3301

Cicada 3301 Price Today & AI Analysis

3301SolanaAnalysis as of Jul 5, 2026

Price

$0.053687

Contract

Live
Dur39Hv43Uw4HU9Zr4RUB7mH6kqmYdPpZfENup6Xpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

224

Market cap

$3,686

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Cicada 3301: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-05 07:20 UTC

Holder addresses

450

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$49,867.32
How concentrated is Cicada 3301 ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 450 addresses (2026-07-05 07:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Cicada 3301?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Cicada 3301 liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,867.32. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 5, 07:20 AM UTC

FDV

$161,529

Liquidity

$49,867.32

Holders

450

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Cicada 3301 (3301) is a PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin/puzzle-hunt token with a mint address ending in 'pump', launched on or around July 4, 2026. The token experienced a dramatic 315% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden explosion in holder count from 23 (dormant for ~30 days) to 450. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily at 68% of 24h volume ($176.77K sells vs $83.22K buys), liquidity is thin at ~$49.87K, and no top holder data is available — making this a very high risk, speculative micro-cap.

Key points

  • Puzzle-hunt narrative inspired by the real-world Cicada 3301 ARG, potentially attracting a niche community
  • Token was dormant at 23 holders for ~30 days before an explosive +427 holder surge in 24h
  • Extreme 315% 24h price gain with heavy sell-side dominance (68% sell pressure)
  • Very thin liquidity (~$49.87K) relative to FDV (~$161.5K), creating high slippage risk
  • No top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing strong bearish signals in the short term. The most recent candle (07:00 UTC) shows a close at $0.0000566 after a high of $0.0000566, while the prior candle (06:00 UTC) had a high of $0.0000566 and closed lower at $0.0000373 — a bearish rejection. The 5-minute price change is -11.24%, and sell pressure is 68% of 24h volume. A retracement toward the $0.000028–$0.000033 range is likely.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000072

Support

$0.000033 (recent consolidation zone, candles 4–6), $0.000028 (candle 7 low), $0.000020 (candle 12–13 low)

Resistance

$0.000057 (recent high, candles 1–2), $0.000072 (candle 3 high), $0.000080 (candle 11 high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, growing liquidity, or a verifiable puzzle-hunt catalyst, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a single-day pump-and-dump pattern is a classic micro-cap lifecycle. Unless the puzzle narrative drives organic community growth, price will likely revert toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000020–$0.000030).

Catalysts

  • Puzzle solution announcement driving viral attention
  • Influencer or community amplification of the Cicada 3301 narrative
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 24h surge
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 315% 24h price surge with 1h gain of +93.5% and 6h gain of +471.8%
  • Holder count grew from 23 to 450 (+95%) in 24 hours, indicating viral spread
  • Unique puzzle-hunt narrative (Cicada 3301) may attract a dedicated niche community
  • 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap, indicating genuine market buying interest
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation risk

Bearish factors

  • 68% sell pressure ($176.77K sells vs $83.22K buys) in 24h
  • Thin liquidity of only $49.87K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Token was completely dormant (23 holders, zero change) for 30+ days before the pump
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • 5-minute price change is already -11.24%, suggesting momentum is fading
  • FDV of only $161.5K with no verified contract and unknown update authority
  • 3,301 sells vs 1,928 buys in 24h — more sell transactions than buy transactions

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable; (2) no sniper data available; (3) the token is extremely new to active trading with only 15 hours of meaningful OHLC data; (4) thin liquidity amplifies price volatility in both directions; (5) the 24h % change shown as 0% in the price change breakdown contradicts the 315% figure, suggesting data inconsistency.

3301 call history

Full track record →

Jul 5bearish
24h-68.0%
7d-97.8%
30d-98.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Dur39H...pump
Total Supply
999,949,563.44

Key Risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price
  • No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk
  • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 68% sell pressure with 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 buyers

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Analyzing the 15 most recent hourly candles (July 4–5, 2026): The token traded in a tight range of ~$0.000020–$0.000057 for most of the period (candles 8–15), then broke out sharply in candle 3 (05:00 UTC, high $0.000072) and candle 1 (07:00 UTC, high $0.000056). Candle 11 (21:00 UTC July 4) shows the widest range with a high of $0.000080 and low of $0.000032, a large bearish engulfing-style candle closing at $0.000042. Candle 1 (most recent, 07:00 UTC) has an anomalous OHLC where L > O (L:0.000133 > O:0.000037), which may indicate a data error — this candle should be treated with caution. The overall pattern shows a volatile pump with multiple failed attempts to hold higher levels, consistent with a speculative micro-cap pump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 315% 24h gain, but the most recent candles show rejection at highs and increasing sell pressure. Medium-term (prior 30 days) was completely flat/sideways at near-zero activity. The current move is a sharp spike from a dormant base rather than a sustained trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

32%

Sell

68%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000033 (consolidation zone from candles 4–6, 9)

Major support

$0.000020 (candle 12–13 lows, pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000057 (candle 1–2 high, recent rejection zone)

Major resistance

$0.000080 (candle 11 high, intraday peak)

The $0.000033 level acted as a base during the pre-pump consolidation and is the first meaningful support. The $0.000020 level represents the pre-pump floor. On the upside, $0.000057 is the immediate resistance where price has been rejected twice. The $0.000080 level is the session high and major resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish rejection at $0.000057 resistance (candles 1–2 double top)
  • High-volume bearish candle at 06:00 UTC (candle 2: $98.3K volume, close below open)
  • Wide-range candle at 21:00 UTC July 4 (candle 11) with upper wick to $0.000080 — shooting star/bearish reversal signal
  • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Decreasing volume on price recovery attempts — bearish divergence
  • Possible data anomaly in candle 1 (L > O) — treat with caution

