SoS

Split or Steal Prediction

SoS
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 12, 2026

GVkQKdubVk57GXoneqHZ3RtVYjUAgTst9W8C2w2ppump

$0.041442

-55.44%

FDV $14,416

LiveContract:GVkQKdubVk57GXoneqHZ3RtVYjUAgTst9W8C2w2ppumpChain:SolanaHolders:305Market cap:$14,416

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Report snapshotas of May 12, 10:50 PM
FDV

$14,416

Liquidity

$0

Holders

305

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Split or Steal (SoS) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of ~999.96M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$14,416 at the time of analysis. The token is in severe distress: price has collapsed -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in the last hour alone, with sell pressure dominating at 70.1% of 24h volume ($249.36K sells vs $106.29K buys). Liquidity is reported at $0.00, indicating the PumpSwap pool may be effectively drained or illiquid. The holder base surged from a dormant 101 to 305 in the last 24h, coinciding with the price spike and subsequent crash. Top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply, and the #1 holder (the PumpSwap pair address) holds 33.55%. The token has no verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority — all red flags for a speculative micro-cap.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme price collapse: -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in the last 1h, suggesting a pump-and-dump event
Holder base was completely dormant at 101 for 30 days before a sudden 24h surge to 305 (+204 holders)
Top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply; top 100 control 92.41% — extremely concentrated
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap, indicating near-zero exit liquidity
Majority of snipers (15 of 20) are in realized losses, with several exceeding -35% to -61%
No verified contract, no description, mutable=false but update authority unknown

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000715, spiked to $0.0001048, and crashed to close at $0.0000144 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick candle. The 5m change is -48.41% and 1h change is -77.59%. With $0 reported liquidity and 70.1% sell pressure, further downside is the base case. Any bounce would require significant new buy volume, which is unlikely given the current dynamics.

Target low$0.000005
Target high$0.000025
Support: $0.0000114 (hourly candle low, candle [1]), $0.0000127 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.0000451 (candle [2] close / candle [3] open), $0.0000715 (candle [1] open), $0.0001048 (candle [1] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token was dormant for 30+ days at 101 holders, then experienced a single-day pump-and-dump cycle, medium-term recovery is highly unlikely without a new catalyst. The near-zero liquidity and extreme concentration make sustained price appreciation structurally impossible without coordinated buying.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media attention (low probability)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement (no evidence)
  • Coordinated community buyback (no evidence of organized community)

Bullish factors

  • 24h buyer count of 796 unique wallets shows some residual interest
  • Holder count grew +204 in 24h, indicating new entrants at lower prices
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

  • Price down -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in 1h — severe momentum collapse
  • Sell pressure at 70.1% of 24h volume ($249.36K sells vs $106.29K buys)
  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 — effectively no exit liquidity
  • Top 10 holders control 51.22%; top 100 control 92.41% — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder count dropped -70 (-23%) in just the last 1h, indicating mass exodus
  • 15 of 20 snipers are in realized losses, suggesting early buyers are dumping at a loss
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this event — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, (2) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) extreme volatility with -77.59% in 1h making any target highly uncertain, and (4) the token's meme/speculative nature with no fundamental backing.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,961,705.90 SoS

Key Risks

Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) makes exit effectively impossible for any meaningful position
Extreme price collapse (-77.59% in 1h) with no signs of stabilization
Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 101 holders, single-day spike to 305, rapid exit
Top 100 holders control 92.41% of supply — near-total concentration

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 15 show negative realized PnL percentages ranging from -5.3% to -61.2%. Only 5 snipers are in profit: wallet 2tgUbS9U (+18.4%), kEFiAX3j (+36.3%), AEMJqxite (+19.7%), AgmLJBMDCq (+23.2%), and 1aDerPKk (+37.8%). The largest seller by dollar amount is AgmLJBMDCq who sold $7,313 at +23.2% profit — the most significant smart money exit. DZbgq3yE sold $2,220 at -5.3% loss. The majority of snipers are selling at a loss, indicating the pump was short-lived and most early buyers were caught in the dump. Exact sniped supply amounts are marked 'unknown' in the data, limiting precision.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.50%
PnL stateMostly At Loss
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
low

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, but sell activity is documented across all 20. Estimated sniper concentration is low relative to total supply (~2.5% estimate) given the small dollar amounts sold.

Predominantly negative. 15 of 20 snipers (75%) have realized losses, with several severe losses (-61.2%, -46.2%, -38.2%, -37.6%). The few profitable snipers appear to have exited quickly during the pump phase. Overall early buyer sentiment is bearish and capitulatory.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Split or Steal (SoS)?

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000715, spiked to $0.0001048, and crashed to close at $0.0000144 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick candle. The 5m change is -48.41% and 1h change is -77.59%. With $0 reported liquidity and 70.1% sell pressure, further downside is the base case. Any bounce would require significant new buy volume, which is unlikely given the current dynamics. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000005 to $0.000025.

Is SoS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme token trading. Current conditions (zero liquidity, extreme sell pressure, post-dump price action) make new entry extremely high risk.

How are SoS holders trending?

Split or Steal currently has 305 holders and is growing (24h: 67, 7d: 67, 30d: 67). Holder data reveals a classic pump-and-dump holder pattern. The token sat dormant at exactly 101 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change. On the day of the pump (May 12, 2026), 204 new holders entered (+67%), bringing the total to 305. However, within the last hour alone, 70 holders (-23%) have already exited. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (both +204/+67%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. Holder distribution shows 121 whales and 121 dolphins, with only 34 fish — suggesting the new entrants are not small retail buyers but mid-to-large sized wallets. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (298 of 305), consistent with speculative trading activity.

What does sniper activity look like for SoS?

Snipers hold roughly 2.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_at_loss" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SoS?

Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) makes exit effectively impossible for any meaningful position • Extreme price collapse (-77.59% in 1h) with no signs of stabilization • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 101 holders, single-day spike to 305, rapid exit

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