Alice

Crazy Alice Price Prediction 2026

Alice
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 8, 2026

HmMQXCDrMeBv3wzX8wiEK5TkLD1KSpEapc9peR7in5E1

$0.051769

FDV $1,769

LiveContract:HmMQXCDrMeBv3wzX8wiEK5TkLD1KSpEapc9peR7in5E1Chain:SolanaHolders:56Market cap:$1,769

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Ask Unhosted AI about Alice

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 8, 11:20 PM
FDV

$59,722

Liquidity

$0

Holders

225

Snipers

22

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Crazy Alice (Alice) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (mint: HmMQXCDrMeBv3wzX8wiEK5TkLD1KSpEapc9peR7in5E1) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$59,722. The token appears to have launched very recently — holder count was flat at 9 for the entire prior 30-day window and exploded to 225 within the last 24 hours, indicating a brand-new launch event. Price surged ~114% in 24h but is now pulling back sharply (-39.9% in the last hour, -8.4% in the last 5 minutes). Sell pressure dominates heavily at 80.9% of 24h volume. The token carries very high risk characteristics: zero reported on-chain liquidity, extreme holder concentration, dominant sell-side activity, and a largely loss-making sniper cohort.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth from 9 to 225 (+2,400%), indicating a brand-new viral launch
Price up ~114% in 24h but rapidly reversing with -39.9% in the last hour
Extreme sell dominance: 80.9% sell pressure, 3,143 sells vs 855 buys in 24h
Top 10 holders control 40.53% of supply; top 100 control 96.47%
Reported on-chain liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in sharp reversal after the 24h spike. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000597 after opening at $0.0000941 — a significant bearish close. The prior candle (22:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at $0.0000918, but the follow-through failed. With 80.9% sell pressure, -39.9% in the last hour, and near-zero liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low$0.0000300
Target high$0.0000650
Support: $0.0000447 (candle [3] close / low zone), $0.0000300 (candle [6] low), $0.0000145 (candle [4] open / candle [5] low area)
Resistance: $0.0000597 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.0000918 (candle [2] high/close), $0.0000941 (candle [1] open — recent peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a meaningful liquidity base, sustained buying interest, or a catalyst, the token is likely to continue declining from its launch spike. The historical holder stagnation (9 holders for 30 days) suggests no prior community. Medium-term price action will depend entirely on whether new buyers absorb the heavy sell pressure from early holders and snipers.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/website presence noted)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels

Bullish factors

  • 114% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial demand
  • Holder count grew from 9 to 225 in under 24 hours — viral traction
  • Social presence (Twitter, website) suggests some marketing effort
  • Some snipers in profit (e.g., sniper [9] at +117.4%, sniper [6] at +50.7%) may hold rather than dump

Bearish factors

  • 80.9% sell pressure — sellers vastly outnumber buyers (3,143 sells vs 855 buys)
  • Price down -39.9% in the last hour and -8.4% in the last 5 minutes
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Majority of snipers are at a loss, suggesting early buyers are underwater and may capitulate
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, mutable status unclear
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 9 holders before sudden launch activity
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) zero reported on-chain liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) extremely short price history (token appears <24h old), (3) missing sniper cost-basis data preventing precise PnL modeling, and (4) meme token dynamics are inherently unpredictable.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available (18:00–23:00 UTC, May 8 2026). The token launched from a low base (~$0.0000300 range at 18:00) and spiked aggressively. Candle [6] (18:00): narrow bearish candle, O:$0.0000342 → C:$0.0000300. Candle [5] (19:00): massive wick candle, O:$0.0000358, H:$0.0000388, L:$0.0000061 (capitulation wick), C:$0.0000145 — a bearish hammer/shooting star with extreme lower wick suggesting a flush. Candle [4] (20:00): strong bull candle, O:$0.0000142 → C:$0.0000358, H:$0.0000358 — full recovery from the flush. Candle [3] (21:00): small bearish candle, O:$0.0000490 → C:$0.0000445. Candle [2] (22:00): strong bull engulfing, O:$0.0000465 → C:$0.0000918, H:$0.0000918 — nearly 2x candle. Candle [1] (23:00): bearish reversal, O:$0.0000941 → C:$0.0000597, L:$0.0000547 — a significant bearish close after the spike, suggesting a local top was formed near $0.0000941.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 19%Sell 81%

Short-term trend has turned bearish after the spike to $0.0000941. The most recent candle is a strong bearish reversal candle closing well below its open. Medium-term is sideways/volatile given the token's age — no established trend exists.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000547 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000061 (candle [5] absolute low — extreme wick)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000918 (candle [2] high/close)
Major$0.0000941 (candle [1] open — recent all-time high)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.0000547. A break below this opens the door to the candle [3] close zone at $0.0000445. Major support is the candle [5] wick low at $0.0000061, though this represents an extreme flush scenario. Resistance is clustered at $0.0000918–$0.0000941 (the recent spike zone).

