Helium

Only Up Price Today & AI Analysis

Helium
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 10, 2026

CK82iGhXrKinaBXYGRKds3ZE6NYLFjvVnfAQvu3gwDAu

$0.000204

+394.26%

FDV $203,724

LiveContract:CK82iGhXrKinaBXYGRKds3ZE6NYLFjvVnfAQvu3gwDAuChain:SolanaHolders:575Market cap:$203,724

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Report snapshotas of Sep 10, 08:16 PM
FDV

$203,724

Liquidity

$19,719

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Only Up (Helium, mint CK82iGhXrKinaBXYGRKds3ZE6NYLFjvVnfAQvu3gwDAu) is a Solana token trading on a Raydium CPMM pool at $0.0002037, up 394% over 24h but already showing a sharp blow-off-top-and-fade pattern in its most recent hourly candles. Liquidity is extremely thin at $19.72K against ~$750K in 24h volume, and critical data — holder distribution, sniper activity, and mint/freeze/update authority status — is entirely unavailable, leaving major due-diligence gaps.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
394% 24h price surge followed by a >50% intrabar drawdown, indicating extreme volatility and possible pump-and-dump dynamics
Extremely shallow liquidity ($19.72K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
Complete absence of holder distribution, sniper, and authority-renouncement data, making risk assessment unusually uncertain
Near-even 24h buy/sell volume split (51.3%/48.7%) despite dramatic price action, suggesting speculative churn rather than clear directional conviction

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-24 hours

Momentum has already reversed from the blow-off top (high $0.000335) with the most recent candle closing well off its high and the 5m change flipping negative (-2.5%). Absent renewed volume, price likely continues to consolidate or fade toward the $0.000132 support.

Target low$0.000090
Target high$0.000280
Support: $0.000132, $0.0000048
Resistance: $0.000280, $0.000335

Medium term

neutral
3-7 days

With only two candles of data and no holder/sniper information, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. The 394% 24h gain shows the token can move dramatically in either direction; sustained direction will depend on whether liquidity deepens and genuine holder accumulation occurs versus a continued sell-off from early buyers.

Catalysts
  • Any increase in liquidity pool depth reducing slippage risk
  • Clarification of mint/freeze authority status (renouncement would reduce rug risk)
  • Emergence of holder/whale distribution data allowing better risk assessment
  • Continued buy/sell volume balance trends

Bullish factors

  • Slight net buy pressure over 24h (51.3% vs 48.7%)
  • More unique buyers (2,159) than sellers (1,887) in the 24h window
  • Active trading pair on Raydium CPMM with continuous liquidity, however thin

Bearish factors

  • Blow-off-top candle pattern with sharp rejection and ~93% volume decay
  • Immediate momentum has turned negative (-2.5% over 5m, reversing the prior +43.11% 1h move)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($19.72K) makes sustained upside difficult and downside moves severe
  • Unknown authority and holder data increase the risk of undisclosed dilution or concentrated dumping
Confidence: low. Only two hourly candles and no historical holder/sniper/authority data are available, severely limiting the ability to project price with confidence. The extreme volatility already observed (394% up, then >50% intrabar drop) makes any point prediction inherently unreliable.

Helium call history

Full track record →
Sep 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles were provided. Candle [1] (19:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000048 and spiked to a high of $0.000335 before closing at $0.000278 on volume of ~$852.9K — an extreme wick-and-close pattern indicative of a violent pump with some retracement, likely a very early-stage or newly-launched pool given the near-zero open price. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC) opened at $0.000278, made a marginal new high of $0.000280, then collapsed to a low of $0.000132 (a ~53% intrabar drawdown) before closing at $0.0002037, on much lower volume (~$55.7K). This is a classic 'blow-off top and fade' structure: a huge low-to-high range in candle 1 followed by a failed retest and sharp rejection in candle 2.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term (last hour) price action is bearish/corrective — the token has round-tripped from its intra-candle high near $0.000335 down to $0.0002037, and the most recent 5m change is -2.5%. Medium-term (24h) the token is still up a dramatic 394.26%, meaning the broader trend since inception of this data window remains sharply upward, but momentum is clearly decelerating and reversing on the shorter timeframe.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000132 (candle 2 low)
Major$0.0000048 (candle 1 open / near-zero origin)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000280 (candle 2 high)
Major$0.000335 (candle 1 high)

Price is currently trading at $0.0002037, sandwiched between immediate support at the $0.000132 candle-2 low and immediate resistance at the $0.000280 level tested twice (candle 1 close area and candle 2 high). A break below $0.000132 would open downside toward the near-origin levels of candle 1, while reclaiming $0.000280–$0.000335 would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top / wick rejection on candle 1 (high $0.000335 vs close $0.000278)
  • Failed retest and sharp rejection on candle 2 (high $0.000280 → low $0.000132, ~53% intrabar drop)
  • Sharp volume decay (~93%) between candle 1 and candle 2, suggesting exhausted buying momentum
  • Extremely high volatility consistent with a newly launched/thin-liquidity pool

Liquidity$19.72K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$385.00K
Sell$365.86K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,159
Unique sellers1,887

Total liquidity is extremely thin at just $19.72K against a 24h trading volume of roughly $750.86K combined (385K buy + 365.86K sell) — a volume/liquidity ratio exceeding 38x, which signals extreme slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade in either direction. Buy volume ($385.00K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($365.86K), producing a slight net inflow (51.3% buy pressure vs 48.7% sell pressure), and buyers (2,159) outnumber sellers (1,887) 24h-over-24h. However, with liquidity this shallow relative to volume, price is highly susceptible to violent swings from even modest order flow, as evidenced by the token's own candle history showing >90% intra-hour price collapses.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,979.76
FDV$203.72K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all reported as unknown in the provided metadata — verified contract status, mutability, and master edition flags are likewise unknown. With supply fixed near 1 billion tokens and FDV of $203.72K at current price, there is no confirmatory evidence that mint/freeze authorities have been renounced. This is a meaningful data gap: without confirmation of renounced authorities, the possibility of further token issuance or account freezing cannot be ruled out, and rug risk from authorities must be treated as unknown rather than assumed low.

