TRENCH

Trench Royale Price Today & AI Analysis

TRENCH
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 16, 2026

NUHpXSkU6nafuVHKtydPdb3ZC4KgpMDrFz4PvJ8pump

$0.052349

FDV $2,348

LiveContract:NUHpXSkU6nafuVHKtydPdb3ZC4KgpMDrFz4PvJ8pumpChain:SolanaHolders:144Market cap:$2,348

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Ask Unhosted AI about TRENCH

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jun 16, 03:19 AM
FDV

$48,324

Liquidity

$32,883

Holders

662

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Trench Royale (TRENCH) is a newly launched PumpFun/PumpSwap token on Solana with a play-to-earn battle royale narrative. The token launched with virtually no holders for ~30 days (flat at 25 holders), then experienced a sudden explosive surge to 662 holders within the last 24 hours — a +637 holder gain (+96%) in a single day. Despite this apparent burst of activity, the market structure is deeply concerning: sell pressure dominates at 76.9% of 24h volume ($235K sells vs $70K buys), liquidity is extremely thin at $32.88K against a $47–48K FDV, and the most recent hourly candle shows a catastrophic -56% collapse from open to close. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and top holder data is unavailable.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder surge from 25 to 662 in <24 hours after 30 days of dormancy
Extremely thin liquidity ($32.88K) relative to trading volume ($305K+ in 24h)
Severe sell-side dominance: 76.9% sell pressure, 4,997 sells vs 1,485 buys
Unverified contract with unknown update authority — authority risk unresolved
Play-to-earn battle royale narrative with fee-sharing mechanic described in token metadata

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001068, reached a high of $0.0001092, then collapsed to close at $0.0000471 — a ~56% intra-hour crash. The 5-minute price change is -24.95%, confirming continued aggressive selling. With 76.9% sell pressure and only $32.88K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low of ~$0.0000471; a break below could see price test the prior candle's open near $0.0000304.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000065
Support: $0.0000471 (recent hourly close / current price), $0.0000304 (prior candle open / session low)
Resistance: $0.0000683 (approximate current price area), $0.0001069 (candle [1] open), $0.0001812 (candle [2] all-time high from prior hour)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The token was dormant for 30 days with only 25 holders before a sudden spike. This pattern is consistent with coordinated pump activity rather than organic growth. Unless genuine utility is delivered and liquidity deepens substantially, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of ~$48K is fragile given the thin liquidity base.

Catalysts
  • Delivery of a functional play-to-earn game could attract genuine users
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats
  • Liquidity deepening via LP additions would reduce slippage risk
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond the initial pump wave

Bullish factors

  • 24h price is up +8.37% on a net basis despite heavy selling
  • Holder count surged from 25 to 662 (+96%) in 24 hours, showing rapid awareness
  • 1h price change is +15.44%, suggesting some short-term buying interest
  • Play-to-earn narrative with fee-sharing mechanic could attract speculative interest

Bearish factors

  • Most recent candle closed -56% from its open — severe intra-hour dump
  • 76.9% sell pressure ($235K sells vs $70K buys) in 24 hours
  • Only $32.88K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • 30 days of complete dormancy (25 holders flat) before sudden spike is a red flag
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • 5-minute price change is -24.95%, indicating active selling at time of analysis
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal technical history. The holder data shows a suspicious pattern (30 days flat then instant spike) that makes organic growth assumptions unreliable. Sniper data is unavailable. The overall data set is too sparse and the market too nascent for high-confidence price targets.

TRENCH call history

Full track record →
Jun 16bearish
24h-89.9%
7d-96.2%
30d-96.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000304, H=$0.0001812, L=$0.0000304, C=$0.0001069 — a massive bullish spike with a long upper wick, closing near the midpoint of the range. This is a classic 'shooting star' / pump candle with ~495% range. Candle [1] (03:00 UTC): O=$0.0001068, H=$0.0001092, L=$0.0000471, C=$0.0000471 — opened near prior close, made a marginal new high, then collapsed entirely to close at the session low. This is a strong bearish engulfing / exhaustion candle, confirming the pump was rejected and sellers took full control. The close at the absolute low with no recovery is a very bearish signal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 23%Sell 77%

With only 2 candles available, the short-term trend is clearly down — price has fallen from the $0.0001812 high to $0.0000471 close, a ~74% decline from peak. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by a pump-and-dump pattern.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000471 (most recent candle close / current price area)
Major$0.0000304 (candle [2] open and session absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000683 (approximate current price per price feed, slightly above candle close)
Major$0.0001092 (candle [1] high) / $0.0001812 (candle [2] all-time high)

