SoS

Split or Steal Price Prediction 2026

SoS
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 12, 2026

GVkQKdubVk57GXoneqHZ3RtVYjUAgTst9W8C2w2ppump

$0.051545

FDV $1,544

LiveContract:GVkQKdubVk57GXoneqHZ3RtVYjUAgTst9W8C2w2ppumpChain:SolanaHolders:102Market cap:$1,544

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Ask Unhosted AI about SoS

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 12, 10:50 PM
FDV

$14,416

Liquidity

$0

Holders

305

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Split or Steal (SoS) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of ~999.96M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$14,416 at the time of analysis. The token is in severe distress: price has collapsed -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in the last hour alone, with sell pressure dominating at 70.1% of 24h volume ($249.36K sells vs $106.29K buys). Liquidity is reported at $0.00, indicating the PumpSwap pool may be effectively drained or illiquid. The holder base surged from a dormant 101 to 305 in the last 24h, coinciding with the price spike and subsequent crash. Top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply, and the #1 holder (the PumpSwap pair address) holds 33.55%. The token has no verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority — all red flags for a speculative micro-cap.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme price collapse: -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in the last 1h, suggesting a pump-and-dump event
Holder base was completely dormant at 101 for 30 days before a sudden 24h surge to 305 (+204 holders)
Top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply; top 100 control 92.41% — extremely concentrated
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap, indicating near-zero exit liquidity
Majority of snipers (15 of 20) are in realized losses, with several exceeding -35% to -61%
No verified contract, no description, mutable=false but update authority unknown

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000715, spiked to $0.0001048, and crashed to close at $0.0000144 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick candle. The 5m change is -48.41% and 1h change is -77.59%. With $0 reported liquidity and 70.1% sell pressure, further downside is the base case. Any bounce would require significant new buy volume, which is unlikely given the current dynamics.

Target low$0.000005
Target high$0.000025
Support: $0.0000114 (hourly candle low, candle [1]), $0.0000127 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.0000451 (candle [2] close / candle [3] open), $0.0000715 (candle [1] open), $0.0001048 (candle [1] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token was dormant for 30+ days at 101 holders, then experienced a single-day pump-and-dump cycle, medium-term recovery is highly unlikely without a new catalyst. The near-zero liquidity and extreme concentration make sustained price appreciation structurally impossible without coordinated buying.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media attention (low probability)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement (no evidence)
  • Coordinated community buyback (no evidence of organized community)

Bullish factors

  • 24h buyer count of 796 unique wallets shows some residual interest
  • Holder count grew +204 in 24h, indicating new entrants at lower prices
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

  • Price down -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in 1h — severe momentum collapse
  • Sell pressure at 70.1% of 24h volume ($249.36K sells vs $106.29K buys)
  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 — effectively no exit liquidity
  • Top 10 holders control 51.22%; top 100 control 92.41% — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder count dropped -70 (-23%) in just the last 1h, indicating mass exodus
  • 15 of 20 snipers are in realized losses, suggesting early buyers are dumping at a loss
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this event — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, (2) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) extreme volatility with -77.59% in 1h making any target highly uncertain, and (4) the token's meme/speculative nature with no fundamental backing.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (20:00–22:00 UTC on 2026-05-12). Candle [3] (20:00): O=$0.0000451, H=$0.0000509, L=$0.0000127, C=$0.0000280 — bearish close with a long lower wick, suggesting initial selling pressure. Candle [2] (21:00): O=$0.0000347, H=$0.0000451, L=$0.0000330, C=$0.0000451 — bullish engulfing-style recovery candle, closing at the high. Candle [1] (22:00): O=$0.0000715, H=$0.0001048, L=$0.0000114, C=$0.0000144 — massive shooting star / bearish engulfing candle with an enormous upper wick. Price gapped up dramatically from candle [2] close to candle [1] open (+58%), hit a high of $0.0001048, then collapsed to close near the session low at $0.0000144. This is a textbook pump-and-dump candle pattern.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

