JALAPEÑO

JALAPEÑO Price Prediction 2026

JALAPEÑO
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 24, 2026

FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPA

$0.053534

-1.42%

FDV $2,918

LiveContract:FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPAChain:SolanaHolders:143Market cap:$2,918

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Ask Unhosted AI about JALAPEÑO

Report snapshotas of Jun 24, 02:17 PM
FDV

$98,363

Liquidity

$40,400

Holders

679

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO) is an extremely early-stage Solana meme/micro-cap token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$98K–$109K. The token experienced a massive 360% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single explosive candle in the 13:00–14:00 UTC window. Despite the price surge, sell pressure dominates heavily (73.2% sell volume), liquidity is very thin at $40.4K, and the holder base only materialized in the last 24 hours — growing from 21 to 679 holders. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration risk difficult to quantify precisely. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap launch.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 360%+ 24h price move from a near-zero base
Holder base grew from 21 to 679 (+97%) in a single day, suggesting viral/coordinated launch activity
Extremely thin liquidity ($40.4K) relative to trading volume ($320K+ in 24h)
Severe sell-side dominance: 73.2% sell pressure with 5,067 sells vs 1,639 buys
Token was dormant at 21 holders for 30+ days before sudden activation — unusual launch pattern

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term.

Target low$0.000040
Target high$0.000127
Support: $0.0000821 (candle [1] low), $0.0000677 (midpoint of candle [2] range), $0.0000168 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000984 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.0001274 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community growth beyond the initial viral spike, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day explosion is a classic pump pattern. Unless new catalysts emerge (exchange listings, influencer attention, community development), the medium-term outlook is bearish.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving fresh buy volume
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K to reduce slippage risk
  • Any utility or ecosystem announcement

Bullish factors

  • 360%+ price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 21 to 679 in one day, showing viral traction
  • 1h price change of +103% shows recent buying momentum
  • Token is on PumpSwap, a high-visibility launchpad for Solana meme coins
  • Mutable=false suggests immutable metadata, reducing certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • 73.2% sell pressure ($234.8K sells vs $86.2K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • Liquidity is only $40.4K — extremely thin relative to $320K+ daily volume, creating high slippage risk
  • 5-minute price change is -5.1%, suggesting momentum is already fading
  • Token was dormant at exactly 21 holders for 30+ consecutive days — highly suspicious pre-launch pattern
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
  • FDV of ~$98K–$109K is inconsistent (price data vs analytics differ slightly), suggesting data lag
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration and dump risk unquantifiable; (3) the token is only hours old in its active phase, making pattern-based prediction unreliable; (4) meme/micro-cap tokens are inherently unpredictable.

JALAPEÑO call history

Full track record →
Jun 24bearish
24h-75.8%
7d-86.8%
30d-95.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000240, H=$0.0001274, L=$0.0000168, C=$0.0000895 — an extremely wide-range candle (657% range from low to high) with a long upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by partial retracement. This is a classic 'pump wick' or 'shooting star' pattern on high volume ($247.7K). Candle [1] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000915, H=$0.0000984, L=$0.0000821, C=$0.0000984 — a bullish candle closing at its high, but on dramatically lower volume ($32.2K, -87% vs prior candle). The price opened above the prior close, suggesting a gap-up continuation, but volume collapse is a warning sign.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

Short-term trend is technically up given the price has risen from ~$0.0000240 open to $0.0000984 close over 2 candles. However, the medium-term context is sideways-to-bearish given the 30-day dormancy and the shooting-star-like wick in candle [2]. The uptrend is fragile and volume-dependent.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000821 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000168 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000984 (candle [1] high / current price)
Major$0.0001274 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Immediate support at $0.0000821 (candle [1] low). If this breaks, the next meaningful support is the candle [2] close area around $0.0000895, then the midpoint of candle [2] around $0.0000677, and ultimately the candle [2] low at $0.0000168. Resistance is at the current price level $0.0000984 and the wick high of $0.0001274.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / pump wick on candle [2]: extremely wide range with long upper wick and close well below high — bearish reversal signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 87% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1] despite price holding near highs — bearish divergence
  • Candle [1] closes at its high (bullish close) but on low volume — weak bull signal
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] above candle [2] close — short-term continuation but unsustained by volume
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by single explosive candle — classic pump launch pattern

Total holders679
24h Δ+658
7d Δ+658
30d Δ+658
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred simultaneously in the last 24 hours after 30+ days of complete stagnation at 21 holders. This suggests the holder growth is driven by the price pump attracting FOMO buyers rather than organic community building. The 97% holder growth in 24h mirrors the 360% price increase.

