Stork

Aura Bird Price Today & AI Analysis

Stork
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 23, 2026

Bm4Czuq3X7BwgU429GiLb8wTHLNBiCzcysN8Gsqpump

$0.055448

-0.71%

FDV $5,230

LiveContract:Bm4Czuq3X7BwgU429GiLb8wTHLNBiCzcysN8GsqpumpChain:SolanaHolders:953Market cap:$5,230

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Report snapshotas of Jul 23, 01:17 AM
FDV

$240,100

Liquidity

$50,788

Holders

1,420

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Aura Bird (Stork) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: Bm4Czuq3X7BwgU429GiLb8wTHLNBiCzcysN8Gsqpump) with a total supply of ~960.5M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$172–240K. The token experienced an explosive 804% 24h price surge, almost entirely driven by a single massive candle on 2026-07-23T00:00Z. However, the trading analytics reveal deeply concerning sell-side dominance: 80.3% sell pressure, 7,528 sells vs 1,854 buys, and 1,857 sellers vs 474 buyers in 24h. Holder data shows the token was dormant at 43 holders for ~30 days before a sudden spike to 1,420 holders in the last 24h — a classic pump pattern. Top holder and whale concentration data are unavailable, and sniper data is absent, limiting full risk assessment. The token is unverified, has no description, and its update authority is unknown.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
804% 24h price pump from near-zero base (~$0.0000216 low to ~$0.000285 high in a single candle)
Token was completely dormant (43 holders, zero net change) for 30+ days before sudden activation
Extreme sell-side dominance: 80.3% sell pressure with 4x more sellers than buyers in 24h
Liquidity is very shallow at only $50.79K total, creating extreme slippage risk
No top holder data, no sniper data, unknown update authority — severe information gaps

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token just completed a massive pump candle (candle [2]: open $0.0000354, high $0.000285, close $0.000198 — a 700%+ intra-candle move). The follow-on candle [1] shows a lower high ($0.000215 vs $0.000285) and a lower close ($0.000180 vs $0.000198), confirming early distribution. With 80.3% sell pressure and 4x more sellers than buyers, the short-term outlook is bearish. Immediate support is the candle [1] low at ~$0.000170; a break below that targets the candle [2] open zone near $0.0000354.

Target low$0.000035
Target high$0.000215
Support: $0.000170 (candle [1] low), $0.000035 (candle [2] open / pre-pump base)
Resistance: $0.000215 (candle [1] high), $0.000285 (candle [2] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, meaningful utility, or community catalysts, the token is likely to retrace the majority of its pump gains. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a single-day explosion is a textbook pump-and-dump pattern. Sell pressure at 80.3% suggests early holders and insiders are distributing aggressively. Medium-term price is expected to trend back toward pre-pump levels unless new catalysts emerge.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new buyer inflow (currently only 474 unique buyers in 24h vs 1,857 sellers)
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or major aggregator
  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/website presence noted but unverified)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 804% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial speculative interest
  • Holder count surged from 43 to 1,420 (+1,377, +97%) in 24h, showing rapid community growth
  • 1,854 buy transactions in 24h indicates some genuine demand
  • Token is on PumpSwap with an active trading pair, providing accessibility
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some level of project presence

Bearish factors

  • 80.3% sell pressure — sellers vastly outnumber buyers (7,528 sells vs 1,854 buys)
  • 1,857 unique sellers vs only 474 unique buyers in 24h
  • Lower high and lower close in candle [1] vs candle [2] — early distribution signal
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days at 43 holders before sudden pump — classic manipulation pattern
  • Total liquidity only $50.79K — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • No top holder data available — cannot assess concentration or insider risk
  • Unverified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • FDV discrepancy between price feed ($240K) and analytics ($172K) suggests data inconsistency
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder and whale data are completely unavailable; (3) sniper data is absent; (4) the token's update authority is unknown; (5) extreme volatility (804% in 24h) makes price prediction highly unreliable. The bearish directional bias is grounded in the 80.3% sell pressure and lower-high/lower-close pattern in the most recent candle.

