AALON

AALon Price Prediction 2026

AALON
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 30, 2026

CMoRWauB8QfnLqwRDw3ZjJqN1gtpYFe9DaEzFfmqpump

$0.051528

FDV $1,524

LiveContract:CMoRWauB8QfnLqwRDw3ZjJqN1gtpYFe9DaEzFfmqpumpChain:SolanaHolders:90Market cap:$1,524

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Report snapshotas of Apr 30, 08:19 PM
FDV

$4,694

Liquidity

$0

Holders

241

Snipers

19

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

AALon (AALON) is an extremely early-stage Solana memecoin launched via PumpSwap (mint: CMoRWauB8QfnLqwRDw3ZjJqN1gtpYFe9DaEzFfmqpump). The token experienced a violent pump-and-dump within a single day on April 30, 2026, with price collapsing ~77% in 24 hours from an intraday high near $0.0000619 to the current ~$0.00000469. Total liquidity is reported at $0, FDV is a mere ~$4,694, and only 241 holders exist. The top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool address E44Kax...) controls 58.84% of supply, and the top 10 addresses collectively hold 80.68%. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 78.5% of 24h volume. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a classic pump-and-dump: dormant for 30 days with only 4 holders, sudden spike in activity, massive sell-off, and near-zero liquidity.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme price collapse of -77% in 24 hours following a sharp intraday pump
Top holder (likely PumpSwap LP) controls 58.84% of supply — extreme concentration
Token was dormant with only 4 holders for 30+ days before today's event
Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap
19 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; majority already in profit and have sold

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a confirmed downtrend across every recent hourly candle. From the intraday high of ~$0.0000619 (candle 6 high) the token has shed ~92% to the current ~$0.00000469. Volume is collapsing (from $286K → $633 → $87 per hour), sell pressure is 78.5%, and liquidity is effectively zero. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most probable near-term outcome.

Target low$0.000001
Target high$0.0000065
Support: $0.00000455 (candle 1 low), $0.00000000 (zero liquidity floor)
Resistance: $0.00000527 (candle 2 close), $0.00000931 (candle 4 close), $0.0000162 (candle 5 close)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

With $0 reported liquidity, a tiny holder base of 241, no verified contract, no description, and a token that was dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump-and-dump, the medium-term outlook is deeply bearish. Recovery would require a new wave of buyers and renewed social momentum, neither of which is evidenced in the data.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media campaign (Twitter presence noted but unverified)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally drawing attention to micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices (not currently observed)

Bullish factors

  • Price has already fallen ~92% from intraday high, limiting further percentage downside mathematically
  • 19 snipers still partially holding could provide a floor if they choose not to sell
  • Some snipers show realized PnL of +88% to +124%, suggesting early buyers captured value

Bearish factors

  • 78.5% sell pressure ($342.71K sell vs $94.12K buy volume in 24h)
  • Price down -77% in 24h and -12.2% in the last hour alone
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — any sell order faces extreme slippage
  • Top 10 holders control 80.68% of supply; distribution is dangerously concentrated
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 4 holders — classic pre-pump setup
  • Holder count already declining: -10 holders (-4.1%) in the last hour
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the token has near-zero liquidity, a micro FDV of ~$4,694, and extremely thin trading history (launched effectively today). Price discovery is unreliable in such illiquid conditions, and any single wallet can move the price dramatically.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles tell a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle 6 (15:00 UTC): price opened at $0.0000306, surged to a high of $0.0000608, and closed at the high — a strong bullish candle on massive volume ($286.5K). Candle 5 (16:00 UTC): opened at $0.0000619 (gap up), immediately reversed, closing at $0.0000162 on $120K volume — a massive bearish engulfing / shooting star. Candles 4–2 (17:00–19:00 UTC): successive lower highs and lower lows ($0.0000175 → $0.00000937 → $0.00000497), confirming a waterfall downtrend with rapidly declining volume ($11.6K → $3.6K → $633). Candle 1 (20:00 UTC): narrow-range doji-like candle ($0.00000465–$0.00000479) on minimal volume ($87), suggesting price exhaustion but no reversal signal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 79%

Both short- and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token printed a single-candle spike followed by five consecutive bearish candles with lower highs and lower lows. Volume is collapsing alongside price, confirming distribution rather than accumulation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000455 (candle 1 low)
Major$0.00000000 (effectively no liquidity floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000527 (candle 2 close / recent consolidation)
Major$0.00000938 (candle 4 close — prior breakdown level)

The most recent candle low of $0.00000455 is the only identifiable near-term support. Major resistance sits at the candle 4 close of ~$0.00000938, which was the last meaningful price level before the final leg down. The all-time intraday high of $0.0000619 is extremely distant resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle 5 top — classic pump reversal signal
  • Waterfall downtrend: five consecutive lower-high, lower-low hourly candles
  • Volume climax at candle 6 (pump candle $286.5K) followed by volume exhaustion
  • Narrow doji-like candle at candle 1 — price exhaustion but no confirmed reversal
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: parabolic spike followed by staircase collapse

Total holders241
24h Δ+237
7d Δ+237
30d Δ+237
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The explosive holder growth from 4 to 241 (+237, +98%) occurred simultaneously with the pump-and-dump event on April 30, 2026. This growth is entirely correlated with the price spike and is NOT organic — the token had exactly 4 holders for 30+ consecutive days prior. The -10 holder decline in the last hour (-4.1%) as price continues to fall suggests the growth trend is already reversing.

Historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant from March 31 through April 29, 2026, with a flat 4 holders and zero net change every single day. All 237 new holders (98% of current base) were acquired within the last 24 hours during the pump event. The holder count is now declining (-10 in the last hour), which is consistent with the post-pump sell-off and wallet exits. Growth is not accelerating — it is decelerating rapidly. The distribution breakdown (63 whales, 18 sharks, 86 dolphins, 48 fish, 9 octopus) suggests many of the new holders are small retail participants who bought during the pump.

Top 10 hold80.68%
Top 100 hold99.01%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

E44KaxHKa4hynJdSSKomRqhzAkpzbRaHB5oYzbqr2UmX

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — same as the trading pair identifier)

58.84%

J23qr98GjGJJqKq9CBEnyRhHbmkaVxtTJNNxKu597wsA

Individual whale / early holder

4.11%

5yeJyoSMQTYrte8Y4eoS5teu1XGsh22dRUrvNdvK9n4a

Individual whale / early holder

3.49%

8ngZ641ZhbfqiK2Che3UaqnE4wyfRnrBUzdT5KvQm9FN

Individual whale / early holder

3.06%

CUVsK7mjs6EvSsMtxUsPRANv173PuqvRRPHpKwFAzGmk

Individual whale / early holder

2.93%

Supply concentration is extreme. The #1 holder (E44Kax...) holds 58.84% of supply and is the PumpSwap liquidity pool/pair address — this is LP-locked supply but also means effective circulating supply is far smaller than total supply. The top 10 holders control 80.68% and the top 100 control 99.01%, leaving only ~1% of supply distributed beyond the top 100. Holders #2–#10 are unclassified individual wallets holding 4.11% down to 1.28% each. Given the pump-and-dump context and high sell pressure, the dominant sentiment among large holders is distributing. The 30-day dormancy with only 4 holders prior to launch suggests the original 4 holders were likely the project team or coordinated insiders.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$94,120
Sell$342,710
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers513
Unique sellers2,570

Market health is critically poor. On-chain liquidity is reported as $0.00, meaning any trade faces extreme slippage with no depth to absorb orders. Despite this, $436K+ in 24h volume was recorded — almost entirely sell-driven (78.5% sell pressure, $342.71K sells vs $94.12K buys). There are 5x more unique sellers (2,570) than buyers (513), and 3.5x more sell transactions (6,782) than buy transactions (1,954). The net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The FDV is reported as $0 in analytics (vs $4,694 in metadata), suggesting the liquidity pool may have been drained or is near-empty. Trading on a zero-liquidity pair is extremely dangerous — price impact on any meaningful order would be catastrophic.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,978,577.58 AALON
FDV$4,694.08

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.98M tokens (effectively 1 billion). The FDV is a micro-cap at ~$4,694. The token was created via PumpFun/PumpSwap (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically auto-renounces mint and freeze authority upon graduation, but this cannot be confirmed from the provided metadata — update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), and 'possible spam: false'. There is no description, no verified contract, and no on-chain program verification. The micro FDV and zero liquidity make this token effectively worthless at current market conditions. The 'pump' suffix in the mint address suggests PumpFun origin, where mint authority is typically burned, but this must be independently verified on-chain.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -77% in 24 hours and -92% from intraday high. The token swung from $0.0000097 to $0.0000619 and back to $0.00000469 within hours. Extreme volatility is confirmed by OHLC data.

Liquidity
high

On-chain liquidity is reported at $0.00. Any attempt to exit a position of meaningful size would face catastrophic slippage. The PumpSwap pair may have had its liquidity drained during the dump.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 80.68% of supply; top 100 control 99.01%. The #1 holder alone (likely the LP) holds 58.84%. The original 4 pre-launch holders likely represent insiders or team wallets.

SniperDump
high

19 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 13 of 19 are in profit (up to +124.4% realized PnL) and have been actively selling. High sell-through rate confirms snipers are distributing into retail buyers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. The PumpFun origin suggests mint authority may be burned, but this cannot be confirmed. Mutable is false, which reduces metadata manipulation risk.

Key risks

  • Zero on-chain liquidity — impossible to exit positions without extreme slippage
  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 80.68%, top 100 hold 99.01%
  • Classic pump-and-dump structure: 30+ days dormant with 4 holders, then single-day spike and collapse
  • Snipers predominantly in profit and actively selling into retail
  • 78.5% sell pressure with 5x more sellers than buyers
  • Holder count already declining (-10 in last hour) post-pump
  • Unverified contract, unknown authorities, no project description
  • Micro FDV of ~$4,694 with no fundamental value proposition identified

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as possible spam by on-chain analysis
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, suggesting some minimal community presence
  • Price has already fallen ~92% from peak, limiting further percentage loss mathematically
  • PumpFun-origin tokens typically have mint authority burned automatically
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics and pump-and-dump dynamics.

