Polymarket

Polymarket Price Today & AI Analysis

PolymarketSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$0.053264

+0.22% 24h · FDV $326,420

Contract

Live
E2tDrsXg4ciVQrAcNEmhwDimPEENnZxh6M4NsYK5yxAW

Chain

Holders

91

Market cap

$326,420

More tokens on Solana

Polymarket: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 13:45 UTC

Holder addresses

91

Top 10 supply share

19.65%

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Polymarket ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 19.65% of supply. It reports 91 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Polymarket?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1.00 in buys and $0.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Polymarket liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC$0.26

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 22, 01:46 PM UTC

FDV

$326,420

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

91

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

This token is branded 'Polymarket' on Solana with a fully diluted valuation of roughly $326.42K, trading against a Meteora DAMM pool. The data reveals a market with effectively zero reported liquidity ($0.00), only one buyer and one seller in the past 24 hours, and an internal price inconsistency of roughly 13x between the flat hourly OHLC feed and the live ticker price. Mint/freeze authority status and contract verification are all unknown, and no sniper or holder-history data is available, leaving major gaps in due diligence.

Key points

  • Uses the recognizable 'Polymarket' name/symbol despite no verifiable link, social presence, or description tying it to the actual Polymarket platform
  • Reported total liquidity of exactly $0.00 alongside a live FDV of ~$326K - a stark mismatch suggesting a thin, possibly newly created or abandoned pool
  • 24-hour trading activity limited to a single buy and single sell transaction, indicating negligible real market participation
  • Price data inconsistency between flat/stale OHLC candles and the live price ticker, undermining confidence in any technical signal

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-72 hours

neutral

With total liquidity at $0.00 and only one buy and one sell in the last 24 hours, there is no meaningful order flow to project a directional short-term move. The 24h price change was a negligible +0.22%. Any single trade of moderate size could move price dramatically given the apparent lack of depth.

Target low

0.0000020

Target high

0.0000045

Support

0.0000032 (current traded price)

Resistance

0.0000426 (stale OHLC candle level, likely not representative of live tradeable price)

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction is essentially unforecastable given the absence of liquidity, verified authorities, and consistent pricing data. Any thesis-based catalysts (e.g., branding recognition, listing, or liquidity injection) would need to materialize for this to move beyond micro-cap obscurity.

Catalysts

  • Potential addition of real liquidity to the Meteora DAMM pool
  • Clarification or refutation of any link to the actual Polymarket brand
  • Resolution of mint/freeze authority status via independent on-chain verification
  • Any sudden volume spike that could indicate genuine market interest or, conversely, a sniper/insider exit

Bullish factors

  • FDV sits at a small $326.42K, theoretically leaving room for upside if genuine adoption or liquidity arrives
  • Slight positive 24h price change (+0.22%)
  • Brand-name recognition of 'Polymarket' could attract speculative attention if legitimacy is ever established

Bearish factors

  • Zero reported liquidity makes the token effectively untradeable at any meaningful size
  • Only one buyer and one seller in 24h signals almost no organic market activity
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status raises rug-pull and dilution risk
  • Price feed inconsistency (candles vs. ticker) suggests data unreliability or a market that isn't functioning normally
  • Use of a well-known third-party brand name without verified affiliation is a classic red flag for impersonation tokens

Confidence: low. The dataset contains internally contradictory price signals (flat historical candles vs. a very different live price), $0.00 reported liquidity, and only two total trades in 24h. There is insufficient reliable data to build directional conviction; any prediction here is highly speculative.

Polymarket call history

Full track record →

Sep 22neutral
24h
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
E2tDrs...yxAW
Total Supply
99,999,930,397.33 (raw formatted supply, 6 decimals)

Key Risks

  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 with only one buyer and one seller in 24h - the market is effectively illiquid and trades could face extreme slippage or fail entirely.
  • Sharp inconsistency between the flat OHLC candle price (~$0.0000426) and the live analytics price (~$0.0000032642), a ~13x gap, indicating unreliable or stale pricing feeds that undermine any technical read.
  • Mint/freeze authority status is entirely unknown, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing.
  • Token uses the 'Polymarket' name/symbol with no verified social links or description - a well-known brand name on an unrelated, unverified Solana contract is a classic impersonation/rug pattern.

