smolien

smol alien Price Today & AI Analysis

smolienSolanaAnalysis as of May 8, 2026

Price

$0.051824

FDV $1,824

Contract

Live
F3ecv7E9qrPfqoK4xySNYaqizH5JPjuW72by2ZEGpump

Chain

Holders

31

Market cap

$1,824

More tokens on Solana

smol alien: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-08 17:20 UTC

Holder addresses

123

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is smol alien ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 123 addresses (2026-05-08 17:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling smol alien?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is smol alien liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-08 17:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 8, 05:20 PM UTC

FDV

$2,464

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

123

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

smolien (smol alien) is an ultra-low-cap Solana memecoin launched on PumpSwap (mint: F3ecv7E9qrPfqoK4xySNYaqizH5JPjuW72by2ZEGpump). The token has suffered a catastrophic -96.84% price collapse within 24 hours, falling from ~$0.000136 to ~$0.00000246. With $0 reported liquidity, extreme supply concentration (top holder alone controls 80.92%), only 123 total holders, and heavy sell-side dominance, this token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a failed or abandoned pump-and-dump launch.

Key points

  • Extreme top-holder concentration: address 2iM95zZB4KmnDRUfthhUHyDCR5JE7VEzZKjqXRUXyU5e holds 80.92% of supply — likely the PumpSwap liquidity pool or project treasury
  • Price collapsed -96.84% in 24 hours from open ~$0.000136 to current ~$0.00000246
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00 total liquidity) making exits extremely difficult
  • All 123 holders acquired within the last 24 hours — token is brand new with no historical holder data
  • 20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks; several booked significant profits (up to +172.2% realized PnL), indicating early insiders already exited

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already collapsed -96.84% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000136 and closed at $0.00000246 — a near-total wipeout within a single hour. With $0 reported liquidity, 53.2% sell pressure, and snipers having already taken profits, further downside or complete abandonment is the most probable short-term outcome. Any micro-bounce would face immediate resistance at the prior candle close of ~$0.000140.

Target low

$0.000000500

Target high

$0.000010000

Support

$0.00000246 (current price / recent low), $0.000001000 (psychological floor)

Resistance

$0.000010000 (minor recovery level), $0.000031948 (16:00 UTC candle open), $0.000140 (16:00 UTC candle high / prior recovery peak)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given zero liquidity, extreme concentration, no social links, no verified contract, and a token that launched and crashed within hours, medium-term recovery is highly unlikely without a coordinated re-marketing effort. The token shows no fundamental utility or community infrastructure to support a sustained recovery.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media attention (low probability)
  • Re-liquidity injection by project team
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all micro-caps

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume of $191.84K shows some speculative interest
  • 1,113 unique buyers in 24h suggests initial community curiosity
  • Some snipers still hold positions (e.g., wallet 7At1sXdNtm1rFG12KDHHU7Pwb57aoxBz2JwsmZbCW1Xg holds $44, 9V9D8oWGVGT5cTrMhMNYGEYcKqSWfqD4JVo4WQRLCezz holds $16)

Bearish factors

  • Price collapsed -96.84% in 24 hours
  • Zero reported liquidity — exits are nearly impossible
  • Top holder controls 80.92% of supply (likely LP pool with drained liquidity)
  • 53.2% sell pressure vs 46.8% buy pressure
  • 2,729 sells vs 1,593 buys in 24h
  • Multiple snipers already realized profits and exited
  • No social links, no verified contract, no description
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is brand new (all holders acquired within 24h), liquidity is reported as $0, and update authority is unknown. The data is extremely limited, making any price prediction highly speculative.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
F3ecv7...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit impossible without extreme slippage
  • Price already down -96.84% — capital is nearly entirely lost for most buyers
  • 80.92% of supply in a single address (LP pool) with drained liquidity
  • No social presence, no description, no verified contract — anonymous team

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000319, H=$0.0001409, L=$0.0000319, C=$0.0001399 — a strong bullish candle with a large upper wick suggesting a pump. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.0001365, H=$0.0001698, L=$0.00000245, C=$0.00000246 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/crash candle. The open was near the prior close, briefly made a new high ($0.0001698), then collapsed to a low of $0.00000245, closing near the absolute low. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern: a brief new high followed by a near-total price collapse in a single hour.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token launched, pumped briefly to $0.0001698, then crashed -98.6% from that high to $0.00000246 within two hours. Both available candles confirm a severe downtrend with no recovery signal.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

47%

Sell

53%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000246 (current price, recent absolute low)

Major support

$0.000001000 (psychological level below current price)

Immediate resistance

$0.000010000 (10x from current, minor recovery target)

