LONGCAT

LONGCAT Price Today & AI Analysis

LONGCAT
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 31, 2026

GKaYkXHF6n5mKQ9htxWjN1SaXw7nTXQT4Y8S8vMYpump

$0.000286

-15.96%

FDV $213,367

LiveContract:GKaYkXHF6n5mKQ9htxWjN1SaXw7nTXQT4Y8S8vMYpumpChain:SolanaHolders:776Market cap:$213,367

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Report snapshotas of Jul 31, 03:49 PM
FDV

$138,007

Liquidity

$44,022

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

LONGCAT (LONGCAT) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a novelty 'leveraged treasury' narrative — fees are purportedly used to go 25× long SOL on a perpetuals platform, with profits burning supply. The token has experienced an extreme intraday price spike of ~504% in 24h, driven almost entirely by speculative momentum rather than fundamental value. Liquidity is very shallow at ~$44K, sell pressure dominates at 70.7%, and holder/sniper data is unavailable, making a full risk picture difficult to construct. The token is unverified and carries very high speculative risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Novelty 'leveraged treasury' mechanic: fees allegedly go 25× long SOL on perpspad with profits burning supply
Extreme 24h price appreciation of ~504% from a very low base (~$0.000025 to ~$0.000147)
Launched on PumpSwap — early-stage meme token lifecycle
Mutable metadata is false, reducing one vector of rug risk
Very shallow liquidity (~$44K) amplifies both upside and downside volatility

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

After a parabolic 6h move of +1061% and a 24h gain of +504%, the token is showing sharp mean-reversion signals. The most recent candle (15:00 UTC) closed at $0.0001479, well below the hourly high of $0.0001983, and the prior candle (14:00 UTC) printed a massive wick from $0.0002685 down to close at $0.0001992. Sell pressure is 70.7% of volume. Short-term direction is bearish/corrective.

Target low$0.000025
Target high$0.000200
Support: $0.000116 (candle [1] low), $0.000042 (candle [2] low), $0.000025 (candle [4] low / pre-pump base)
Resistance: $0.000199 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open), $0.000268 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained buy pressure, a credible utility mechanism, or growing holder base, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000012–$0.000025). The leveraged treasury narrative is unverified and the project is unaudited. Meme tokens of this profile typically see 80–95% drawdowns from peak within weeks.

Catalysts
  • Verified proof of treasury mechanism executing on-chain
  • Sustained buy volume exceeding sell volume for multiple sessions
  • Broader Solana meme token market rally
  • Influencer or community-driven attention spike

Bullish factors

  • Extreme momentum — +504% 24h, +1061% 6h — can attract further speculative inflows
  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Novel narrative (leveraged treasury + supply burn) may sustain community interest
  • 1,764 buy transactions in 24h shows some genuine demand

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 70.7% of 24h volume ($199.94K sells vs $82.86K buys)
  • Sellers (1,030) outnumber buyers (344) by 3:1
  • Liquidity is very shallow at $44K — large exits will cause severe slippage
  • Price already -24% in the last hour and -10% in the last 5 minutes
  • No verified contract, no audited treasury mechanism
  • Holder and sniper data unavailable — distribution risk unknown
  • Meme tokens with this profile historically retrace 80–95% from peak
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no holder data available to assess distribution or accumulation trends, (2) no sniper data to assess early-buyer overhang, (3) extremely thin liquidity ($44K) making price highly manipulable, (4) the token is only hours into its post-pump phase with no established price history.

