Referral

Referral Code Price Today & AI Analysis

Referral
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 3, 2026

CvmRz15WYyhLRskuUFfRe6EybPjQdUqFA8URVcmSpump

$0.052722

+15.95%

FDV $2,721

LiveContract:CvmRz15WYyhLRskuUFfRe6EybPjQdUqFA8URVcmSpumpChain:SolanaHolders:166Market cap:$2,721

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Report snapshotas of May 3, 02:50 PM
FDV

$46,079

Liquidity

$18,033

Holders

424

Snipers

26

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Referral Code (REFERRAL) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: CvmRz15WYyhLRskuUFfRe6EybPjQdUqFA8URVcmSpump) with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$46K–$53K. The token launched very recently — holder count was flat at 73 for the entire month of April 2026, then exploded to 424 holders within the last 24 hours (+350 holders, +83%). Price is $0.0000461, up ~7.8% in 24h, but sell pressure is dominant at 70.7% of volume. Liquidity is extremely thin at $18K, and the top 10 holders control 42.45% of supply. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a very early, high-risk speculative memecoin.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth in last 24h (+350 holders, +83%) after weeks of dormancy
Extremely low FDV (~$46K–$53K) suggesting very early stage with high upside potential if momentum sustains
Dominant sell pressure (70.7%) despite positive 24h price change, indicating distribution
Top 10 holders control 42.45% of supply with the largest single non-LP holder at 3.09%
Sniper cohort is mixed PnL — roughly half profitable, half at loss — reducing coordinated dump risk somewhat

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token surged ~85% over the 6h window but is now pulling back sharply. The most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000461, well below the session high of $0.0000687. With sell pressure at 70.7% of 24h volume and only $18K in liquidity, further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000389 (candle [9] low) and major support near $0.0000137 (candle [8] low).

Target low$0.0000275
Target high$0.0000550
Support: $0.0000389 (candle [9] low), $0.0000272 (candle [7] close), $0.0000137 (candle [8] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000550 (candle [2] close / candle [3] close zone), $0.0000703 (candle [4] high), $0.0000808 (candle [3] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

neutral
3–14 days

Medium-term trajectory depends entirely on whether the viral/social momentum that drove the 24h holder explosion (+350 holders) can be sustained. Given the token's meme nature, thin liquidity, and lack of verified utility, price is likely to remain highly volatile and mean-revert unless new catalysts emerge. A consolidation between $0.000025–$0.000065 is the base expectation.

Catalysts
  • Sustained social media traction on Twitter (listed in social links)
  • Additional exchange listings or aggregator visibility
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation by top holders

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 24h holder growth (+350, +83%) signals viral momentum
  • 6h price gain of ~85% demonstrates strong short-term buying interest
  • Very low FDV (~$46K) leaves significant room for appreciation if narrative catches on
  • Sniper sell-through is partial — some early buyers still holding, not a full exit

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 70.7% of 24h volume ($131K sells vs $54K buys)
  • Liquidity is extremely shallow at $18K — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • Top 10 holders control 42.45%; any coordinated exit would crater price
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days before sudden activity — suspicious launch pattern
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, and spam-adjacent description ('MAKE LOT MONEY IN REFERRAL CODE')
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extreme youth (effectively launched within the last 24–48 hours based on holder data), very thin liquidity ($18K), unverified contract, unknown update authority, and highly speculative memecoin nature. Price action is driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