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

All 24 available hourly candles are completely flat: Open=High=Low=Close=$0.0000425934743416 with zero volume in every single period. This indicates either a stalled/inactive pool feed or stale cached data, not real price action. This candle price is also roughly 13x higher than the live analytics ticker price of $0.00000326420255712, a major inconsistency.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Sideways

No discernible trend can be derived because every candle in the provided 24-hour window is identical with zero volume. There is no price movement to classify as an uptrend or downtrend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

100%

Sell

0%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

~$0.0000032 (current live ticker price, unconfirmed by candle data)

Major support

unknown - no historical low-volume trades to establish a validated support floor

Immediate resistance

~0.0000426 (flat OHLC level, likely stale/unreliable)

Major resistance

unknown - insufficient real trade data to identify a validated resistance level

Because every OHLC candle is identical and carries zero volume, no valid support/resistance levels can be technically derived. The listed levels above are placeholders drawn directly from the two divergent price sources in the data and should not be treated as reliable trading levels.

Notable patterns

  • Fully flat, zero-volume candle series across all 24 hourly periods - indicative of a stalled or non-representative price feed rather than genuine consolidation
  • Price discrepancy pattern: live ticker price is ~13x lower than the OHLC candle price, suggesting a data feed or pool-sync anomaly

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

99,999,930,397.33 (raw formatted supply, 6 decimals)

FDV

$326,420 (approx., per FDV field of 326420)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    OHLC candles show a flat price of $0.0000425934743416 for all 24 hourly candles with 0 volume, then the analytics block reports a materially different live price of $0.00000326420255712 - a discrepancy of roughly 13x between the candle feed and the ticker price. This inconsistency itself signals unreliable/stale pricing data and high volatility risk once real trading occurs.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 19.65% of supply across 91 total holder addresses per the Codex snapshot. This is a single current-snapshot figure with no history; no wallet classification (team, exchange, bot) is available, so true concentration risk could be higher or lower than it appears.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Total liquidity reported at $0.00 with only one buyer and one seller in 24h - the market is effectively illiquid and trades could face extreme slippage or fail entirely.
  • Sharp inconsistency between the flat OHLC candle price (~$0.0000426) and the live analytics price (~$0.0000032642), a ~13x gap, indicating unreliable or stale pricing feeds that undermine any technical read.
  • Mint/freeze authority status is entirely unknown, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing.
  • Token uses the 'Polymarket' name/symbol with no verified social links or description - a well-known brand name on an unrelated, unverified Solana contract is a classic impersonation/rug pattern.
  • No sniper coverage and no holder history means concentration and early-buyer dumping risk cannot be properly evaluated, only inferred from a single snapshot.

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 concentration at 19.65% of supply is not extreme in isolation, though this is a single snapshot without history.
  • Holder base of 91 addresses shows at least some distribution rather than one or two wallets holding everything (though this doesn't confirm real organic ownership).

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative participants explicitly prepared for total loss. Given effectively zero liquidity, unverifiable authorities, an unverified brand-name token, and internally inconsistent price data, this token is not appropriate for retail investors seeking any degree of capital protection. Extensive independent due diligence (contract verification, authority checks, liquidity depth confirmation) is required before any exposure.

This is a low-FDV (~$326K), essentially illiquid Solana token trading under the name 'Polymarket' with no verifiable link to the actual Polymarket platform, no confirmed mint/freeze authority status, and internally inconsistent price data between its OHLC feed and live ticker. The evidence base is too thin and too contradictory to support a constructive investment case at this time; this profile is far closer to a high-risk speculative curiosity or potential impersonation token than an investable asset.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If genuine liquidity is added to the Meteora DAMM pool, mint/freeze authorities are independently verified as renounced/safe, and any brand association concerns are resolved or proven irrelevant to valuation, speculative capital could flow in given the low FDV and name recognition of 'Polymarket.'

