mogdog

mogdog Price Today & AI Analysis

mogdog
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 10, 2026

BmSjM7C7VRhznMMVzXidgyuE5ehvTHbRr1uGe2xFpump

$0.056106

+4.05%

FDV $6,102

LiveContract:BmSjM7C7VRhznMMVzXidgyuE5ehvTHbRr1uGe2xFpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,436Market cap:$6,102

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Ask Unhosted AI about mogdog

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 10, 02:19 PM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$46,602

Holders

841

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

mogdog (MOGDOG) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1 (indivisible, 0 decimals), currently trading at ~$0.000135 on PumpSwap. The token experienced a dramatic 292% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden explosion in holder count from 36 (dormant for ~30 days) to 841 in under 24 hours. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily at 72.8% of 24h volume ($223K sells vs $83K buys). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $46.6K against a $138.6K FDV. The token's metadata is mutable, update authority is unknown, and the contract is unverified — all significant red flags.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Total supply of 1 token with 0 decimals — an unusual tokenomic structure that makes standard concentration metrics meaningless
Token was completely dormant (36 holders, zero change) for the entire 30-day historical window before exploding +805 holders in 24h
Extreme sell pressure: 72.8% of 24h volume is sells, with 4,868 sell transactions vs 1,955 buys
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk is elevated
Launched via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) rather than a traditional launchpad announcement

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token just spiked +292% in 24h and +185% in the last hour alone, but sell pressure is overwhelming at 72.8% of volume. The 3 available hourly OHLC candles show highly erratic price action: candle [3] (12:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320, dropped to a low of $0.0000219, and closed at $0.0000285. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) recovered to close at $0.0000320. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320 but the H/L values appear inverted in the data (H < L), suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility. The current price of $0.000135 represents a massive gap above these candle levels, indicating the spike occurred very recently. With dominant sell pressure and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000180
Support: $0.000028 (candle [2] low), $0.000022 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.000135 (current spike high), $0.000180 (extension target)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The token was completely stagnant for 30+ days with only 36 holders before this pump. There is no evidence of organic community growth, utility, or sustained buying interest. The overwhelming sell pressure and shallow liquidity suggest this is a short-lived pump event. Without new catalysts, the token is likely to retrace significantly toward pre-pump levels.

Catalysts
  • Sustained Discord/social community growth from uxento server
  • New exchange listings or liquidity additions
  • Broader meme coin market rally on Solana

Bullish factors

  • Explosive holder growth: +805 holders (+96%) in 24 hours
  • +292% price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • 1,713 unique wallets active in 24h shows broad participation
  • 1,955 buy transactions in 24h indicates genuine buying interest from some participants

Bearish factors

  • 72.8% sell pressure ($223K sells vs $83K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • 4,868 sell transactions vs 1,955 buys — nearly 2.5x more sell events
  • Extremely shallow liquidity at $46.6K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 36 holders before this pump
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • Unverified contract
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Supply concentration data shows 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data artifact of the 0-decimal/supply-of-1 structure
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, one of which appears to have inverted H/L values. The token has a 0-decimal supply of 1, making standard price modeling unreliable. The 24h and 6h price change figures both show 0% in the analytics section despite a 292% 24h change reported elsewhere, suggesting data inconsistency. Confidence is low due to data anomalies and extreme volatility.

mogdog call history

Full track record →
Jul 10bearish
24h+38.2%
7d-91.3%
30d-95.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (12:00–14:00 UTC on 2026-07-10). Candle [3] (12:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000219, C=$0.0000285 — a bearish candle with a significant lower wick, suggesting selling pressure but some recovery. Candle [2] (13:00): O=$0.0000281, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000268, C=$0.0000320 — a bullish engulfing-style candle closing at the high, indicating buying recovery. Candle [1] (14:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000523, C=$0.0000281 — NOTE: H < L in the raw data, which is anomalous and likely a data error or reflects extreme intrabar volatility. The current price of $0.000135 is far above all three candle ranges, indicating the major pump occurred after 14:00 UTC and is not yet reflected in the available OHLC data.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

Short-term trend is sharply upward based on the 292% 24h price gain and +185% 1h gain. However, the medium-term picture (30-day historical) shows complete stagnation at 36 holders with no price movement for the entire period. The current uptrend is a sudden spike from a flat base, not a sustained trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000028 (candle [2] low / recent consolidation base)
Major$0.000022 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000135 (current price / recent spike high)
Major$0.000180 (estimated 1.3x extension of current spike)

The token has spiked far above its recent trading range of $0.000022–$0.000032. The pre-spike range now represents a major support zone. If the pump reverses, the $0.000028–$0.000032 zone is the first meaningful support. A full retracement to $0.000022 (candle [3] low) is plausible given the sell pressure. Resistance above current price is undefined by historical data.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top: price spiked +292% in 24h from a 30-day flat base — classic pump pattern
  • Bearish divergence: price at all-time high while sell transactions (4,868) vastly outnumber buys (1,955)
  • Candle [2] shows bullish engulfing characteristics within the pre-pump range
  • Candle [1] has anomalous H/L inversion in raw data — possible data error or extreme intrabar volatility
  • Volume spike accompanying price spike — consistent with coordinated pump activity

Total holders841
24h Δ+805
7d Δ+805
30d Δ+805
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred simultaneously in the last 24 hours after 30 days of complete stagnation. The token had exactly 36 holders with zero change every single day from 2026-06-10 through 2026-07-09. Then in a single 24-hour window, holders surged by +805 (+96%) to 841, coinciding with the +292% price pump. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump event attracting retail FOMO buyers rather than organic community growth.