Notable patterns

  • Bearish reversal candle at recent high (candle [1]: open $0.0000941, close $0.0000597 — ~37% intra-candle decline)
  • Bull engulfing candle [2] followed by failed continuation — exhaustion signal
  • Extreme lower wick on candle [5] ($0.0000061 low) indicating a violent flush and recovery — possible wash trade or stop-hunt
  • Volume declining on the most recent candle ($11,259 vs $60,716 prior) — fading buying interest
  • No higher-high confirmation after candle [2] spike — candle [1] made a lower close

Total holders225
24h Δ+96
7d Δ+96
30d Δ+96
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is almost entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours, coinciding with the 114% price spike. The historical data shows a flat 9 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period (April 8 – May 7, 2026), with all 216 net new holders arriving in the last 24 hours. This is a classic launch-day holder surge driven by price action rather than organic community growth. The +57 holders in the last hour (+25%) suggests the viral momentum is still attracting new participants even as price reverses.

Holder growth is explosive but entirely launch-day driven. The token sat dormant with 9 holders for at least 30 days before the current event. All 216 of the 30-day net new holders arrived in the last 24 hours, and 57 of those in the last hour alone. While the raw growth rate is impressive (+2,400% from 9 to 225), the base was near-zero and the growth is entirely correlated with the price pump. Holder distribution shows 100 'whales', 32 'sharks', 61 'dolphins', 26 'fish', and 4 'octopus' — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 225 holders, reinforcing concentration concerns.

Top 10 hold40.53%
Top 100 hold96.47%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

vjcFXTZ1vxUHZzFoGB8VcT28isBQKM527UcGrxRcomr

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

16.75%

G62aot7JgWRYpFVrAAshzamgzZpqqk6j49papEMT2c5H

Individual whale / early holder

3.09%

8fSnLTnRViK83dDesivTsPx2wiRhwti9xoafeMGjEyLJ

Individual whale / early holder

2.95%

6xXUaHXKDLQr9JSEyuZcPHubRK9iesctmNgZU8ygRPEV

Individual whale / early holder

2.94%

VJSDW6S74YXR4rRR9P4xwhMvLZJQMhrUb8XMFirUsy1

Individual whale / early holder

2.63%

The top 10 holders control 40.53% of supply and the top 100 control 96.47% — an extremely concentrated distribution. The largest single holder (vjcFXTZ1vxUHZzFoGB8VcT28isBQKM527UcGrxRcomr at 16.75%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address, which matches the trading pair address in the price data. Holders 2–10 each hold 2.32%–3.09%, suggesting a relatively even distribution among the top individual wallets — no single non-LP wallet dominates. However, the fact that 96.47% of supply is held by the top 100 wallets (out of only 225 total) means the remaining 125 holders share just 3.53% of supply. The whale-heavy distribution (100 of 225 holders classified as 'whales') combined with dominant sell pressure creates significant dump risk.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$48,200
Sell$204,710
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers244
Unique sellers1,311

The reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00, which is a critical red flag. This may reflect a data reporting issue (the token trades on PumpSwap and has active volume), but if accurate, it means there is effectively no liquidity cushion — any sell order of meaningful size will cause extreme slippage. The 24h trading data shows severe sell dominance: $204,710 in sell volume vs $48,200 in buy volume (80.9% sell pressure), with 1,311 unique sellers vs only 244 unique buyers. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The ratio of sellers to buyers (5.4:1) is alarming and suggests the token is in active distribution. Total 24h volume of ~$252,910 is notable for a $59,722 FDV token, implying the entire market cap has turned over multiple times — a hallmark of speculative meme token trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 Alice
FDV$59,722.10

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is a round 1,000,000,000 tokens (standard meme token supply). FDV is ~$59,722 at current price of $0.0000597. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false' — the immutability flag is a mild positive signal, suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The contract is not verified and is not flagged as spam. No description is provided, which is common for meme tokens but reduces transparency. The token trades on PumpSwap, consistent with a PumpFun-style launch. Without explicit confirmation that mint and freeze authorities are renounced, rug risk from authorities must be classified as unknown.

Volatility
high

Price moved +114% in 24h and is now reversing -39.9% in a single hour. The 6-candle OHLC range spans from $0.0000061 to $0.0000941 — a 15x range in under 6 hours. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's current state.

Liquidity
high

Reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00. Even if this is a data artifact, the PumpSwap pool is likely very shallow given the token's micro-cap FDV of ~$59,722. Any meaningful sell order will face severe slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 40.53% of supply; top 100 control 96.47%. With only 225 total holders, the token is extremely concentrated. The 100 'whale' classified holders represent 44% of the holder base.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified. 70% (14/20) are at a realized loss, suggesting many have already sold or are holding at a loss. However, 5 profitable snipers (including one at +117.4%) may still hold positions and could sell. The largest sniper sell was $3,151 — small relative to total volume but significant for this liquidity level.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The token is marked 'mutable: false' which is a mild positive, but without confirmed renouncement of mint/freeze authorities, the risk cannot be fully dismissed. Update authority is listed as unknown.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size
  • 80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch
  • Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration and dump risk
  • No verified contract, unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be excluded
  • Price already reversing sharply (-39.9% in 1h) after the initial pump
  • No token description, no verified contract — minimal transparency

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social presence exists (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline trading infrastructure
  • Holder count growing rapidly (225 and rising) — some genuine community interest
  • Top individual holders each hold <3.1% — no single non-LP whale dominates
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

Crazy Alice (Alice) is a brand-new Solana meme token in the early hours of its launch. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump risk characteristics: a dormant pre-launch period, explosive holder growth on day one, extreme sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, and heavy concentration. The bull case relies entirely on viral momentum sustaining and new buyers absorbing the sell pressure. The bear case — which appears more probable given current data — is a rapid price collapse as early holders and snipers exit.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum drives continued holder growth beyond 225, new liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, and the token establishes a community. Price recovers above $0.0000941 (recent high) and targets higher multiples.