The short-term trend is sharply bearish following the catastrophic reversal in candle [1]. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the token was dormant for 30 days and this appears to be a single-event pump-and-dump. No sustained uptrend structure is present.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000114 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000127 (candle [3] low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000451 (candle [2] close / candle [3] open)
Major$0.0001048 (candle [1] all-time high in dataset)

The immediate support at $0.0000114 is the lowest price recorded in the dataset. A break below this level would represent price discovery into uncharted territory. Resistance at $0.0000451 is the prior recovery high; the major resistance at $0.0001048 is the pump peak and is extremely unlikely to be revisited without a new catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1]: massive upper wick with close near the low — classic pump-and-dump reversal candle
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] from $0.0000451 to $0.0000715 (+58%) followed by complete reversal
  • Volume declining from candle [2] to candle [1] despite larger price range — bearish volume divergence
  • Candle [2] bullish engulfing (closed at session high) was a false signal preceding the dump

Total holders305
24h Δ+67
7d Δ+67
30d Δ+67
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was completely flat at 101 for the entire 30-day historical period (April 12 – May 11, 2026), then surged by +204 holders (+67%) in a single 24h window coinciding with the price pump. This is a strong positive correlation between the price spike and new holder acquisition. However, the 1h holder change of -70 (-23%) shows rapid holder exodus as the price collapsed, suggesting the growth is not sticky and is directly tied to the speculative pump event.

Holder data reveals a classic pump-and-dump holder pattern. The token sat dormant at exactly 101 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change. On the day of the pump (May 12, 2026), 204 new holders entered (+67%), bringing the total to 305. However, within the last hour alone, 70 holders (-23%) have already exited. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (both +204/+67%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. Holder distribution shows 121 whales and 121 dolphins, with only 34 fish — suggesting the new entrants are not small retail buyers but mid-to-large sized wallets. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (298 of 305), consistent with speculative trading activity.

Top 10 hold51.22%
Top 100 hold92.41%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

6hdxYPTTdeJ3Z7dXDqdefRxwzDEp8DjaW1qFhqXUyQpw

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

33.55%

9uARgA6zTNnZ6XuqeFnNQogcm2fC38EbYucjpxqNcuGc

Individual whale

3.02%

9L27GcjwCJZZKVtBVJEXyJaf34QQq5z6NUNNaDz73wQr

Individual whale

2.77%

4GdrffsxYkEuduUQ9nWX1SXoNjKZiBQufgTqHE7B27rM

Individual whale

2.31%

34syhubDfDzbAVe4hv4vDcQ9tX4db2APVt5mwb9vxEKT

Individual whale

1.96%

The top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply and the top 100 control 92.41%, indicating extreme concentration. The #1 holder at 33.55% is the PumpSwap pair address (6hdxYPTTdeJ3Z7dXDqdefRxwzDEp8DjaW1qFhqXUyQpw), which is the DEX liquidity pool — this is expected and not a red flag in isolation, but the reported $0.00 total liquidity suggests the pool may be nearly empty of the paired asset (SOL/WSOL). Holders #2 through #20 are individual wallets holding 0.99%–3.02% each, with no obvious exchange or project treasury addresses. The overall whale sentiment is distributing, consistent with the 70.1% sell pressure and the -23% holder drop in the last hour. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day surge and rapid exit is a hallmark of coordinated pump-and-dump activity.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$106,290
Sell$249,360
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers796
Unique sellers1,522

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity is reported at $0.00 on the PumpSwap pair (6hdxYPTTdeJ3Z7dXDqdefRxwzDEp8DjaW1qFhqXUyQpw), meaning the pool has effectively no depth for exits. Despite this, $355,650 in total 24h volume was recorded ($106.29K buys, $249.36K sells), suggesting the volume occurred earlier when liquidity existed but has since been drained. The sell-to-buy ratio is 2.35:1 by volume and 1.91:1 by transaction count (3,497 sells vs 2,027 buys). Unique sellers (1,522) nearly double unique buyers (796). The net flow is strongly negative (outflow). Any attempt to exit a meaningful position at current prices would face extreme slippage given the $0 reported liquidity. The FDV is also reported as $0.00 in the analytics section (conflicting with the $14,416 from metadata), further suggesting the pool is effectively dead.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,961,705.90 SoS
FDV$14,415.99

