JALAPEÑO

JALAPEÑO Price Today & AI Analysis

JALAPEÑOSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 24, 2026

Price

$0.055325

+17.23% 24h · FDV $4,197

Contract

Live
FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPA

Chain

Solana

Holders

134

Market cap

$4,197

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JALAPEÑO: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-24 14:17 UTC

Holder addresses

679

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,399.74
How concentrated is JALAPEÑO ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 679 addresses (2026-06-24 14:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling JALAPEÑO?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is JALAPEÑO liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-24 14:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,399.74. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-24 14:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 24, 02:17 PM UTC

FDV

$98,363

Liquidity

$40,399.74

Holders

679

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO) is an extremely early-stage Solana meme/micro-cap token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$98K–$109K. The token experienced a massive 360% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single explosive candle in the 13:00–14:00 UTC window. Despite the price surge, sell pressure dominates heavily (73.2% sell volume), liquidity is very thin at $40.4K, and the holder base only materialized in the last 24 hours — growing from 21 to 679 holders. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration risk difficult to quantify precisely. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap launch.

Key points

  • Explosive 360%+ 24h price move from a near-zero base
  • Holder base grew from 21 to 679 (+97%) in a single day, suggesting viral/coordinated launch activity
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($40.4K) relative to trading volume ($320K+ in 24h)
  • Severe sell-side dominance: 73.2% sell pressure with 5,067 sells vs 1,639 buys
  • Token was dormant at 21 holders for 30+ days before sudden activation — unusual launch pattern

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term.

Target low

$0.000040

Target high

$0.000127

Support

$0.0000821 (candle [1] low), $0.0000677 (midpoint of candle [2] range), $0.0000168 (candle [2] absolute low)

Resistance

$0.0000984 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.0001274 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community growth beyond the initial viral spike, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day explosion is a classic pump pattern. Unless new catalysts emerge (exchange listings, influencer attention, community development), the medium-term outlook is bearish.

Catalysts

  • Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving fresh buy volume
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K to reduce slippage risk
  • Any utility or ecosystem announcement

Bullish factors

  • 360%+ price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 21 to 679 in one day, showing viral traction
  • 1h price change of +103% shows recent buying momentum
  • Token is on PumpSwap, a high-visibility launchpad for Solana meme coins
  • Mutable=false suggests immutable metadata, reducing certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • 73.2% sell pressure ($234.8K sells vs $86.2K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • Liquidity is only $40.4K — extremely thin relative to $320K+ daily volume, creating high slippage risk
  • 5-minute price change is -5.1%, suggesting momentum is already fading
  • Token was dormant at exactly 21 holders for 30+ consecutive days — highly suspicious pre-launch pattern
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
  • FDV of ~$98K–$109K is inconsistent (price data vs analytics differ slightly), suggesting data lag

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration and dump risk unquantifiable; (3) the token is only hours old in its active phase, making pattern-based prediction unreliable; (4) meme/micro-cap tokens are inherently unpredictable.

JALAPEÑO call history

Full track record →

Jun 24bearish
24h-75.8%
7d-86.8%
30d-95.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
FP2e4A...rYPA
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk
  • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal
  • Top holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000240, H=$0.0001274, L=$0.0000168, C=$0.0000895 — an extremely wide-range candle (657% range from low to high) with a long upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by partial retracement. This is a classic 'pump wick' or 'shooting star' pattern on high volume ($247.7K). Candle [1] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000915, H=$0.0000984, L=$0.0000821, C=$0.0000984 — a bullish candle closing at its high, but on dramatically lower volume ($32.2K, -87% vs prior candle). The price opened above the prior close, suggesting a gap-up continuation, but volume collapse is a warning sign.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up given the price has risen from ~$0.0000240 open to $0.0000984 close over 2 candles. However, the medium-term context is sideways-to-bearish given the 30-day dormancy and the shooting-star-like wick in candle [2]. The uptrend is fragile and volume-dependent.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000821 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000168 (candle [2] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000984 (candle [1] high / current price)

Major resistance

$0.0001274 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Immediate support at $0.0000821 (candle [1] low). If this breaks, the next meaningful support is the candle [2] close area around $0.0000895, then the midpoint of candle [2] around $0.0000677, and ultimately the candle [2] low at $0.0000168. Resistance is at the current price level $0.0000984 and the wick high of $0.0001274.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / pump wick on candle [2]: extremely wide range with long upper wick and close well below high — bearish reversal signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 87% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1] despite price holding near highs — bearish divergence
  • Candle [1] closes at its high (bullish close) but on low volume — weak bull signal
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] above candle [2] close — short-term continuation but unsustained by volume
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by single explosive candle — classic pump launch pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

