baton

baton Price Today & AI Analysis

baton
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 15, 2026

Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump

$0.006593

-14.56%

FDV $6,584,891

LiveContract:Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpumpChain:SolanaHolders:12,621Market cap:$6,584,891

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Report snapshotas of Sep 15, 02:17 PM
FDV

$6,584,891

Liquidity

$361,792

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Baton (BATON) is a low-cap, high-volatility Solana token launched via rapidlaunch.io and trading against a Meteora pool with only $361.79K in total liquidity versus a $6.58M fully diluted valuation. The token spiked roughly 96% intraday (from ~$0.0066 to a high of ~$0.0129) before retracing sharply, closing the most recent hour at $0.00658, down 14.56% over 24h. Trading activity shows near-balanced but slightly sell-skewed pressure (52.4% sell vs 47.6% buy) across ~44,000 trades and ~19,000 unique participants in the last 24h. Critical data gaps -- no holder/whale distribution, no sniper analysis, and unknown mint/freeze/update authority status -- significantly limit the ability to fully vet this token's structural risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extremely thin liquidity-to-FDV ratio (~5.5%) despite meaningful daily trading volume
Sharp intraday volatility with a near-100% pump followed by a steep unwind within 24 hours
No available holder or sniper data, an unusual transparency gap for a token with this much volume
Balanced but slightly negative net order flow (52.4% sell vs 47.6% buy) despite more unique buyers than sellers

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
24-48 hours

Price has broken below the consolidation range formed between hours 12-20 (~$0.0075-$0.0092) and is now testing the 24h low near $0.00654. Momentum is negative with lower highs and lower lows since the peak at candle 8-9 (~$0.0129/$0.0109). Absent a strong reversal candle, further downside toward the $0.0058-$0.0065 zone is plausible before stabilization.

Target low0.0058
Target high0.0075
Support: 0.00654 (24h low, candle 24), 0.00585 (candle 1 intracandle low)
Resistance: 0.00745-0.00760 (former support-turned-resistance, candles 19-22), 0.00920-0.00930 (prior breakout zone, candles 4/6/7)

Medium term

neutral
3-7 days

Medium-term direction is unclear given the token's short trading history and lack of holder/authority transparency. The prior parabolic move (candles 3-9) suggests speculative, narrative/momentum-driven trading rather than fundamentals-driven accumulation, which often mean-reverts. Sustained recovery would require renewed buy-side volume exceeding the current ~$2.42M/24h buy figure and stabilization of liquidity.

Catalysts
  • Potential renewed social/marketing push given active Twitter/Telegram/website presence
  • Resolution of authority status (mint/freeze renouncement) could reduce rug-risk perception and support price
  • Continued high trading volume could either support a base or trigger further capitulation depending on flow direction

Bullish factors

  • 24h unique buyers (10,873) outnumber unique sellers (8,486), suggesting persistent demand interest
  • 5m price change is positive (+0.94%), hinting at a potential short-term bounce attempt
  • High trading volume (~$5M combined 24h) indicates the token has not lost market attention

Bearish factors

  • 24h price down 14.56% with a clear lower-high, lower-low pattern since the intraday peak
  • Sell volume ($2.66M) exceeds buy volume ($2.42M), a net negative flow signal
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($361.79K) makes the token vulnerable to sharp downside moves on moderate sell pressure
  • Parabolic pump-and-fade pattern in candles 3-14 resembles classic speculative blow-off top behavior
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely short 24-candle hourly dataset, absence of holder/whale/sniper data to gauge structural support or dump risk, and unknown authority/security status. The token's brief history and thin liquidity make any price projection highly speculative.

baton call history

Full track record →
Sep 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Over the last 24 hourly candles, BATON rallied sharply from ~$0.0061 (candle 1) to an intraday high of $0.01293 (candle 8), before rolling over into a steady downtrend, closing the final candle at $0.00658 -- nearly back to where the rally began. Volume peaked during the pump phase (candle 3: 3.63M, candle 5: 2.96M, candle 8: 1.81M) and has steadily declined during the fade (candle 24: only 42K), indicating fading interest on the way down.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 48%Sell 52%