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999.96M SoS (effectively 1 billion, standard for PumpFun launches). The FDV at current price is ~$14,416 — an extremely small market cap. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing definitive assessment of mint/freeze authority status. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting the metadata cannot be changed. However, without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities, there remains theoretical risk of supply manipulation or account freezing. The token is not verified and has no description, which is typical of low-effort meme launches. The .pump suffix in the mint address confirms PumpFun origin. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or tokenomics documentation are available.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -55.44% in 24h and -77.59% in 1h. The single hourly candle [1] shows a range from $0.0001048 high to $0.0000114 low — an 89% intra-candle range. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported at $0.00 on PumpSwap. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage. The pool appears to have been drained during the dump.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 51.22% of supply; top 100 control 92.41%. Excluding the DEX pool (33.55%), the next 9 holders control ~17.67% combined. This extreme concentration means a small number of wallets can move the price dramatically.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. 15 of 20 (75%) are in realized losses, indicating they have been selling into the market. The largest profitable sniper (AgmLJBMDCq) sold $7,313 at +23.2% profit. Continued sniper selling pressure is likely as remaining holders seek to minimize losses.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown, preventing confirmation of mint/freeze authority renouncement. Token is mutable=false which reduces metadata manipulation risk, but the unknown authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing. Rated medium rather than high due to the mutable=false flag.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) makes exit effectively impossible for any meaningful position
  • Extreme price collapse (-77.59% in 1h) with no signs of stabilization
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 101 holders, single-day spike to 305, rapid exit
  • Top 100 holders control 92.41% of supply — near-total concentration
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority status
  • No verified contract, no description, no audits
  • Holder count already dropping: -70 (-23%) in the last 1 hour
  • Sell pressure at 70.1% of 24h volume with sellers outnumbering buyers 1.91:1

Mitigating factors

  • Token is mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some standardization
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community presence
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • 796 unique buyers in 24h shows some residual market interest
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme token trading. Current conditions (zero liquidity, extreme sell pressure, post-dump price action) make new entry extremely high risk.

Split or Steal (SoS) appears to have undergone a classic pump-and-dump cycle within a single trading session on May 12, 2026. The token was dormant for 30+ days, experienced a sudden price spike to $0.0001048, attracted 204 new holders, and then collapsed -77.59% within an hour. With $0 reported liquidity, 70.1% sell pressure, and 75% of snipers in realized losses, the risk/reward for new entrants is extremely unfavorable. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of viral attention (e.g., trending on Crypto Twitter due to the 'Split or Steal' game theory concept) attracts new buyers, liquidity is re-added to the PumpSwap pool, and the token recovers to the $0.000045–$0.000071 range (3–5x from current levels).

  • Viral social media catalyst leveraging the 'Split or Steal' game theory narrative
  • New liquidity provision by project team or community
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Coordinated community buyback campaign

Base case

The token stabilizes at a very low price ($0.000005–$0.000015) with minimal trading activity, similar to its pre-pump state. A small community of remaining holders holds bags with no near-term catalyst for recovery. The token may see occasional low-volume spikes but fails to recapture pump highs.

  • Some residual buyers absorb sell pressure at current lows
  • No new major catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains near zero, limiting both upside and downside price discovery
  • The token does not get abandoned entirely and maintains some social presence

Bear case (high)

Remaining holders continue to exit, liquidity stays at $0, and the token price approaches zero as the pump-and-dump cycle completes. The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned entirely.

