Starwars

Star Wars Foundation Price Prediction 2026

Starwars
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 4, 2026

HJPCJGoTgAcmog1QGWsZa9zBrkn6qYdwg6gtcLKopump

$0.051713

FDV $1,711

LiveContract:HJPCJGoTgAcmog1QGWsZa9zBrkn6qYdwg6gtcLKopumpChain:SolanaHolders:135Market cap:$1,711

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Report snapshotas of May 4, 05:50 AM
FDV

$34,625

Liquidity

$0

Holders

669

Snipers

35

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Star Wars Foundation (Starwars) is a meme/charity token launched on May 4th, 2026 ('Star Wars Day') on the Solana PumpSwap DEX. The token claims to direct 100% of fees to the Starlight Children Foundation for Star Wars-themed hospital gowns. With a fully diluted valuation of ~$34,625 and a current price of $0.0000346, this is an extremely early-stage, micro-cap token that launched within the last 24 hours. It exhibits classic pump-and-dump price action, heavy sell pressure (69.7% sell volume), and a rapidly growing but still tiny holder base of 669 wallets.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Charity-themed narrative tied to Star Wars Day (May 4th) providing a cultural catalyst
Extremely recent launch — holder base grew from 6 to 669 in under 24 hours (+99%)
Heavy sell pressure dominates: 69.7% sell volume vs 30.3% buy volume in 24h
Top holder (PumpSwap LP address) controls 19.56% of supply
20 identified snipers, majority in profit — elevated dump risk from early buyers

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already shed ~57% from its hourly high of $0.0000912 to the current price of $0.0000346. The most recent candle (05:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000804, hit a high of $0.0000912, and closed at $0.0000346 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. The 5-minute change is -30.99% and 1-hour change is -36.88%, indicating accelerating selling. With 69.7% sell pressure and most snipers in profit, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low$0.0000200
Target high$0.0000550
Support: $0.0000273 (24h low from candle [1] and [2]), $0.0000200 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.0000550 (mid-range between current and recent open), $0.0000804 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.0000912 (candle [2] high — all-time high observed)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new exchange listings, or viral charity narrative traction, the token is likely to continue declining toward its launch-price floor. Meme tokens with this profile (micro-cap, heavy sniper activity, no verified contract, no locked liquidity) typically retrace 80–95% from peak within days. A recovery is possible only if the Star Wars Day narrative goes viral or the charity angle attracts genuine community support.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction around Star Wars Day (May 4th) charity narrative
  • New DEX listings or influencer promotion
  • Sniper sell-off completion creating a capitulation bottom and potential bounce
  • Genuine charity partnership announcement or proof of donation

Bullish factors

  • Culturally resonant Star Wars Day (May 4th) launch timing
  • Holder count surged +663 in 24h — genuine community interest forming
  • Charity narrative (Starlight Children Foundation) may attract altruistic buyers
  • 2,005 buys in 24h shows some demand exists

Bearish factors

  • 69.7% sell volume dominance ($170.74K sells vs $74.18K buys)
  • Price down -14.18% in 24h, -36.88% in 1h, -30.99% in 5 minutes — accelerating decline
  • 20 snipers, majority in profit (many with 50–124% realized PnL) — significant dump risk remains
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extremely shallow or missing liquidity data
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false but authority status unclear
  • Top 10 holders control 38.22% of supply — concentrated distribution
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity data shows $0.00 total liquidity (likely a data gap), and the sniper cost basis is unknown. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (04:00 UTC): O=$0.0000310, H=$0.0001049, L=$0.0000273, C=$0.0000803 — a strong bullish candle with a large upper wick, suggesting initial pump with partial rejection. Candle [1] (05:00 UTC): O=$0.0000804, H=$0.0000912, L=$0.0000273, C=$0.0000346 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star candle that opened near the prior close, briefly made a new high, then collapsed to close near the session low. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candlestick sequence: a spike candle followed by a bearish reversal candle closing near lows.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

