ALEX

Alex's Lemonade Stand Price Today & AI Analysis

ALEXSolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.051899

FDV $1,898

Contract

Live
BwLqa4a7YiDZpM1KdhPFVpW4adEQ6LvTy9FsrRjMpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

51

Market cap

$1,898

More tokens on Solana

PAULPAULProblem Child$0.052112+0.0%MC $2.1KRTRRTRRewrite The Rules$0.054313+0.0%MC $4.2KSalaryCatSalaryCatSaka Doo Kading Badoong Ding$0.053314+1.0%MC $3.2KSENTINELSENTINELRed Sentinel$0.051635+0.0%MC $1.6KShakespearShakespearShakespeare Brah$0.051382+0.0%MC $1.4KSTONKSTONKSTONK$0.3161-4.3%MC $260.36M

Alex's Lemonade Stand: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 15:49 UTC

Holder addresses

187

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$8,885.76
How concentrated is Alex's Lemonade Stand ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 187 addresses (2026-05-03 15:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Alex's Lemonade Stand?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Alex's Lemonade Stand liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-03 15:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $8,885.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 15:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Ask Unhosted AI about ALEX

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of May 3, 03:49 PM UTC

FDV

$12,681

Liquidity

$8,885.76

Holders

187

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Alex's Lemonade Stand (ALEX) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of ~999.3M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$12,681. The token experienced an explosive 480%+ price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sharp spike in trading activity. However, this rally is accompanied by extreme sell pressure (81.9% sell volume), shallow liquidity ($8.89K), heavy whale concentration (top 10 hold 57.81%), and a sniper cohort that is overwhelmingly at a loss — suggesting a classic pump-and-dump dynamic. The token is unverified, has an unknown update authority, and exhibits all hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap speculative asset.

Key points

  • Explosive 480%+ 24h price gain from a near-zero base (~$0.0000013 to ~$0.0000127)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity at $8.89K total, creating severe slippage risk
  • Top holder (PumpSwap LP) controls 34.47% of supply
  • 81.9% of 24h volume is sell-side, indicating heavy distribution pressure
  • 20 identified snipers, 18 of 20 showing negative realized PnL — early buyers mostly at a loss
  • Holder base grew from 17 (dormant for ~1 month) to 187 in just 3 days, signaling a sudden viral event

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already retraced sharply from its intraday high (~$0.0000143) and is showing a -5.78% decline in the last hour. With 81.9% sell pressure, only $8.89K in liquidity, and a rapidly declining holder count (-18 in the last hour, -9.6%), the short-term trajectory is bearish. Any further selling by the top holders or snipers could collapse the price back toward pre-pump levels.

Target low

$0.0000016

Target high

$0.0000145

Support

$0.0000016 (pre-pump base, candles 6–10), $0.0000019 (candle 5 low)

Resistance

$0.0000127 (current price / recent high zone), $0.0000143 (candle 4 high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's history of 17 holders for nearly a full month (April 3–29) with zero activity, and the sudden pump driven by speculative trading rather than fundamentals, a sustained medium-term rally is unlikely without a genuine catalyst. The FDV of ~$12.7K offers little room for institutional interest. A reversion to pre-pump price levels ($0.0000016–$0.0000019) is the most probable medium-term outcome.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media campaign driving new retail buyers
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (extremely unlikely at this FDV)
  • Coordinated community effort to build utility or narrative

Bullish factors

  • 480%+ 24h price gain demonstrates speculative momentum
  • Holder count grew from 17 to 187 in ~3 days (+91% in 7d)
  • 6h price change of +668% shows intense short-term buying interest
  • Token is on PumpSwap, accessible to retail traders

Bearish factors

  • 81.9% sell volume vs 18.1% buy volume — heavy distribution
  • Only $8.89K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • Top 10 holders control 57.81% of supply
  • 18 of 20 snipers are at a realized loss, suggesting early buyers are underwater and may dump on any recovery
  • Holder count fell -18 in the last hour (-9.6%), showing rapid exit
  • Token was dormant for ~1 month (17 holders, zero activity Apr 3–29)
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$12.7K — extremely small market cap

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility, micro-cap size, meme token nature, missing sniper cost-basis data, and the token's very short active trading history (effectively 3 days). Price action in this range is highly susceptible to single-wallet manipulation.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
BwLqa4...pump
Total Supply
999,320,458.39

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk — $8.89K pool can be drained rapidly
  • Heavy sell pressure (81.9%) with 791 unique sellers vs 212 buyers in 24h
  • Token was dormant for 25+ days before this pump — no organic growth history
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 10 available hourly candles reveal a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles 10–7 (May 2, 20:00–May 3, 00:00) show near-flat price action around $0.0000016–$0.0000017 with negligible volume ($0.58–$9.31). Candle 6 (06:00) is a doji at the base with zero meaningful volume ($0.30). The explosive move begins at candle 5 (11:00) where volume surges to $97,085 — a 10,000x+ volume spike — with a high of $0.0000019 and close at $0.0000016, suggesting a failed breakout or early distribution. Candles 4–1 (12:00–15:00) show continued high volume ($1.7K–$15.3K) with prices oscillating between $0.0000016 and $0.0000143, forming a series of wide-range candles with no clear directional close. The OHLC data appears to have inverted H/L values (lows are numerically higher than highs in several candles), suggesting the data feed may have H/L swapped — the true high of the move appears to be ~$0.0000143 (candle 4) and the current price of ~$0.0000127 is below that peak.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is bearish following the pump peak at ~$0.0000143. The -5.78% 1h change and -18 holder drop in 1h confirm distribution. Medium-term is effectively sideways/undefined given the token was dormant for a month before this 3-day event.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

18%

Sell

82%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000019 (candle 5 low / first breakout level)

Major support

$0.0000016 (pre-pump base, candles 6–10)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000127 (current price / recent consolidation zone)

Major resistance

$0.0000143 (intraday high, candle 4)

The pre-pump base of ~$0.0000016–$0.0000017 represents the strongest support zone, as the token traded there for weeks. The intraday high of ~$0.0000143 is the key resistance. Current price of ~$0.0000127 sits in no-man's land between these levels with no established support structure.

