mogdog

mogdog Price Today & AI Analysis

mogdogSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 10, 2026

Price

$0.055927

-4.23% 24h

Contract

Live
BmSjM7C7VRhznMMVzXidgyuE5ehvTHbRr1uGe2xFpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,317

Market cap

$5,922

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mogdog: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-10 14:19 UTC

Holder addresses

841

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,602.25
How concentrated is mogdog ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 841 addresses (2026-07-10 14:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling mogdog?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is mogdog liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-10 14:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,602.25. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-10 14:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 10, 02:19 PM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

$46,602.25

Holders

841

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

mogdog (MOGDOG) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1 (indivisible, 0 decimals), currently trading at ~$0.000135 on PumpSwap. The token experienced a dramatic 292% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden explosion in holder count from 36 (dormant for ~30 days) to 841 in under 24 hours. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily at 72.8% of 24h volume ($223K sells vs $83K buys). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $46.6K against a $138.6K FDV. The token's metadata is mutable, update authority is unknown, and the contract is unverified — all significant red flags.

Key points

  • Total supply of 1 token with 0 decimals — an unusual tokenomic structure that makes standard concentration metrics meaningless
  • Token was completely dormant (36 holders, zero change) for the entire 30-day historical window before exploding +805 holders in 24h
  • Extreme sell pressure: 72.8% of 24h volume is sells, with 4,868 sell transactions vs 1,955 buys
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk is elevated
  • Launched via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) rather than a traditional launchpad announcement

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token just spiked +292% in 24h and +185% in the last hour alone, but sell pressure is overwhelming at 72.8% of volume. The 3 available hourly OHLC candles show highly erratic price action: candle [3] (12:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320, dropped to a low of $0.0000219, and closed at $0.0000285. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) recovered to close at $0.0000320. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320 but the H/L values appear inverted in the data (H < L), suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility. The current price of $0.000135 represents a massive gap above these candle levels, indicating the spike occurred very recently. With dominant sell pressure and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000180

Support

$0.000028 (candle [2] low), $0.000022 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.000135 (current spike high), $0.000180 (extension target)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The token was completely stagnant for 30+ days with only 36 holders before this pump. There is no evidence of organic community growth, utility, or sustained buying interest. The overwhelming sell pressure and shallow liquidity suggest this is a short-lived pump event. Without new catalysts, the token is likely to retrace significantly toward pre-pump levels.

Catalysts

  • Sustained Discord/social community growth from uxento server
  • New exchange listings or liquidity additions
  • Broader meme coin market rally on Solana

Bullish factors

  • Explosive holder growth: +805 holders (+96%) in 24 hours
  • +292% price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • 1,713 unique wallets active in 24h shows broad participation
  • 1,955 buy transactions in 24h indicates genuine buying interest from some participants

Bearish factors

  • 72.8% sell pressure ($223K sells vs $83K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • 4,868 sell transactions vs 1,955 buys — nearly 2.5x more sell events
  • Extremely shallow liquidity at $46.6K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 36 holders before this pump
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • Unverified contract
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Supply concentration data shows 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data artifact of the 0-decimal/supply-of-1 structure

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, one of which appears to have inverted H/L values. The token has a 0-decimal supply of 1, making standard price modeling unreliable. The 24h and 6h price change figures both show 0% in the analytics section despite a 292% 24h change reported elsewhere, suggesting data inconsistency. Confidence is low due to data anomalies and extreme volatility.

mogdog call history

Full track record →

Jul 10bearish
24h+38.2%
7d-91.3%
30d-95.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
BmSjM7...pump
Total Supply
1 (0 decimals — indivisible)

Key Risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed
  • Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification
  • Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($46.6K) — severe slippage risk for any trade

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (12:00–14:00 UTC on 2026-07-10). Candle [3] (12:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000219, C=$0.0000285 — a bearish candle with a significant lower wick, suggesting selling pressure but some recovery. Candle [2] (13:00): O=$0.0000281, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000268, C=$0.0000320 — a bullish engulfing-style candle closing at the high, indicating buying recovery. Candle [1] (14:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000523, C=$0.0000281 — NOTE: H < L in the raw data, which is anomalous and likely a data error or reflects extreme intrabar volatility. The current price of $0.000135 is far above all three candle ranges, indicating the major pump occurred after 14:00 UTC and is not yet reflected in the available OHLC data.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is sharply upward based on the 292% 24h price gain and +185% 1h gain. However, the medium-term picture (30-day historical) shows complete stagnation at 36 holders with no price movement for the entire period. The current uptrend is a sudden spike from a flat base, not a sustained trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000028 (candle [2] low / recent consolidation base)

Major support

$0.000022 (candle [3] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000135 (current price / recent spike high)

Major resistance

$0.000180 (estimated 1.3x extension of current spike)

The token has spiked far above its recent trading range of $0.000022–$0.000032. The pre-spike range now represents a major support zone. If the pump reverses, the $0.000028–$0.000032 zone is the first meaningful support. A full retracement to $0.000022 (candle [3] low) is plausible given the sell pressure. Resistance above current price is undefined by historical data.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top: price spiked +292% in 24h from a 30-day flat base — classic pump pattern
  • Bearish divergence: price at all-time high while sell transactions (4,868) vastly outnumber buys (1,955)
  • Candle [2] shows bullish engulfing characteristics within the pre-pump range
  • Candle [1] has anomalous H/L inversion in raw data — possible data error or extreme intrabar volatility
  • Volume spike accompanying price spike — consistent with coordinated pump activity