Stork call history

Full track record →
Jul 23bearish
24h-83.6%
7d-97.9%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (00:00Z): O=$0.0000354, H=$0.000285, L=$0.0000216, C=$0.000198 — an enormous bullish candle with a massive upper wick (high $0.000285 vs close $0.000198), indicating strong selling pressure at the top. Volume was massive at $493,454. Candle [1] (01:00Z): O=$0.000196, H=$0.000215, L=$0.000170, C=$0.000180 — a bearish candle (close below open) with a lower high ($0.000215 < $0.000285) and lower close ($0.000180 < $0.000198) vs the prior candle. Volume collapsed to $10,394 (98% drop). This two-candle sequence shows a classic 'pump and dump' initiation: explosive move followed by immediate distribution on dramatically lower volume.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 20%Sell 80%

Short-term trend is turning bearish: candle [1] printed a lower high and lower close vs candle [2], with volume collapsing 98%. The medium-term context is effectively sideways-to-bearish given the 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day spike. There is no established uptrend structure — this is a vertical pump, not a sustained trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000170 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000216 (candle [2] absolute low / pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000215 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.000285 (candle [2] all-time high)

The $0.000170 level (candle [1] low) is the first line of defense. A break below this opens a path to the pre-pump base around $0.0000216–$0.0000354. On the upside, $0.000215 (candle [1] high) is immediate resistance, with the all-time high of $0.000285 as major resistance. Given the volume collapse and sell dominance, resistance levels are more likely to hold than support.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing setup: candle [2] has a massive upper wick indicating rejection at highs
  • Lower high and lower close in candle [1] vs candle [2] — early downtrend initiation
  • Volume climax followed by 97.9% volume collapse — classic pump exhaustion signal
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by single-candle vertical spike — manipulation/pump pattern
  • Price 5m, 6h, and 24h changes all show 0% in analytics despite 804% 24h change — data lag/inconsistency noted

Total holders1,420
24h Δ+97
7d Δ+97
30d Δ+97
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is tightly correlated with the price pump: the token had exactly 43 holders for 30 consecutive days (June 23 – July 21) with zero net change, then jumped to 119 on July 22 (+76, +64%) and to 1,420 on July 23 (+1,301 intraday, +97% per analytics). This near-perfect correlation between the price spike and holder surge is consistent with a coordinated pump attracting retail FOMO buyers rather than organic community growth.

The historical holder data reveals an extremely unusual pattern: 43 holders with zero net change for 30 straight days (June 23 – July 21, 2026), followed by a sudden explosion to 1,420 holders coinciding with the 804% price pump. The 7d and 30d growth rates are identical to the 24h rate (97%), confirming that virtually all holder growth occurred in the last 24 hours. This is not organic growth — it is a FOMO-driven retail influx into a pump event. The 1h holder change of +691 (+49%) is particularly alarming, suggesting hundreds of new wallets entered in a single hour during the pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,393 of 1,420), consistent with DEX trading activity. Distribution data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus all = 0) and top holder concentration (top10=0%, top100=0%) are reported as zero, which likely indicates a data availability issue rather than genuine equal distribution.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available from the data source

0.00%

Top holder data is completely unavailable for this token — the data source returned no top 20 holders, and supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps rather than genuine equal distribution. This is a significant red flag: the inability to verify holder concentration means we cannot assess insider risk, team wallet activity, or potential dump vectors. Given the token's pump-and-dump behavioral profile (30-day dormancy, single-day explosion, 80.3% sell pressure), the actual distribution is likely highly concentrated among a small number of early wallets that are now distributing. The 'distributionHealth' is marked as 'very_concentrated' as a conservative risk assessment given the data gap and behavioral signals. Investors should treat the absence of holder data as a risk amplifier, not a neutral signal.

Liquidity$50,790
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$102,420
Sell$417,990
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers474
Unique sellers1,857

Liquidity is critically shallow at $50,790 total on a single PumpSwap pair (2pdKkSuzEmgweKaP1rhhxqX9TQCyC65dSb58u6sHFEbh). With a 24h sell volume of $417,990 — more than 8x the total liquidity pool — any significant sell order will cause extreme price impact and slippage. The net flow is strongly negative (outflow): $417.99K in sells vs $102.42K in buys, a net outflow of ~$315.57K in 24h. The ratio of unique sellers to buyers is 3.9:1 (1,857 vs 474), confirming broad distribution pressure. The FDV of $172.62K (per analytics) is only ~3.4x the total liquidity, which is extremely low and indicates the market cap is barely supported by the liquidity pool. This is a high-risk trading environment where large orders cannot be executed without significant price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply960,522,213.35
FDV$172,620 (analytics) / $240,100 (price feed)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~960.5M tokens with decimals of 6. The FDV shows a discrepancy between the price feed ($240,100) and the trading analytics ($172,620), likely due to price data lag or different calculation methods. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' — this is a significant concern as it means we cannot confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token metadata is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting the metadata itself cannot be changed. However, without confirmed authority renouncement, there remains theoretical risk of supply manipulation. The token is unverified, has no description, and was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address). PumpFun tokens typically have mint authority burned at launch, but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token has no master edition, consistent with a standard fungible token.

