Merge Price Today & AI Analysis

MERGESolanaAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

$0.0₄8013

+80.63% 24h

Contract

Live

FEq7W38ugzhdt8yg68fcxLDeCkNufDTHy6kxDGHgpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,689

Market cap

$77,451

At a $1M market cap, $MERGE would be $0.001035 (12.9x from today’s price)

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Merge: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 09:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,689

Top 10 supply share

16.05%

Reported liquidity

$13,912.00

How concentrated is Merge ownership?: As of 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.05% of supply. It reports 1,689 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Merge?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $811,108.00 in buys and $793,503.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Merge liquidity falling?: Sampled USD liquidity changed -41.25%, from $25,685.30 (2026-10-16 08:00 UTC) to $15,089.16 (2026-10-16 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)	Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-16 08:00 UTC	$25,685.30
2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	$15,089.16

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $41.91cymqRUj4…JQ3QBoWallet FKyvDqWj…PxJjf1
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.665L6W8g4J…7mYqNhWallet EDoAaj9q…fyMAcp
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCBuy · $24.473KM9zC1r…XJbUL7Wallet 6BfonUk8…9Linqk
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCBuy · $1.58Gnzo9Nyq…8rL1hNWallet 2MgX4pzJ…mUdrJ3
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.472xA3afwP…WsJB5NWallet AsdDARYn…jB2DcG
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.485scbPZD2…wbrDvCWallet EN1wkGSm…ZSitUe
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.5064mdiHBR…R65HUxWallet 3sAtmj3h…AYje3k
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.512YktVxfN…yUvad9Wallet FvZ3zpE3…ZvU2NQ
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.50BzA1DzaV…fDmnjGWallet 3ee3z9aS…8Pe7nB
2026-10-16 09:15 UTCSell · $0.495WxoKYzh…n21MHgWallet 91wv4EdA…VUYNXs

Report snapshot

as of Oct 16, 09:15 AM UTC

FDV

$77,451

Liquidity

$13,912.00

Holders

1,689

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

MERGE is a pump.fun-origin token trading on PumpSwap with an FDV of about $77.45K and only $13.91K liquidity. Price is extremely volatile: the last two hourly candles show a spike from $0.00000316 to a high of $0.000471, then a drop to $0.0000801. 24h volume of about $1.6M is very large relative to liquidity.

Key points

Liquidity of $13.91K is about 18% of FDV
24h volume (~$1.6M) is over 100x liquidity
Top-10 supply share 16.05% across 1,689 holder addresses
No mint/freeze authority or sniper data available

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24h

neutral

After a parabolic spike and sharp retracement (5m -20.5%), direction is unpredictable. Thin liquidity makes moves violent in both directions.

Target low

$0.000003

Target high

$0.00030

Support: $0.000048, $0.0000032
Resistance: $0.000227, $0.000294, $0.000471

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Only two hourly candles are available, so no medium-term view can be supported. Tokens with this profile often retrace fully after spikes.

Catalysts

Narrative around the launchpad concept
Liquidity additions
Social activity

Bullish factors

24h change +80.6%
Buy pressure 50.5% with 14,097 buys vs 11,793 sells
4,679 buyers vs 3,871 sellers
Top-10 share of 16.05% is modest

Bearish factors

Price fell from the $0.000471 high to $0.0000801
Last 5m -20.5%
Liquidity only $13.91K
Authority status unknown

Confidence: low. Only two candles, no holder history, no sniper or authority data, and extreme volatility.

MERGE call history

Full track record →

Oct 16neutral@ $0.0000801

24hpending

7dpending

30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: FEq7W3...pump
Total Supply: 966,620,295.83

Key Risks

Extreme volatility and a blow-off spike
Thin liquidity and high slippage
Unknown mint/freeze authorities
No sniper or holder history data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Candle 1 (08:00) opened at $0.00000316 and closed at $0.000228 with a high of $0.000471, a roughly 70x+ open-to-close move. Candle 2 (09:00) opened at $0.000228, high $0.000294, low $0.0000480, close $0.0000801: a large bearish candle that retraced about 65%.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short term is a post-spike retracement. Two candles are not enough to establish a medium-term trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000048

Major support

$0.0000032

Immediate resistance

$0.000227

Major resistance

$0.000471

Levels come from the two candles' lows, closes and highs only and are weak.

Notable patterns

Parabolic blow-off spike
Long upper wick on the 09:00 candle
Bearish reversal candle after the spike

Liquidity

$13,912.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Net flow is about +$17.6K of buy volume, roughly balanced. Volume is over 100x liquidity, which signals heavy churn and possibly bot activity. $13.91K liquidity means modest trades cause large slippage.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

966,620,295.83

FDV

$77.45K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
The hourly range spans from $0.00000316 to $0.000471, with a retrace of about 65% within an hour.
Liquidityhigh
Only $13.91K liquidity against $1.6M of 24h volume.
Concentrationmedium
Top-10 hold 16.05%, which is moderate, but top-100 and wallet labels are unavailable.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme volatility and a blow-off spike
Thin liquidity and high slippage
Unknown mint/freeze authorities
No sniper or holder history data
Micro-cap of $77K

Mitigating factors

Top-10 share of 16.05%
Balanced buy/sell flow
Active trading with 4,679 buyers

Suitable for

Only for speculative traders who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

A highly speculative micro-cap with active trading but fragile liquidity and major data gaps. This is informational, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Narrative momentum and added liquidity let price recover toward the $0.000227-$0.000471 area.

Balanced flow with many buyers
Social and narrative interest
Liquidity growth

Base Case

Choppy, high-volatility trading with a downward bias and wide swings.

Liquidity stays thin
No major new catalyst
Volume decays from the spike

Bear Case

High probability

Post-spike retracement continues toward the pre-spike levels near $0.000003-$0.00005 as liquidity thins.

Blow-off pattern and falling volume
Thin liquidity
Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 16, 09:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 09:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Token metadata
Hourly OHLC (2 candles)
Trading analytics
Holder aggregates snapshot

Limitations

Only 2 candles
No sniper data
No mint/freeze authority data
No holder history or wallet labels
Top-100 concentration unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Merge ownership?

As of 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.05% of supply. It reports 1,689 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Merge?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $811,108.00 in buys and $793,503.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Merge liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -41.25%, from $25,685.30 (2026-10-16 08:00 UTC) to $15,089.16 (2026-10-16 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Merge (MERGE)?

After a parabolic spike and sharp retracement (5m -20.5%), direction is unpredictable. Thin liquidity makes moves violent in both directions. Short-term outlook is neutral (24h), with a target range of $0.000003 to $0.00030.

Is MERGE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Only for speculative traders who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.