RIO

Satrio Wiratama Price Prediction 2026

RIO
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 16, 2026

DN9m8QwsqVmgs5NeLd9YtHyVxvd23rA7rSnkAZS7pump

$0.051621

FDV $1,621

LiveContract:DN9m8QwsqVmgs5NeLd9YtHyVxvd23rA7rSnkAZS7pumpChain:SolanaHolders:95Market cap:$1,621

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Ask Unhosted AI about RIO

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 16, 04:17 PM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$0

Holders

438

Snipers

34

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Satrio Wiratama (RIO) is a PumpFun-launched Solana meme token (mint: DN9m8QwsqVmgs5NeLd9YtHyVxvd23rA7rSnkAZS7pump) currently trading at ~$0.0000616 on PumpSwap. The token is extremely new — holder count was flat at 21 for the entire 30-day historical window before exploding to 438 holders within the last 24 hours, indicating a very recent launch event. The token exhibits severe sell-side dominance (72.8% sell pressure), zero reported liquidity depth, an unverified contract, mutable metadata with unknown update authority, and a highly concentrated holder distribution. All of these factors combine to place RIO firmly in the speculative/high-risk category.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth from 21 to 438 (+95%), indicating a brand-new viral launch event
Severe sell pressure: 72.8% of 24h volume ($220.84K) is sell-side vs. only 27.2% ($82.38K) buy-side
Zero reported on-chain liquidity depth despite active trading on PumpSwap
Top 10 holders control 35.66% of supply; top 100 control 89.74%, indicating high concentration risk
20 snipers active in first 1,000 blocks — majority in profit, raising dump risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent 5-minute price change is -26.05%, signaling aggressive near-term selling. The last three hourly candles show a sharp spike from $0.0000336 to a high of $0.0001126 followed by a rapid pullback to ~$0.0000616, a classic pump-and-dump pattern. With 72.8% sell pressure, 4,486 sells vs. 1,485 buys, and snipers mostly in profit, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low$0.000029
Target high$0.000080
Support: $0.0000595 (candle [2] open), $0.0000295 (candle [3] low — major support)
Resistance: $0.0000731 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area), $0.0001126 (candle [3] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or any stated utility/roadmap, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. Sniper profit-taking and whale distribution will likely suppress price. A recovery is possible only if new buying catalysts emerge (social virality, influencer attention), but current data does not support this.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media attention driving new buyer inflow
  • Whale accumulation reversing current distribution trend
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all tokens

Bullish factors

  • 24h holder count grew +95% (from 21 to 438), showing rapid community formation
  • 1h price change of +62.2% demonstrates strong short-term momentum potential
  • Candle [3] showed a wide range with a high of $0.0001126, indicating significant buyer interest at launch

Bearish factors

  • 72.8% sell pressure ($220.84K sell vs. $82.38K buy in 24h)
  • 5-minute price change of -26.05% signals immediate selling pressure
  • Zero reported liquidity depth — any large sell order will cause extreme slippage
  • 20 snipers, majority in profit (18 of 20 show positive realized PnL), creating overhead dump risk
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • No verified contract, no description, no social links
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, liquidity is reported as $0, and the token is less than 24 hours old in its active trading phase. Price action is highly erratic and driven by speculative momentum rather than fundamentals. Predictions carry very low confidence.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (14:00–16:00 UTC on 2026-05-16). Candle [3] (14:00): O=$0.0000336, H=$0.0001126, L=$0.0000295, C=$0.0000616 — an extremely wide-range candle with a massive upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by a sharp rejection. Volume was $135,131. Candle [2] (15:00): O=$0.0000593, H=$0.0000796, L=$0.0000593, C=$0.0000739 — a bullish candle with a higher close, volume $107,736. Candle [3] (16:00): O=$0.0000731, H=$0.0000731, L=$0.0000667, C=$0.0000688 — a bearish candle with a flat top (no upper wick), indicating sellers capping any rally. Volume dropped sharply to $15,890, suggesting momentum is fading.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

After the initial spike to $0.0001126 in candle [3], price has been making lower highs and lower closes across the subsequent two candles. The sharp volume decline from $135K to $15.9K confirms fading momentum. The short- and medium-term trend is bearish from the peak.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000595 (candle [2] open / low)
Major$0.0000295 (candle [3] absolute low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000731 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close area)
Major$0.0001126 (candle [3] all-time high)

The $0.0000295 level represents the absolute launch-day low and is the strongest support. The $0.0000595–$0.0000616 zone is the current price cluster and near-term support. Resistance at $0.0000731 is the recent open/close zone; a break above would target the $0.0001126 ATH, which is unlikely without significant new buying.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on candle [3] — classic pump rejection pattern
  • Declining volume across all three candles — volume exhaustion post-pump
  • Lower highs forming: H=$0.0001126 → H=$0.0000796 → H=$0.0000731 — confirmed downtrend
  • Flat top on candle [1] (O=H=$0.0000731) — sellers immediately capping any upward movement

Total holders438
24h Δ+95
7d Δ+95
30d Δ+95
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The explosive holder growth (+418 holders, +95% in 24h) coincides directly with the price spike observed in the OHLC data (candle [3] high of $0.0001126). However, the 1h holder change of -27 (-6.20%) suggests that as price pulled back, holders are already exiting — indicating the holder growth was speculative and tied to the pump rather than organic community building.

