3301

Cicada 3301 Price Prediction 2026

3301
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 5, 2026

Dur39Hv43Uw4HU9Zr4RUB7mH6kqmYdPpZfENup6Xpump

$0.052747

-1.44%

FDV $2,747

LiveContract:Dur39Hv43Uw4HU9Zr4RUB7mH6kqmYdPpZfENup6XpumpChain:SolanaHolders:252Market cap:$2,747

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Ask Unhosted AI about 3301

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 5, 07:20 AM
FDV

$161,529

Liquidity

$49,867

Holders

450

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Cicada 3301 (3301) is a PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin/puzzle-hunt token with a mint address ending in 'pump', launched on or around July 4, 2026. The token experienced a dramatic 315% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden explosion in holder count from 23 (dormant for ~30 days) to 450. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily at 68% of 24h volume ($176.77K sells vs $83.22K buys), liquidity is thin at ~$49.87K, and no top holder data is available — making this a very high risk, speculative micro-cap.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Puzzle-hunt narrative inspired by the real-world Cicada 3301 ARG, potentially attracting a niche community
Token was dormant at 23 holders for ~30 days before an explosive +427 holder surge in 24h
Extreme 315% 24h price gain with heavy sell-side dominance (68% sell pressure)
Very thin liquidity (~$49.87K) relative to FDV (~$161.5K), creating high slippage risk
No top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing strong bearish signals in the short term. The most recent candle (07:00 UTC) shows a close at $0.0000566 after a high of $0.0000566, while the prior candle (06:00 UTC) had a high of $0.0000566 and closed lower at $0.0000373 — a bearish rejection. The 5-minute price change is -11.24%, and sell pressure is 68% of 24h volume. A retracement toward the $0.000028–$0.000033 range is likely.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000072
Support: $0.000033 (recent consolidation zone, candles 4–6), $0.000028 (candle 7 low), $0.000020 (candle 12–13 low)
Resistance: $0.000057 (recent high, candles 1–2), $0.000072 (candle 3 high), $0.000080 (candle 11 high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, growing liquidity, or a verifiable puzzle-hunt catalyst, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a single-day pump-and-dump pattern is a classic micro-cap lifecycle. Unless the puzzle narrative drives organic community growth, price will likely revert toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000020–$0.000030).

Catalysts
  • Puzzle solution announcement driving viral attention
  • Influencer or community amplification of the Cicada 3301 narrative
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 24h surge
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 315% 24h price surge with 1h gain of +93.5% and 6h gain of +471.8%
  • Holder count grew from 23 to 450 (+95%) in 24 hours, indicating viral spread
  • Unique puzzle-hunt narrative (Cicada 3301) may attract a dedicated niche community
  • 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap, indicating genuine market buying interest
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation risk

Bearish factors

  • 68% sell pressure ($176.77K sells vs $83.22K buys) in 24h
  • Thin liquidity of only $49.87K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Token was completely dormant (23 holders, zero change) for 30+ days before the pump
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • 5-minute price change is already -11.24%, suggesting momentum is fading
  • FDV of only $161.5K with no verified contract and unknown update authority
  • 3,301 sells vs 1,928 buys in 24h — more sell transactions than buy transactions
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable; (2) no sniper data available; (3) the token is extremely new to active trading with only 15 hours of meaningful OHLC data; (4) thin liquidity amplifies price volatility in both directions; (5) the 24h % change shown as 0% in the price change breakdown contradicts the 315% figure, suggesting data inconsistency.

3301 call history

Full track record →
Jul 5bearish
24h-68.0%
7d-97.8%
30d-98.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Analyzing the 15 most recent hourly candles (July 4–5, 2026): The token traded in a tight range of ~$0.000020–$0.000057 for most of the period (candles 8–15), then broke out sharply in candle 3 (05:00 UTC, high $0.000072) and candle 1 (07:00 UTC, high $0.000056). Candle 11 (21:00 UTC July 4) shows the widest range with a high of $0.000080 and low of $0.000032, a large bearish engulfing-style candle closing at $0.000042. Candle 1 (most recent, 07:00 UTC) has an anomalous OHLC where L > O (L:0.000133 > O:0.000037), which may indicate a data error — this candle should be treated with caution. The overall pattern shows a volatile pump with multiple failed attempts to hold higher levels, consistent with a speculative micro-cap pump.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 32%Sell 68%

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 315% 24h gain, but the most recent candles show rejection at highs and increasing sell pressure. Medium-term (prior 30 days) was completely flat/sideways at near-zero activity. The current move is a sharp spike from a dormant base rather than a sustained trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000033 (consolidation zone from candles 4–6, 9)
Major$0.000020 (candle 12–13 lows, pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000057 (candle 1–2 high, recent rejection zone)
Major$0.000080 (candle 11 high, intraday peak)