The 2-candle history shows a clear short-term downtrend after an initial pump. The close of $0.0000346 is significantly below the session high of $0.0001049, and real-time data confirms -36.88% in 1h and -30.99% in 5m. No medium-term trend data is available given the token's age, but the trajectory is firmly bearish.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000273 (session low from both candles)
Major$0.0000200 (psychological level below session lows)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000550 (midpoint between current price and candle [1] open)
Major$0.0000912 (all-time high from candle [2])

The session low of $0.0000273 has been tested twice (in both candles) and represents the most critical support level. A break below this would signal further capitulation. The all-time high of $0.0001049 (candle [2] high) is the major resistance. Current price of $0.0000346 sits just above the double-tested support.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1] — strong reversal signal after pump
  • Double-bottom test at $0.0000273 support across both candles
  • Classic pump-and-dump candlestick sequence: spike candle followed by collapse candle
  • Upper wicks on both candles indicate strong selling pressure at highs
  • Price closing near session lows on candle [1] signals bear control

Total holders669
24h Δ+99
7d Δ+99
30d Δ+99
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price in the short term — the token launched with 6 holders and exploded to 669 holders (+663, +99%) within 24 hours, yet price is down -14.18% over the same period. This suggests new buyers are entering at lower prices as early holders distribute, a classic distribution pattern. The +151 holders in the last hour (+23%) while price fell -36.88% in 1h confirms buyers are accumulating the dip but not yet reversing the price trend.

The historical holder data shows the token had exactly 6 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 4 to May 3, 2026 — indicating the token was dormant or pre-launch for nearly a month. All 663 net new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, with 151 joining in the last hour alone. This explosive growth from 6 to 669 holders is entirely driven by the May 4th Star Wars Day launch event. Growth is accelerating (151 new holders in the last hour vs. the prior 23 hours absorbing 512). However, the holder base remains tiny at 669 total, and the acquisition method shows 670 via swap and -1 via transfer, confirming all holders bought in through DEX trading.

Top 10 hold38.22%
Top 100 hold77.91%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

8zrcifXxQ1VJD9DH3H7fc7aV5beYMVsEMPm5Yr4xEWzX

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

19.56%

8aiTChyibnZyAD83BcNkaccy5QJJroAuC4psFffgz7qm

Individual whale / early buyer

3.59%

ARzPbcnTJTetxXRi5DNBoEi7b2DgguM9kWLxWRJVZUMP

Individual whale / early buyer

3.09%

5qzWSVW93ZZjVDdCFBuoeCoxJayux2B8xY7etXMy4PA1

Individual whale / early buyer

2.91%

bGmocTx8Rr56TSSyJAm6q2i2wR3eBMkaNDtxhuXU9i4

Individual whale / early buyer

1.90%

The top holder at 19.56% is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (8zrcifXxQ1VJD9DH3H7fc7aV5beYMVsEMPm5Yr4xEWzX — identical to the trading pair address in the price data), which is expected and represents locked liquidity in the AMM. Excluding the LP, the top 9 non-LP holders control ~18.66% of supply. Holders #2 through #20 appear to be individual wallets (whales/early buyers) with no obvious CEX or project treasury classification. The distribution shows 170 whales, 82 sharks, 256 dolphins, 96 fish, and 17 octopus wallets. Top 100 holders control 77.91% of supply — highly concentrated for a token with only 669 holders. The overall sentiment is distributing, consistent with the 69.7% sell volume dominance.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported — likely a data gap; token trades on PumpSwap pair 8zrcifXxQ1VJD9DH3H7fc7aV5beYMVsEMPm5Yr4xEWzX)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$74,180
Sell$170,740
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers736
Unique sellers1,499

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is almost certainly a data retrieval gap rather than literal zero liquidity, as the token is actively trading with $244.9K in 24h volume. However, given the FDV of only ~$34,625, actual liquidity depth is expected to be extremely shallow — likely a few hundred to low thousands of dollars in the AMM pool. Slippage risk is high for any trade above a few hundred dollars. Net flow is strongly negative: $170.74K in sells vs $74.18K in buys, a 2.3:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Unique sellers (1,499) outnumber unique buyers (736) by 2:1, confirming broad distribution pressure. The market health is poor with dominant sell-side pressure and insufficient buy-side absorption.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,999.256342
FDV$34,625.35

