JALAPEÑO

JALAPEÑO Prediction

JALAPEÑO
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 24, 2026

FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPA

$0.049836

+360.94%

FDV $98,363

LiveContract:FP2e4AjzakmLxs4vwrqtbAB4eazJ5YTiBEGiWp8orYPAChain:SolanaHolders:679Market cap:$98,363

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Report snapshotas of Jun 24, 02:17 PM
FDV

$98,363

Liquidity

$40,400

Holders

679

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO) is an extremely early-stage Solana meme/micro-cap token on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$98K–$109K. The token experienced a massive 360% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single explosive candle in the 13:00–14:00 UTC window. Despite the price surge, sell pressure dominates heavily (73.2% sell volume), liquidity is very thin at $40.4K, and the holder base only materialized in the last 24 hours — growing from 21 to 679 holders. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration risk difficult to quantify precisely. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap launch.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 360%+ 24h price move from a near-zero base
Holder base grew from 21 to 679 (+97%) in a single day, suggesting viral/coordinated launch activity
Extremely thin liquidity ($40.4K) relative to trading volume ($320K+ in 24h)
Severe sell-side dominance: 73.2% sell pressure with 5,067 sells vs 1,639 buys
Token was dormant at 21 holders for 30+ days before sudden activation — unusual launch pattern

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term.

Target low$0.000040
Target high$0.000127
Support: $0.0000821 (candle [1] low), $0.0000677 (midpoint of candle [2] range), $0.0000168 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000984 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.0001274 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community growth beyond the initial viral spike, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day explosion is a classic pump pattern. Unless new catalysts emerge (exchange listings, influencer attention, community development), the medium-term outlook is bearish.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving fresh buy volume
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K to reduce slippage risk
  • Any utility or ecosystem announcement

Bullish factors

  • 360%+ price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 21 to 679 in one day, showing viral traction
  • 1h price change of +103% shows recent buying momentum
  • Token is on PumpSwap, a high-visibility launchpad for Solana meme coins
  • Mutable=false suggests immutable metadata, reducing certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • 73.2% sell pressure ($234.8K sells vs $86.2K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • Liquidity is only $40.4K — extremely thin relative to $320K+ daily volume, creating high slippage risk
  • 5-minute price change is -5.1%, suggesting momentum is already fading
  • Token was dormant at exactly 21 holders for 30+ consecutive days — highly suspicious pre-launch pattern
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
  • FDV of ~$98K–$109K is inconsistent (price data vs analytics differ slightly), suggesting data lag
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder and sniper data are unavailable, making concentration and dump risk unquantifiable; (3) the token is only hours old in its active phase, making pattern-based prediction unreliable; (4) meme/micro-cap tokens are inherently unpredictable.

JALAPEÑO call history

Full track record →
Jun 24bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk
73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal
Top holder data unavailable — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for JALAPEÑO. Sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined from the provided data. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token is too new for sniper tracking systems to have captured, or that no bots sniped the launch. Given the 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by a sudden explosion, the pre-launch holder base of 21 wallets warrants scrutiny as potential insider/team wallets. The 73.2% sell pressure and 5,067 sells vs 1,639 buys suggest early holders or insiders may be distributing into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Uncertain — the 21 pre-existing holders who held the token during 30+ days of dormancy are likely early insiders or team wallets. Their current behavior cannot be confirmed without top holder data, but the heavy sell pressure (73.2%) suggests at least some early holders are taking profits or dumping into the price spike.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for JALAPEÑO (JALAPEÑO)?

The token is showing immediate bearish signals: the 5-minute change is -5.1%, sell pressure is 73.2%, and the most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at the high ($0.0000984) after a massive wick candle at 13:00 UTC that reached $0.0001274 before pulling back sharply. With thin liquidity and dominant sell pressure, a retracement toward the $0.000050–$0.000070 range is plausible in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000040 to $0.000127.

Is JALAPEÑO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation.

How are JALAPEÑO holders trending?

JALAPEÑO currently has 679 holders and is growing (24h: 658, 7d: 658, 30d: 658). The historical holder data reveals a striking pattern: the token sat at exactly 21 holders for every single day from May 25 to June 23, 2026 — 30 consecutive days of zero change. Then in a single 24-hour window (June 24), holders exploded from 21 to 679 (+658, +97%). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden activation event, likely triggered by a coordinated pump, influencer post, or bot activity. The 21 pre-existing holders over 30 days likely represent the founding/insider wallet set. Acquisition data shows 675 of 679 holders acquired via swap (99.4%), confirming these are market buyers responding to the price action. Growth is technically 'accelerating' but from a zero base, making the metric less meaningful as a positive signal.

What does sniper activity look like for JALAPEÑO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding JALAPEÑO?

Extreme liquidity thinness ($40.4K) creates catastrophic slippage and exit risk • 73.2% sell pressure with 2.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • 30-day dormancy at 21 holders followed by sudden activation is a classic coordinated pump signal

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