Alice

Crazy Alice Price Today & AI Analysis

AliceSolanaAnalysis as of May 8, 2026

Price

$0.052417

FDV $2,417

Contract

Live
HmMQXCDrMeBv3wzX8wiEK5TkLD1KSpEapc9peR7in5E1

Chain

Solana

Holders

52

Market cap

$2,417

More tokens on Solana

WIFWIFcatwifhat$0.053873+0.0%MC $3.9KMAXMAXBeagle Freedom Project$0.051306+0.0%MC $1.3K universe universeExplore the universe$0.052159+0.0%MC $2.2KAVAJAKAVAJAKAVAJAK$0.053070+1.5%MC $3.1KUrMomUrMomUr Mom$0.051936+0.0%MC $1.9KRAYRAYRaydium$1.99+8.6%MC $1.10B

Crazy Alice: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-08 23:20 UTC

Holder addresses

225

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Crazy Alice ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 225 addresses (2026-05-08 23:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Crazy Alice?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Crazy Alice liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-08 23:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Ask Unhosted AI about Alice

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of May 8, 11:20 PM UTC

FDV

$59,722

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

225

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Crazy Alice (Alice) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (mint: HmMQXCDrMeBv3wzX8wiEK5TkLD1KSpEapc9peR7in5E1) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$59,722. The token appears to have launched very recently — holder count was flat at 9 for the entire prior 30-day window and exploded to 225 within the last 24 hours, indicating a brand-new launch event. Price surged ~114% in 24h but is now pulling back sharply (-39.9% in the last hour, -8.4% in the last 5 minutes). Sell pressure dominates heavily at 80.9% of 24h volume. The token carries very high risk characteristics: zero reported on-chain liquidity, extreme holder concentration, dominant sell-side activity, and a largely loss-making sniper cohort.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h holder growth from 9 to 225 (+2,400%), indicating a brand-new viral launch
  • Price up ~114% in 24h but rapidly reversing with -39.9% in the last hour
  • Extreme sell dominance: 80.9% sell pressure, 3,143 sells vs 855 buys in 24h
  • Top 10 holders control 40.53% of supply; top 100 control 96.47%
  • Reported on-chain liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is in sharp reversal after the 24h spike. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000597 after opening at $0.0000941 — a significant bearish close. The prior candle (22:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at $0.0000918, but the follow-through failed. With 80.9% sell pressure, -39.9% in the last hour, and near-zero liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low

$0.0000300

Target high

$0.0000650

Support

$0.0000447 (candle [3] close / low zone), $0.0000300 (candle [6] low), $0.0000145 (candle [4] open / candle [5] low area)

Resistance

$0.0000597 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.0000918 (candle [2] high/close), $0.0000941 (candle [1] open — recent peak)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a meaningful liquidity base, sustained buying interest, or a catalyst, the token is likely to continue declining from its launch spike. The historical holder stagnation (9 holders for 30 days) suggests no prior community. Medium-term price action will depend entirely on whether new buyers absorb the heavy sell pressure from early holders and snipers.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/website presence noted)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels

Bullish factors

  • 114% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial demand
  • Holder count grew from 9 to 225 in under 24 hours — viral traction
  • Social presence (Twitter, website) suggests some marketing effort
  • Some snipers in profit (e.g., sniper [9] at +117.4%, sniper [6] at +50.7%) may hold rather than dump

Bearish factors

  • 80.9% sell pressure — sellers vastly outnumber buyers (3,143 sells vs 855 buys)
  • Price down -39.9% in the last hour and -8.4% in the last 5 minutes
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Majority of snipers are at a loss, suggesting early buyers are underwater and may capitulate
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, mutable status unclear
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 9 holders before sudden launch activity

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) zero reported on-chain liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) extremely short price history (token appears <24h old), (3) missing sniper cost-basis data preventing precise PnL modeling, and (4) meme token dynamics are inherently unpredictable.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HmMQXC...n5E1
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 Alice

Key Risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size
  • 80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch
  • Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration and dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available (18:00–23:00 UTC, May 8 2026). The token launched from a low base (~$0.0000300 range at 18:00) and spiked aggressively. Candle [6] (18:00): narrow bearish candle, O:$0.0000342 → C:$0.0000300. Candle [5] (19:00): massive wick candle, O:$0.0000358, H:$0.0000388, L:$0.0000061 (capitulation wick), C:$0.0000145 — a bearish hammer/shooting star with extreme lower wick suggesting a flush. Candle [4] (20:00): strong bull candle, O:$0.0000142 → C:$0.0000358, H:$0.0000358 — full recovery from the flush. Candle [3] (21:00): small bearish candle, O:$0.0000490 → C:$0.0000445. Candle [2] (22:00): strong bull engulfing, O:$0.0000465 → C:$0.0000918, H:$0.0000918 — nearly 2x candle. Candle [1] (23:00): bearish reversal, O:$0.0000941 → C:$0.0000597, L:$0.0000547 — a significant bearish close after the spike, suggesting a local top was formed near $0.0000941.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend has turned bearish after the spike to $0.0000941. The most recent candle is a strong bearish reversal candle closing well below its open. Medium-term is sideways/volatile given the token's age — no established trend exists.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

