SWOLEDOGE

SWOLE DOGE Price Today & AI Analysis

SWOLEDOGE
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 22, 2026

Cnm8PaGvGFPT1dDqvRLYRZLwqdTN8dUTtQZT1BTKpump

$0.056860

+10.83%

FDV $6,746

LiveContract:Cnm8PaGvGFPT1dDqvRLYRZLwqdTN8dUTtQZT1BTKpumpChain:SolanaHolders:860Market cap:$6,746

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Ask Unhosted AI about SWOLEDOGE

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 22, 01:17 PM
FDV

$112,884

Liquidity

$41,878

Holders

835

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

SWOLE DOGE (SWOLEDOGE) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap with a gym/Doge theme. The token is in extreme distress: a single wallet holds ~100% of supply, sell pressure is overwhelming (81.8%), the price has dropped ~13.8% in 24h with a -30% move in the last 5 minutes, and total liquidity is only $41.88K. Holder growth appears artificially inflated — the token sat at ~17-18 holders for weeks before a sudden spike to 835 in the last 24 hours, coinciding with heavy selling. This is a very high-risk speculative asset with severe concentration and distribution red flags.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Single wallet controls ~100% of circulating supply — extreme concentration risk
81.8% sell pressure in 24h with $207K in sells vs $46K in buys
Holder count exploded from 17 to 835 in ~24h, suggesting a coordinated launch/dump event
Total liquidity of only $41.88K against $207K in sell volume — severe slippage risk
Update authority not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM), mutable=false

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in freefall. The last 5-minute candle shows a -30.1% drop. With 81.8% sell pressure, only $41.88K in liquidity, and the dominant whale (100% supply holder) actively distributing, further sharp downside is the most likely near-term outcome. Any bounce is likely a dead-cat given the structural imbalance.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000130
Support: $0.0000544 (hourly candle [1] low), $0.0000309 (hourly candle [2] open/close)
Resistance: $0.0000599 (hourly candle [1] open/high), $0.0001129 (current price / 24h reference)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Unless the dominant holder stops distributing and genuine community adoption emerges, the token faces continued price erosion. The FDV of ~$112K is unsupported by any fundamental utility. Historical holder stagnation (17–18 holders for 30 days) suggests no organic community existed prior to the recent launch push.

Catalysts
  • Whale ceasing sell activity and locking liquidity
  • Viral social media traction driving genuine retail demand
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Liquidity addition deepening the pool and reducing slippage

Bullish factors

  • Holder count grew from 17 to 835 in ~24h, showing some viral interest
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter) exist, suggesting some community infrastructure
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry/exit

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds ~100% of supply and appears to be distributing
  • 81.8% sell pressure ($207K sells vs $46K buys in 24h)
  • -30% price drop in the last 5 minutes alone
  • Only $41.88K liquidity — any meaningful sell order causes severe slippage
  • Token sat dormant at 17–18 holders for 30 days before sudden activity — suspicious launch pattern
  • Update authority not renounced, contract unverified
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, making technical analysis extremely limited. The on-chain data is clear about concentration and sell pressure, but price trajectory in meme tokens can be erratic. Confidence is low due to data scarcity and high volatility.

SWOLEDOGE call history

Full track record →
Jul 22bearish
24h+44.5%
7d-84.1%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000309, H=$0.0000592, L=$0.0000309, C=$0.0000592 — a strong bullish candle with close at the high, suggesting a sharp pump. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000599, H=$0.0000599, L=$0.0000544, C=$0.0000309 — a strong bearish engulfing/shooting star candle that fully reversed the prior hour's gains, closing near the low. This two-candle sequence is a classic pump-and-dump pattern: rapid pump followed by immediate aggressive sell-off. The current price of $0.0001129 is above both candles, suggesting the data may reflect an earlier period or there was a subsequent pump; regardless, the -30% 5-minute move confirms active distribution.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 18%Sell 82%

The short-term trend is sharply bearish based on the -30% 5-minute move and -13.8% 24h change. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by a distribution event. No sustained uptrend structure is visible.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000544 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000309 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000599 (candle [1] open/high)
Major$0.0001129 (current price level)

The $0.0000309 level acted as both support and a launch point in candle [2], making it a key pivot. The $0.0000544–$0.0000599 zone is now resistance after the bearish candle [1] close. Current price at $0.0001129 is well above both candles, suggesting a subsequent pump occurred; this level now acts as the major resistance zone.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence (bullish candle [2] fully reversed by bearish candle [1])
  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing pattern on candle [1] — open equals high, close near low
  • Extreme volume relative to liquidity pool size — pool drainage pattern
  • Price gap between OHLC candles and current price suggests additional pump activity not captured in the 2-candle window