The $0.000033 level acted as a base during the pre-pump consolidation and is the first meaningful support. The $0.000020 level represents the pre-pump floor. On the upside, $0.000057 is the immediate resistance where price has been rejected twice. The $0.000080 level is the session high and major resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish rejection at $0.000057 resistance (candles 1–2 double top)
  • High-volume bearish candle at 06:00 UTC (candle 2: $98.3K volume, close below open)
  • Wide-range candle at 21:00 UTC July 4 (candle 11) with upper wick to $0.000080 — shooting star/bearish reversal signal
  • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Decreasing volume on price recovery attempts — bearish divergence
  • Possible data anomaly in candle 1 (L > O) — treat with caution

Total holders450
24h Δ+95
7d Δ+95
30d Δ+95
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump. The token had exactly 23 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 5 to July 3, 2026 — zero growth. On July 4, holders jumped by +243 (91%) to 266, and by July 5 (current) reached 450 (+427 total, +95% from the 23-holder base). This explosive holder growth coincides precisely with the 315% price surge, suggesting the holder growth is driven by the price action (FOMO buying) rather than organic community development.

The holder trend is technically 'growing' but the pattern is deeply concerning. 23 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero change suggests the token was either abandoned, pre-launch, or artificially held at a minimal state. The sudden +427 holder surge in 24 hours (95% growth from base) is consistent with a coordinated pump or viral social media event. Growth is accelerating in the very short term but sustainability is highly questionable. 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap (91%), indicating market buying rather than airdrops. The 41 transfer-acquired holders (9%) may represent early insiders or team wallets.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

No top holder data available

Data unavailable — top holders not provided by data source

0.00%

Top holder data is not available for this token. The supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than actual zero concentration. With only 450 total holders and no concentration data, it is impossible to assess whale risk, insider holdings, or distribution health. The 30-day dormancy at 23 holders suggests those original 23 wallets may hold a significant portion of supply. The absence of this data is itself a risk factor — investors cannot assess exit liquidity or dump risk from large holders. Distribution is classified as 'concentrated' as a precautionary assessment given the token's early stage and data gaps.

Liquidity$49,870
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$83,220
Sell$176,770
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers659
Unique sellers1,241

Liquidity is critically thin at $49.87K on PumpSwap (pair: 5D99gEgqrjpEWWLxJF449nrgQFCfE7Wzgh9iXDn2vAp). The FDV of $161.94K is only ~3.2x the liquidity pool, meaning any moderate sell order will cause significant price impact. The 24h sell volume of $176.77K is 3.5x the total liquidity — this level of selling relative to pool size indicates extreme slippage risk and potential for rapid price collapse. Net flow is clearly outflow: 68% sell pressure, 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 unique buyers, and 3,301 sell transactions vs 1,928 buy transactions. The market is in active distribution mode. The token trades on PumpSwap, a permissionless AMM, with no verified contract, further reducing institutional confidence.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,949,563.44
FDV$161,529

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.95 million tokens (effectively 1 billion), a standard pump.fun-style supply. The FDV is $161,529 at current price of $0.0001615. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing assessment of mint/freeze authority status. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting the token metadata cannot be changed. The contract is not verified. The token was launched via PumpSwap (mint address ends in 'pump'), consistent with a pump.fun graduation. Without confirmed renounced mint/freeze authorities, there remains a theoretical risk of supply manipulation, though the mutable=false flag partially mitigates metadata-level risks. The puzzle-hunt description claims three wallets are hidden behind challenges — this could be a legitimate gamification mechanic or a narrative device to create artificial scarcity/hype.

Volatility
high

315% 24h price gain with -11.24% in the last 5 minutes. The token swung from ~$0.000020 to $0.000080 and back within 15 hours. Extreme volatility is inherent to this micro-cap with $49.87K liquidity.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $49.87K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume ($176.77K) is 3.5x the total liquidity. Any meaningful exit will cause severe slippage. No secondary markets or CEX listings.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable. The token had only 23 holders for 30+ days before the pump — those original holders likely control a significant portion of supply. With 450 total holders and no concentration data, dump risk from early holders is unquantifiable but presumed high.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available. The 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump is consistent with a coordinated launch where early holders (the original 23 wallets) are positioned to sell into retail buying. 68% sell pressure confirms active distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Token is mutable=false which reduces metadata manipulation risk. Contract is not verified. Overall authority risk is medium due to partial mitigating factors.

