Microduck

Microduck Price Today & AI Analysis

Microduck
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 27, 2026

CTuw8xEE15hKi2yB9n8CoLDq8ZhBLVbh8ydcuN11pump

$0.045565

-24.48%

FDV $54,328

LiveContract:CTuw8xEE15hKi2yB9n8CoLDq8ZhBLVbh8ydcuN11pumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,071Market cap:$54,328

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Report snapshotas of Aug 27, 02:20 PM
FDV

$54,328

Liquidity

$45,354

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Microduck (Microduck) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of CTuw8xEE15hKi2yB9n8CoLDq8ZhBLVbh8ydcuN11pump. The token has a total supply of ~976.2M and a fully diluted valuation of approximately $54,328–$55,100. The token is unverified, has no on-chain description, and its update authority is unknown. The most striking feature of the recent data is an extreme sell-side imbalance: 76.5% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($1.17M sells vs $358.65K buys), with sellers outnumbering buyers roughly 5:1 (3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers). The price has dropped ~24.5% in 24 hours and is down sharply from an intraday high of $0.000457 just hours ago. Liquidity is very shallow at $45.35K, creating significant slippage risk. This is a high-risk, speculative micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme sell-side dominance: 76.5% sell pressure with 3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers in 24h
Massive intraday volatility: price ranged from $0.0000303 to $0.000457 within a 4-hour window
Very shallow liquidity at $45.35K against a $55.1K FDV — liquidity nearly equals market cap
PumpSwap-launched token with unknown update authority and unverified contract
Social presence (Twitter + website) exists but contract is unverified and description is absent

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a sharp downtrend from its intraday peak of $0.000457 (candle [4] high). The most recent candle closed at $0.0000564, near its low, with declining volume. The 5-minute change is -14.2%, confirming continued selling pressure. With 76.5% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers ~5:1, the short-term path of least resistance is lower. Immediate support is the candle [3] low of $0.0000303.

Target low$0.0000250
Target high$0.0000750
Support: $0.0000564 (candle [1] close / current price), $0.0000425 (candle [2] low), $0.0000303 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000750 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area), $0.000112 (candle [3] open), $0.000144 (candle [3] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a fundamental catalyst or significant new buyer inflow, the token is likely to continue declining from its spike high. The FDV of ~$55K is extremely small, meaning even modest sell pressure can move price significantly. Recovery would require a new narrative push or coordinated buying, neither of which is evidenced in current data.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or viral moment driving new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed levels (not currently evidenced)
  • Liquidity addition deepening the pool and reducing slippage risk

Bullish factors

  • Token has social presence (Twitter + website), suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio is unusually high (~82%), meaning the pool is relatively well-funded vs market cap
  • 1h price change is +7.8%, suggesting a possible short-term bounce attempt
  • Mutable flag is false, reducing one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 76.5% sell pressure with $1.17M in sells vs $358.65K in buys over 24h
  • Price down 24.5% in 24h and down ~88% from intraday high of $0.000457
  • Shallow liquidity of $45.35K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Unknown update authority — cannot confirm authority renouncement
  • Unverified contract with no description — low transparency
  • 5-minute price change of -14.2% signals continued active selling
  • Volume collapsing: candle [4] had $1.22M volume, candle [1] had only $11K — 99% volume drop in 3 hours
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely small market cap and liquidity, making price highly susceptible to single-wallet moves. Only 4 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, limiting technical analysis depth. No sniper data, no holder data, and unknown update authority all reduce analytical certainty. The token's behavior is consistent with a post-pump dump cycle, but micro-caps can reverse violently.

Microduck call history

Full track record →
Aug 27bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles are available (11:00–14:00 UTC on 2026-08-27). Candle [4] (11:00) was an explosive launch candle: opened at $0.0000421, spiked to a high of $0.000457 (10x from open), and closed at $0.000109 — a massive upper wick indicating heavy profit-taking at the top. Volume was $1.22M. Candle [3] (12:00) opened at $0.000113 (near candle [4] close), reached a high of $0.000145, but sold off hard to a low of $0.0000303 and closed at $0.0000661 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern with $222K volume. Candle [2] (13:00) opened at $0.0000651, dipped to $0.0000425, recovered to $0.0000794 high, and closed at $0.0000610 — a doji-like indecision candle with $59K volume. Candle [1] (14:00) opened at $0.0000601, hit a high of $0.0000823, then closed at its low of $0.0000564 — a bearish close with declining volume ($11K). Overall pattern: classic pump-and-dump structure with a parabolic spike followed by rapid mean reversion and declining volume.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 77%

