CHALK

chalk Price Today & AI Analysis

CHALKSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 5, 2026

Price

$0.052589

FDV $2,530

Contract

Live
H8My9f7d1Y7KseFvzRENEAHox2T16FkiwdXjLSASpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

124

Market cap

$2,530

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chalk: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-05 20:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$32,019.06
How concentrated is chalk ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling chalk?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is chalk liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-05 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $32,019.06. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-05 20:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 5, 08:17 PM UTC

FDV

$60,983

Liquidity

$32,019.06

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

CHALK (chalk) is a Solana meme/micro-cap token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$59–61K and total liquidity of only $32K. The token has experienced extreme intraday volatility — surging from ~$0.000041 to a high of ~$0.000422 within a 3-hour window before collapsing back to ~$0.000062, a drawdown of roughly 85% from peak. The 5-minute and 1-hour price changes of -60% signal a sharp post-pump dump in progress. Trading volume over 24h is substantial relative to market cap (~$2.46M combined), but liquidity is dangerously thin at $32K, creating severe slippage risk. No sniper data is available. Holder and whale distribution data is unavailable from the upstream source.

Key points

  • Extreme intraday volatility: ~10x pump followed by ~85% retrace within 3 hours
  • Very thin liquidity ($32K) relative to 24h volume ($2.46M), creating high slippage risk
  • Slightly more sell transactions (9,490) than buy transactions (8,380) in 24h
  • Mutable flag is false, suggesting immutable metadata
  • Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • No verified contract; no sniper data available

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a sharp post-pump retrace. The most recent candle (20:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000605, well below its hourly high of $0.000422. The current price of ~$0.0000624 is near the candle close, and the -60% moves in both the 5m and 1h windows confirm aggressive selling pressure. Short-term direction is bearish unless a new catalyst emerges. Support is thin given the shallow liquidity pool.

Target low

$0.000039

Target high

$0.000095

Support

$0.000044 (candle [1] low), $0.000039 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.000095 (candle [3] high / candle [2] open area), $0.000156 (candle [3] high), $0.000201 (candle [1] open)

Medium term · 1–7 days

neutral

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. The token's FDV of ~$59K and $32K liquidity make it susceptible to complete collapse or another speculative pump. Without sustained buyer interest, organic utility, or community growth, price is likely to drift lower or remain highly volatile. A recovery above $0.000156 would be needed to signal renewed momentum.

Catalysts

  • New social media attention or viral moment driving fresh buy volume
  • Liquidity additions deepening the pool and reducing slippage
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h volume ($2.46M) relative to tiny FDV (~$59K) shows speculative interest
  • More unique buyers (2,410) than unique sellers (2,206) in 24h
  • Token has social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • Mutable metadata is false, reducing one manipulation vector
  • Price is near multi-candle lows, potential oversold bounce zone

Bearish factors

  • Price down ~60% in both 5m and 1h windows — active dump in progress
  • Liquidity only $32K — extremely shallow, high slippage on any meaningful exit
  • More sell transactions (9,490) than buy transactions (8,380)
  • FDV of ~$59K is micro-cap with no verified contract
  • Update authority unknown — cannot confirm authority renouncement
  • No sniper data available, early buyer behavior unknown
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle pattern visible in OHLC data

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing very limited technical history. No holder data, no sniper data, and no on-chain fundamentals beyond basic trading analytics are available. The extreme volatility and thin liquidity make any price target highly speculative.

CHALK call history

Full track record →

Aug 5bearish
24h-96.7%
7d-96.8%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
H8My9f...pump
Total Supply
977,682,114.39

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed
  • No verified contract

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (18:00 UTC): O=$0.0000417, H=$0.000156, L=$0.0000390, C=$0.0000856 — a strong bullish candle with a long upper wick, closing near the midpoint of its range. Candle [2] (19:00 UTC): O=$0.0000875, H=$0.000394, L=$0.0000555, C=$0.000192 — a massive range candle (4.5x from low to high) closing in the upper half, suggesting a speculative pump with partial profit-taking. Candle [1] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.000201, H=$0.000422, L=$0.0000442, C=$0.0000605 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star candle: opened near the prior close, spiked to an all-time visible high of $0.000422, then collapsed to close near the session low. This is a textbook pump-and-dump candle pattern. Volume peaked in candle [2] at $1.21M, declining slightly in candle [1] to $560K, confirming distribution at the top.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is a sharp downtrend following the spike high of $0.000422. The medium-term trend is sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history. The price action is characteristic of a speculative micro-cap pump followed by rapid distribution.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000044 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000039 (candle [3] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000095 (candle [3] high / prior consolidation)

Major resistance

$0.000422 (candle [1] all-time visible high)

