AGUA

Agua the baird tapir Price Today & AI Analysis

AGUASolanaAnalysis as of May 12, 2026

Price

$0.052065

FDV $2,064

Contract

Live
EqoJGGiXc9VBKgDxx2CcXBaLX9B5JjcvANfFAmxFpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

68

Market cap

$2,064

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Agua the baird tapir: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-12 05:18 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Agua the baird tapir ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Agua the baird tapir?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Agua the baird tapir liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-12 05:18 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 12, 05:18 AM UTC

FDV

$63,279

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

AGUA (Agua the baird tapir) is a Solana meme token deployed via j7tracker.io on the PumpSwap DEX (pair J3YhUx1iSV6MJxZRpvxD5PpRWCyzbpogwKKWaRFWnzrN). With a fully diluted valuation of ~$63,279 and a current price of ~$0.0000633, the token is in the micro-cap speculative category. The 24h price surge of ~43% is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (71% sell vs 29% buy volume), a sharply negative holder count (reported -816 total holders with -2,767 net change over 24h/7d/30d), and $0 reported on-chain liquidity — all of which are serious red flags. The historical holder series shows a flat 1,951 holders for the entire 30-day window, suggesting the current holder metrics may reflect a data anomaly or a sudden mass exodus event. Overall risk is very high.

Key points

  • Deployed via j7tracker.io — a third-party launch tool with no verified contract
  • PumpSwap pair with $0.00 reported on-chain liquidity despite active trading volume
  • Extreme sell pressure: 71% sell volume ($192.36K) vs 29% buy volume ($78.72K) in 24h
  • Holder count reported as negative (-816), with a 30-day flat history at 1,951 — data anomaly or mass exit
  • Top 10 wallets hold 42.01% of supply; top 100 hold 88.16% — highly concentrated

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The 43% pump over 24h is being met with overwhelming sell pressure (71% of volume). The most recent two hourly candles show a spike from $0.0000384 to a high of $0.0000795 followed by a pullback close at $0.0000698, then a lower open at $0.0000605. With $0 reported liquidity and dominant selling, a retracement toward the $0.0000515–$0.0000380 range is likely in the near term.

Target low

$0.0000220

Target high

$0.0000795

Support

$0.0000515 (candle [1] low), $0.0000380 (candle [2] open), $0.0000224 (candle [2] absolute low)

Resistance

$0.0000698 (candle [1] close / current price area), $0.0000740 (candle [2] high), $0.0000795 (candle [1] all-time visible high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

The 30-day holder history was completely flat at 1,951 before the current event, suggesting no organic community growth. With top-100 holders controlling 88.16% of supply, extreme sell pressure, and no verified contract or meaningful liquidity, sustained price appreciation is unlikely without a new catalyst.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media attention
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (very unlikely at this FDV)
  • Coordinated community buy campaign
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 43% 24h price gain shows speculative momentum
  • 3,091 buy transactions in 24h indicates some active buyer interest
  • 1,648 unique buyers in 24h suggests broad participation
  • 5m price change of +9.4% shows very short-term upward momentum

Bearish factors

  • 71% sell pressure ($192.36K sell vs $78.72K buy volume)
  • $0.00 reported on-chain liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • Holder count is negative/declining sharply (-2,767 over 24h/7d/30d)
  • Top 100 wallets hold 88.16% of supply — extreme concentration
  • No verified contract; deployed via third-party tool
  • 30-day flat holder history at 1,951 suggests no organic growth prior to this event
  • Sell volume exceeds buy volume by 2.44x

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) contradictory holder data (negative total, flat 30-day history), (3) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, and (4) the token's micro-cap meme nature makes it highly susceptible to manipulation.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
EqoJGG...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 AGUA

Key Risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position
  • 88.16% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration risk
  • 71% sell pressure with net outflow of $113,640 in 24h
  • Negative holder count (-816) and -2,767 holder decline — mass exodus signal

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (04:00 UTC): O=$0.0000384, H=$0.0000740, L=$0.0000224, C=$0.0000605 — a large bullish candle with a massive lower wick, indicating a sharp intraday reversal from lows. Volume was extremely high at $205,459. Candle [1] (05:00 UTC): O=$0.0000605, H=$0.0000795, L=$0.0000515, C=$0.0000698 — a continuation candle making a higher high ($0.0000795) and higher low ($0.0000515) vs candle [2], closing near the midpoint. Volume dropped sharply to $26,620, suggesting the initial momentum is fading. The pattern is a 'spike and partial pullback' — classic pump behavior with declining follow-through volume.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up (higher high and higher low across the two visible candles), but the 30-day flat holder history and pre-event stagnation suggest the medium-term trend is sideways-to-bearish. The pump appears event-driven rather than structurally supported.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000605 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close)

Major support

$0.0000224 (candle [2] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000740 (candle [2] high)

Major resistance

$0.0000795 (candle [1] high — visible all-time high in dataset)