The token is in a clear short and medium-term downtrend following the spike high of $0.000457 in candle [4]. Each subsequent candle has made lower highs and the price is now ~88% below the intraday peak. Volume is collapsing (from $1.22M to $11K in 3 hours), confirming distribution rather than accumulation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000564 (candle [1] close / current price area)
Major$0.0000303 (candle [3] absolute low — the lowest price in the dataset)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000823 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.000145 (candle [3] high) and $0.000457 (candle [4] all-time high in dataset)

The $0.0000303 level represents the most significant tested support — a break below this would be a new low with no nearby support. Resistance at $0.0000823 is the most recent hourly high. The $0.000145 and $0.000457 levels are major overhead resistance from the initial pump and are unlikely to be retested without significant new volume.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump-and-dump: candle [4] 10x spike with massive upper wick indicating immediate profit-taking
  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [3]: opened near highs, closed near lows with high volume
  • Volume exhaustion: 99% volume decline from candle [4] to candle [1] in 3 hours
  • Bearish close in candle [1]: closed at the candle low ($0.0000564), signaling continued selling
  • Lower highs pattern: candle [4] high $0.000457 → candle [3] high $0.000145 → candle [2] high $0.0000794 → candle [1] high $0.0000823 (slight uptick but far below prior highs)

Liquidity$45,350
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$358,650
Sell$1,170,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers756
Unique sellers3,972

Liquidity is critically shallow at $45.35K against a FDV of ~$55.1K — the liquidity pool represents approximately 82% of the token's fully diluted market cap, which means the pool is relatively well-funded in ratio terms but the absolute dollar depth is tiny. Any trade above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $1.17M in sells vs $358.65K in buys represents a net outflow of approximately $811K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 5.25:1 (3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers) and the 76.5% sell pressure confirm this is a distribution-phase market. With 17,817 sell transactions vs 5,617 buy transactions, the market structure is deeply unhealthy for new entrants. The PumpSwap pair (8jsA6RRg8C6WgyseFhoWcJZUZ7UirZitwfYw7PRAgFvq) is the sole liquidity venue, concentrating all exit risk in one pool.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply976,221,026.14
FDV$54,328–$55,100

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Microduck has a total supply of approximately 976.2 million tokens with 6 decimals. The FDV is approximately $54,328–$55,100 at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, so mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed — both are marked 'unknown' per methodology. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a positive signal suggesting the token metadata cannot be changed, reducing one vector of post-launch manipulation. The contract is unverified and there is no on-chain description. The token was launched via PumpSwap (pump.fun ecosystem, indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which is a permissionless launchpad. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or tokenomics documentation were provided. The absence of a description and unverified status are red flags for due diligence.

Volatility
high

Price ranged from $0.0000303 to $0.000457 within a single 4-hour window — a 15x intraday range. The 24h price change is -24.5% and the 5-minute change is -14.2%. This is extreme volatility consistent with a micro-cap pump-and-dump cycle.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $45.35K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face severe slippage. There is no secondary market or CEX listing to provide exit liquidity. The sole liquidity venue concentration amplifies exit risk.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, so concentration cannot be measured directly. However, the token's PumpSwap origin, micro-cap size, and extreme sell pressure (3,972 sellers, 76.5% sell volume) are consistent with high concentration among early buyers who are distributing. Conservative high-risk assumption applied.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper risk cannot be quantified. However, the token's pump-and-dump price pattern (10x spike followed by 88% retracement in 3 hours), combined with the 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, strongly suggests early buyers (potentially including snipers) are aggressively distributing. Risk is assessed as high by behavioral inference.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — neither confirmed renounced nor confirmed active. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be verified. While 'mutable: false' is a positive signal for metadata immutability, the inability to confirm authority renouncement leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 76.5% of 24h volume is sells, with 3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers
  • Shallow liquidity ($45.35K) creates high slippage and potential inability to exit positions
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull vectors cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract with no description — minimal transparency
  • Post-pump price structure: 88% decline from intraday high in 3 hours with collapsing volume
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) with no CEX or secondary market backup
  • Permissionless PumpSwap launch with no vetting or audit

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'mutable: false', reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social presence exists (Twitter + website), suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio is high (~82%), meaning the pool is relatively well-funded vs market cap
  • Not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • PumpSwap ecosystem has some baseline anti-rug mechanisms built into the launchpad
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of micro-cap meme token speculation on Solana. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their investment. The combination of unknown authorities, extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

Microduck is a PumpSwap-launched Solana meme token in the post-pump distribution phase. The token spiked ~10x in a single candle before retracing ~88% within 3 hours. Current market structure is dominated by sellers (76.5% sell pressure, 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio). The investment case is speculative at best, with the primary bull scenario being a secondary viral moment driving new buyer inflow. The bear case — continued distribution and price decay toward zero — is the most probable outcome based on current data.