The $0.0000471 level is critical — it is the most recent close and current price. A sustained break below $0.0000304 (the pre-pump open) would signal complete reversal of the pump. Resistance at $0.0001092 and $0.0001812 represents the pump highs that sellers defended aggressively.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / pump candle on candle [2] with 495% intra-hour range and long upper wick
  • Bearish engulfing / exhaustion candle on candle [1] closing at session low
  • Classic pump-and-dump two-candle pattern: spike followed by full rejection
  • Volume collapse from $236K to $37K between pump and dump candles
  • Price currently near the absolute low of the dump candle — no recovery bounce

Total holders662
24h Δ+637
7d Δ+637
30d Δ+637
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder surge from 25 to 662 (+96%) occurred simultaneously with the price pump visible in the OHLC candles. This suggests the holder growth is driven by the price spike attracting new buyers, rather than organic community building. The correlation is positive but likely reflexive — price pumped, attracting new holders, who are now facing a rapidly declining price.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: the token maintained exactly 25 holders with zero net change for the entire 30-day observation window (May 17 – June 15, 2026). Then, within a single 24-hour period (June 16), holders exploded from 25 to 662 — a gain of 637 holders (+96%). This is not organic growth; it is characteristic of a coordinated pump event where a small group of early holders (25) held a dormant token before triggering a price spike that attracted 637 new buyers in one day. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in the last day. Acquisition method: 649 via swap, 13 via transfer — nearly all new holders bought in via DEX swap during the pump.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

Data unavailable

Top holder data not provided by data source

0.00%

Top holder data is explicitly unavailable in the provided dataset. The supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than genuine zero concentration — this is a known limitation when holder data is not indexed. Given that the token had only 25 holders for 30 days before the pump, it is highly probable that those original 25 wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. Without top holder data, concentration risk cannot be properly quantified, but the circumstantial evidence strongly suggests very high concentration among early holders. Distribution health is assessed as 'very_concentrated' based on the dormancy pattern and lack of transparent holder data.

Liquidity$32,880
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$70,450
Sell$235,010
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers539
Unique sellers1,404

Liquidity is critically thin at $32.88K on PumpSwap (pair DLw5n85w8TnboPMdyk1eo2FfRQv4KfN9AtHHS7PTiGqn). The 24h trading volume of ~$305K is approximately 9.3x the total liquidity pool — an extreme ratio indicating severe slippage risk for any meaningful position. Net flow is strongly negative: $235K in sells vs $70K in buys, a 3.3:1 sell-to-buy ratio. There are 1,404 unique sellers vs only 539 unique buyers, and 4,997 sell transactions vs 1,485 buy transactions. The FDV of ~$48K against $32.88K liquidity means the entire market cap is barely backed by the liquidity pool. Any large sell order would cause catastrophic price impact. Market health is poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,998,012.92
FDV$48,324

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,998,012.92), consistent with a PumpFun launch. The FDV is $48,324 at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified (verified=false). Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive — metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The 'pump' suffix in the mint address (NUHpXSkU6nafuVHKtydPdb3ZC4KgpMDrFz4PvJ8pump) confirms this is a PumpFun-launched token. PumpFun tokens typically have mint authority burned at launch, but this cannot be verified from the provided metadata alone. The unknown update authority is a concern — if not renounced, the token could be subject to metadata manipulation or other authority-based attacks. The unverified contract status means the code has not been independently audited or verified.

Volatility
high

The token experienced a ~495% price spike followed by a ~74% collapse within 2 hours. The 5-minute change is -24.95%. Extreme intraday volatility makes position sizing nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $32.88K while 24h volume exceeded $305K (9.3x liquidity). Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe price impact and slippage.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but the 30-day dormancy with only 25 holders strongly implies extreme supply concentration among early wallets. These holders are likely distributing into the pump.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the pattern of 30 days dormancy → sudden pump → overwhelming sell pressure (76.9%) is consistent with coordinated early-holder distribution. 4,997 sells vs 1,485 buys in 24h.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token cannot be assessed as safe from authority-based exploits.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormancy with 25 holders, then sudden spike and sell-off
  • Critically thin liquidity ($32.88K) — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable but likely extreme
  • 76.9% sell pressure in 24h — dominant outflow from early holders
  • Most recent candle closed at its absolute low (-56% from open) with no recovery
  • 5-minute price change of -24.95% at time of analysis — active sell-off ongoing
  • No evidence of a functional product — play-to-earn claims are unverified

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false means token metadata cannot be altered
  • PumpFun launch typically burns mint authority at creation
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some level of project presence
  • Holder count grew to 662, showing some community awareness
  • 24h price is technically still +8.37% vs 24h ago despite the dump
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with high-risk Solana memecoin dynamics. The combination of thin liquidity, unknown authorities, unverified contract, and pump-and-dump price action makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

TRENCH presents a highly speculative, very-high-risk profile consistent with a coordinated pump event on a dormant token. The play-to-earn narrative is unverified and the on-chain data tells a story of early holders (25 wallets, 30 days dormant) distributing into a sudden wave of 637 new buyers attracted by the price spike. The overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, and collapsing price action make this a poor risk/reward proposition for most participants.