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens, a standard PumpFun/meme token supply. The FDV of $34,625 is extremely low, placing this firmly in micro-cap territory. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched via PumpSwap (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address: HJPCJGoTgAcmog1QGWsZa9zBrkn6qYdwg6gtcLKopump), which typically burns mint authority upon graduation. However, this cannot be confirmed without on-chain authority account inspection. The charity claim (100% of fees to Starlight Children Foundation) is unverifiable from on-chain data alone — no smart contract enforcement of fee routing is evident.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -36.88% in 1 hour and -30.99% in 5 minutes. The token swung from $0.0000273 to $0.0001049 and back within 2 hours — a 285% range. Extreme volatility is inherent to micro-cap meme tokens in their first 24 hours.

Liquidity
high

Reported liquidity is $0.00 (data gap likely), but given FDV of $34,625, actual pool depth is minimal. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 38.22% of supply; top 100 control 77.91%. With only 669 total holders, the token is highly concentrated. Excluding the LP pool (19.56%), individual whales hold significant positions that could be dumped at any time.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified, 14 of 20 in profit (up to 124.3% realized PnL). Several snipers have already sold hundreds of dollars worth, but some still hold positions. The combination of profitable snipers with remaining balances and the 69.7% sell volume dominance indicates ongoing distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown'; contract is unverified. Mutable=false is a positive signal. The 'pump' suffix in the mint address suggests PumpFun origin where mint authority is typically burned, but this is unconfirmed. Freeze authority status is also unknown, creating residual rug risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — -36.88% in 1 hour with no sign of stabilization
  • Dominant sell pressure (69.7% sell volume, 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio)
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
  • Unverified smart contract with no on-chain enforcement of charity fee claims
  • Micro-cap FDV ($34,625) with shallow liquidity — high slippage on exit
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days before launch — suspicious pre-launch period
  • Charity narrative is unverifiable and may be used as marketing without genuine intent
  • 20 profitable snipers with remaining sell pressure overhead

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap origin typically involves mint authority burn upon graduation
  • Cultural catalyst (Star Wars Day, May 4th) provides genuine narrative momentum
  • Rapid holder growth (+663 in 24h) shows real community interest forming
  • Charity angle (Starlight Children Foundation) is a real, established organization
  • Double-tested support at $0.0000273 may provide a floor
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative, moderate, or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be minimal (lottery-ticket allocation only). This is not an investment — it is a speculative trade on a meme token in its first 24 hours of existence.

Star Wars Foundation (Starwars) is a high-risk, ultra-speculative meme token launched on May 4th, 2026 with a charity narrative. The token is in active price discovery within its first 24 hours, exhibiting classic pump-and-dump dynamics. The bull case relies entirely on viral narrative momentum; the bear case is supported by on-chain data showing dominant sell pressure, sniper profits, and micro-cap illiquidity.

Bull case (low)

The Star Wars Day charity narrative goes viral on social media, attracting a wave of retail buyers and influencer attention. The Starlight Children Foundation connection lends legitimacy, driving sustained buying that absorbs sniper sell pressure and pushes the token to new highs. Community forms around the charity mission, creating a longer-term holder base.

  • Viral Star Wars Day (May 4th) social media traction
  • Influencer or KOL promotion of the charity angle
  • Proof of actual charity donation creating trust and FOMO
  • Capitulation bottom forming at $0.0000273 support leading to reversal
  • Broader Solana meme coin market momentum

Base case

The token experiences a brief stabilization near current levels ($0.0000273–$0.0000400) as the initial sniper dump completes. A small but engaged community forms around the Star Wars Day theme, providing modest buying support. The token trades in a low-volume range for days to weeks before gradually fading as the cultural moment passes, ultimately settling well below its launch-day high.

  • Sniper sell pressure largely exhausts within 24–48 hours
  • A core community of 500–1,000 holders maintains minimal buy support
  • No major influencer promotion or viral moment occurs
  • Liquidity remains thin, keeping price action choppy and unpredictable
  • Charity narrative provides soft floor but insufficient to drive sustained appreciation

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate as snipers and early whales distribute their holdings. The charity narrative fails to gain traction, the token fades into obscurity, and price collapses toward or below the $0.0000273 support level. With no locked liquidity and unknown authority status, a complete loss of value is possible.