The historical holder data is stark: 36 holders with absolutely zero change (0 net delta, 0% change) for every single day across the entire 30-day observation window (June 10 – July 9, 2026). This means the token was effectively dead or dormant for over a month. The sudden explosion to 841 holders (+805, +96%) in 24 hours is entirely driven by the current pump event. Acquisition data shows 832 of 841 holders acquired via swap (99%), with only 9 via transfer — suggesting minimal insider/team distribution and mostly retail swap buyers. Growth is accelerating from a zero baseline, but this is pump-driven, not organic.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available from the data source

0.00%

No top holder data is available for mogdog. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data artifact of the unusual tokenomic structure (total supply of 1 with 0 decimals) rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. With a supply of 1 indivisible token, standard holder concentration metrics are meaningless — one address must hold 100% of the supply at any given time, or the token is held in a liquidity pool. The distribution health is marked as very_concentrated by default given this structure. The 9 transfer-acquired holders (vs 832 swap-acquired) may represent early insiders or team wallets, but without top holder data this cannot be confirmed. Whale sentiment is marked mixed given the simultaneous buying (1,955 buy txns) and heavy selling (4,868 sell txns).

Liquidity$46,600
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$83,490
Sell$223,090
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers563
Unique sellers1,557

Liquidity is critically shallow at $46.6K on PumpSwap (pair: 2mkZkLecSeJjyAPenuRF9LZPpQEUrpRr6LAcNQh59V39). The 24h trading volume of ~$306.6K represents approximately 6.6x the total liquidity, indicating extreme turnover and high slippage risk for any meaningful position. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): $223.1K in sells vs $83.5K in buys, a ratio of 2.67:1. Unique sellers (1,557) outnumber unique buyers (563) by nearly 3:1. The FDV of $138.6K vs $46.6K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~33.6%, which is low and indicates the market cap is not well-supported by liquidity. Any large sell order will cause severe price impact given the shallow pool depth.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (0 decimals — indivisible)
FDV$138,580

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

mogdog has an extremely unusual tokenomic structure: a total supply of exactly 1 token with 0 decimal places, making it completely indivisible. This is highly atypical and makes standard tokenomic analysis (holder concentration, whale percentages, etc.) essentially meaningless. The FDV is $138.58K at current prices. The metadata is marked as MUTABLE (mutable: true), which means the token's metadata can be changed by the update authority — a significant rug risk factor. The update authority is listed as 'unknown', preventing assessment of whether it has been renounced. The contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be determined from the available data. The combination of mutable metadata, unknown authorities, and unverified contract represents elevated rug risk. The token was launched on PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump') and is described as launched via a Discord server.

Volatility
high

+292% in 24h, +185% in 1h — extreme volatility. The token spiked from a 30-day flat base. Blow-off top pattern with 72.8% sell pressure makes a sharp reversal highly probable.

Liquidity
high

Only $46.6K total liquidity on PumpSwap. 24h volume of $306.6K is 6.6x the liquidity pool. Any position of meaningful size will face severe slippage on entry and exit.

Concentration
high

No top holder data available. The supply of 1 indivisible token means standard concentration metrics are inapplicable. The 9 transfer-acquired holders may represent insiders. True concentration is unknown but structurally concerning.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data available. However, the 36 original holders who sat dormant for 30+ days are now sitting on 292% gains and are likely selling into the pump — evidenced by the 72.8% sell pressure. This functions similarly to a sniper dump scenario.

Authority
high

Metadata is mutable (mutable: true). Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm renouncement. Contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status unknown. These factors collectively represent significant rug pull risk.

Key risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed
  • Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification
  • Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($46.6K) — severe slippage risk for any trade
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump setup
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unusual supply structure (1 token, 0 decimals) makes standard risk metrics unreliable
  • 3:1 ratio of unique sellers to unique buyers in 24h

Mitigating factors

  • Rapid holder growth (+805 in 24h) shows genuine new market interest
  • 1,713 unique wallets active in 24h indicates broad participation, not just a few actors
  • Listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • Trading on PumpSwap provides some baseline of decentralized liquidity
  • 1,955 buy transactions show real demand exists, even if outweighed by sells
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, mutable metadata, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

mogdog is a high-risk meme token on Solana that has experienced a sudden pump after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum-based. The overwhelming sell pressure, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and mutable metadata make this a very high risk asset. Any thesis must account for the high probability of a sharp retracement.