Total holders835
24h Δ+92
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price performance — the massive 92% holder increase in 24h coincides with a -13.8% price drop and 81.8% sell pressure. This suggests the whale is distributing supply to many new wallets at declining prices, not organic accumulation driving price up.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: the token had exactly 17–18 holders for the entire period from June 22 to July 15 (23 days of complete stagnation). A minor uptick to 20 occurred July 13, then back to 17 by July 14–20. On July 21, holders jumped from 17 to 96 (+79, +82%), and by the analysis date holders reached 835 — a +818 increase in 7 days (+98%) and +768 in 24h (+92%). This explosive growth from a near-zero base is characteristic of a coordinated launch/pump event rather than organic community growth. The 30d growth of 98% is almost entirely concentrated in the last 1–2 days.

Top 10 hold100.14%
Top 100 hold100.14%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

uG3Nub8XXJQcNZTsHMC33oeGprMMZBzybRbQyibBH3N

Project treasury / team / deployer — holds 999,999,999.64 tokens (~100% of total supply of ~1B tokens. This is almost certainly the token creator or a controlled wallet actively distributing supply into the market.

100.00%

J8uGr2xD7izVBViDGPXF8G928xrfvPKHUVvhx2GsZnWm

Dust holder — balance of 0.2649 tokens, negligible holding

0.00%

Token distribution is catastrophically concentrated. The top holder (uG3Nub8XXJQcNZTsHMC33oeGprMMZBzybRbQyibBH3N) holds 999,999,999.64 tokens out of a total supply of ~1B — effectively 100% of circulating supply. The supply concentration metric confirms top10=100.14% and top100=100.14%, meaning all meaningful supply is in one wallet. Only 2 holders appear in the top 20 data, with the second holding a negligible dust amount. This is the most extreme concentration possible and represents a maximum rug-pull risk. The whale is actively distributing (81.8% sell pressure), suggesting an ongoing dump into retail buyers.

Liquidity$41,880
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$46,210
Sell$207,120
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers416
Unique sellers1,232

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $41.88K is dwarfed by 24h sell volume of $207.12K — sellers have moved nearly 5x the entire liquidity pool in a single day. The buy/sell ratio is 18.2%/81.8%, with 3x more unique sellers (1,232) than buyers (416). The net flow is strongly negative (outflow). Slippage risk is high — any sell order of meaningful size will move the price significantly given the shallow pool. The pair trades on PumpSwap (9Nqv44KxLfX7M8su2AgeCb8TUMwz1WG785LPQeTYfHrT), which is a permissionless AMM with no guaranteed liquidity. The 5-minute price change of -30.1% confirms that even small sell orders are causing massive price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,999.908328
FDV$112,884.25

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens with an FDV of ~$112.9K. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111...) and has not been renounced, meaning the authority holder could potentially update token metadata. However, the token is marked as mutable=false, which limits some metadata changes. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively determined from the provided metadata fields alone, so both are marked 'unknown'. The contract is unverified (verified=false). The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically initializes with mint authority burned after bonding curve completion, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The combination of unrenounced update authority, unverified contract, and extreme supply concentration elevates rug risk to medium-high.

Volatility
high

-30% in 5 minutes, -13.8% in 24h. Extremely thin liquidity amplifies every trade into outsized price moves. Meme token with no fundamental floor.

Liquidity
high

Only $41.88K total liquidity. 24h sell volume of $207K is ~5x the liquidity pool. Any meaningful exit will cause severe slippage and price impact.

Concentration
high

Single wallet holds ~100% of total supply (999,999,999.64 of ~1B tokens). Top 10 concentration is 100.14%. This is the maximum possible concentration — one entity controls the entire float.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data available. However, the dominant risk is from the primary whale (100% holder) distributing, not snipers. Sniper-specific risk cannot be assessed.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) has not been renounced. Contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some protection but does not eliminate authority risk. Mint/freeze authority status unknown.

Key risks

  • Single wallet controls ~100% of supply and is actively distributing — existential rug/dump risk
  • 81.8% sell pressure with $207K in sells vs $46K buys in 24h — sustained distribution event
  • Only $41.88K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful exit
  • -30% price drop in 5 minutes confirms extreme volatility and thin order book
  • Token dormant for 30+ days at 17 holders before sudden activity — suspicious launch pattern
  • Update authority not renounced; contract unverified
  • No utility, no verified team, meme-only narrative with no demonstrated community prior to launch

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, limiting some metadata manipulation
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity and price discovery
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter) exist — some community infrastructure present
  • Holder count growing rapidly (835 total) suggests some retail interest
  • FDV of ~$112K is relatively low, limiting absolute dollar loss exposure for small positions
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced degenerate speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The concentration and distribution patterns are consistent with a rug-pull or coordinated dump scenario.