  • Continued 69.7% sell volume dominance overwhelming buy-side
  • Sniper and whale distribution into any price recovery
  • Lack of verified contract or on-chain charity fee enforcement eroding trust
  • Micro-cap illiquidity accelerating price decline on large sells
  • Token dormancy for 30 days pre-launch raises questions about launch mechanics

GeneratedMay 4, 05:50 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-04T05:00 UTC (most recent hourly candle). Holder data reflects current snapshot. Historical holder series covers April 4 – May 3, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: HJPCJGoTgAcmog1QGWsZa9zBrkn6qYdwg6gtcLKopump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (pair: 8zrcifXxQ1VJD9DH3H7fc7aV5beYMVsEMPm5Yr4xEWzX)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (669 holders, top 20 balances)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, realized PnL data)
  • Token metadata (supply, FDV, social links, description)
  • Moralis and Twitter social link data

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data gap, actual liquidity unknown
  • Sniper individual purchase amounts unknown — concentration percentage estimated
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Charity fee routing is unverifiable from on-chain data alone
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics — likely a data artifact given observed price movement

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price action and on-chain metrics do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,999.256342

Key Risks

Extreme price volatility — -36.88% in 1 hour with no sign of stabilization
Dominant sell pressure (69.7% sell volume, 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio)
Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
Unverified smart contract with no on-chain enforcement of charity fee claims

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. The majority (14/20) are in profit with realized PnL percentages ranging from 1.7% to 124.3%, indicating early buyers entered at very low prices and have been selling into strength. The exact sniper supply concentration is unknown as individual snipe amounts are not provided, but estimated at ~2% of total supply based on typical PumpFun sniper behavior. The high proportion of profitable snipers who have already sold (many showing $hundreds in realized sales) suggests the primary sniper dump may be partially complete, but remaining holders with unrealized gains still pose overhead supply risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper cost basis unknown; 14 of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL ranging from 1.7% to 124.3%. Notable high-profit snipers: Ar2Y6o1Q (124.3%), LhLcjgTL (102.3%), kEFiAX3j (100.1%), Hz8nhos5 (86.9%). Only 1 sniper (22SoGrHV) shows a loss at -4.2%. 4 snipers show 0% realized PnL (likely still holding or no sells recorded).

Mixed-to-bearish. Most snipers who entered early have already taken profits (sold $4 to $917 each). A few snipers still hold positions (balance >$0) with unrealized gains, representing continued sell pressure. Only one sniper is at a loss, suggesting the entry prices were very low and most early buyers are comfortable selling.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Star Wars Foundation (Starwars)?

The token has already shed ~57% from its hourly high of $0.0000912 to the current price of $0.0000346. The most recent candle (05:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000804, hit a high of $0.0000912, and closed at $0.0000346 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. The 5-minute change is -30.99% and 1-hour change is -36.88%, indicating accelerating selling. With 69.7% sell pressure and most snipers in profit, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000200 to $0.0000550.

Is Starwars a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for conservative, moderate, or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be minimal (lottery-ticket allocation only). This is not an investment — it is a speculative trade on a meme token in its first 24 hours of existence.

How are Starwars holders trending?

Star Wars Foundation currently has 669 holders and is growing (24h: 99, 7d: 99, 30d: 99). The historical holder data shows the token had exactly 6 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 4 to May 3, 2026 — indicating the token was dormant or pre-launch for nearly a month. All 663 net new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, with 151 joining in the last hour alone. This explosive growth from 6 to 669 holders is entirely driven by the May 4th Star Wars Day launch event. Growth is accelerating (151 new holders in the last hour vs. the prior 23 hours absorbing 512). However, the holder base remains tiny at 669 total, and the acquisition method shows 670 via swap and -1 via transfer, confirming all holders bought in through DEX trading.

What does sniper activity look like for Starwars?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Starwars?

Extreme price volatility — -36.88% in 1 hour with no sign of stabilization • Dominant sell pressure (69.7% sell volume, 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio) • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential rug pull vector

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