12 hourly candles analyzed (03:00–14:00 UTC, May 3 2026). The token launched from a low base (~$0.0000112 intraday low at candle [12]) and rallied aggressively through candles [9]–[5], posting higher highs and higher lows from 03:00–11:00 UTC. The peak was reached at candle [3] (12:00 UTC) with a high of $0.0000808. Since then, candles [2] and [1] show a clear reversal — candle [1] (14:00 UTC) has a wide range (H: $0.0000687, L: $0.0000435) closing near the low at $0.0000461, forming a bearish shooting-star/inverted-hammer pattern at the top. Volume peaked at candle [12] ($30K) and candle [9] ($19K) during the initial pump, then declined into the top.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend has reversed from the intraday peak of $0.0000808 (candle [3]) to current $0.0000461 — a ~43% retracement from the high. The broader 12-hour picture still shows a net uptrend from the $0.0000112 low, but momentum is clearly fading with the last two candles printing lower closes.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000435 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000137 (candle [8] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000550 (candle [2]/[3] close zone)
Major$0.0000808 (candle [3] session high)

The $0.0000435–$0.0000461 zone is the current battleground. A break below $0.0000389 (candle [9] low) would open the door to $0.0000272 (candle [7] close). On the upside, reclaiming $0.0000550 would be the first sign of recovery, with $0.0000703 (candle [4] high) as the next major resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star / inverted hammer at candle [1] — close near low of wide-range candle after peak
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candles [12] through [4] — confirmed uptrend phase
  • Bearish engulfing structure at candle [3] — opened at $0.0000714, hit $0.0000808 high, closed at $0.0000555, then candle [2] failed to recover
  • Volume climax at candle [12] ($30.1K) followed by declining volume — classic pump-and-distribute pattern
  • Doji-like candle [2] (O: $0.0000545, H: $0.0000550, L: $0.0000545, C: $0.0000550) — indecision at resistance before breakdown

Total holders424
24h Δ+350
7d Δ+351
30d Δ+351
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours after ~30 days of complete dormancy (73 holders flat from April 3–May 1). The 83% holder increase in 24h mirrors the 85% 6h price gain, suggesting the viral event drove both metrics together.

The historical holder data reveals a striking pattern: the token sat completely dormant at exactly 73 holders for the entire period from April 3 to April 30, 2026 — zero net change for 27 consecutive days. Then on May 2, holders jumped by 81 to 154 (+53%), and within the following 24 hours (by May 3), holders exploded to 424 — a net gain of 350 in a single day (+83%). This is a classic 'viral launch' or coordinated promotion pattern. The acceleration is extreme but also raises questions about sustainability. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to 24h (+351), confirming all growth occurred in the last ~48 hours. Distribution breakdown shows 122 whales, 40 sharks, 170 dolphins, 46 fish, and 16 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 424 holders.

Top 10 hold42.45%
Top 100 hold91.31%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

EUyunpwVybXKn6oXPqmf67HdoGrX8VSXQZRXkkBuRfBj

DEX Liquidity Pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

18.57%

5qCJ6BzLKvdgYJoNm5cgeBqcFeawZZ1Qk5waWZknwdFX

Individual whale / early buyer

3.09%

Eq2LtyHAQk4YZWYQhRZgjyTWdWd6hjd8ZjnAxHcFUVrs

Individual whale / early buyer

3.08%

3KKT6gGf5mvjuMVzRq69FQpYKpR8yNyttETR8twBwKjS

Individual whale / early buyer

2.93%

2Wzgxo5xzV1Cmo18qWWJvKVYZeVbvo7xpfAp96a3FD17

Individual whale — round balance of exactly 20,000,000 tokens suggests deliberate allocation (possible team/insider)

2.00%

The largest single holder (18.57%, address EUyunpwVybXKn6oXPqmf67HdoGrX8VSXQZRXkkBuRfBj) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool — this is the trading pair address listed in the price data, so it represents locked liquidity rather than a whale. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders control ~23.88% of supply collectively, with individual positions ranging from 2.00% to 3.09%. Holder #11 (2Wzgxo5x...) holds exactly 20,000,000 tokens — a suspiciously round number suggesting a deliberate allocation, possibly a team or insider wallet. The top 100 holders control 91.31% of supply, indicating extreme concentration. With only 424 total holders, the token is highly susceptible to whale-driven price movements. Sentiment is mixed — no clear evidence of coordinated accumulation or distribution beyond the normal pump dynamics.