For the entire 30-day historical window (April 16 – May 15, 2026), the holder count was completely flat at 21 with zero net change on any day. This confirms the token was essentially dormant or in a pre-launch state. The explosive jump to 438 holders within the last 24 hours is entirely a launch-day phenomenon. The -27 holder decline in the last hour (-6.20%) is an early warning sign that the initial excitement is fading rapidly. Growth is technically 'accelerating' from zero, but the hourly reversal suggests the peak may already be in.

Top 10 hold35.66%
Top 100 hold89.74%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

AXobkjDqTCRcFEFcuoRxBshHMz3km4UCHpj31HrJvpGZ

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

13.64%

39PVoNZr4siTgPo5Vt749VRsKgsJibdVpnfqeVMheU93

Individual whale / early holder

3.26%

HQF1PY11NbhLz5ZHNm3oRmhKTwCzHhwyw5vjhwLgPWgW

Individual whale / early holder

3.10%

48s67PF743kgYagZQk6hcQzKzbLhWByKCCXYgHt2SRw1

Individual whale / early holder

2.65%

5uSNZfK1eLk9j6gR9jhYcfbHd4XtpgHnZP79fVMUcKQH

Individual whale / early holder

2.48%

The top holder (13.64%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (AXobkjDqTCRcFEFcuoRxBshHMz3km4UCHpj31HrJvpGZ), which matches the pair address in the price data — this is expected and not a concern in isolation. However, holders 2–10 are individual wallets each holding 1.67%–3.26% of supply, and the top 10 collectively hold 35.66%. The top 100 hold 89.74%, leaving only ~10.26% distributed among the remaining 338+ holders. This is a highly concentrated distribution. The distribution category breakdown (135 whales, 34 sharks, 148 dolphins) confirms a large number of significant holders relative to total holder count of 438. Given the sniper data showing active profit-taking, the overall whale sentiment is distributing.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$82,380
Sell$220,840
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers526
Unique sellers1,780

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is an extreme red flag. Despite $303K+ in 24h trading volume, there is no measurable liquidity depth on PumpSwap. This means any meaningful sell order will face catastrophic slippage. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 1,780 unique sellers vs. only 526 unique buyers, and 4,486 sell transactions vs. 1,485 buy transactions. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The market is in active distribution mode. The 5-minute price drop of -26.05% is consistent with a thin-liquidity environment where even modest sell pressure causes outsized price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (inferred from PumpFun standard; formatted supply shown as '1' with 0 decimals)
FDV$0.00 (reported — effectively negligible at current price)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The metadata shows the token has 0 decimals and a formatted total supply of '1', which on PumpFun typically represents 1,000,000,000 tokens (1B supply with 0 decimal display). The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. Metadata is marked as 'Mutable: true', meaning the token creator retains the ability to modify metadata — a meaningful rug risk vector. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data, so both are marked unknown. The combination of mutable metadata, unknown authorities, no social links, no description, and an unverified contract represents a high-risk tokenomics profile. The FDV of $0.00 reflects the negligible market cap at current prices.

Volatility
high

Price swung from $0.0000295 to $0.0001126 and back to $0.0000616 within a single hour — a 282% range. The 5-minute change of -26.05% and 1-hour change of +62.2% confirm extreme volatility. This token is unsuitable for any risk-averse participant.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00. Despite $303K+ in 24h volume, there is no measurable depth. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without severe slippage, effectively trapping capital.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 35.66% of supply; top 100 control 89.74%. Excluding the liquidity pool (13.64%), individual wallets hold 2–3% each. A coordinated dump by even a handful of top holders would be devastating to price.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 18 of 20 (90%) are in profit with realized PnL ranging from +11.7% to +97.3%. All have already sold portions of their positions. Remaining sniper holdings represent significant overhead supply that will likely be sold into any price recovery.

Authority
high

Metadata is mutable (Mutable: true), update authority is unknown, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. No social links or project description exist. This profile is consistent with anonymous PumpFun launches that carry elevated rug/abandonment risk.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity depth — extreme slippage on any exit
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk
  • 72.8% sell pressure with 1,780 sellers vs. 526 buyers in 24h
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit actively distributing supply
  • Holder count already declining (-27 in last hour, -6.20%)
  • No verified contract, no description, no social presence
  • Top 100 holders control 89.74% of supply
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden launch — suspicious pre-launch behavior

Mitigating factors

  • Rapid 24h holder growth (+418 holders, +95%) shows genuine market interest
  • 1h price appreciation of +62.2% demonstrates short-term momentum capability
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline trading infrastructure
  • Sniper sell-through suggests some price discovery has already occurred, reducing future dump magnitude
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk PumpFun launch: zero liquidity, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, sniper concentration, severe sell pressure, and no verifiable project fundamentals. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme-coin dynamics.

