk

Track MCDX