Liquidity$18,030
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$54,460
Sell$131,210
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers528
Unique sellers941

Liquidity is critically thin at $18K on a single PumpSwap pool (EUyunpwVybXKn6oXPqmf67HdoGrX8VSXQZRXkkBuRfBj). With an FDV of ~$46K–$53K and only $18K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 34–39% — unusually high for a memecoin but still insufficient to absorb meaningful sell pressure without severe slippage. The 24h sell volume of $131.2K is 7.3x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool has turned over multiple times — a sign of extreme volatility and thin depth. Unique sellers (941) outnumber unique buyers (528) by 1.78x, and sell volume ($131.2K) exceeds buy volume ($54.5K) by 2.4x, confirming strong net outflow. The market is in active distribution. Any position larger than ~$500–$1,000 would face significant slippage given the pool size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,996,808.605313
FDV$46,079.25 (metadata) / $53,020 (analytics)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,996,808.605313), consistent with a standard PumpFun launch. The FDV ranges from $46K (metadata) to $53K (analytics), reflecting real-time price differences. The token contract is NOT verified. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this is a significant red flag as it means we cannot confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting the metadata cannot be changed. However, without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk of a rug pull via minting or freezing cannot be ruled out. The description 'MAKE LOT MONEY IN REFERRAL CODE' is grammatically poor and resembles spam/scam language, though the token is not flagged as spam by the data provider. No vesting schedule, tokenomics breakdown, or utility documentation is available.

Volatility
high

Price swung from $0.0000112 to $0.0000808 (7.2x) within 9 hours, then retraced ~43% from the top. Extreme intraday volatility is the norm for this token.

Liquidity
high

Only $18K in liquidity on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $131K is 7.3x the pool size. Any position >$500 faces severe slippage. Exit risk is very high.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 42.45% of supply; top 100 control 91.31%. With only 424 total holders, a handful of whales can move price dramatically. Holder #11 holds a suspiciously round 20M tokens.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified. Most have partially or fully exited. The largest sniper exit was $7,503 at -21.1% loss (AgmLJBMD...). Remaining sniper balances are small ($27–$30 visible), reducing immediate dump risk from this cohort, but the mixed PnL state means some profitable snipers may still exit.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. Unverified contract. Token description resembles spam. These factors create meaningful rug pull risk.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Extreme liquidity thinness ($18K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
  • 91.31% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration
  • Token was dormant for 30 days then suddenly viral — coordinated pump pattern
  • Sell pressure at 70.7% of 24h volume — active distribution by early holders
  • Unverified contract and spam-adjacent description
  • Single DEX pool — no alternative exit venues

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'Mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Sniper cohort largely exited — reduced coordinated dump risk from this group
  • Rapid holder growth (+350 in 24h) shows genuine market interest
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some standardization and transparency
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio).

Referral Code (REFERRAL) is a pure speculative memecoin play with no verified utility, extremely thin liquidity, and a highly concentrated holder base. The token's only near-term investment thesis rests on viral momentum continuation — the same force that drove 350 new holders and an ~85% price spike in 24 hours. The risk/reward is asymmetric in both directions: the low FDV (~$46K) means even modest capital inflows could multiply the price, but the structural weaknesses (thin liquidity, unknown authorities, dominant sell pressure) make capital preservation extremely difficult.

Bull case (low)

Viral memecoin momentum sustains. The 'Referral Code' narrative catches on in crypto Twitter/social media, driving continued holder growth and buy pressure. FDV expands from $46K toward $500K–$1M+ as seen with comparable PumpFun launches. Early buyers who entered below $0.000025 see 2x–10x returns.