RIO (Satrio Wiratama) is a brand-new PumpFun meme token in active distribution phase. The bull case relies entirely on viral social momentum driving new buyers faster than existing holders sell. The bear case — which current data strongly supports — is that snipers and early whales are dumping into retail demand, and without liquidity or fundamentals, the token will retrace toward its launch floor. The base case is continued price erosion with occasional volatility spikes.

Bull case (low)

Viral social media attention (Twitter/X, Telegram) drives a second wave of buyers, overwhelming sell pressure and pushing price back toward the $0.0001126 ATH or beyond. Community forms around the token name/identity and sustains holder growth.

  • Influencer or KOL promotion on Solana meme-coin channels
  • Broader Solana ecosystem meme-coin rally
  • Organic community formation around the 'RIO' brand
  • New exchange listing or aggregator feature

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000029–$0.000060 range as initial selling pressure exhausts. A small, speculative community of 300–500 holders persists. Occasional volatility spikes occur on low volume but no sustained uptrend develops without new catalysts.

  • Sniper selling is largely complete within 24–48 hours
  • A floor of ~200–300 committed holders remains
  • No new major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap

Bear case (high)

Sniper and whale distribution continues to overwhelm thin buy-side demand. Liquidity remains near zero, causing cascading price drops on each sell. Holder count continues declining from the -27/hour trend. Token eventually becomes illiquid and abandoned.

  • 18/20 snipers in profit with active sell-through
  • Zero liquidity depth amplifying every sell order
  • No project fundamentals, description, or social presence
  • Mutable metadata creates ongoing rug risk
  • Holder count already declining 1 hour post-peak

GeneratedMay 16, 04:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-16T16:00–16:30 UTC. OHLC data covers only the most recent 3 hourly candles. Historical holder data covers April 16 – May 15, 2026 (daily).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: DN9m8QwsqVmgs5NeLd9YtHyVxvd23rA7rSnkAZS7pump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and pair data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-05-16 14:00–16:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data reporting issue or genuinely zero depth
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are unknown — concentration % cannot be precisely calculated
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully quantified
  • No social links, website, or whitepaper available for fundamental analysis
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in active trading — all metrics are subject to rapid change
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% — likely a data artifact given the observed price movement

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (inferred from PumpFun standard; formatted supply shown as '1' with 0 decimals)

Key Risks

•Zero reported liquidity depth — extreme slippage on any exit
•Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk
•72.8% sell pressure with 1,780 sellers vs. 526 buyers in 24h
•20 snipers mostly in profit actively distributing supply

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

18 of 20 snipers (90%) show positive realized PnL, with gains ranging from +11.7% to +97.3%. Only 2 snipers (wallets 7 and 10) are at a loss (-26.9% and -26.5% respectively). The majority of snipers have already sold significant portions of their positions (all show non-zero sold USD amounts). This indicates early buyers are actively distributing into retail demand, creating sustained sell pressure. The high sell-through rate combined with mostly-profitable snipers is a significant bearish signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; individual balances unknown but sell activity is high across the board (top sniper AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51 sold $3,839 at +25.6% PnL; kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf sold at +97.3% PnL; STorreSu8X6yPLmiEScNHSGDinqV7j84hWjmvH9SPwk sold at +74.9% PnL)

Predominantly bearish — early buyers are taking profits aggressively. The top sniper sold $3,839 at +25.6% profit, and multiple others sold at 40–97% gains. Only 2 of 20 snipers are underwater, meaning there is minimal 'bag holder' pressure from early buyers to hold.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Satrio Wiratama (RIO)?

The most recent 5-minute price change is -26.05%, signaling aggressive near-term selling. The last three hourly candles show a sharp spike from $0.0000336 to a high of $0.0001126 followed by a rapid pullback to ~$0.0000616, a classic pump-and-dump pattern. With 72.8% sell pressure, 4,486 sells vs. 1,485 buys, and snipers mostly in profit, further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000029 to $0.000080.

Is RIO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk PumpFun launch: zero liquidity, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, sniper concentration, severe sell pressure, and no verifiable project fundamentals. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme-coin dynamics.

How are RIO holders trending?

Satrio Wiratama currently has 438 holders and is growing (24h: 95, 7d: 95, 30d: 95). For the entire 30-day historical window (April 16 – May 15, 2026), the holder count was completely flat at 21 with zero net change on any day. This confirms the token was essentially dormant or in a pre-launch state. The explosive jump to 438 holders within the last 24 hours is entirely a launch-day phenomenon. The -27 holder decline in the last hour (-6.20%) is an early warning sign that the initial excitement is fading rapidly. Growth is technically 'accelerating' from zero, but the hourly reversal suggests the peak may already be in.

What does sniper activity look like for RIO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding RIO?

Zero reported liquidity depth — extreme slippage on any exit • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk • 72.8% sell pressure with 1,780 sellers vs. 526 buyers in 24h

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