Shreck

Shreck Prediction

Shreck
Solana
AI Analysis
May 5, 03:17 AM

CZwtNuwKU9tW4rU87HtJozZfbPMSaUkMgoNnJ96Kpump

$0.0000356078

-1.44%

FDV $35,608

FDV

$35,608

Liquidity

$0

Holders

429

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Shreck (SHRECK) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$35,608 at the time of analysis. The token appears to have launched very recently — holder counts were flat at 4 for the entire prior 30-day window and then exploded to 429 within the last 24 hours, indicating a brand-new launch event. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (73.8% sell pressure, $175K sell vs $62K buy volume in 24h), liquidity is reported at $0 on-chain (PumpSwap pool), and the top holder (the PumpSwap LP pair address) controls 21.07% of supply. Risk is very high given the meme nature, extreme sell pressure, shallow liquidity, and concentrated whale distribution.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth from 4 to 429 in under 24 hours, indicating a very recent launch
Severe sell-side dominance: 73.8% sell pressure with $175K sell vs $62K buy volume in 24h
Top 10 holders control 37.73% of supply; top 100 control 85.6%
Reported on-chain liquidity of $0 on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; majority are at a realized loss, but several profitable snipers remain a dump risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has been highly volatile in the last 3 hours: candle [3] dropped from open $0.0000348 to a low of $0.0000199 before recovering to $0.0000268; candle [2] continued recovery from $0.0000214 low to close $0.0000313; candle [1] opened at $0.0000332 and closed at $0.0000356. Despite the recent 5-minute spike of +33.4%, the 1-hour change is -20.4% and sell pressure remains overwhelming at 73.8%. Short-term outlook is bearish given dominant selling, near-zero liquidity, and profit-taking by early snipers.

Target low$0.0000199
Target high$0.0000371
Support: $0.0000199 (candle [3] absolute low), $0.0000214 (candle [2] wick low), $0.0000271 (candle [2] close / candle [3] close area)
Resistance: $0.0000356 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.0000371 (candle [1] high — recent peak), $0.0000348 (candle [3] open)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without meaningful liquidity, a verified contract, or a clear utility narrative, sustaining price appreciation beyond the initial launch pump is unlikely. The heavy sell pressure and sniper profit-taking suggest the medium-term trajectory is downward unless significant new buying interest emerges.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction driving new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator increasing visibility
  • Coordinated community buy campaigns
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Rapid holder growth from 4 to 429 in <24h shows viral interest
  • Recent 5-minute price spike of +33.4% shows speculative demand bursts
  • Some snipers (6 of 20) are in profit, suggesting early buyers see upside
  • Meme coin narrative on Solana can attract momentum traders

Bearish factors

  • 73.8% sell pressure ($175K sell vs $62K buy in 24h)
  • Reported total liquidity of $0 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Top 10 holders control 37.73%; top 100 control 85.6% — highly concentrated
  • Holder count dropped 41 in the last hour (-9.6%), suggesting early exits
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
  • Majority of snipers (14 of 20) are at a realized loss, indicating weak early price support
  • Token was dormant (4 holders) for 30 days before launch — suspicious pre-launch setup
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token launched within the last 24 hours, liquidity is effectively zero, and price action is extremely erratic. Predictions are highly speculative.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SHRECK

Key Risks

Near-zero reported liquidity makes large exits impossible without catastrophic slippage
73.8% sell pressure with 1,420 unique sellers vs 483 buyers — market is in active distribution
Token was dormant at 4 holders for 30 days before launch — suggests pre-planned or delayed launch
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
Medium risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 6 show positive realized PnL (ranging from +0.2% to +34.3%) and 12 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -4.3% to -22.4%), with 2 near breakeven. The profitable snipers have already sold meaningful amounts ($919–$1,722 each), suggesting smart money has partially exited. The majority of snipers are underwater, which reduces immediate dump pressure from that cohort but also signals weak early price discovery. Sniper concentration is estimated at ~2% of supply based on available balance data (only sniper [14] has a known balance of $34 worth). The sell-through rate is moderate — most snipers have sold some but not all holdings.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
medium

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped amounts are unknown, but realized sell proceeds range from $0 to $1,722 per sniper. The largest sellers are snipers [9] ($1,722 sold, +15.1% PnL), [8] ($1,260 sold, +22.8%), [19] ($1,351 sold, +18.9%), [10] ($1,012 sold, +25.3%), and [7] ($919 sold, +24.1%) — all in profit and have already sold significant portions.

Mixed-to-negative. The majority of snipers (14/20) are at a realized loss, indicating the token has not sustained its initial price. However, 6 snipers are profitable and have been actively selling into strength, contributing to the dominant sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Shreck (Shreck)?

Price has been highly volatile in the last 3 hours: candle [3] dropped from open $0.0000348 to a low of $0.0000199 before recovering to $0.0000268; candle [2] continued recovery from $0.0000214 low to close $0.0000313; candle [1] opened at $0.0000332 and closed at $0.0000356. Despite the recent 5-minute spike of +33.4%, the 1-hour change is -20.4% and sell pressure remains overwhelming at 73.8%. Short-term outlook is bearish given dominant selling, near-zero liquidity, and profit-taking by early snipers. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000199 to $0.0000371.

Is Shreck a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana meme coin dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (lottery-ticket allocation only).

How are Shreck holders trending?

Shreck currently has 429 holders and is growing (24h: 425, 7d: 425, 30d: 425). The historical holder data shows the token sat dormant at exactly 4 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period (April 5 – May 4, 2026), then exploded to 429 holders within 24 hours on May 5. This is consistent with a Pump.fun token that was pre-created but only recently launched or promoted. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to 24h (+425), confirming all growth is concentrated in the last day. Growth is technically 'accelerating' from zero, but the -41 holder loss in the last hour is a warning sign of early churn. The distribution shows 150 whales, 58 sharks, 145 dolphins, 48 fish, and 14 octopus-classified holders, suggesting a mix of large and small participants entered simultaneously.

What does sniper activity look like for Shreck?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding Shreck?

Near-zero reported liquidity makes large exits impossible without catastrophic slippage • 73.8% sell pressure with 1,420 unique sellers vs 483 buyers — market is in active distribution • Token was dormant at 4 holders for 30 days before launch — suggests pre-planned or delayed launch

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