19%

Sell

81%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000547 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000061 (candle [5] absolute low — extreme wick)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000918 (candle [2] high/close)

Major resistance

$0.0000941 (candle [1] open — recent all-time high)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.0000547. A break below this opens the door to the candle [3] close zone at $0.0000445. Major support is the candle [5] wick low at $0.0000061, though this represents an extreme flush scenario. Resistance is clustered at $0.0000918–$0.0000941 (the recent spike zone).

Notable patterns

  • Bearish reversal candle at recent high (candle [1]: open $0.0000941, close $0.0000597 — ~37% intra-candle decline)
  • Bull engulfing candle [2] followed by failed continuation — exhaustion signal
  • Extreme lower wick on candle [5] ($0.0000061 low) indicating a violent flush and recovery — possible wash trade or stop-hunt
  • Volume declining on the most recent candle ($11,259 vs $60,716 prior) — fading buying interest
  • No higher-high confirmation after candle [2] spike — candle [1] made a lower close

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 Alice

FDV

$59,722.10

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved +114% in 24h and is now reversing -39.9% in a single hour. The 6-candle OHLC range spans from $0.0000061 to $0.0000941 — a 15x range in under 6 hours. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's current state.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size
  • 80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch
  • Top 100 holders control 96.47% of supply — extreme concentration and dump risk
  • No verified contract, unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be excluded
  • Price already reversing sharply (-39.9% in 1h) after the initial pump
  • No token description, no verified contract — minimal transparency

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social presence exists (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline trading infrastructure
  • Holder count growing rapidly (225 and rising) — some genuine community interest
  • Top individual holders each hold <3.1% — no single non-LP whale dominates

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

Crazy Alice (Alice) is a brand-new Solana meme token in the early hours of its launch. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump risk characteristics: a dormant pre-launch period, explosive holder growth on day one, extreme sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, and heavy concentration. The bull case relies entirely on viral momentum sustaining and new buyers absorbing the sell pressure. The bear case — which appears more probable given current data — is a rapid price collapse as early holders and snipers exit.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives continued holder growth beyond 225, new liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, and the token establishes a community. Price recovers above $0.0000941 (recent high) and targets higher multiples.

  • Sustained Twitter/social media virality driving new buyer inflow
  • Liquidity addition to PumpSwap pool reducing slippage and enabling larger trades
  • Broader Solana meme coin market tailwind
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Holder count continuing to grow rapidly (already +57 in last hour)

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000300–$0.0000500 range after the initial pump-and-dump cycle. A small community of 300–500 holders forms, trading volume drops significantly, and the token enters a low-activity consolidation phase. Most early buyers are at a loss.

  • Some residual buying interest from social media exposure prevents complete collapse
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap
  • No additional major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Sniper and early holder selling pressure is largely absorbed within 24–48 hours

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure overwhelms the thin liquidity, price collapses back toward launch levels or lower. The token follows the typical meme token lifecycle: pump → dump → abandonment. Most holders are left with significant losses.

  • 80.9% sell pressure with no signs of abating
  • Zero reported liquidity — any selling accelerates price decline
  • 70% of snipers already at a realized loss — capitulation selling likely
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days suggesting coordinated launch with pre-positioned sellers
  • No fundamental value proposition — pure speculation with no described utility

Analysis details

Generated

May 8, 11:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-08 23:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana blockchain)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: vjcFXTZ1vxUHZzFoGB8VcT28isBQKM527UcGrxRcomr)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (6 candles, May 8 2026 18:00–23:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Total sniped USD amounts and sniper cost basis are unknown — precise sniper PnL modeling is not possible
  • Sniper current balances are unknown — sniper concentration percentage cannot be calculated
  • Reported on-chain liquidity of $0.00 may be a data artifact rather than literal zero liquidity
  • Only 6 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend identification
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is <24 hours old — all metrics are based on extremely limited history
  • Historical holder data shows only 9 holders for 30 days prior — no meaningful pre-launch baseline

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Crazy Alice ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 225 addresses (2026-05-08 23:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Crazy Alice?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Crazy Alice liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Crazy Alice (Alice)?

Price is in sharp reversal after the 24h spike. The most recent candle (23:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000597 after opening at $0.0000941 — a significant bearish close. The prior candle (22:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle closing at $0.0000918, but the follow-through failed. With 80.9% sell pressure, -39.9% in the last hour, and near-zero liquidity, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000300 to $0.0000650.

Is Alice a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding Alice?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position size • 80.9% sell pressure with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution phase • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 9 holders — suggests pre-planned coordinated launch

← Back to all predictions

Track Alice