The historical holder data reveals a striking pattern: the token sat at exactly 21 holders for every single day from May 25 to June 23, 2026 — 30 consecutive days of zero change. Then in a single 24-hour window (June 24), holders exploded from 21 to 679 (+658, +97%). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden activation event, likely triggered by a coordinated pump, influencer post, or bot activity. The 21 pre-existing holders over 30 days likely represent the founding/insider wallet set. Acquisition data shows 675 of 679 holders acquired via swap (99.4%), confirming these are market buyers responding to the price action. Growth is technically 'accelerating' but from a zero base, making the metric less meaningful as a positive signal.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders. Supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which is almost certainly a data artifact or API limitation rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. Given that the token had only 21 holders for 30+ days and now has 679, and given the 73.2% sell pressure, it is highly likely that a small number of early wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. Without actual holder data, concentration risk must be treated as unknown-to-high. The distribution health is flagged as 'very_concentrated' as a precautionary assessment given the data gap and launch pattern. Investors should be aware that whale dump risk cannot be ruled out.

Liquidity$40,400
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$86,150
Sell$234,800
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers615
Unique sellers1,613

Liquidity is critically thin at $40.4K on PumpSwap pair 2yFBJELZga6YPTv1z77mcdxYf9uDFK8UutyeEJoXAWRd. With $320K+ in 24h trading volume against only $40.4K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-volume ratio is approximately 1:8 — meaning the pool is being churned at 8x its depth daily. This creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Net flow is clearly outflow: $234.8K in sells vs $86.2K in buys, a ratio of 2.73:1. There are 1,613 unique sellers vs 615 unique buyers — sellers outnumber buyers by 2.6:1. The FDV discrepancy between price data ($98.4K) and analytics ($109.2K) suggests price movement during data collection. Overall market health is poor: thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a volume-to-liquidity ratio that signals high manipulation and exit risk.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$98,362.63 (per price data) / ~$109,170 (per analytics)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens with 6 decimals — a standard meme token configuration on Solana. The FDV is approximately $98K–$109K, placing this firmly in micro-cap territory. Mint authority and freeze authority status are unknown — the update authority field returns 'unknown' and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which means the metadata cannot be changed, reducing one vector of post-launch manipulation. However, without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities, the risk of supply inflation or account freezing cannot be ruled out. The token has no description, no verified contract, and social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) are listed but not independently verified. The 'possible spam: false' flag from the data provider offers minimal reassurance given the overall risk profile.

Volatility
high

360% price move in 24h, with a single candle spanning a 657% range from low to high. The 5-minute change is already -5.1%, indicating extreme short-term volatility. Micro-cap meme tokens of this size routinely lose 80-95% of value within days of launch pumps.

Liquidity
high

Only $40.4K in total liquidity against $320K+ daily volume. Liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~1:8 means severe slippage on any meaningful trade. A single large sell order could collapse the price significantly.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but the 30-day dormancy at exactly 21 holders strongly implies a concentrated insider/team wallet set. Supply concentration metrics returning 0% are likely data artifacts. True concentration is unknown but presumed high.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the 21 pre-existing wallets that held the token during 30 days of dormancy represent potential early insiders who are now sitting on significant unrealized gains and may be selling into the pump — consistent with the 73.2% sell pressure observed.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. The token is not verified. Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk, but without confirmed authority renouncement, mint/freeze risks remain open.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk
  • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal
  • Top holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply manipulation
  • No verified contract, no project description, unknown update authority
  • Volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~8:1 is unsustainable and indicative of wash trading or bot activity
  • Token is only hours into its active phase — no track record, no fundamentals

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation post-launch
  • Token is listed on PumpSwap, a legitimate Solana DEX
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence
  • 675 of 679 holders acquired via swap — organic market participation
  • No spam flag from data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

JALAPEÑO is a brand-new Solana meme token that experienced a violent 360% pump in its first active day after 30+ days of dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative momentum-based. There are no fundamentals, no verified utility, no confirmed team, and no transparent tokenomics. The dominant sell pressure, thin liquidity, and suspicious pre-launch holder pattern make this a very high-risk trade. Any investment thesis must be predicated on catching and exiting momentum quickly — not on long-term value.