Bull case (low)

If the play-to-earn game is real and launches with genuine utility, and if the initial sell pressure exhausts itself, a recovery rally could attract new buyers and deepen liquidity. A broader Solana memecoin market rally could also provide a tailwind.

  • Delivery of a functional, engaging play-to-earn battle royale game
  • Verified contract and renounced authorities to build trust
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond the initial pump wave
  • Liquidity deepening via LP incentives or market maker support
  • Broader Solana ecosystem bullish momentum

Base case

The token stabilizes at a significantly lower price than the pump high as selling pressure moderates, but fails to recover meaningfully without a genuine product catalyst. Holders gradually lose interest and liquidity slowly drains over days to weeks.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early holders complete distribution
  • A small core community remains engaged with the narrative
  • No major product announcement or exchange listing materializes in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin, keeping the token in a low-volume, low-price equilibrium

Bear case (high)

The token continues its post-pump collapse, liquidity drains further, and the 662 new holders are left holding a near-worthless asset as the original 25 early holders complete their distribution. Price returns to or below pre-pump levels (~$0.0000304 or lower).

  • Continued 76.9% sell pressure exhausts buy-side demand
  • Thin $32.88K liquidity accelerates price impact on sells
  • No verified product or utility to sustain holder interest
  • Unknown update authority creates ongoing trust deficit
  • Historical pattern: 30 days flat → pump → dump is a classic exit scam structure

GeneratedJun 16, 03:19 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers the 2 most recent hourly candles (02:00–04:00 UTC June 16, 2026). Historical holder data covers May 17 – June 15, 2026 (30 days daily).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana mint account)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (DLw5n85w8TnboPMdyk1eo2FfRQv4KfN9AtHHS7PTiGqn)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully resolved
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in metadata
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100 — likely a data gap, not reality
  • The token is extremely new with limited price history
  • Play-to-earn product claims are unverified and cannot be assessed from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched tokens with thin liquidity and unverified contracts, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,998,012.92

Key Risks

•Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormancy with 25 holders, then sudden spike and sell-off
•Critically thin liquidity ($32.88K) — extreme slippage and exit risk
•Unverified contract with unknown update authority
•Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable but likely extreme

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for TRENCH. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The overall trading pattern — 4,997 sells vs 1,485 buys, 1,404 unique sellers vs 539 unique buyers — suggests that early participants (likely the initial 25 holders who held for 30 days) may be distributing into the newly arrived buyers. The ratio of sellers to buyers (2.6:1) and sell volume dominance (76.9%) are consistent with early holders exiting into pump-driven demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Likely distributing. The 30-day dormancy period with only 25 holders, followed by a sudden price spike, suggests the original holders were positioned and waiting. The overwhelming sell pressure during the pump event is consistent with early holders taking profits into new buyer demand.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Trench Royale (TRENCH)?

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001068, reached a high of $0.0001092, then collapsed to close at $0.0000471 — a ~56% intra-hour crash. The 5-minute price change is -24.95%, confirming continued aggressive selling. With 76.9% sell pressure and only $32.88K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low of ~$0.0000471; a break below could see price test the prior candle's open near $0.0000304. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000065.

Is TRENCH a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with high-risk Solana memecoin dynamics. The combination of thin liquidity, unknown authorities, unverified contract, and pump-and-dump price action makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

How are TRENCH holders trending?

Trench Royale currently has 662 holders and is growing (24h: 637, 7d: 637, 30d: 637). The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: the token maintained exactly 25 holders with zero net change for the entire 30-day observation window (May 17 – June 15, 2026). Then, within a single 24-hour period (June 16), holders exploded from 25 to 662 — a gain of 637 holders (+96%). This is not organic growth; it is characteristic of a coordinated pump event where a small group of early holders (25) held a dormant token before triggering a price spike that attracted 637 new buyers in one day. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in the last day. Acquisition method: 649 via swap, 13 via transfer — nearly all new holders bought in via DEX swap during the pump.

What does sniper activity look like for TRENCH?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding TRENCH?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormancy with 25 holders, then sudden spike and sell-off • Critically thin liquidity ($32.88K) — extreme slippage and exit risk • Unverified contract with unknown update authority

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