Bull case (low)

The Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) successfully coordinates sustained buying pressure, new liquidity is added to the pool, and the token gains broader meme coin visibility on Solana. Holder count continues growing past 841, sell pressure normalizes, and the token establishes a new higher price floor.

  • Continued viral spread from the uxento Discord community
  • New liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool reducing slippage risk
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Holder count sustaining above 800 and continuing to grow organically
  • Sell pressure ratio improving toward balance (50/50)

Base case

The pump partially retraces as early holders take profits. Price stabilizes somewhere between the pre-pump range and current highs, likely in the $0.000040–$0.000080 range. Holder count stabilizes around 600–900 as some new buyers exit. The token persists as a low-liquidity meme coin with occasional volatility spikes.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes but remains above 50%
  • Some new buyers hold long-term, preventing a full collapse to pre-pump levels
  • Liquidity remains at or near current $46.6K level
  • No rug pull or metadata manipulation occurs
  • No major new catalysts emerge to drive sustained buying

Bear case (high)

The 36 original dormant holders continue distributing into pump-driven retail buying. Liquidity is insufficient to support the current price level. New buyers find no exit liquidity, price collapses back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000022–$0.000032 range). Mutable metadata is exploited.

  • 72.8% sell pressure and 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio continues or worsens
  • Shallow $46.6K liquidity cannot absorb continued sell pressure
  • Early holders (dormant 30+ days, now in 292% profit) continue distributing
  • No fundamental utility or sustainable community beyond initial pump
  • Mutable metadata risk — update authority could alter token parameters

GeneratedJul 10, 02:19 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers 12:00–14:00 UTC on 2026-07-10 (3 hourly candles only). Historical holder data covers 2026-06-10 through 2026-07-09 (daily). No sniper data available. No top holder data available.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana): mint BmSjM7C7VRhznMMVzXidgyuE5ehvTHbRr1uGe2xFpump
  • PumpSwap pair data: 2mkZkLecSeJjyAPenuRF9LZPpQEUrpRr6LAcNQh59V39
  • Moralis trading analytics API
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles available)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • 24h trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • One OHLC candle (14:00 UTC) has anomalous H/L inversion suggesting data error
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • No top holder data available — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Supply of 1 token with 0 decimals makes standard tokenomic metrics (concentration %, whale %) meaningless
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • 24h and 6h price change fields show 0% in analytics despite 292% reported elsewhere — data inconsistency noted
  • Supply concentration shows 0% for top 10/100 — likely a data artifact, not a real figure
  • Token is very new to active trading — limited price history for trend analysis
  • Discord community size and engagement cannot be verified from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (0 decimals — indivisible)

Key Risks

•Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed
•Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification
•Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders
•Critically shallow liquidity ($46.6K) — severe slippage risk for any trade

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper analysis data is available for mogdog. Smart money signals must be inferred from general trading analytics only. The 72.8% sell pressure ratio and 4,868 sell transactions vs 1,955 buys suggest that early holders (the original 36 who held through the dormant period) are likely distributing into the pump-driven buying. The sudden +805 holder increase in 24h, combined with dominant sell volume, is consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump pattern where early holders sell to new retail buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Early holders (the 36 who held during the 30-day dormant period) are likely in significant profit given the 292% price spike. Their sentiment appears to be distributing/selling based on the overwhelming sell volume data. The 9 transfer-acquired holders may represent team/insider wallets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for mogdog (mogdog)?

The token just spiked +292% in 24h and +185% in the last hour alone, but sell pressure is overwhelming at 72.8% of volume. The 3 available hourly OHLC candles show highly erratic price action: candle [3] (12:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320, dropped to a low of $0.0000219, and closed at $0.0000285. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) recovered to close at $0.0000320. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320 but the H/L values appear inverted in the data (H < L), suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility. The current price of $0.000135 represents a massive gap above these candle levels, indicating the spike occurred very recently. With dominant sell pressure and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000180.

Is mogdog a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, mutable metadata, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

How are mogdog holders trending?

mogdog currently has 841 holders and is growing (24h: 805, 7d: 805, 30d: 805). The historical holder data is stark: 36 holders with absolutely zero change (0 net delta, 0% change) for every single day across the entire 30-day observation window (June 10 – July 9, 2026). This means the token was effectively dead or dormant for over a month. The sudden explosion to 841 holders (+805, +96%) in 24 hours is entirely driven by the current pump event. Acquisition data shows 832 of 841 holders acquired via swap (99%), with only 9 via transfer — suggesting minimal insider/team distribution and mostly retail swap buyers. Growth is accelerating from a zero baseline, but this is pump-driven, not organic.

What does sniper activity look like for mogdog?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding mogdog?

Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed • Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification • Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders

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