Liquidity

Liquidity

$46,602.25

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $46.6K on PumpSwap (pair: 2mkZkLecSeJjyAPenuRF9LZPpQEUrpRr6LAcNQh59V39). The 24h trading volume of ~$306.6K represents approximately 6.6x the total liquidity, indicating extreme turnover and high slippage risk for any meaningful position. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): $223.1K in sells vs $83.5K in buys, a ratio of 2.67:1. Unique sellers (1,557) outnumber unique buyers (563) by nearly 3:1. The FDV of $138.6K vs $46.6K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~33.6%, which is low and indicates the market cap is not well-supported by liquidity. Any large sell order will cause severe price impact given the shallow pool depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (0 decimals — indivisible)

FDV

$138,580

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +292% in 24h, +185% in 1h — extreme volatility. The token spiked from a 30-day flat base. Blow-off top pattern with 72.8% sell pressure makes a sharp reversal highly probable.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $46.6K total liquidity on PumpSwap. 24h volume of $306.6K is 6.6x the liquidity pool. Any position of meaningful size will face severe slippage on entry and exit.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed
  • Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification
  • Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($46.6K) — severe slippage risk for any trade
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump setup
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unusual supply structure (1 token, 0 decimals) makes standard risk metrics unreliable
  • 3:1 ratio of unique sellers to unique buyers in 24h

Mitigating factors

  • Rapid holder growth (+805 in 24h) shows genuine new market interest
  • 1,713 unique wallets active in 24h indicates broad participation, not just a few actors
  • Listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • Trading on PumpSwap provides some baseline of decentralized liquidity
  • 1,955 buy transactions show real demand exists, even if outweighed by sells

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, mutable metadata, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

mogdog is a high-risk meme token on Solana that has experienced a sudden pump after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum-based. The overwhelming sell pressure, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, and mutable metadata make this a very high risk asset. Any thesis must account for the high probability of a sharp retracement.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) successfully coordinates sustained buying pressure, new liquidity is added to the pool, and the token gains broader meme coin visibility on Solana. Holder count continues growing past 841, sell pressure normalizes, and the token establishes a new higher price floor.

  • Continued viral spread from the uxento Discord community
  • New liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool reducing slippage risk
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Holder count sustaining above 800 and continuing to grow organically
  • Sell pressure ratio improving toward balance (50/50)

Base Case

The pump partially retraces as early holders take profits. Price stabilizes somewhere between the pre-pump range and current highs, likely in the $0.000040–$0.000080 range. Holder count stabilizes around 600–900 as some new buyers exit. The token persists as a low-liquidity meme coin with occasional volatility spikes.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes but remains above 50%
  • Some new buyers hold long-term, preventing a full collapse to pre-pump levels
  • Liquidity remains at or near current $46.6K level
  • No rug pull or metadata manipulation occurs
  • No major new catalysts emerge to drive sustained buying

Bear Case

High probability

The 36 original dormant holders continue distributing into pump-driven retail buying. Liquidity is insufficient to support the current price level. New buyers find no exit liquidity, price collapses back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000022–$0.000032 range). Mutable metadata is exploited.

  • 72.8% sell pressure and 3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio continues or worsens
  • Shallow $46.6K liquidity cannot absorb continued sell pressure
  • Early holders (dormant 30+ days, now in 292% profit) continue distributing
  • No fundamental utility or sustainable community beyond initial pump
  • Mutable metadata risk — update authority could alter token parameters

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 10, 02:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-10 14:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana): mint BmSjM7C7VRhznMMVzXidgyuE5ehvTHbRr1uGe2xFpump
  • PumpSwap pair data: 2mkZkLecSeJjyAPenuRF9LZPpQEUrpRr6LAcNQh59V39
  • Moralis trading analytics API
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles available)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • 24h trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • One OHLC candle (14:00 UTC) has anomalous H/L inversion suggesting data error
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • No top holder data available — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Supply of 1 token with 0 decimals makes standard tokenomic metrics (concentration %, whale %) meaningless
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • 24h and 6h price change fields show 0% in analytics despite 292% reported elsewhere — data inconsistency noted
  • Supply concentration shows 0% for top 10/100 — likely a data artifact, not a real figure
  • Token is very new to active trading — limited price history for trend analysis
  • Discord community size and engagement cannot be verified from on-chain data alone

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is mogdog ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 841 addresses (2026-07-10 14:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling mogdog?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is mogdog liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-10 14:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,602.25. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for mogdog (mogdog)?

The token just spiked +292% in 24h and +185% in the last hour alone, but sell pressure is overwhelming at 72.8% of volume. The 3 available hourly OHLC candles show highly erratic price action: candle [3] (12:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320, dropped to a low of $0.0000219, and closed at $0.0000285. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC) recovered to close at $0.0000320. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320 but the H/L values appear inverted in the data (H < L), suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility. The current price of $0.000135 represents a massive gap above these candle levels, indicating the spike occurred very recently. With dominant sell pressure and shallow liquidity, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000180.

Is mogdog a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authorities, mutable metadata, and dominant sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What are the key risks of holding mogdog?

Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — metadata or token parameters could be changed • Unverified contract — no independent audit or verification • Extreme sell pressure (72.8%) suggests active distribution by early holders

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