Liquidity

Liquidity

$49,867.32

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at $49.87K on PumpSwap (pair: 5D99gEgqrjpEWWLxJF449nrgQFCfE7Wzgh9iXDn2vAp). The FDV of $161.94K is only ~3.2x the liquidity pool, meaning any moderate sell order will cause significant price impact. The 24h sell volume of $176.77K is 3.5x the total liquidity — this level of selling relative to pool size indicates extreme slippage risk and potential for rapid price collapse. Net flow is clearly outflow: 68% sell pressure, 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 unique buyers, and 3,301 sell transactions vs 1,928 buy transactions. The market is in active distribution mode. The token trades on PumpSwap, a permissionless AMM, with no verified contract, further reducing institutional confidence.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,949,563.44

FDV

$161,529

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    315% 24h price gain with -11.24% in the last 5 minutes. The token swung from ~$0.000020 to $0.000080 and back within 15 hours. Extreme volatility is inherent to this micro-cap with $49.87K liquidity.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $49.87K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume ($176.77K) is 3.5x the total liquidity. Any meaningful exit will cause severe slippage. No secondary markets or CEX listings.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price
  • No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk
  • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 68% sell pressure with 1,241 unique sellers vs 659 buyers
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Unverified contract on permissionless DEX only
  • Token has only 450 holders — extremely early stage with high abandonment risk
  • Puzzle-hunt narrative may be a marketing device with no underlying value

Mitigating factors

  • Token is mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Unique Cicada 3301 puzzle-hunt narrative may attract genuine community interest
  • 409 of 450 holders acquired via swap (organic buying, not airdrop farming)
  • Social links present (telegram, twitter, website) suggesting some project infrastructure
  • FDV of $161.5K is very low, limiting absolute dollar loss potential for small positions

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana memecoin trading. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

Cicada 3301 (3301) is an extremely high-risk, speculative micro-cap token on Solana with a puzzle-hunt narrative. The token was dormant for 30+ days before a sudden 315% pump on July 4–5, 2026. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative — the bull case depends on the puzzle narrative going viral and attracting a sustained community, while the bear case (which appears more probable given current data) is a classic pump-and-dump cycle ending in near-total loss for late buyers.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Cicada 3301 puzzle narrative goes viral within crypto/ARG communities, driving sustained organic holder growth, media coverage, and speculative buying. The puzzle mechanic creates genuine engagement and the token becomes a cultural phenomenon similar to the original Cicada 3301 ARG, sustaining price above current levels or driving further appreciation.

  • Viral spread of the puzzle-hunt narrative on crypto Twitter/Telegram
  • Successful puzzle solutions generating media attention and FOMO
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 24h pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market tailwind
  • Community formation around the ARG mechanic

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement from its pump highs, stabilizing in the $0.000025–$0.000045 range as initial FOMO selling subsides. A small community forms around the puzzle narrative, maintaining modest trading activity. The token remains a micro-cap speculative play with high volatility and no fundamental value drivers.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • The puzzle narrative retains a small but active community
  • Liquidity remains sufficient to support minimal trading activity
  • No major insider dumps that collapse the price entirely
  • Broader Solana market conditions remain neutral

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fades as sell pressure continues to dominate. Early holders (the original 23 wallets from the dormancy period) dump their positions into retail buyers. Liquidity drains, price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000020) or lower. The puzzle narrative fails to generate sustained interest and the token becomes dormant again or is abandoned.

  • 68% sell pressure already dominant in 24h data
  • 3,301 sell transactions vs 1,928 buy transactions
  • Thin $49.87K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No top holder data — insider dump risk unquantifiable
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump
  • Decreasing volume on most recent candles suggests momentum exhaustion

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 5, 07:20 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-05 07:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint: Dur39Hv43Uw4HU9Zr4RUB7mH6kqmYdPpZfENup6Xpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: 5D99gEgqrjpEWWLxJF449nrgQFCfE7Wzgh9iXDn2vAp)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (15 candles, July 4–5 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition breakdown (swap/transfer/airdrop)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No top holder data available — concentration and whale risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior and smart money signals are unknown
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Only 15 hours of meaningful trading data available (token was dormant prior)
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100 — likely a data gap, not actual distribution
  • Candle 1 (07:00 UTC) has a possible data anomaly (L > O) and should be treated with caution
  • The 24h % change shows 0% in the price breakdown section but 315% in the price section — data inconsistency noted
  • No CEX data, no on-chain program verification, no audit data available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens on permissionless DEXes, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Cicada 3301 ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 450 addresses (2026-07-05 07:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Cicada 3301?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Cicada 3301 liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,867.32. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Cicada 3301 (3301)?

The token is showing strong bearish signals in the short term. The most recent candle (07:00 UTC) shows a close at $0.0000566 after a high of $0.0000566, while the prior candle (06:00 UTC) had a high of $0.0000566 and closed lower at $0.0000373 — a bearish rejection. The 5-minute price change is -11.24%, and sell pressure is 68% of 24h volume. A retracement toward the $0.000028–$0.000033 range is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000072.

Is 3301 a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana memecoin trading. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding 3301?

Critically thin liquidity ($49.87K) — large sells will collapse price • No top holder data — cannot assess insider/whale dump risk • 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern

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