CHALK

chalk Price Prediction 2026

CHALK
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 5, 2026

H8My9f7d1Y7KseFvzRENEAHox2T16FkiwdXjLSASpump

$0.046237

+13.43%

FDV $60,983

LiveContract:H8My9f7d1Y7KseFvzRENEAHox2T16FkiwdXjLSASpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,389Market cap:$60,983

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Ask Unhosted AI about CHALK

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 5, 08:17 PM
FDV

$60,983

Liquidity

$32,019

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

CHALK (chalk) is a Solana meme/micro-cap token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$59–61K and total liquidity of only $32K. The token has experienced extreme intraday volatility — surging from ~$0.000041 to a high of ~$0.000422 within a 3-hour window before collapsing back to ~$0.000062, a drawdown of roughly 85% from peak. The 5-minute and 1-hour price changes of -60% signal a sharp post-pump dump in progress. Trading volume over 24h is substantial relative to market cap (~$2.46M combined), but liquidity is dangerously thin at $32K, creating severe slippage risk. No sniper data is available. Holder and whale distribution data is unavailable from the upstream source.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme intraday volatility: ~10x pump followed by ~85% retrace within 3 hours
Very thin liquidity ($32K) relative to 24h volume ($2.46M), creating high slippage risk
Slightly more sell transactions (9,490) than buy transactions (8,380) in 24h
Mutable flag is false, suggesting immutable metadata
Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
No verified contract; no sniper data available

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a sharp post-pump retrace. The most recent candle (20:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000605, well below its hourly high of $0.000422. The current price of ~$0.0000624 is near the candle close, and the -60% moves in both the 5m and 1h windows confirm aggressive selling pressure. Short-term direction is bearish unless a new catalyst emerges. Support is thin given the shallow liquidity pool.

Target low$0.000039
Target high$0.000095
Support: $0.000044 (candle [1] low), $0.000039 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.000095 (candle [3] high / candle [2] open area), $0.000156 (candle [3] high), $0.000201 (candle [1] open)

Medium term

neutral
1–7 days

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. The token's FDV of ~$59K and $32K liquidity make it susceptible to complete collapse or another speculative pump. Without sustained buyer interest, organic utility, or community growth, price is likely to drift lower or remain highly volatile. A recovery above $0.000156 would be needed to signal renewed momentum.

Catalysts
  • New social media attention or viral moment driving fresh buy volume
  • Liquidity additions deepening the pool and reducing slippage
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h volume ($2.46M) relative to tiny FDV (~$59K) shows speculative interest
  • More unique buyers (2,410) than unique sellers (2,206) in 24h
  • Token has social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • Mutable metadata is false, reducing one manipulation vector
  • Price is near multi-candle lows, potential oversold bounce zone

Bearish factors

  • Price down ~60% in both 5m and 1h windows — active dump in progress
  • Liquidity only $32K — extremely shallow, high slippage on any meaningful exit
  • More sell transactions (9,490) than buy transactions (8,380)
  • FDV of ~$59K is micro-cap with no verified contract
  • Update authority unknown — cannot confirm authority renouncement
  • No sniper data available, early buyer behavior unknown
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle pattern visible in OHLC data
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing very limited technical history. No holder data, no sniper data, and no on-chain fundamentals beyond basic trading analytics are available. The extreme volatility and thin liquidity make any price target highly speculative.