Key risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price
  • No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk
  • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 68% sell pressure with 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 buyers
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Unverified contract on permissionless DEX only
  • Token has only 450 holders — extremely early stage with high abandonment risk
  • Puzzle-hunt narrative may be a marketing device with no underlying value

Mitigating factors

  • Token is mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Unique Cicada 3301 puzzle-hunt narrative may attract genuine community interest
  • 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap (organic buying, not airdrop farming)
  • Social links present (telegram, twitter, website) suggesting some project infrastructure
  • FDV of $161.5K is very low, limiting absolute dollar loss potential for small positions
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana memecoin trading. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

Cicada 3301 (3301) is an extremely high-risk, speculative micro-cap token on Solana with a puzzle-hunt narrative. The token was dormant for 30+ days before a sudden 315% pump on July 4–5, 2026. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative — the bull case depends on the puzzle narrative going viral and attracting a sustained community, while the bear case (which appears more probable given current data) is a classic pump-and-dump cycle ending in near-total loss for late buyers.

Bull case (low)

The Cicada 3301 puzzle narrative goes viral within crypto/ARG communities, driving sustained organic holder growth, media coverage, and speculative buying. The puzzle mechanic creates genuine engagement and the token becomes a cultural phenomenon similar to the original Cicada 3301 ARG, sustaining price above current levels or driving further appreciation.

  • Viral spread of the puzzle-hunt narrative on crypto Twitter/Telegram
  • Successful puzzle solutions generating media attention and FOMO
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 24h pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market tailwind
  • Community formation around the ARG mechanic

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement from its pump highs, stabilizing in the $0.000025–$0.000045 range as initial FOMO selling subsides. A small community forms around the puzzle narrative, maintaining modest trading activity. The token remains a micro-cap speculative play with high volatility and no fundamental value drivers.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • The puzzle narrative retains a small but active community
  • Liquidity remains sufficient to support minimal trading activity
  • No major insider dumps that collapse the price entirely
  • Broader Solana market conditions remain neutral

Bear case (high)

The pump fades as sell pressure continues to dominate. Early holders (the original 23 wallets from the dormancy period) dump their positions into retail buyers. Liquidity drains, price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000020) or lower. The puzzle narrative fails to generate sustained interest and the token becomes dormant again or is abandoned.

  • 68% sell pressure already dominant in 24h data
  • 3,301 sell transactions vs 1,928 buy transactions
  • Thin $49.87K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No top holder data — insider dump risk unquantifiable
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump
  • Decreasing volume on most recent candles suggests momentum exhaustion

GeneratedJul 5, 07:20 AM
Data freshnessData appears current as of approximately 07:00–07:30 UTC on July 5, 2026. OHLC data covers the most recent 15 hourly candles. Holder data reflects the most recent snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint: Dur39Hv43Uw4HU9Zr4RUB7mH6kqmYdPpZfENup6Xpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: 5D99gEgqrjpEWWLxJF449nrgQFCfE7Wzgh9iXDn2vAp)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (15 candles, July 4–5 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition breakdown (swap/transfer/airdrop)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No top holder data available — concentration and whale risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior and smart money signals are unknown
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Only 15 hours of meaningful trading data available (token was dormant prior)
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100 — likely a data gap, not actual distribution
  • Candle 1 (07:00 UTC) has a possible data anomaly (L > O) and should be treated with caution
  • The 24h % change shows 0% in the price breakdown section but 315% in the price section — data inconsistency noted
  • No CEX data, no on-chain program verification, no audit data available

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens on permissionless DEXes, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,949,563.44

Key Risks

•Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price
•No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk
•30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
•68% sell pressure with 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 buyers

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The absence of sniper data, combined with the token's 30-day dormancy period and sudden pump, makes it difficult to assess whether early buyers are sophisticated actors or retail participants. The heavy sell pressure (68% of volume) and 3,301 sell transactions vs 1,928 buy transactions suggest early holders may be distributing into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unclear — no sniper data available. The 23 wallets that held the token during its 30-day dormancy period (June 5 – July 3) are likely early buyers. Their behavior during the pump cannot be assessed without top holder data. The 41 transfer-acquired holders (vs 409 swap-acquired) may include early insiders.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Cicada 3301 (3301)?

The token is showing strong bearish signals in the short term. The most recent candle (07:00 UTC) shows a close at $0.0000566 after a high of $0.0000566, while the prior candle (06:00 UTC) had a high of $0.0000566 and closed lower at $0.0000373 — a bearish rejection. The 5-minute price change is -11.24%, and sell pressure is 68% of 24h volume. A retracement toward the $0.000028–$0.000033 range is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000072.

Is 3301 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana memecoin trading. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

How are 3301 holders trending?

Cicada 3301 currently has 450 holders and is growing (24h: 95, 7d: 95, 30d: 95). The holder trend is technically 'growing' but the pattern is deeply concerning. 23 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero change suggests the token was either abandoned, pre-launch, or artificially held at a minimal state. The sudden +427 holder surge in 24 hours (95% growth from base) is consistent with a coordinated pump or viral social media event. Growth is accelerating in the very short term but sustainability is highly questionable. 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap (91%), indicating market buying rather than airdrops. The 41 transfer-acquired holders (9%) may represent early insiders or team wallets.

What does sniper activity look like for 3301?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding 3301?

Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price • No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern

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