ice

ice bucket challenge Price Today & AI Analysis

iceSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 2, 2026

Price

$0.054547

Contract

Live
CgnudNWM6Se7mfkGHFGZ4A1YPqjpYmd8bW3nsAEKpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

275

Market cap

$4,546

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ice bucket challenge: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-02 16:19 UTC

Holder addresses

405

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$55,828.86
How concentrated is ice bucket challenge ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 405 addresses (2026-07-02 16:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ice bucket challenge?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ice bucket challenge liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-02 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $55,828.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-02 16:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 2, 04:19 PM UTC

FDV

$236,732

Liquidity

$55,828.86

Holders

405

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ICE (ice bucket challenge) is an ultra-early-stage PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana (mint: CgnudNWM6Se7mfkGHFGZ4A1YPqjpYmd8bW3nsAEKpump). As of analysis time the token has exploded +672% in 24h, driven almost entirely by a single intraday spike. Total liquidity is only $55.83K, FDV is $236.73K, and there are just 405 holders — 389 of whom joined in the last 24 hours (96% growth in one day). Sell pressure dominates at 67.1% of 24h volume ($225.11K sells vs $110.33K buys). Top holder data is unavailable, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has no verified contract, no social links, and no description. The combination of extreme price volatility, razor-thin liquidity, overwhelming sell pressure, and near-zero prior holder base makes this a very high risk speculative asset.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h price surge of +672% from a near-zero base, driven by a single intraday candle spike
  • Token was dormant at 16 holders for 30 consecutive days before today's sudden activity burst
  • Sell pressure is 67.1% of 24h volume — sellers outnumber buyers 2.3:1 by wallet count (1,050 sellers vs 446 buyers)
  • Extremely thin liquidity of $55.83K against $335K+ in 24h combined volume creates severe slippage risk
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract, and unknown update authority — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token spiked violently intraday (candle [2] shows a high of ~$0.0000485 and candle [1] shows a high of ~$0.000217 — likely a data anomaly or wick) before the current price settled near $0.000237. With 67.1% sell pressure, 3,470 sells vs 1,938 buys, and only $55.83K in liquidity, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Any large holder exit will crater the price given the shallow pool.

Target low

$0.000010

Target high

$0.000350

Support

$0.000015 (recent candle lows, candles [3]–[7]), $0.000010 (approximate pre-spike baseline)

Resistance

$0.000037 (candle [4] high), $0.000049 (candle [2] high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained community development, social presence, or utility, meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 80–99% from their spike highs within days. The 30-day dormancy period (16 holders flat) followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless significant organic demand materialises.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media campaign referencing the ice bucket challenge theme
  • Listing on a higher-tier DEX aggregator or CEX (highly unlikely at this FDV)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps

Bullish factors

  • 672% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative momentum exists
  • +389 new holders in 24h shows rapid community growth from a near-zero base
  • Meme theme (ice bucket challenge) has broad cultural recognition potential
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 67.1% sell pressure — sellers dominate by volume and wallet count
  • Only $55.83K total liquidity; large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Token was completely dormant (16 holders, zero net change) for 30 consecutive days before today
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — zero transparency
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • FDV of $236.73K is entirely speculative with no fundamental backing

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top-holder data preventing whale exit risk quantification, (2) no sniper data, (3) extreme price volatility making any target unreliable, and (4) the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day spike is consistent with coordinated manipulation rather than organic price discovery.

ice call history

Full track record →

Jul 2bearish
24h-59.1%
7d-78.4%
30d-92.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
CgnudN...pump
Total Supply
999,999,832.58

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk: $55.83K pool cannot absorb large exits without severe price impact
  • Probable supply concentration among original 16 holders who are likely distributing into the pump
  • No verified contract, unknown authorities — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation
  • Zero fundamental value: no description, no social presence, no utility

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

14 hourly candles reviewed (03:00–16:00 UTC on 2026-07-02). Candles [14]–[11] (03:00–06:00) show a relatively stable range of $0.0000186–$0.0000367, with declining closes — a mild downtrend. Candle [12] (05:00) opens at $0.0000367 and closes at $0.0000194, a bearish candle. Candles [11]–[7] (06:00–10:00) show a continued grind lower toward $0.0000119. Candle [6] (11:00) shows a recovery from $0.0000100 low to close $0.0000219 — a bullish hammer-like structure. Candles [5]–[4] (12:00–13:00) show continued recovery with candle [4] printing a high of $0.0000379. Candle [3] (14:00) is a bearish candle (O=$0.0000331, C=$0.0000150). Candle [2] (15:00) shows a dramatic spike: H=$0.0000485, suggesting a sharp wick up. Candle [1] (16:00) is anomalous with L=$0.000217 > O=$0.0000331, which may reflect a data inversion or extreme volatility; the current price of $0.000237 is far above all prior candle closes, suggesting a massive spike occurred in the most recent hour not fully captured in the OHLC series. NOTE: OHLC data appears to have some H/L inversion anomalies (e.g. candle [1] L > O), suggesting data quality issues — interpret with caution.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term trend is technically 'up' given the current price ($0.000237) is dramatically above all prior candle closes. However, the medium-term (intraday) trend from candles [14] to [8] was a clear downtrend from ~$0.0000326 to ~$0.0000140. The current spike appears to be a sharp, potentially unsustainable breakout above the prior range.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

33%

Sell

67%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000033 (candle [14] open / prior range top)

Major support

$0.000010 (candle [6] low, approximate pre-pump floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000049 (candle [2] high wick)

Major resistance

$0.000217 (candle [1] anomalous high — possible current price zone)