LONGCAT call history

Full track record →
Jul 31bearish
24h-55.7%
7d+100.1%
30d-25.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 14-candle hourly dataset tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles [14]–[9] (02:00–07:00 UTC) show low-volume consolidation between $0.000012–$0.000032 with declining closes. Candle [5] (11:00 UTC) marks the first breakout attempt with a high of $0.000085 on $26.7K volume. Candle [2] (14:00 UTC) is the climax candle: open $0.000044, high $0.000268, close $0.000199 on massive $127.2K volume — a classic long upper wick indicating distribution at the top. Candle [1] (15:00 UTC) confirms the reversal: open $0.000196, high $0.000198 (barely above open — no new buyers), low $0.000116, close $0.000148 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern on $46.9K volume.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Medium-term trend is technically up given the massive 6h move, but the short-term (last 2 candles) is clearly reversing downward. The climax candle [2] with its long upper wick and the subsequent lower close in candle [1] signal a local top has likely been set at $0.000268.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000116 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000025 (pre-pump base, candles [4]–[5] lows)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000199 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)
Major$0.000268 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

The $0.000116 level is the first line of defense — a break below this opens a path to $0.000042–$0.000025 (the pre-pump consolidation zone). Resistance at $0.000199–$0.000268 is now a heavy supply zone given the distribution wicks observed.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on climax candle [2] — classic distribution signal
  • Bearish engulfing on candle [1] relative to candle [2] close
  • Volume climax followed by declining volume — pump exhaustion
  • Higher highs from candles [9]→[5]→[2] confirming the pump wave, now reversing
  • Doji-like candle [7] at the base before breakout — accumulation before pump

Liquidity$44,020
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$82,860
Sell$199,940
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers344
Unique sellers1,030

Liquidity is critically shallow at ~$44K against a fully diluted valuation of ~$138K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of roughly 32%, which is low for a meme token. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $199.94K in sell volume vs $82.86K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$117K. Sellers (1,030 unique) outnumber buyers (344 unique) by exactly 3:1. The pair is on PumpSwap (CGgjjaYF5Bzyx6uzgpEuc2Yy4Xbkzz1q7UaC8PLy1dB6), which is a standard AMM pool. The shallow liquidity means the token's price is highly susceptible to manipulation in either direction.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply939,043,634.25 LONGCAT
FDV$138,006.95

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~939M tokens. FDV is ~$138K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal — immutable metadata prevents the creator from changing token name, symbol, or image post-launch. However, mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data, so these cannot be confirmed as renounced. The token is unverified (verified contract: false). The described tokenomic mechanic — fees going 25× long SOL on perpspad with profits burning supply — is an unverified narrative claim by the token creator and should not be taken at face value without on-chain proof. If the mechanism works as described, it could create deflationary pressure; if it does not, it is purely a marketing narrative.

Volatility
high

The token has moved +1061% in 6 hours and is already -24% in the last hour. Hourly candles show swings of 100–500%+ in price. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only ~$44K. A sell order of even $5K–$10K would cause severe slippage. Exit risk is very high for any position of meaningful size.

Concentration
high

No holder data is available, but for a newly launched PumpSwap meme token, concentration in early wallets/deployer is typically very high. The 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio suggests concentrated early holders are distributing.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. Given the token launched on PumpSwap and experienced a sudden 1061% pump, it is highly probable that early buyers/snipers accumulated at $0.000012–$0.000025 and are now selling into the pump at 5–10x profits. This overhang represents significant dump risk.

Authority
medium

Mutable=false is a positive signal, reducing metadata manipulation risk. However, mint and freeze authority status are unknown, and the contract is unverified. Update authority is listed as unknown rather than a confirmed burn address.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 70.7% of 24h volume is sells, 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($44K) — high slippage on any meaningful exit
  • Unverified leveraged treasury narrative — no on-chain proof of mechanism
  • No holder or sniper data — distribution and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Unverified contract — no audit or formal verification
  • Post-pump price action showing classic distribution patterns (long upper wicks, declining volume)
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation post-launch
  • Novel narrative may sustain speculative interest short-term
  • 1,073 unique wallets in 24h shows some breadth of participation
  • FDV of only $138K means absolute dollar loss is capped for the market as a whole
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some project presence
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand meme token mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivial speculative amount. This is not an investment — it is a high-risk speculative trade.

LONGCAT is a high-risk, early-stage Solana meme token with a novelty leveraged treasury narrative. The token has experienced an extreme pump (+504% 24h, +1061% 6h) but is showing clear distribution signals. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum-based, with no verifiable fundamentals. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric to the downside at current prices.