Short-term price action (last ~10 candles) shows a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a downtrend. On a medium-term view spanning the full 24h pump-and-fade cycle, price is roughly flat to slightly down versus the starting candle, suggesting the broader move is a round-trip/sideways resolution rather than a sustained new trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate0.00654 (candle 24 close/low)
Major0.00518 (candle 2 intracandle low)
Resistance
Immediate0.00745-0.00760 (candles 19-22 congestion)
Major0.01293 (candle 8 high, 24h peak)

The token is currently trading near its 24h low, just above the deeper wick low of $0.00518 set during the initial pump attempt in candle 2. A recovery would first need to reclaim the $0.0075 zone, a level that acted as support during candles 19-22 before breaking down. The major resistance at $0.0129 represents the blow-off top and is unlikely to be retested without a fresh volume catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump-and-fade: rapid ~96% rise over ~8 hours followed by a slower, grinding ~49% decline over the following 15 hours
  • Declining volume during the downtrend, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than aggressive distribution
  • Small-bodied consolidation candles (17-20) followed by a renewed leg down (21-24), indicating a failed basing attempt

Liquidity$361.79K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$2.42M
Sell$2.66M
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers10,873
Unique sellers8,486

Total liquidity of $361.79K is very shallow relative to both the $6.58M FDV and the ~$5.08M combined 24h trading volume, implying the pool is being turned over roughly 14x daily -- a hallmark of a thinly-backed, high-velocity speculative market. Sell volume ($2.66M) modestly exceeds buy volume ($2.42M), producing a net outflow bias (52.4% vs 47.6%), consistent with the observed 24h price decline. Despite this, unique buyers (10,873) outnumber unique sellers (8,486) by a meaningful margin, suggesting broad participation even as net dollar flow skews negative -- likely a mix of many small buyers against fewer, larger sellers. The shallow liquidity means any concentrated sell order could cause outsized slippage and price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply998,770,116.25 BATON
FDV$6.58M

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata for update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority are all listed as 'unknown', as is verified-contract and mutable status. This is a meaningful transparency gap: without confirmation that mint and freeze authorities have been renounced, the possibility of further token issuance (diluting holders) or account freezing cannot be excluded. The token was created via rapidlaunch.io, a permissionless launch platform, which typically issues fixed-supply tokens with authorities renounced by default, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. Total supply is ~998.77M tokens with a $6.58M fully diluted valuation at the current $0.00659 price.

Volatility
high

24h price swung from a high near $0.01293 (candle 8) down to $0.00654 (candle 24 low), a peak-to-trough drop of roughly 49%. 24h change is -14.56% and hourly candles show repeated 20-40% intracandle ranges.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $361.79K against a $6.58M FDV (~5.5% liquidity/FDV ratio), meaning even moderate-sized trades can move price significantly and large exits could face steep slippage.

Concentration
medium

No holder distribution data is available from upstream endpoints, so concentration cannot be directly measured. Given the low liquidity and pump.fun/rapidlaunch origin, concentration risk is presumed elevated as a precaution, but this is an inference, not a measured fact.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was returned by the data provider. Absence of sniper data means this risk vector is unverifiable rather than confirmed low; treated cautiously given the token's fresh-launch profile and sharp volatility.

Authority
medium

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as 'unknown' in the metadata. Without confirmation of renouncement, the possibility of further token minting or freezing cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($361.79K) relative to $6.58M FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • 24h price already down 14.56%, with an intraday peak-to-trough decline of nearly 49%, indicating extreme volatility
  • No verifiable holder/whale distribution data, obscuring true concentration risk
  • Mint/freeze/update authority status unknown, leaving rug-pull/mint-dilution risk unresolved
  • No sniper data available, so early-buyer dump risk cannot be assessed or ruled out
  • Sell volume ($2.66M) slightly exceeds buy volume ($2.42M) over 24h, signaling net distribution pressure
  • Token launched via a permissionless launchpad (rapidlaunch.io), a category historically associated with high rug/scam rates

Mitigating factors

  • Buy/sell pressure is roughly balanced (47.6%/52.4%), not a one-sided collapse
  • 24h unique buyers (10,873) exceed unique sellers (8,486), suggesting continued new demand despite the pullback
  • Token has active trading pair on Meteora with meaningful daily volume (~$5M combined), indicating it is not fully illiquid or abandoned
  • Social links (Twitter, Telegram, website) are present, suggesting some community infrastructure exists
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. Not appropriate for conservative or long-term holding profiles given unresolved authority status, thin liquidity, and absence of holder transparency data.