The $0.0000515 level (candle [1] low) is the first meaningful support. A break below $0.0000380 (candle [2] open) would signal the pump is fully exhausted. Resistance at $0.0000795 is the key level bulls need to reclaim to sustain upward momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Spike-and-fade: massive volume candle followed by 87% volume drop on next candle
  • Higher high and higher low across 2 candles — short-term uptrend structure
  • Large lower wick on candle [2] suggests buyers defended the $0.0000224 level aggressively
  • Price closing below the midpoint of candle [1] range hints at distribution near highs
  • Volume-price divergence: price higher but volume collapsing — bearish signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 AGUA

FDV

$63,278.98

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    43% 24h price swing with only 2 hourly candles showing a range from $0.0000224 to $0.0000795 — a 254% intraday range. Micro-cap meme tokens are inherently volatile.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position
  • 88.16% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration risk
  • 71% sell pressure with net outflow of $113,640 in 24h
  • Negative holder count (-816) and -2,767 holder decline — mass exodus signal
  • No verified contract; unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Snipers have already extracted profits; retail is left holding
  • 30-day flat holder history suggests no organic community prior to this pump event
  • Suspicious uniform wallet sizing among top 2–10 holders may indicate coordinated activity

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • 1,648 unique buyers in 24h shows some genuine retail interest
  • The PumpSwap LP holds 16.07% of supply, providing some baseline liquidity structure
  • FDV of ~$63K is low enough that a small catalyst could produce outsized gains
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, suggesting some community presence

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as a lottery ticket, not an investment).

AGUA is a high-risk Solana meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: a sharp 43% price spike driven by overwhelming sell pressure (71%), a collapsing holder base, zero reported liquidity, extreme supply concentration (top 100 = 88.16%), and snipers who have already exited profitably. The token has no verified utility, no verified contract, and was deployed via a third-party tool. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Short-term momentum continuation: if the 5m +9.4% move accelerates and social media attention drives a new wave of retail buyers, AGUA could retest the $0.0000795 high and potentially push toward $0.00012–$0.00015 in a continuation pump.

  • Viral social media catalyst (Twitter/CT attention)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Coordinated community buy campaign from existing holders
  • New exchange listing or aggregator feature

Base Case

Pump fades, price consolidates or drifts lower: the initial pump momentum exhausts within 24–48 hours as sell pressure continues to dominate. Price stabilizes somewhere between $0.0000380 and $0.0000605, with low volume and minimal holder activity, returning to the pre-event dormant state.

  • No new major catalyst emerges
  • Sell pressure remains dominant (>60% sell volume)
  • Liquidity remains thin, preventing large position entries or exits
  • Holder base stabilizes at a lower level after the current exodus

Bear Case

High probability

Rapid collapse: with $0 liquidity, 71% sell pressure, and a mass holder exodus already underway, the token could retrace to the $0.0000224 candle low or lower, effectively wiping out the 43% pump gain and returning to pre-event levels or below.

  • Continued sell pressure from the 88.16% top-100 concentration
  • Zero liquidity making any sell order gap the price down sharply
  • No organic community growth (30-day flat holder history)
  • Sniper exit pattern already complete — no smart money support remaining
  • Potential data confirmation of mass holder exit

Analysis details

Generated

May 12, 05:18 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-12 05:18 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: EqoJGGiXc9VBKgDxx2CcXBaLX9B5JjcvANfFAmxFpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (J3YhUx1iSV6MJxZRpvxD5PpRWCyzbpogwKKWaRFWnzrN)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-05-12 04:00–05:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • 30-day daily historical holder series (2026-04-12 to 2026-05-11)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Holder distribution metrics (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus)
  • Supply concentration data (top10/top100)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total holder count is reported as negative (-816), which is a data anomaly that undermines holder trend analysis
  • On-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data error; actual liquidity unknown
  • Sniper USD amounts sniped are 'unknown' — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • 30-day holder history shows zero change for all 30 days, which is statistically improbable and may indicate a data feed issue
  • No order book depth data available
  • No historical price data beyond 2 hourly candles

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data presented contains anomalies (negative holder count, $0 liquidity) that reduce analytical confidence. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Agua the baird tapir ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Agua the baird tapir?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Agua the baird tapir liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Agua the baird tapir (AGUA)?

The 43% pump over 24h is being met with overwhelming sell pressure (71% of volume). The most recent two hourly candles show a spike from $0.0000384 to a high of $0.0000795 followed by a pullback close at $0.0000698, then a lower open at $0.0000605. With $0 reported liquidity and dominant selling, a retracement toward the $0.0000515–$0.0000380 range is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0000220 to $0.0000795.

Is AGUA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as a lottery ticket, not an investment).

What are the key risks of holding AGUA?

$0.00 reported liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position • 88.16% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration risk • 71% sell pressure with net outflow of $113,640 in 24h

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