CHALK call history

Full track record →
Aug 5bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (18:00 UTC): O=$0.0000417, H=$0.000156, L=$0.0000390, C=$0.0000856 — a strong bullish candle with a long upper wick, closing near the midpoint of its range. Candle [2] (19:00 UTC): O=$0.0000875, H=$0.000394, L=$0.0000555, C=$0.000192 — a massive range candle (4.5x from low to high) closing in the upper half, suggesting a speculative pump with partial profit-taking. Candle [1] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.000201, H=$0.000422, L=$0.0000442, C=$0.0000605 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star candle: opened near the prior close, spiked to an all-time visible high of $0.000422, then collapsed to close near the session low. This is a textbook pump-and-dump candle pattern. Volume peaked in candle [2] at $1.21M, declining slightly in candle [1] to $560K, confirming distribution at the top.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 49%Sell 51%

The short-term trend is a sharp downtrend following the spike high of $0.000422. The medium-term trend is sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history. The price action is characteristic of a speculative micro-cap pump followed by rapid distribution.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000044 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000039 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000095 (candle [3] high / prior consolidation)
Major$0.000422 (candle [1] all-time visible high)

The $0.000039–$0.000044 zone represents the lowest wicks across the 3-candle window and is the primary support. Immediate resistance is the $0.000095 area (candle [3] high). The $0.000422 spike high is a major overhead resistance that would require extraordinary buying pressure to revisit.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1]: opened at $0.000201, spiked to $0.000422, closed at $0.000061 — classic distribution signal
  • Three consecutive candles with higher highs (pump phase) followed by sharp reversal
  • Volume climax at candle [2] ($1.21M) preceding the top — distribution volume pattern
  • Long upper wicks on all three candles indicating persistent selling pressure at highs
  • Candle [1] close ($0.0000605) is below candle [3] open ($0.0000417) adjusted — price has essentially round-tripped the entire pump

Liquidity$32,020
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$1,210,000
Sell$1,250,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,410
Unique sellers2,206

Liquidity is critically shallow at $32K against a 24h trading volume of ~$2.46M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 77:1. This means the pool is being churned at an extreme rate, and any moderately sized exit will cause severe price impact. Slippage risk is high for any position above a few hundred dollars. Net flow is slightly negative: sell volume ($1.25M) exceeds buy volume ($1.21M) and sell transactions (9,490) exceed buy transactions (8,380), though unique buyers (2,410) outnumber unique sellers (2,206), suggesting some sellers are more active/larger per transaction. The pair trades on PumpSwap (xnjbjzuxcLip4BuLBcDPE9nfBLEyMiJKCC2dQxu71GF). The FDV of ~$59K vs $32K liquidity means roughly 54% of the FDV is in the liquidity pool — unusually high ratio for a token, but still tiny in absolute terms.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply977,682,114.39
FDV$59,160–$60,983

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

CHALK has a total supply of ~977.7M tokens with 6 decimals, consistent with a PumpFun/PumpSwap launch template. The FDV is approximately $59–61K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, so mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. The mutable flag is false, which is a positive signal indicating metadata cannot be changed. The contract is not verified. The token description ('Every empire started as a scribble...') is thematic/marketing copy and does not contain any technical or utility information. No instruction-like content was detected in metadata fields. The unknown authority status means rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed — this is a meaningful risk for a micro-cap token.

Volatility
high

Price moved from ~$0.000039 to $0.000422 and back to ~$0.000062 within 3 hours — an ~85% drawdown from peak. The 5m and 1h price changes are both -60%. Extreme volatility is the defining characteristic of this token.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $32K on PumpSwap. With 24h volume of $2.46M, the pool is being turned over ~77x per day. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face severe slippage on exit.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. As a PumpSwap micro-cap with no verified contract and unknown authority, concentration risk is assumed high by default. Cannot be confirmed or denied without holder data.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. The pump-and-dump price pattern suggests early buyers may have already exited, potentially reducing forward sniper dump risk. However, this cannot be confirmed, so risk is rated medium.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint or freeze authority renouncement. Mutable is false (positive signal). The combination of unknown authority with an unverified contract warrants medium-to-high caution.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed
  • No verified contract
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle pattern in OHLC data
  • No holder or whale distribution data available
  • No sniper data — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$59K) with no demonstrated utility or fundamentals