  • Sustained Twitter/social media virality
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Influencer promotion or organic meme spread
  • Continued holder growth beyond 1,000 wallets

Base case

Token consolidates in the $0.000025–$0.000055 range over the next 1–2 weeks with declining volume and holder count stabilizing around 300–500. Price gradually drifts lower as early buyers exit and no new catalysts emerge. Token survives but fails to achieve significant price appreciation beyond current levels.

  • No major new catalysts or influencer promotion
  • Sell pressure moderates but remains dominant
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at ~$15K–$20K
  • Top holders do not aggressively dump
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

The pump fades as sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity. Whale holders (top 10 at 42.45%) begin distributing. Price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.000011–$0.000015. Token returns to dormancy with 73–100 holders. Investors who bought during the pump face 70–90% losses.

  • Dominant sell pressure (70.7%) continues
  • Whale distribution from concentrated top holders
  • Liquidity pool drained by large sells
  • No fundamental utility or sustained narrative
  • Unknown authority risk materializes (rug)

GeneratedMay 3, 02:50 PM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 14:00 UTC May 3, 2026. Holder data reflects snapshot at time of analysis. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Moralis/on-chain)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Sniper sniped amounts are 'unknown' — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated; estimated at ~2% based on available balance data
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • No historical price data beyond 12 hourly candles — medium-term technical analysis is limited
  • Token age is extremely short (~48 hours of activity) — all metrics are based on a very small sample
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics section conflicts with 7.82% shown in price section — likely a data timing discrepancy; 7.82% used as primary figure
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($46,079) and analytics ($53,020) — likely reflects real-time price movement between data pulls

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,996,808.605313

Key Risks

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Extreme liquidity thinness ($18K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
91.31% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration
Token was dormant for 30 days then suddenly viral — coordinated pump pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped amounts are unknown, but based on current balances and sell data, most snipers have partially or fully exited. PnL is mixed: 8 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +8.3% to +53.1%), while 9 show negative PnL (ranging from -0.9% to -57.9%), and 3 show 0% (either held or no data). The largest single sniper loss is -57.9% (n291R6UP...) and the largest gain is +53.1% (3SkBCx49...). Sniper #9 (AgmLJBMD...) sold $7,503 at -21.1% loss — the largest exit by dollar value, suggesting a significant early holder distributed into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
medium

Sniper #8 (B2QKQR21...) holds $27 in current balance; Sniper #11 (2tgUbS9U...) holds $30. Most snipers have sold through their positions. Exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, limiting precise concentration calculation.

Mixed to slightly negative. The majority of snipers who have exited did so at a loss or minimal gain, suggesting the token did not immediately reward early buyers. However, several snipers captured meaningful gains (19.5%–53.1%), indicating the pump was real but timing-dependent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Referral Code (Referral)?

The token surged ~85% over the 6h window but is now pulling back sharply. The most recent candle (14:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000461, well below the session high of $0.0000687. With sell pressure at 70.7% of 24h volume and only $18K in liquidity, further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000389 (candle [9] low) and major support near $0.0000137 (candle [8] low). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000275 to $0.0000550.

Is Referral a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio).

How are Referral holders trending?

Referral Code currently has 424 holders and is growing (24h: 350, 7d: 351, 30d: 351). The historical holder data reveals a striking pattern: the token sat completely dormant at exactly 73 holders for the entire period from April 3 to April 30, 2026 — zero net change for 27 consecutive days. Then on May 2, holders jumped by 81 to 154 (+53%), and within the following 24 hours (by May 3), holders exploded to 424 — a net gain of 350 in a single day (+83%). This is a classic 'viral launch' or coordinated promotion pattern. The acceleration is extreme but also raises questions about sustainability. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to 24h (+351), confirming all growth occurred in the last ~48 hours. Distribution breakdown shows 122 whales, 40 sharks, 170 dolphins, 46 fish, and 16 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 424 holders.

What does sniper activity look like for Referral?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding Referral?

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Extreme liquidity thinness ($18K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit • 91.31% of supply held by top 100 wallets — extreme concentration

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