Major resistance

$0.000031948 (16:00 UTC candle open) and $0.000140 (16:00 UTC candle high)

The only meaningful support is the current price itself. All prior price levels from the pump phase ($0.000032–$0.000170) now act as heavy overhead resistance. A recovery to even 10% of the pump high would require a ~55x move from current levels.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern: sharp spike to $0.0001698 followed by near-total collapse to $0.00000246 within one hour
  • Bearish engulfing on hourly timeframe (candle [1] body engulfs and destroys candle [2] gains)
  • High upper wick on candle [2] indicating distribution at the top
  • Price closing at the absolute low of candle [1] — no recovery attempt

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$2,464.00

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price collapsed -96.84% in 24 hours, from a high of $0.0001698 to a current price of $0.00000246. The 5-minute change is still -14.49%, indicating ongoing extreme volatility.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit impossible without extreme slippage
  • Price already down -96.84% — capital is nearly entirely lost for most buyers
  • 80.92% of supply in a single address (LP pool) with drained liquidity
  • No social presence, no description, no verified contract — anonymous team
  • Snipers already extracted profits; remaining holders are likely at significant losses
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record or community
  • Ongoing selling pressure: -14.49% in last 5 minutes at time of analysis

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable=false), preventing metadata rug
  • PumpSwap/PumpFun launch infrastructure provides some baseline transparency
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Some snipers still hold positions, suggesting not all early buyers have exited

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for extremely high-risk-tolerant speculators who treat any capital allocated as fully at risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative, moderate, or even most aggressive investors. Given the near-zero liquidity and post-dump state, even speculative entry carries extreme risk of permanent capital loss.

smolien is a brand-new PumpSwap memecoin that launched, pumped ~5x within its first hour, and then collapsed -96.84% within the same trading session. With zero liquidity, extreme concentration, no community infrastructure, and smart money already having exited, the investment case is overwhelmingly negative. The only speculative bull case relies on an unlikely viral revival.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral memecoin revival: The 'smol alien' theme catches attention on Crypto Twitter/X or TikTok, driving a new wave of buyers. The team re-injects liquidity and the token re-pumps from its depressed base.

  • Viral social media moment around the 'smol alien' theme
  • Team or whale re-injects liquidity into the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting micro-caps
  • Low FDV ($2,464) means even small capital inflows could produce large % gains

Base Case

Token lingers near zero with occasional micro-pumps driven by speculative traders, but never recovers meaningful value. Liquidity remains thin, holders gradually abandon positions, and the token fades into obscurity within days to weeks.

  • No significant new liquidity injection
  • No viral social media catalyst
  • Remaining sniper positions gradually sold off
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral for Solana memecoins

Bear Case

High probability

Complete abandonment: The token continues to bleed out with no new buyers, liquidity remains at $0, and the token becomes a dead coin. Remaining holders are unable to exit due to zero liquidity.

  • Zero liquidity prevents any meaningful price recovery
  • No social links or community to drive organic demand
  • Snipers and early buyers already extracted value
  • 53.2% sell pressure with more sellers than buyers
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no demonstrated staying power

Analysis details

Generated

May 8, 05:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-08 17:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and pair data
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • 30-day historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total sniped USD amounts are unknown for all 20 snipers, preventing precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Sniper initial balances are largely unknown, making sell-through rate estimation imprecise
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown or unconfirmed
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — unclear if this is a data lag or true pool state
  • Historical holder data shows 0 for all 30 prior days, confirming token is brand new but limiting trend analysis
  • No social links or external data sources available to assess community or team credibility
  • Price % changes for 1h, 6h, and 24h all show 0% in analytics despite the -96.84% 24h change shown in price data — possible data inconsistency

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment decisions made based on this report. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is smol alien ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 123 addresses (2026-05-08 17:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling smol alien?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is smol alien liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for smol alien (smolien)?

The token has already collapsed -96.84% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000136 and closed at $0.00000246 — a near-total wipeout within a single hour. With $0 reported liquidity, 53.2% sell pressure, and snipers having already taken profits, further downside or complete abandonment is the most probable short-term outcome. Any micro-bounce would face immediate resistance at the prior candle close of ~$0.000140. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000000500 to $0.000010000.

Is smolien a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable only for extremely high-risk-tolerant speculators who treat any capital allocated as fully at risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative, moderate, or even most aggressive investors. Given the near-zero liquidity and post-dump state, even speculative entry carries extreme risk of permanent capital loss.

What are the key risks of holding smolien?

Zero reported liquidity makes exit impossible without extreme slippage • Price already down -96.84% — capital is nearly entirely lost for most buyers • 80.92% of supply in a single address (LP pool) with drained liquidity

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