The token has no established technical structure given its 30-day dormancy. Support levels are derived from intraday candle lows. The $0.000033 level acted as a base for the prior range; a failure to hold this on any pullback would expose the $0.000010–$0.000015 zone. Resistance is thin given the lack of prior price history above $0.000049.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish volume divergence: price spiking while sell volume dominates (67.1%)
  • Possible pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by single-day explosive move
  • Hammer-like candle at candle [6] (11:00) preceded the recovery rally
  • Volume dry-up in candles [9]–[7] followed by volume surge — classic accumulation-then-pump signature
  • Potential data anomaly in candle [1]: L value ($0.000217) exceeds O ($0.0000331), suggesting H/L fields may be inverted or data feed error

Liquidity

Liquidity

$55,828.86

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $55.83K against a 24h combined volume of ~$335.44K — meaning the pool turned over approximately 6x in a single day. This creates extreme slippage risk for any trade of meaningful size. The net flow is clearly outflow: sell volume ($225.11K) is 2.04x buy volume ($110.33K), and sellers (1,050 unique wallets) outnumber buyers (446) by 2.35:1. The FDV of $236.73K is only 4.2x the total liquidity, meaning the market cap is barely supported by the pool. A coordinated sell by even a few large holders could drain the pool and collapse the price. The PumpSwap pair (BS3MyQReereuKzAvkfQscvHHLhi4bsFL3X3Zw55oMu2e) is the sole liquidity venue identified.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,832.58

FDV

$236,732

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +672% in 24h, +1,634% in 6h, with a -1.5% move in just the last 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility with no established price history makes this one of the most volatile assets possible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $55.83K in total liquidity against $335K+ in 24h volume. The pool turns over ~6x daily. Any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap).

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk: $55.83K pool cannot absorb large exits without severe price impact
  • Probable supply concentration among original 16 holders who are likely distributing into the pump
  • No verified contract, unknown authorities — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation
  • Zero fundamental value: no description, no social presence, no utility
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a classic coordinated pump-and-dump signature
  • 67.1% sell pressure with 2.35:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution phase
  • Single DEX venue (PumpSwap) — no liquidity redundancy

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'mutable: false', preventing metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap launch mechanism provides some standardization of initial liquidity
  • Rapid holder growth (+389 in 24h) shows genuine market interest, however speculative
  • Not flagged as possible spam by data provider

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of executing rapid exits. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivially small speculative amount. This is not an investment — it is a high-stakes speculation on momentum continuation in a likely distribution phase.

ICE is a PumpFun meme token with zero fundamental value, extreme volatility, and strong signals of coordinated pump-and-dump activity. The only viable thesis is a short-term momentum trade with strict risk management. The base case is continued price decay as early holders distribute. The bull case requires sustained viral momentum that is not currently supported by any social or fundamental evidence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social media adoption of the 'ice bucket challenge' meme theme drives sustained retail FOMO, pushing new holder count into the thousands and sustaining buy pressure above sell pressure. Price consolidates above $0.000100 and builds toward $0.000500+.

  • Organic viral spread of the ice bucket challenge meme on Crypto Twitter/TikTok
  • Sustained buy pressure overcoming current 67.1% sell dominance
  • Influencer promotion driving new wallet creation and swap activity
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally providing tailwind

Base Case

Price retraces 60–85% from the current spike high over the next 24–72 hours as sell pressure continues to dominate. A small residual community of the 405 current holders remains, but daily volume drops sharply. Token stabilizes at a much lower price ($0.000020–$0.000060) with minimal trading activity.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate as early holders exit
  • No major new catalysts (viral event, influencer, CEX listing) emerge
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying downward price moves
  • New holder acquisition rate slows significantly after the initial pump excitement fades

Bear Case

High probability

Original 16 holders (likely founders/early snipers) complete their distribution into the pump-driven retail demand. Buy pressure dries up, liquidity is withdrawn or drained, and price collapses 90–99% back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000010–$0.000030). Token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

  • 67.1% sell pressure and 2.35:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
  • Only $55.83K liquidity — easily drained by a few large exits
  • No social presence, no utility, no community infrastructure to sustain demand
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump lifecycle
  • Unknown authority status leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 2, 04:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-02 16:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: BS3MyQReereuKzAvkfQscvHHLhi4bsFL3X3Zw55oMu2e)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (14 candles, 2026-07-02 03:00–16:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top holder distribution data (unavailable — data gap noted)
  • Sniper analysis data (unavailable — endpoint returned no results)

Limitations

  • Top holder data is completely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified precisely
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • OHLC candle data shows possible H/L field inversions in candle [1], suggesting potential data quality issues
  • The 24h price change of 0% reported in the 'Price % change' section contradicts the 672% figure from the price section — likely a data field discrepancy; the 672% figure from the dedicated price section was used
  • Historical holder data only covers 30 days and shows zero granularity within the dormancy period
  • No social or off-chain data available to assess community strength or developer credibility

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is ice bucket challenge ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 405 addresses (2026-07-02 16:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling ice bucket challenge?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ice bucket challenge liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-02 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $55,828.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for ice bucket challenge (ice)?

The token spiked violently intraday (candle [2] shows a high of ~$0.0000485 and candle [1] shows a high of ~$0.000217 — likely a data anomaly or wick) before the current price settled near $0.000237. With 67.1% sell pressure, 3,470 sells vs 1,938 buys, and only $55.83K in liquidity, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Any large holder exit will crater the price given the shallow pool. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000350.

Is ice a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of executing rapid exits. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a trivially small speculative amount. This is not an investment — it is a high-stakes speculation on momentum continuation in a likely distribution phase.

What are the key risks of holding ice?

Extreme liquidity risk: $55.83K pool cannot absorb large exits without severe price impact • Probable supply concentration among original 16 holders who are likely distributing into the pump • No verified contract, unknown authorities — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation

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