ice bucket challenge Prediction
CgnudNWM6Se7mfkGHFGZ4A1YPqjpYmd8bW3nsAEKpump
$0.000237
FDV $236,732
CgnudNWM6Se7mfkGHFGZ4A1YPqjpYmd8bW3nsAEKpumpChain:SolanaHolders:405Market cap:$236,732More tokens on Solana
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Ask Unhosted AI about ice
$236,732
$55,829
405
0
Very High
AI Executive Summary
ICE (ice bucket challenge) is an ultra-early-stage PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana (mint: CgnudNWM6Se7mfkGHFGZ4A1YPqjpYmd8bW3nsAEKpump). As of analysis time the token has exploded +672% in 24h, driven almost entirely by a single intraday spike. Total liquidity is only $55.83K, FDV is $236.73K, and there are just 405 holders — 389 of whom joined in the last 24 hours (96% growth in one day). Sell pressure dominates at 67.1% of 24h volume ($225.11K sells vs $110.33K buys). Top holder data is unavailable, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has no verified contract, no social links, and no description. The combination of extreme price volatility, razor-thin liquidity, overwhelming sell pressure, and near-zero prior holder base makes this a very high risk speculative asset.
Price Prediction
Short term
The token spiked violently intraday (candle [2] shows a high of ~$0.0000485 and candle [1] shows a high of ~$0.000217 — likely a data anomaly or wick) before the current price settled near $0.000237. With 67.1% sell pressure, 3,470 sells vs 1,938 buys, and only $55.83K in liquidity, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Any large holder exit will crater the price given the shallow pool.
Resistance: $0.000037 (candle [4] high), $0.000049 (candle [2] high)
Medium term
Without sustained community development, social presence, or utility, meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 80–99% from their spike highs within days. The 30-day dormancy period (16 holders flat) followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless significant organic demand materialises.
Catalysts
- Viral social media campaign referencing the ice bucket challenge theme
- Listing on a higher-tier DEX aggregator or CEX (highly unlikely at this FDV)
- Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
Bullish factors
- 672% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative momentum exists
- +389 new holders in 24h shows rapid community growth from a near-zero base
- Meme theme (ice bucket challenge) has broad cultural recognition potential
- PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading
Bearish factors
- 67.1% sell pressure — sellers dominate by volume and wallet count
- Only $55.83K total liquidity; large trades will cause severe slippage
- Token was completely dormant (16 holders, zero net change) for 30 consecutive days before today
- No social links, no description, unverified contract — zero transparency
- Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
- FDV of $236.73K is entirely speculative with no fundamental backing
ice call history
Full track record →Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
Deep Analysis
Token Info
Key Risks
Smart Money & Sniper Analysis
No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. What can be inferred from trading analytics: 1,050 unique sellers vs 446 unique buyers in 24h, with sell volume ($225.11K) more than double buy volume ($110.33K). This strongly suggests early entrants (the original 16 holders from the dormancy period) are distributing into the pump-driven demand. The 96% holder growth in 24h (from 16 to 405) suggests new retail buyers are absorbing supply from earlier holders.
AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.
Sniper details
No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.
Likely distributing — the original 16 holders who held through 30 days of dormancy are the most probable source of the dominant sell pressure (67.1% of volume). New 24h entrants (389 wallets) appear to be net buyers absorbing this distribution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price prediction for ice bucket challenge (ice)?
The token spiked violently intraday (candle [2] shows a high of ~$0.0000485 and candle [1] shows a high of ~$0.000217 — likely a data anomaly or wick) before the current price settled near $0.000237. With 67.1% sell pressure, 3,470 sells vs 1,938 buys, and only $55.83K in liquidity, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Any large holder exit will crater the price given the shallow pool. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000350.
Is ice a safe investment on Solana?
Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of executing rapid exits. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivially small speculative amount. This is not an investment — it is a high-stakes speculation on momentum continuation in a likely distribution phase.
How are ice holders trending?
ice bucket challenge currently has 405 holders and is growing (24h: 389, 7d: 389, 30d: 389). Holder data reveals a stark two-phase history: (1) a 30-day dormancy phase (June 2–July 1) with exactly 16 holders and zero daily net change — suggesting the token was essentially inactive or held by a small founding group; (2) a single-day explosion on July 2 adding 389 new holders (+96%). Of the 405 total holders, 397 acquired via swap and 8 via transfer. The rapid single-day holder growth driven entirely by swap activity is consistent with a viral pump event rather than sustained organic adoption. Holder distribution data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all show 0, and top holder concentration data is unavailable — this limits deeper analysis of whether new holders are accumulating meaningfully or making small speculative trades.
What does sniper activity look like for ice?
Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.
What are the key risks of holding ice?
Extreme liquidity risk: $55.83K pool cannot absorb large exits without severe price impact • Probable supply concentration among original 16 holders who are likely distributing into the pump • No verified contract, unknown authorities — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation
Track ice