Notable patterns

  • Massive volume spike (candle 5: $97K) followed by declining volume — classic pump exhaustion
  • Wide-range candles with alternating open/close suggesting high volatility and indecision
  • Price base at $0.0000016 held for ~1 month before the pump — strong historical support
  • Potential inverted H/L data in candles 1–4 (data anomaly noted)
  • No higher-high confirmation — price has not closed above the intraday high of $0.0000143

Liquidity

Liquidity

$8,885.76

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $8.89K against a 24h sell volume of $99.04K means the pool has been turned over more than 11 times in 24 hours — an extreme churn rate. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 657 buy transactions vs 2,119 sell transactions, and 212 unique buyers vs 791 unique sellers. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The FDV of $12.91K is barely above the liquidity pool value of $8.89K, meaning the entire market cap is essentially just the liquidity. Any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair: drSJbjMou8jwq6TWrzfeGeJrDhZcPCriTcwmAbBDKan), a decentralized venue with no market makers or order book depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,320,458.39

FDV

$12,681.19

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    480%+ 24h price gain from a near-zero base, with 668% 6h change and -5.78% 1h decline. Extreme volatility typical of micro-cap meme tokens. Price can collapse as fast as it rose.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $8.89K total liquidity. A single sell order of a few hundred dollars can move the price significantly. 24h sell volume of $99K has already stressed the pool repeatedly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk — $8.89K pool can be drained rapidly
  • Heavy sell pressure (81.9%) with 791 unique sellers vs 212 buyers in 24h
  • Token was dormant for 25+ days before this pump — no organic growth history
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Top 10 concentration at 57.81% enables whale manipulation
  • Holder count already declining (-18 in last hour) as pump fades
  • No confirmed utility, roadmap, or team identity
  • FDV of $12.7K offers no institutional interest floor

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (Mutable: false), reducing metadata rug risk
  • PumpSwap LP holds 34.47% as locked liquidity, not a sellable position
  • Token is not flagged as spam by data providers
  • Social links exist (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some community presence
  • Holder base grew from 17 to 187 in 3 days, showing genuine retail interest

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana.

ALEX is a micro-cap PumpFun meme token that experienced a speculative pump of 480%+ in 24 hours after 25+ days of dormancy. The token has no confirmed utility, an unverified contract, and extremely shallow liquidity. The overwhelming sell pressure (81.9%), declining holder count, and near-universal sniper losses paint a picture of a classic pump-and-dump cycle in its distribution phase. The only viable thesis is a short-term speculative trade with strict risk management.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social media momentum drives a second wave of retail buying, pushing the token to new highs above $0.0000143. The charity-adjacent name (Alex's Lemonade Stand) gains traction as a narrative, attracting community support and sustained buying pressure.

  • Sustained viral Twitter/social media campaign
  • Charity narrative resonates with broader crypto community
  • New whale accumulation at current levels
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.0000050–$0.0000090 range for a few days as speculative interest fades, then gradually drifts back toward $0.0000016–$0.0000030 over 1–2 weeks as the holder base shrinks back toward its pre-pump level.

  • No major new catalyst emerges
  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic
  • Liquidity pool remains intact
  • Token does not get listed on any CEX

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fully reverses as remaining holders exit. Price collapses back to pre-pump levels of $0.0000016–$0.0000019. Liquidity pool is drained, making exit impossible for late buyers. Token returns to dormancy.

  • 81.9% sell pressure continues or accelerates
  • Top whale holders (2–3% each) begin exiting
  • Declining holder count (-18 in 1h) accelerates
  • No new catalysts to sustain momentum
  • Sniper overhang from remaining underwater positions

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 03:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 15:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price data (USD)
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • 24h trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • Sniper cost basis (total sniped USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers, limiting precise PnL analysis
  • Sniper current balances are unknown for most wallets, preventing accurate sniper concentration calculation
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • OHLC candle data appears to have inverted High/Low values in candles 1–5, which may indicate a data feed anomaly
  • Only 10 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token has only been actively traded for ~3 days, providing very limited price history
  • No on-chain program verification data available
  • Social link content and community size not analyzed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Alex's Lemonade Stand ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 187 addresses (2026-05-03 15:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Alex's Lemonade Stand?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Alex's Lemonade Stand liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-03 15:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $8,885.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Alex's Lemonade Stand (ALEX)?

The token has already retraced sharply from its intraday high (~$0.0000143) and is showing a -5.78% decline in the last hour. With 81.9% sell pressure, only $8.89K in liquidity, and a rapidly declining holder count (-18 in the last hour, -9.6%), the short-term trajectory is bearish. Any further selling by the top holders or snipers could collapse the price back toward pre-pump levels. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000016 to $0.0000145.

Is ALEX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana.

What are the key risks of holding ALEX?

Extreme liquidity risk — $8.89K pool can be drained rapidly • Heavy sell pressure (81.9%) with 791 unique sellers vs 212 buyers in 24h • Token was dormant for 25+ days before this pump — no organic growth history

← Back to all predictions

Track ALEX