$40,399.74

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at $40.4K on PumpSwap pair 2yFBJELZga6YPTv1z77mcdxYf9uDFK8UutyeEJoXAWRd. With $320K+ in 24h trading volume against only $40.4K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-volume ratio is approximately 1:8 — meaning the pool is being churned at 8x its depth daily. This creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Net flow is clearly outflow: $234.8K in sells vs $86.2K in buys, a ratio of 2.73:1. There are 1,613 unique sellers vs 615 unique buyers — sellers outnumber buyers by 2.6:1. The FDV discrepancy between price data ($98.4K) and analytics ($109.2K) suggests price movement during data collection. Overall market health is poor: thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a volume-to-liquidity ratio that signals high manipulation and exit risk.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$98,362.63 (per price data) / ~$109,170 (per analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    360% price move in 24h, with a single candle spanning a 657% range from low to high. The 5-minute change is already -5.1%, indicating extreme short-term volatility. Micro-cap meme tokens of this size routinely lose 80-95% of value within days of launch pumps.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $40.4K in total liquidity against $320K+ daily volume. Liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~1:8 means severe slippage on any meaningful trade. A single large sell order could collapse the price significantly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk
  • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal
  • Top holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply manipulation
  • No verified contract, no project description, unknown update authority
  • Volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~8:1 is unsustainable and indicative of wash trading or bot activity
  • Token is only hours into its active phase — no track record, no fundamentals

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation post-launch
  • Token is listed on PumpSwap, a legitimate Solana DEX
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence
  • 675 of 679 holders acquired via swap — organic market participation
  • No spam flag from data provider

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

JALAPEÑO is a brand-new Solana meme token that experienced a violent 360% pump in its first active day after 30+ days of dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative momentum-based. There are no fundamentals, no verified utility, no confirmed team, and no transparent tokenomics. The dominant sell pressure, thin liquidity, and suspicious pre-launch holder pattern make this a very high-risk trade. Any investment thesis must be predicated on catching and exiting momentum quickly — not on long-term value.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued viral momentum drives further holder growth and buy volume, pushing price toward or beyond the $0.0001274 all-time high wick. A Solana influencer or KOL picks up the token, driving a second wave of FOMO buying. Liquidity deepens as market makers enter, reducing slippage. Price could reach 2x–5x from current levels ($0.000197–$0.000492) in a best-case short-term scenario.

  • Influencer/KOL promotion on Twitter or Telegram
  • Continued holder growth beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K
  • Broader Solana meme coin market momentum

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000050–$0.000090 range over the next 24-48 hours as initial excitement fades. Some holders take profits, some new buyers enter on dips. Without a new catalyst, the token gradually loses volume and liquidity, eventually returning to near-dormancy. Most of the 658 new holders who bought during the pump are left holding at a loss.

  • No major new catalyst or influencer promotion
  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic
  • Liquidity stays thin but doesn't fully drain
  • Token does not get listed on any centralized exchange

Bear Case

High probability

The 21 pre-existing insider wallets continue selling into the pump, liquidity is drained, and the price collapses back toward the pre-pump levels near $0.0000168–$0.0000240. With 73.2% sell pressure already dominant and volume declining 87% between the two available candles, a 70-90% retracement from current levels is plausible within 24-72 hours.

  • Insider/early holder distribution into the pump
  • Volume exhaustion (87% drop between candles)
  • Thin liquidity unable to absorb sell pressure
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern matching observed on-chain data

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 24, 02:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-24 14:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (Mint: FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPA)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (2yFBJELZga6YPTv1z77mcdxYf9uDFK8UutyeEJoXAWRd)
  • Trading analytics API (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, USD)
  • Holder metrics API (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk from authorities unconfirmed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts, not genuine distribution data
  • FDV discrepancy between price endpoint ($98.4K) and analytics endpoint ($109.2K) suggests data lag or price movement during collection
  • Token is extremely new in its active phase — historical patterns are not yet established

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is JALAPEÑO ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 679 addresses (2026-06-24 14:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling JALAPEÑO?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is JALAPEÑO liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-24 14:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,399.74. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO)?

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000040 to $0.000127.

Is JALAPEÑO a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

What are the key risks of holding JALAPEÑO?

Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal

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