Bull case (low)

If the leveraged treasury mechanism is real and verifiable on-chain, and if a broader Solana meme season drives speculative inflows, LONGCAT could sustain elevated prices or push toward new highs. A successful burn event from treasury profits would be a strong catalyst.

  • On-chain verification of the 25× SOL long treasury mechanism
  • Successful supply burn events creating deflationary narrative
  • Broader Solana meme token market rally
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer inflows
  • Price holding above $0.000116 support and reclaiming $0.000199

Base case

LONGCAT consolidates in the $0.000040–$0.000100 range over the next 1–2 weeks as initial excitement fades. Some community forms around the narrative, but without verified treasury activity, the token slowly bleeds volume and price toward $0.000020–$0.000040.

  • No major new catalysts emerge in the short term
  • The treasury narrative maintains some community interest without being disproven
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

The leveraged treasury narrative is unverified marketing copy. Early buyers and snipers continue distributing into any price strength. Liquidity dries up, the token retraces 90%+ to pre-pump levels (~$0.000012–$0.000025), and trading activity collapses.

  • Continued 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio exhausting buy-side liquidity
  • No new catalysts to attract fresh capital
  • Treasury mechanism fails or is revealed as non-functional
  • Shallow liquidity accelerating price decline on large sells
  • Typical meme token lifecycle: pump → dump → abandonment

GeneratedJul 31, 03:49 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 15:00–15:30 UTC on 2026-07-31. Price and volume data is current to within ~30 minutes.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Mint: GKaYkXHF6n5mKQ9htxWjN1SaXw7nTXQT4Y8S8vMYpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (CGgjjaYF5Bzyx6uzgpEuc2Yy4Xbkzz1q7UaC8PLy1dB6)
  • 14-candle hourly OHLCV data (2026-07-31 02:00–15:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Token metadata fields (supply, FDV, decimals, mutability, social links)

Limitations

  • No holder metrics or historical holder data available — cannot assess distribution trends or organic growth
  • No top holder data — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper analysis data — early buyer overhang and PnL state unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed — rug risk from authorities is unknown
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm full renouncement
  • Only 14 hourly candles available — insufficient for medium/long-term technical analysis
  • Token is unverified — smart contract has not been audited or formally verified
  • The leveraged treasury narrative is an unverified claim by the token creator and cannot be assessed from available data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply939,043,634.25 LONGCAT

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 70.7% of 24h volume is sells, 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
Critically shallow liquidity ($44K) — high slippage on any meaningful exit
Unverified leveraged treasury narrative — no on-chain proof of mechanism
No holder or sniper data — distribution and dump risk cannot be quantified

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was provided for this token. Sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined. Given the token's very recent launch on PumpSwap and the extreme price spike, it is plausible that early buyers (potential snipers) are sitting on significant unrealized gains, but this cannot be confirmed from available data. The 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio (1,030 sellers vs 344 buyers) in 24h trading suggests early participants may be distributing, but this is inferred from trading analytics rather than sniper-specific data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — concentration cannot be calculated

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the dominant sell pressure (70.7% of volume, 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio) suggests early buyers who accumulated at $0.000012–$0.000025 are likely taking profits at current prices of $0.000147.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for LONGCAT (LONGCAT)?

After a parabolic 6h move of +1061% and a 24h gain of +504%, the token is showing sharp mean-reversion signals. The most recent candle (15:00 UTC) closed at $0.0001479, well below the hourly high of $0.0001983, and the prior candle (14:00 UTC) printed a massive wick from $0.0002685 down to close at $0.0001992. Sell pressure is 70.7% of volume. Short-term direction is bearish/corrective. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000025 to $0.000200.

Is LONGCAT a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand meme token mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivial speculative amount. This is not an investment — it is a high-risk speculative trade.

What does sniper activity look like for LONGCAT?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding LONGCAT?

Extreme sell pressure: 70.7% of 24h volume is sells, 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio • Critically shallow liquidity ($44K) — high slippage on any meaningful exit • Unverified leveraged treasury narrative — no on-chain proof of mechanism

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