  • Liquidity injection into the trading pair
  • Independent verification of contract safety (mint/freeze authorities)
  • Growing genuine holder base beyond the current 91 addresses with real transaction volume
  • Any official confirmation of legitimate branding tie-in (none currently exists in the data)

Base Case

The token continues to trade in near-total obscurity with negligible volume (as evidenced by the single buy/sell in 24h) and no material price discovery, remaining a micro-liquidity curiosity until either liquidity is added or the project is abandoned.

  • No near-term liquidity injection occurs
  • No independent contract/authority verification is published
  • Holder count and trading activity remain at current negligible levels absent new catalysts

Bear Case

High probability

The token remains illiquid, authorities remain unverifiable, and the 'Polymarket' branding turns out to be unaffiliated/impersonation, leading to loss of interest, inability to exit positions, or an outright rug via undisclosed mint authority.

  • Reported $0.00 liquidity persists or worsens
  • Mint/freeze authority is later found to be active, enabling dilution or freezing
  • Brand-name usage draws scrutiny or takedown, collapsing any speculative premium
  • Continued near-zero trading volume signals no real organic demand

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 22, 01:46 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 13:45 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, FDV)
  • Price ticker / trading analytics feed
  • Hourly OHLC candle feed (24 most recent hours)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis feed (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00, which is either an extreme red flag or a data reporting error - cannot be distinguished from available evidence
  • OHLC candle feed is completely flat/zero-volume across all 24 periods and inconsistent with the live price ticker by ~13x, undermining all technical analysis derived from it
  • No sniper data was available at all
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d) was provided - only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • No top-100 holder concentration figure was provided
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, and mutability status are all unknown - no authority-based rug risk assessment could be performed
  • Only two total trades (one buy, one sell) occurred in the 24h analytics window, making all volume/pressure metrics statistically negligible
  • Token branding as 'Polymarket' is unverified against any official source and should be treated with heightened suspicion of impersonation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited, and in places internally inconsistent, on-chain and market data. It is provided for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Token names, symbols, and descriptions are supplied by the token creator and may be adversarial, misleading, or impersonating unrelated brands/entities. Given $0.00 reported liquidity, unknown authority status, and contradictory pricing data, this token carries very high risk of partial or total loss. Always conduct independent due diligence and verify contract authorities directly on-chain before any transaction.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Polymarket ownership?

As of 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 19.65% of supply. It reports 91 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Polymarket?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1.00 in buys and $0.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Polymarket liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Polymarket (Polymarket)?

With total liquidity at $0.00 and only one buy and one sell in the last 24 hours, there is no meaningful order flow to project a directional short-term move. The 24h price change was a negligible +0.22%. Any single trade of moderate size could move price dramatically given the apparent lack of depth. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-72 hours), with a target range of 0.0000020 to 0.0000045.

Is Polymarket a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 92/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative participants explicitly prepared for total loss. Given effectively zero liquidity, unverifiable authorities, an unverified brand-name token, and internally inconsistent price data, this token is not appropriate for retail investors seeking any degree of capital protection. Extensive independent due diligence (contract verification, authority checks, liquidity depth confirmation) is required before any exposure.

What are the key risks of holding Polymarket?

Total liquidity reported at $0.00 with only one buyer and one seller in 24h - the market is effectively illiquid and trades could face extreme slippage or fail entirely. • Sharp inconsistency between the flat OHLC candle price (~$0.0000426) and the live analytics price (~$0.0000032642), a ~13x gap, indicating unreliable or stale pricing feeds that undermine any technical read. • Mint/freeze authority status is entirely unknown, leaving open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing.

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