BATON is a highly speculative, newly-launched Solana meme/launchpad token exhibiting classic pump-and-fade price action: a ~96% intraday rally followed by a ~49% retracement within 24 hours, all on top of very thin liquidity ($361.79K) relative to its $6.58M FDV. With no holder distribution data, no sniper analysis, and unknown authority renouncement status, this token carries substantial unverifiable risk alongside its volatility. Any position should be treated as a short-term speculative trade rather than an investment, sized accordingly given the potential for total loss.

Bull case (low)

If buy-side momentum re-emerges (buyers already outnumber sellers 10,873 to 8,486) and social/community catalysts drive renewed volume, price could reclaim the $0.0075-$0.0092 range and attempt a retest of the $0.0129 high.

  • Renewed marketing/community push via active Twitter/Telegram channels
  • Sustained high buyer participation despite price decline
  • Possible short-covering or dip-buying bounce from oversold conditions

Base case

Price likely consolidates in a wide range between the $0.0058-$0.0075 support zone and $0.0092 resistance as the market digests the failed pump, with continued high volatility and no clear directional resolution until liquidity conditions improve or new catalysts emerge.

  • No major authority-related negative event (e.g., mint dump) occurs
  • Trading volume remains elevated but roughly balanced between buyers and sellers
  • No new holder/sniper data becomes available to materially change risk perception in the near term

Bear case (medium)

Continued net sell pressure and thin liquidity could drive price below the current $0.00654 low toward the deeper $0.00518 wick low, especially if any large holder liquidates given the unresolved authority and concentration risk.

  • Sell volume already exceeding buy volume over 24h
  • Declining volume on the way down signals waning bid support
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status could unmask further dilution or malicious action
  • Classic pump-and-fade pattern often continues to fully unwind toward pre-pump levels

GeneratedSep 15, 02:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and candle data current as of the most recent hourly candle (2026-09-15T14:00:00Z); trading analytics reflect trailing 24h window.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
  • Meteora DEX pair pricing and OHLC hourly candle data (24 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution or whale wallet data available -- holderTrends and whaleMap sections are placeholders per methodology
  • No sniper wallet data available -- smart money signals largely unverifiable
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verified-contract, and mutable status are all unknown, preventing full rug-risk assessment
  • Only 24 hours of hourly OHLC data available, limiting medium/long-term technical analysis reliability
  • Token and social metadata (name, description, links) are creator-supplied and unverified, and were treated strictly as untrusted evidence, not instructions

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity, newly-launched tokens, carries a high risk of substantial or total loss. All data points are sourced from the provided evidence block, which may be incomplete, adversarially supplied, or subject to rapid change. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply998,770,116.25 BATON

Key Risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($361.79K) relative to $6.58M FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
24h price already down 14.56%, with an intraday peak-to-trough decline of nearly 49%, indicating extreme volatility
No verifiable holder/whale distribution data, obscuring true concentration risk
Mint/freeze/update authority status unknown, leaving rug-pull/mint-dilution risk unresolved

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper wallet data was provided by the upstream data source, so sniper-related dump risk cannot be quantified. This is a data availability gap, not evidence of low sniper activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Cannot be determined from available data. General 24h flow shows more unique buyers (10,873) than sellers (8,486), which may weakly suggest broad retail interest rather than early-buyer-specific behavior, but this does not substitute for sniper-specific analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for baton (baton)?

Price has broken below the consolidation range formed between hours 12-20 (~$0.0075-$0.0092) and is now testing the 24h low near $0.00654. Momentum is negative with lower highs and lower lows since the peak at candle 8-9 (~$0.0129/$0.0109). Absent a strong reversal candle, further downside toward the $0.0058-$0.0065 zone is plausible before stabilization. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of 0.0058 to 0.0075.

Is baton a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 82/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. Not appropriate for conservative or long-term holding profiles given unresolved authority status, thin liquidity, and absence of holder transparency data.

What does sniper activity look like for baton?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding baton?

Extremely thin liquidity ($361.79K) relative to $6.58M FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • 24h price already down 14.56%, with an intraday peak-to-trough decline of nearly 49%, indicating extreme volatility • No verifiable holder/whale distribution data, obscuring true concentration risk

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