SWOLEDOGE is a high-risk meme token exhibiting multiple red flags consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump: extreme supply concentration (one wallet = ~100%), 30 days of dormancy followed by sudden viral activity, overwhelming sell pressure (81.8%), and catastrophically shallow liquidity. The investment case is almost entirely speculative and momentum-dependent, with structural factors heavily favoring further downside.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum drives sustained retail FOMO, the dominant whale pauses distribution, and the token achieves genuine community adoption on Solana's meme-coin circuit.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter/Telegram drives new buyer wave
  • Whale voluntarily locks or burns remaining supply, restoring confidence
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally creates favorable conditions
  • Influencer endorsement drives short-term price spike

Base case

The token experiences continued volatility with intermittent pumps driven by social media activity, but the structural overhang of the 100% supply concentration prevents sustained price appreciation. Price gradually declines as the whale distributes over days/weeks.

  • Whale distributes gradually rather than in a single exit
  • Some retail demand persists due to meme appeal and social links
  • Liquidity remains above zero but continues to thin
  • No major catalyst (positive or negative) in the near term

Bear case (high)

The dominant whale continues distributing the remaining ~100% supply into retail buyers, liquidity is drained, and the token approaches zero as holders realize losses and exit.

  • Continued whale distribution at 81.8% sell pressure pace
  • Liquidity pool drained below viable trading threshold
  • Retail buyers exhaust demand as price continues falling
  • No fundamental catalyst to reverse distribution trend
  • Possible complete rug — whale withdraws liquidity entirely

GeneratedJul 22, 01:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers the 2 most recent hourly candles (12:00–14:00 UTC July 22, 2026). Historical holder data covers June 22 – July 21, 2026. Sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint, authority, supply)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (9Nqv44KxLfX7M8su2AgeCb8TUMwz1WG785LPQeTYfHrT)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder balances
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Holder classification relies on balance patterns, not verified labels
  • The 5m price change of -30% may reflect a single large trade rather than sustained trend
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows extreme dormancy prior to recent activity

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed shows multiple high-risk indicators. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. This analysis is based solely on the on-chain data provided and may not reflect all relevant information.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,999.908328

Key Risks

•Single wallet controls ~100% of supply and is actively distributing — existential rug/dump risk
•81.8% sell pressure with $207K in sells vs $46K buys in 24h — sustained distribution event
•Only $41.88K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful exit
•-30% price drop in 5 minutes confirms extreme volatility and thin order book

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for SWOLEDOGE. Smart money signals must be inferred from holder and volume data alone. The dominant signal is the single wallet holding ~100% of supply (address uG3Nub8XXJQcNZTsHMC33oeGprMMZBzybRbQyibBH3N) which appears to be actively distributing — 81.8% of 24h volume is sell-side. The rapid holder count explosion from 17 to 835 in ~24h while price is falling suggests the whale is selling into retail buyers attracted by social media promotion.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Negative — the dominant early holder (100% supply) is distributing aggressively into the market. Retail buyers entering during the pump phase are likely underwater given the -30% 5-minute drop and -13.8% 24h decline.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for SWOLE DOGE (SWOLEDOGE)?

The token is in freefall. The last 5-minute candle shows a -30.1% drop. With 81.8% sell pressure, only $41.88K in liquidity, and the dominant whale (100% supply holder) actively distributing, further sharp downside is the most likely near-term outcome. Any bounce is likely a dead-cat given the structural imbalance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000130.

Is SWOLEDOGE a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced degenerate speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The concentration and distribution patterns are consistent with a rug-pull or coordinated dump scenario.

How are SWOLEDOGE holders trending?

SWOLE DOGE currently has 835 holders and is growing (24h: 92, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: the token had exactly 17–18 holders for the entire period from June 22 to July 15 (23 days of complete stagnation). A minor uptick to 20 occurred July 13, then back to 17 by July 14–20. On July 21, holders jumped from 17 to 96 (+79, +82%), and by the analysis date holders reached 835 — a +818 increase in 7 days (+98%) and +768 in 24h (+92%). This explosive growth from a near-zero base is characteristic of a coordinated launch/pump event rather than organic community growth. The 30d growth of 98% is almost entirely concentrated in the last 1–2 days.

What does sniper activity look like for SWOLEDOGE?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SWOLEDOGE?

Single wallet controls ~100% of supply and is actively distributing — existential rug/dump risk • 81.8% sell pressure with $207K in sells vs $46K buys in 24h — sustained distribution event • Only $41.88K liquidity — catastrophic slippage on any meaningful exit

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