  • Zero liquidity makes recovery structurally impossible without new capital injection
  • 75% of snipers already selling at a loss — continued distribution pressure
  • Holder count already declining -23% in 1h post-dump
  • No fundamental value, no description, no verified contract
  • 30-day dormancy pattern suggests this is a recurring or abandoned project

GeneratedMay 12, 10:50 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 22:00–22:30 UTC on 2026-05-12. Historical holder data covers April 12 – May 11, 2026 (daily). OHLC data covers the 3 most recent hourly candles only.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: GVkQKdubVk57GXoneqHZ3RtVYjUAgTst9W8C2w2ppump)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (6hdxYPTTdeJ3Z7dXDqdefRxwzDEp8DjaW1qFhqXUyQpw)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles, 20:00–22:00 UTC 2026-05-12)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balances and percentages
  • Sniper analysis (20 wallets, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Moralis and on-chain data aggregator feeds

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00, making price targets highly uncertain
  • Sniper sniped amounts and balances are largely 'unknown', limiting precise concentration calculations
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown
  • No fundamental data available (no description, no whitepaper, no tokenomics documentation)
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows zero change for the entire period until the last 24h
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in analytics vs $14,416 in metadata — data inconsistency noted
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data feed issue

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in SoS. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price action is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,961,705.90 SoS

Key Risks

•Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) makes exit effectively impossible for any meaningful position
•Extreme price collapse (-77.59% in 1h) with no signs of stabilization
•Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 101 holders, single-day spike to 305, rapid exit
•Top 100 holders control 92.41% of supply — near-total concentration

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 15 show negative realized PnL percentages ranging from -5.3% to -61.2%. Only 5 snipers are in profit: wallet 2tgUbS9U (+18.4%), kEFiAX3j (+36.3%), AEMJqxite (+19.7%), AgmLJBMDCq (+23.2%), and 1aDerPKk (+37.8%). The largest seller by dollar amount is AgmLJBMDCq who sold $7,313 at +23.2% profit — the most significant smart money exit. DZbgq3yE sold $2,220 at -5.3% loss. The majority of snipers are selling at a loss, indicating the pump was short-lived and most early buyers were caught in the dump. Exact sniped supply amounts are marked 'unknown' in the data, limiting precision.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.50%
PnL stateMostly At Loss
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
low

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, but sell activity is documented across all 20. Estimated sniper concentration is low relative to total supply (~2.5% estimate) given the small dollar amounts sold.

Predominantly negative. 15 of 20 snipers (75%) have realized losses, with several severe losses (-61.2%, -46.2%, -38.2%, -37.6%). The few profitable snipers appear to have exited quickly during the pump phase. Overall early buyer sentiment is bearish and capitulatory.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Split or Steal (SoS)?

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000715, spiked to $0.0001048, and crashed to close at $0.0000144 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick candle. The 5m change is -48.41% and 1h change is -77.59%. With $0 reported liquidity and 70.1% sell pressure, further downside is the base case. Any bounce would require significant new buy volume, which is unlikely given the current dynamics. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000005 to $0.000025.

Is SoS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme token trading. Current conditions (zero liquidity, extreme sell pressure, post-dump price action) make new entry extremely high risk.

How are SoS holders trending?

Split or Steal currently has 305 holders and is growing (24h: 67, 7d: 67, 30d: 67). Holder data reveals a classic pump-and-dump holder pattern. The token sat dormant at exactly 101 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change. On the day of the pump (May 12, 2026), 204 new holders entered (+67%), bringing the total to 305. However, within the last hour alone, 70 holders (-23%) have already exited. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (both +204/+67%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. Holder distribution shows 121 whales and 121 dolphins, with only 34 fish — suggesting the new entrants are not small retail buyers but mid-to-large sized wallets. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (298 of 305), consistent with speculative trading activity.

What does sniper activity look like for SoS?

Snipers hold roughly 2.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_at_loss" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SoS?

Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) makes exit effectively impossible for any meaningful position • Extreme price collapse (-77.59% in 1h) with no signs of stabilization • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days dormant at 101 holders, single-day spike to 305, rapid exit

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