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable metadata flag is false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Token has social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • More unique buyers (2,410) than unique sellers (2,206) in 24h
  • No sniper data suggests possible absence of coordinated early sniper activity
  • 24h volume ($2.46M) shows genuine speculative interest
  • Price near multi-candle lows may reduce immediate downside from current levels
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand micro-cap meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire position. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and a visible pump-and-dump price pattern makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

CHALK is a micro-cap Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a ~$59K FDV and $32K liquidity. It has exhibited a textbook pump-and-dump price pattern within a 3-hour window, with price surging ~10x before collapsing ~85% from peak. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no verified contract, no utility, no holder data, and no confirmed authority renouncement. The only bullish angle is a potential oversold bounce or renewed speculative interest. The base and bear cases both point to continued price weakness.

Bull case (low)

A renewed wave of social media attention or a broader Solana meme-coin rally drives fresh retail buying. The token finds support at the $0.000039–$0.000044 zone and stages a recovery toward $0.000156–$0.000201. Liquidity deepens as the token gains traction, reducing slippage risk.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana ecosystem meme-coin rotation
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool

Base case

CHALK stabilizes in the $0.000039–$0.000070 range with sporadic low-volume trading. It neither recovers meaningfully nor collapses to zero immediately, but gradually loses relevance as attention moves to newer tokens. FDV remains below $70K.

  • No major new catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Existing liquidity ($32K) remains roughly stable
  • Sell pressure from early buyers gradually exhausts
  • Token retains minimal social community activity

Bear case (high)

The pump-and-dump cycle completes with early buyers fully exiting. Volume dries up, liquidity is withdrawn, and the token drifts toward zero or becomes illiquid. The $32K liquidity pool is insufficient to support any meaningful recovery.

  • Early buyers/insiders completing distribution at current prices
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • No new catalysts or community growth
  • Broader market risk-off sentiment
  • Unknown authority risk materializing

GeneratedAug 5, 08:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 20:00 UTC on 2026-08-05. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: H8My9f7d1Y7KseFvzRENEAHox2T16FkiwdXjLSASpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (xnjbjzuxcLip4BuLBcDPE9nfBLEyMiJKCC2dQxu71GF)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 18:00–20:00 UTC 2026-08-05)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL-denominated)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count or distribution data (upstream endpoints retired)
  • No whale/concentration data available
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority status
  • No verified contract — on-chain code not audited
  • 6h and 24h price change data shows 0% which may indicate a data anomaly or reporting artifact
  • FDV range shows slight discrepancy between metadata ($60,983) and analytics ($59,160) — likely due to price feed timing

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in CHALK. All data is sourced from on-chain and third-party analytics and may contain errors or delays. Past price action does not predict future performance. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply977,682,114.39

Key Risks

•Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours
•Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk
•Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed
•No verified contract

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for CHALK. The sniper analysis endpoint returned no results, so early buyer behavior, sniper PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be assessed. The absence of sniper data means we cannot determine whether early wallets are sitting on profits and represent a future dump risk, or whether they have already exited. Given the extreme price action (pump to $0.000422 then collapse to $0.000062), it is plausible that early buyers have already taken profits, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The sharp pump-and-dump price pattern suggests early buyers may have already distributed, but this is inferred from price action only, not on-chain sniper data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for chalk (CHALK)?

The token is in a sharp post-pump retrace. The most recent candle (20:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000605, well below its hourly high of $0.000422. The current price of ~$0.0000624 is near the candle close, and the -60% moves in both the 5m and 1h windows confirm aggressive selling pressure. Short-term direction is bearish unless a new catalyst emerges. Support is thin given the shallow liquidity pool. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000039 to $0.000095.

Is CHALK a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who understand micro-cap meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire position. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and a visible pump-and-dump price pattern makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What does sniper activity look like for CHALK?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding CHALK?

Extreme price volatility: ~85% drawdown from peak within 3 hours • Critically shallow liquidity ($32K) — high slippage and exit risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector unconfirmed

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