Bull case (low)

A secondary viral social media moment (Twitter/community push) drives a new wave of retail buyers into the token, creating a second pump leg. The relatively high liquidity-to-FDV ratio means the pool can support meaningful price appreciation if buy pressure returns. Broader Solana meme coin market momentum could lift all micro-caps.

  • Renewed viral social media attention driving new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Community-driven narrative development leveraging existing Twitter/website presence
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed price levels

Base case

The token stabilizes in the $0.0000300–$0.0000700 range as the initial pump excitement fades and remaining holders reach equilibrium. Occasional small pumps driven by social activity provide brief trading opportunities but the overall trend remains flat-to-down. The token gradually loses relevance as attention moves to newer launches.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers exit
  • No rug pull event from unknown authorities
  • Some residual community activity maintains minimal trading volume
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution by early buyers drives price toward the $0.0000303 support low and potentially below. With collapsing volume (99% drop in 3 hours), shallow liquidity, and no fundamental value proposition, the token follows the typical PumpSwap micro-cap lifecycle toward near-zero. Unknown authorities could accelerate this via a rug pull.

  • Dominant sell pressure (76.5%) with no signs of reversal
  • Volume exhaustion — from $1.22M to $11K in 3 hours
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority creating rug pull risk
  • No verified contract, no description, no fundamental value proposition
  • Single liquidity venue with shallow depth amplifying downside moves

GeneratedAug 27, 02:20 PM
Data freshnessMost recent OHLC candle closes at 2026-08-27T14:00 UTC. Price data reflects conditions as of that timestamp. Only 4 hourly candles available — limited historical context.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability, update authority)
  • PumpSwap pair price feed (pair: 8jsA6RRg8C6WgyseFhoWcJZUZ7UirZitwfYw7PRAgFvq)
  • OHLC hourly candles (4 candles, 2026-08-27T11:00–14:00 UTC)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell split, unique wallets, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend identification beyond the immediate post-pump period
  • Holder and whale distribution data is entirely unavailable (endpoints retired) — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Update, mint, and freeze authority status is unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be definitively assessed
  • No on-chain description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • FDV figures show minor discrepancy between metadata ($54,328) and analytics ($55,100) — likely due to price feed timing differences
  • 6h and 24h price change fields show 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data feed anomaly

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party APIs and may contain errors or delays. The token creator's identity, intentions, and authority status are unknown. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. This analysis was generated by an automated system and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply976,221,026.14

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 76.5% of 24h volume is sells, with 3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers
Shallow liquidity ($45.35K) creates high slippage and potential inability to exit positions
Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull vectors cannot be ruled out
Unverified contract with no description — minimal transparency

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for Microduck. The sniper analysis endpoint returned no results, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined. The broader trading analytics do show a heavily sell-dominated market (76.5% sell pressure, 3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers in 24h), which is consistent with early buyers distributing into retail, but this cannot be attributed specifically to snipers without the underlying data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the extreme sell pressure (76.5%) and the rapid price decline from the $0.000457 spike high suggest early buyers who caught the pump are likely taking profits or cutting losses. The 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio (3,972 vs 756) is a strong signal of distribution behavior.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Microduck (Microduck)?

The token is in a sharp downtrend from its intraday peak of $0.000457 (candle [4] high). The most recent candle closed at $0.0000564, near its low, with declining volume. The 5-minute change is -14.2%, confirming continued selling pressure. With 76.5% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers ~5:1, the short-term path of least resistance is lower. Immediate support is the candle [3] low of $0.0000303. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000250 to $0.0000750.

Is Microduck a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the mechanics of micro-cap meme token speculation on Solana. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their investment. The combination of unknown authorities, extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for Microduck?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Microduck?

Extreme sell pressure: 76.5% of 24h volume is sells, with 3,972 sellers vs 756 buyers • Shallow liquidity ($45.35K) creates high slippage and potential inability to exit positions • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — rug pull vectors cannot be ruled out

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