Bull case (low)

Continued viral momentum drives further holder growth and buy volume, pushing price toward or beyond the $0.0001274 all-time high wick. A Solana influencer or KOL picks up the token, driving a second wave of FOMO buying. Liquidity deepens as market makers enter, reducing slippage. Price could reach 2x–5x from current levels ($0.000197–$0.000492) in a best-case short-term scenario.

  • Influencer/KOL promotion on Twitter or Telegram
  • Continued holder growth beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K
  • Broader Solana meme coin market momentum

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000050–$0.000090 range over the next 24-48 hours as initial excitement fades. Some holders take profits, some new buyers enter on dips. Without a new catalyst, the token gradually loses volume and liquidity, eventually returning to near-dormancy. Most of the 658 new holders who bought during the pump are left holding at a loss.

  • No major new catalyst or influencer promotion
  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic
  • Liquidity stays thin but doesn't fully drain
  • Token does not get listed on any centralized exchange

Bear case (high)

The 21 pre-existing insider wallets continue selling into the pump, liquidity is drained, and the price collapses back toward the pre-pump levels near $0.0000168–$0.0000240. With 73.2% sell pressure already dominant and volume declining 87% between the two available candles, a 70-90% retracement from current levels is plausible within 24-72 hours.

  • Insider/early holder distribution into the pump
  • Volume exhaustion (87% drop between candles)
  • Thin liquidity unable to absorb sell pressure
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern matching observed on-chain data

GeneratedJun 24, 02:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and candle data current as of 2026-06-24T14:00 UTC. Holder data reflects state as of analysis time. Historical holder series covers 2026-05-25 to 2026-06-23.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (Mint: FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPA)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (2yFBJELZga6YPTv1z77mcdxYf9uDFK8UutyeEJoXAWRd)
  • Trading analytics API (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, USD)
  • Holder metrics API (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk from authorities unconfirmed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts, not genuine distribution data
  • FDV discrepancy between price endpoint ($98.4K) and analytics endpoint ($109.2K) suggests data lag or price movement during collection
  • Token is extremely new in its active phase — historical patterns are not yet established

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk
73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal
Top holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for JALAPEÑO. Sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined from the provided data. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token is too new for sniper tracking systems to have captured, or that no bots sniped the launch. Given the 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by a sudden explosion, the pre-launch holder base of 21 wallets warrants scrutiny as potential insider/team wallets. The 73.2% sell pressure and 5,067 sells vs 1,639 buys suggest early holders or insiders may be distributing into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Uncertain — the 21 pre-existing holders who held the token during 30+ days of dormancy are likely early insiders or team wallets. Their current behavior cannot be confirmed without top holder data, but the heavy sell pressure (73.2%) suggests at least some early holders are taking profits or dumping into the price spike.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO)?

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000040 to $0.000127.

Is JALAPEÑO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

How are JALAPEÑO holders trending?

JALAPEÑO currently has 679 holders and is growing (24h: 658, 7d: 658, 30d: 658). The historical holder data reveals a striking pattern: the token sat at exactly 21 holders for every single day from May 25 to June 23, 2026 — 30 consecutive days of zero change. Then in a single 24-hour window (June 24), holders exploded from 21 to 679 (+658, +97%). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden activation event, likely triggered by a coordinated pump, influencer post, or bot activity. The 21 pre-existing holders over 30 days likely represent the founding/insider wallet set. Acquisition data shows 675 of 679 holders acquired via swap (99.4%), confirming these are market buyers responding to the price action. Growth is technically 'accelerating' but from a zero base, making the metric less meaningful as a positive signal.

What does sniper activity look like for JALAPEÑO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding JALAPEÑO?

Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal

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