  • Sustained Twitter/social media virality driving new buyer inflow
  • Liquidity addition to PumpSwap pool reducing slippage and enabling larger trades
  • Broader Solana meme coin market tailwind
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Holder count continuing to grow rapidly (already +57 in last hour)

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000300–$0.0000500 range after the initial pump-and-dump cycle. A small community of 300–500 holders forms, trading volume drops significantly, and the token enters a low-activity consolidation phase. Most early buyers are at a loss.

  • Some residual buying interest from social media exposure prevents complete collapse
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap
  • No additional major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Sniper and early holder selling pressure is largely absorbed within 24–48 hours

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure overwhelms the thin liquidity, price collapses back toward launch levels or lower. The token follows the typical meme token lifecycle: pump → dump → abandonment. Most holders are left with significant losses.

  • 80.9% sell pressure with no signs of abating
  • Zero reported liquidity — any selling accelerates price decline
  • 70% of snipers already at a realized loss — capitulation selling likely
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days suggesting coordinated launch with pre-positioned sellers
  • No fundamental value proposition — pure speculation with no described utility

GeneratedMay 8, 11:20 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-08T23:00 UTC. Price and holder data may have changed since snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana blockchain)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: vjcFXTZ1vxUHZzFoGB8VcT28isBQKM527UcGrxRcomr)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (6 candles, May 8 2026 18:00–23:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Total sniped USD amounts and sniper cost basis are unknown — precise sniper PnL modeling is not possible
  • Sniper current balances are unknown — sniper concentration percentage cannot be calculated
  • Reported on-chain liquidity of $0.00 may be a data artifact rather than literal zero liquidity
  • Only 6 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend identification
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is <24 hours old — all metrics are based on extremely limited history
  • Historical holder data shows only 9 holders for 30 days prior — no meaningful pre-launch baseline

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 Alice

Key Risks

•Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size
•80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase
•Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch
•Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration and dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniper cost basis and total sniped USD amounts are unknown, limiting precise analysis. Of the 20 snipers with known PnL data: 5 show positive realized PnL (snipers [5], [6], [7], [9], [11]) and 14 show negative realized PnL, with losses ranging from -5.4% to -71.9%. One sniper (sniper [4]) shows 0% PnL with $0 balance — likely fully exited at breakeven or dust. The majority (70%) of snipers are at a realized loss, suggesting the token launched at a price that has since declined for most early buyers. The two largest sellers by dollar amount (sniper [8]: -28.4% on $3,151; sniper [10]: -11.3% on $1,000) are both at a loss, indicating panic selling. Sniper [9] achieved the best return at +117.4% on $504 sold.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
medium

Sniper balances are unknown; sell amounts range from $0 to $3,151. The largest seller (sniper [8]: AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $3,151 at -28.4% realized PnL, and sniper [7] (9VQMeZF3JgtT7S3Z1R1JqRpEcKWJGkeic5U17TBHuntp) sold $1,373 at +13.7%. Current balances are unknown for all snipers, preventing precise concentration calculation.

Predominantly negative — 14 of 20 snipers (70%) are at a realized loss. The average realized PnL across snipers skews negative, with several deep losses (-71.9%, -54.7%, -37.4%, -33.5%). Only 5 snipers are in profit, and their gains are modest except for sniper [9] (+117.4%). This suggests the token's price at snipe time was higher than current levels for most participants, or that snipers sold into weakness.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Crazy Alice (Alice)?

Price is in sharp reversal after the 24h spike. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000597 after opening at $0.0000941 — a significant bearish close. The prior candle (22:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at $0.0000918, but the follow-through failed. With 80.9% sell pressure, -39.9% in the last hour, and near-zero liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000300 to $0.0000650.

Is Alice a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

How are Alice holders trending?

Crazy Alice currently has 225 holders and is growing (24h: 96, 7d: 96, 30d: 96). Holder growth is explosive but entirely launch-day driven. The token sat dormant with 9 holders for at least 30 days before the current event. All 216 of the 30-day net new holders arrived in the last 24 hours, and 57 of those in the last hour alone. While the raw growth rate is impressive (+2,400% from 9 to 225), the base was near-zero and the growth is entirely correlated with the price pump. Holder distribution shows 100 'whales', 32 'sharks', 61 'dolphins', 26 'fish', and 4 'octopus' — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 225 holders, reinforcing concentration concerns.

What does sniper activity look like for Alice?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding Alice?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size • 80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch

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