The $0.000039–$0.000044 zone represents the lowest wicks across the 3-candle window and is the primary support. Immediate resistance is the $0.000095 area (candle [3] high). The $0.000422 spike high is a major overhead resistance that would require extraordinary buying pressure to revisit.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1]: opened at $0.000201, spiked to $0.000422, closed at $0.000061 — classic distribution signal
  • Three consecutive candles with higher highs (pump phase) followed by sharp reversal
  • Volume climax at candle [2] ($1.21M) preceding the top — distribution volume pattern
  • Long upper wicks on all three candles indicating persistent selling pressure at highs
  • Candle [1] close ($0.0000605) is below candle [3] open ($0.0000417) adjusted — price has essentially round-tripped the entire pump

Liquidity

Liquidity

$32,019.06

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $32K against a 24h trading volume of ~$2.46M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 77:1. This means the pool is being churned at an extreme rate, and any moderately sized exit will cause severe price impact. Slippage risk is high for any position above a few hundred dollars. Net flow is slightly negative: sell volume ($1.25M) exceeds buy volume ($1.21M) and sell transactions (9,490) exceed buy transactions (8,380), though unique buyers (2,410) outnumber unique sellers (2,206), suggesting some sellers are more active/larger per transaction. The pair trades on PumpSwap (xnjbjzuxcLip4BuLBcDPE9nfBLEyMiJKCC2dQxu71GF). The FDV of ~$59K vs $32K liquidity means roughly 54% of the FDV is in the liquidity pool — unusually high ratio for a token, but still tiny in absolute terms.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

977,682,114.39

FDV

$59,160–$60,983

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from ~$0.000039 to $0.000422 and back to ~$0.000062 within 3 hours — an ~85% drawdown from peak. The 5m and 1h price changes are both -60%. Extreme volatility is the defining characteristic of this token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $32K on PumpSwap. With 24h volume of $2.46M, the pool is being turned over ~77x per day. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face severe slippage on exit.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed
  • No verified contract
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle pattern in OHLC data
  • No holder or whale distribution data available
  • No sniper data — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$59K) with no demonstrated utility or fundamentals

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable metadata flag is false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Token has social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • More unique buyers (2,410) than unique sellers (2,206) in 24h
  • No sniper data suggests possible absence of coordinated early sniper activity
  • 24h volume ($2.46M) shows genuine speculative interest
  • Price near multi-candle lows may reduce immediate downside from current levels

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand micro-cap meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire position. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and a visible pump-and-dump price pattern makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

CHALK is a micro-cap Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a ~$59K FDV and $32K liquidity. It has exhibited a textbook pump-and-dump price pattern within a 3-hour window, with price surging ~10x before collapsing ~85% from peak. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no verified contract, no utility, no holder data, and no confirmed authority renouncement. The only bullish angle is a potential oversold bounce or renewed speculative interest. The base and bear cases both point to continued price weakness.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A renewed wave of social media attention or a broader Solana meme-coin rally drives fresh retail buying. The token finds support at the $0.000039–$0.000044 zone and stages a recovery toward $0.000156–$0.000201. Liquidity deepens as the token gains traction, reducing slippage risk.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana ecosystem meme-coin rotation
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool

Base Case

CHALK stabilizes in the $0.000039–$0.000070 range with sporadic low-volume trading. It neither recovers meaningfully nor collapses to zero immediately, but gradually loses relevance as attention moves to newer tokens. FDV remains below $70K.

  • No major new catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Existing liquidity ($32K) remains roughly stable
  • Sell pressure from early buyers gradually exhausts
  • Token retains minimal social community activity

Bear Case

High probability

The pump-and-dump cycle completes with early buyers fully exiting. Volume dries up, liquidity is withdrawn, and the token drifts toward zero or becomes illiquid. The $32K liquidity pool is insufficient to support any meaningful recovery.

  • Early buyers/insiders completing distribution at current prices
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • No new catalysts or community growth
  • Broader market risk-off sentiment
  • Unknown authority risk materializing

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 5, 08:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-05 20:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: H8My9f7d1Y7KseFvzRENEAHox2T16FkiwdXjLSASpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (xnjbjzuxcLip4BuLBcDPE9nfBLEyMiJKCC2dQxu71GF)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 18:00–20:00 UTC 2026-08-05)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL-denominated)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count or distribution data (upstream endpoints retired)
  • No whale/concentration data available
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority status
  • No verified contract — on-chain code not audited
  • 6h and 24h price change data shows 0% which may indicate a data anomaly or reporting artifact
  • FDV range shows slight discrepancy between metadata ($60,983) and analytics ($59,160) — likely due to price feed timing

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in CHALK. All data is sourced from on-chain and third-party analytics and may contain errors or delays. Past price action does not predict future performance. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is chalk ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling chalk?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is chalk liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-05 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $32,019.06. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for chalk (CHALK)?

The token is in a sharp post-pump retrace. The most recent candle (20:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000605, well below its hourly high of $0.000422. The current price of ~$0.0000624 is near the candle close, and the -60% moves in both the 5m and 1h windows confirm aggressive selling pressure. Short-term direction is bearish unless a new catalyst emerges. Support is thin given the shallow liquidity pool. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000039 to $0.000095.

Is CHALK a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand micro-cap meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire position. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and a visible pump-and-dump price pattern makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What are the key risks of holding CHALK?

Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours • Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed

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