Volatility
high

The token moved from a near-zero price to a high of $0.000335 and back down to $0.0002037 within two hourly candles, including a 394% 24h gain followed by an intrabar drawdown of over 53% — this is extreme, casino-like volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $19.72K versus ~$750K in 24h combined volume, meaning large trades will incur severe slippage and the pool could be drained or manipulated with relatively little capital.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale distribution data is available, which itself is a red flag; in the absence of confirmed decentralized distribution, concentration risk must be assumed high (unknown = worst-case treatment) for a token with this profile.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was available to quantify early-buyer concentration or PnL, so this risk cannot be ruled out; treated as medium given the extreme early pump pattern typical of sniper-driven launches, though this is inferential given the data gap.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority status are all listed as unknown. Without confirmation of renouncement, the possibility of further dilution or account freezing cannot be excluded.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($19.72K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • No holder distribution data available — concentration risk is unknown and cannot be verified as safe
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — dilution or freeze risk not ruled out
  • Extreme volatility with a 394% 24h gain followed by a >50% intrabar drawdown, consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dumping risk
  • Verified contract status and spam classification are both unknown, adding due-diligence uncertainty

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($385.00K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($365.86K), and buyers outnumber sellers (2,159 vs 1,887), suggesting net demand is not overwhelmingly negative at this snapshot
  • Token has an active Raydium CPMM pair with continuous trading, indicating it is not entirely illiquid/abandoned
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to withstand rapid, severe drawdowns. Given the missing holder/authority/sniper data, thorough independent due diligence is essential before any position is considered.

Only Up (Helium) is an extremely volatile, thinly-liquid Solana token that has posted a dramatic 394% 24h gain but is already showing signs of momentum exhaustion, with a >50% intrabar drawdown in the most recent hourly candle and volume collapsing ~93% between candles. Critical data gaps — no holder distribution, no sniper analysis, and unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — mean this thesis rests on incomplete information and should be treated with significant caution.

Bull case (low)

If buy-side momentum reasserts itself and price reclaims the $0.000280–$0.000335 resistance zone on rising volume, the token could see a renewed leg higher, particularly if net inflows (currently 51.3% buy vs 48.7% sell) continue to tilt further bullish and new buyers keep outpacing sellers as they did in the last 24h (2,159 vs 1,887).

  • Renewed volume expansion above the ~$852K seen in the initial pump candle
  • Sustained buyer-to-seller ratio advantage
  • Broader speculative/momentum-driven retail interest returning to the pair

Base case

Price likely continues to be highly volatile and range-bound between the $0.000132 support and $0.000280 resistance in the near term, with no clear sustained trend until liquidity conditions improve or a clear catalyst (holder growth, authority confirmation, or renewed volume) emerges.

  • Liquidity remains near current thin levels (~$19.72K)
  • No major new information surfaces on holder distribution or authority status in the near term
  • Trading activity continues to be dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders

Bear case (high)

Given the classic blow-off-top pattern (extreme wick, sharp rejection, and volume collapse), price could continue fading toward the $0.000132 immediate support and potentially much lower, especially given the paper-thin $19.72K liquidity pool that offers little cushion against sustained selling.

  • 93% volume decay between the two most recent candles signals fading interest
  • Already realized -2.5% momentum reversal in the most recent 5-minute window
  • Extremely shallow liquidity magnifies any sustained sell pressure
  • Unknown authority status raises the possibility of further supply dilution

GeneratedSep 10, 08:16 PM
Data freshnessData reflects the most recent hourly candle ending 2026-09-10T20:00:00.000Z; price and volume figures are current as of that timestamp.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (on-chain, partially unknown fields)
  • USD price and 24h price change data
  • OHLC hourly candle data (2 candles provided)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buys/sells, buyers/sellers)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution or holder growth data available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are populated with empty/default values per methodology
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available — smart money signals are largely unknown
  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles provided, severely limiting technical trend analysis depth
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verified contract status, and spam classification are all unknown
  • Extremely high volatility and thin liquidity make any price prediction inherently unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (holder data, sniper data, authority status). The token exhibits extremely high volatility and very thin liquidity, both of which are associated with elevated risk of loss. Users should conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,979.76

Key Risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($19.72K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
No holder distribution data available — concentration risk is unknown and cannot be verified as safe
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — dilution or freeze risk not ruled out
Extreme volatility with a 394% 24h gain followed by a >50% intrabar drawdown, consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token (sniper analysis endpoint returned empty). No conclusions can be drawn about early-buyer concentration, sniper PnL, or sell-through behavior.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper/early-buyer data was provided for this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Only Up (Helium)?

Momentum has already reversed from the blow-off top (high $0.000335) with the most recent candle closing well off its high and the 5m change flipping negative (-2.5%). Absent renewed volume, price likely continues to consolidate or fade toward the $0.000132 support. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000090 to $0.000280.

Is Helium a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to withstand rapid, severe drawdowns. Given the missing holder/authority/sniper data, thorough independent due diligence is essential before any position is considered.

What does sniper activity look like for Helium?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Helium?

Extremely thin liquidity ($19.72K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • No holder distribution data available — concentration risk is unknown and cannot be verified as safe • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — dilution or freeze risk not ruled out

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