AALon (AALON) presents no credible investment thesis at this time. The token exhibits every hallmark of a coordinated pump-and-dump: 30+ days of dormancy with 4 holders, a single-day parabolic spike driven by snipers and momentum traders, followed by a -77% collapse with zero liquidity remaining. The only scenario for recovery would require a completely new wave of speculative interest with no fundamental catalyst.

Bull case (low)

A viral social media moment or influencer promotion reignites speculative interest, drawing new buyers into the token and temporarily restoring price momentum.

  • Viral Twitter/social campaign leveraging existing social links
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Coordinated re-accumulation by original insiders at depressed prices

Base case

Price stabilizes at current depressed levels (~$0.000003–$0.000005) with minimal trading activity. The token joins the long tail of abandoned PumpFun launches with a handful of holders and near-zero volume.

  • No new significant buying pressure emerges
  • Remaining holders hold small positions not worth selling at current prices
  • Liquidity remains effectively zero, preventing meaningful price discovery
  • No rug pull or additional coordinated sell-off from insiders

Bear case (high)

Liquidity remains at or near zero, remaining holders continue to exit, and the token becomes effectively untradeable. Price drifts to near-zero as the last holders abandon their positions.

  • Zero on-chain liquidity with no mechanism for recovery
  • Snipers and whales continuing to distribute remaining holdings
  • No fundamental value, no product, no description — pure speculative vehicle
  • Holder count already declining post-pump with no new buyer catalyst

GeneratedApr 30, 08:19 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-04-30T20:00 UTC (most recent hourly candle close)
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Moralis/Solana RPC)
  • PumpSwap OHLC price data (hourly candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 19 snipers)

Limitations

  • Total sniped USD amounts and current sniper balances are unknown — sniper concentration % cannot be precisely calculated
  • On-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — may reflect data lag or truly drained LP; exact LP state unverifiable from provided data
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed — update authority listed as 'unknown'
  • Contract is unverified — no audit or source code review possible
  • Only 6 hourly OHLC candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Historical holder data only shows daily granularity and covers 30 days, all of which (except today) show flat 4 holders
  • FDV discrepancy: metadata shows $4,694 while analytics shows $0.00 — likely reflects LP drain timing

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data presented reflects a single point in time and market conditions can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,978,577.58 AALON

Key Risks

Zero on-chain liquidity — impossible to exit positions without extreme slippage
Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 80.68%, top 100 hold 99.01%
Classic pump-and-dump structure: 30+ days dormant with 4 holders, then single-day spike and collapse
Snipers predominantly in profit and actively selling into retail

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of 19 identified snipers, 13 show positive realized PnL percentages ranging from +1.4% to +124.4%. The top earners (sniper 17: +124.4%, sniper 2: +108.9%, sniper 1: +88.1%) have already sold significant positions. Only 6 snipers are in the red (ranging from -32.8% to -44.6%). The high sell-through rate among profitable snipers confirms this was a coordinated early-entry/exit play. Remaining sniper balances are unknown, but the pattern strongly suggests most smart money has already exited.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

19 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact supply sniped is unknown (balances not provided), but sell activity is high — top snipers sold $1,679, $2,145, $1,858, $1,539, and $1,057 respectively

Early buyers (snipers) who entered in the first 1,000 blocks are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The majority of realized PnL values are positive, indicating snipers successfully front-ran retail buyers during the pump phase. This is a bearish signal for remaining holders.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for AALon (AALON)?

Price is in a confirmed downtrend across every recent hourly candle. From the intraday high of ~$0.0000619 (candle 6 high) the token has shed ~92% to the current ~$0.00000469. Volume is collapsing (from $286K → $633 → $87 per hour), sell pressure is 78.5%, and liquidity is effectively zero. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most probable near-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.0000065.

Is AALON a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics and pump-and-dump dynamics.

How are AALON holders trending?

AALon currently has 241 holders and is growing (24h: 237, 7d: 237, 30d: 237). Historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant from March 31 through April 29, 2026, with a flat 4 holders and zero net change every single day. All 237 new holders (98% of current base) were acquired within the last 24 hours during the pump event. The holder count is now declining (-10 in the last hour), which is consistent with the post-pump sell-off and wallet exits. Growth is not accelerating — it is decelerating rapidly. The distribution breakdown (63 whales, 18 sharks, 86 dolphins, 48 fish, 9 octopus) suggests many of the new holders are small retail participants who bought during the pump.

What does sniper activity look like for AALON?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding AALON?

Zero on-chain liquidity — impossible to exit positions without extreme slippage • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 80.68%, top 100 hold 99.01% • Classic pump-and-dump structure: 30+ days dormant with 4 holders, then single-day spike and collapse

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