Volatility
high

804% price increase in 24h with a single explosive candle. The token moved from $0.0000216 to $0.000285 (13x) in one hour before retracing. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $50,790 on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $417,990 is 8x the total liquidity. Any meaningful exit will cause severe price impact. Slippage risk is extreme for orders above a few hundred dollars.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is completely unavailable, preventing concentration assessment. The 30-day dormancy at 43 holders strongly implies a highly concentrated early holder base that is now distributing. Distribution metrics (whales/sharks/dolphins) all report zero, indicating a data gap rather than healthy distribution.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but behavioral signals are strongly consistent with a coordinated pump: 30-day dormancy at 43 holders, single-day 804% pump, 80.3% sell pressure, and 3.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. Early holders are almost certainly in profit and distributing.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. While the token is marked 'mutable: false' (metadata cannot change), the inability to verify authority renouncement leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation. This is a critical unresolved risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (80.3%) with 3.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution in progress
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a textbook pump-and-dump pattern
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($50.79K) — cannot support meaningful exit without severe slippage
  • Top holder data completely unavailable — cannot assess concentration or insider dump risk
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority status — potential supply manipulation risk
  • Unverified contract with no project description
  • Volume collapsed 97.9% from candle [2] to candle [1] — pump momentum exhausted
  • FDV discrepancy between data sources suggests data quality issues

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'mutable: false', limiting metadata manipulation
  • Token is on PumpSwap (a legitimate DEX), providing some baseline legitimacy
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some project presence
  • 1,420 holders in 24h shows genuine retail interest, however speculative
  • PumpFun-launched tokens typically have mint authority burned at launch (unconfirmed here)
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The combination of pump-and-dump behavioral signals, extreme sell pressure, shallow liquidity, and missing critical data (top holders, authority status) makes this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable. Any position should be considered a pure speculation with a very high probability of total loss.

Aura Bird (Stork) presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump operation. The token was dormant for 30+ days before a single-day 804% price explosion driven overwhelmingly by sell-side activity (80.3% sell pressure). While the rapid holder growth (43 → 1,420 in 24h) shows viral retail interest, the structural signals — volume collapse, lower highs, 3.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, and shallow liquidity — strongly suggest the pump phase is over and distribution is underway. There is no identifiable fundamental value proposition, no project description, and critical on-chain data (top holders, authority status) is unavailable.

Bull case (low)

Viral memecoin momentum continues: the token gains traction on social media (Twitter/website), attracts a sustained wave of new buyers, and establishes itself as a community memecoin in the Solana ecosystem. Holder count continues growing beyond 1,420, buy pressure recovers above 50%, and the token consolidates above $0.000170 before attempting a second leg up.

  • Sustained viral social media campaign driving new buyer inflow
  • Holder count growth continuing beyond 1,420 with genuine community formation
  • Buy pressure recovering from 19.7% to above 50%
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Liquidity deepening through additional LP provision

Base case

The token experiences a significant retracement of 50-80% from current levels over the next 24-72 hours as sell pressure continues to dominate. Price stabilizes somewhere between $0.000050–$0.000100 as the most aggressive sellers exit. A small residual community of ~200-400 holders remains, with the token trading at low volumes on PumpSwap indefinitely.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes but remains above 50% for the near term
  • Some retail buyers hold their positions, preventing a complete collapse to pre-pump levels
  • Liquidity pool remains intact (no LP removal/rug)
  • No major new catalysts (exchange listing, viral moment) emerge in the next 7 days
  • Authority status is benign (mint authority burned at PumpFun launch)

Bear case (high)

The pump-and-dump completes: early holders finish distributing, retail buyers are left holding bags, and the price retraces 80-95% back toward pre-pump levels ($0.0000216–$0.0000354). Holder count peaks and begins declining as disappointed holders sell at a loss. The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

  • 80.3% sell pressure continues as early holders complete distribution
  • Volume collapse (97.9% drop in one hour) signals exhausted buying interest
  • Shallow liquidity ($50.79K) accelerates price decline as sellers exit
  • No fundamental value proposition to sustain price above pump levels
  • Pattern of 30-day dormancy suggests no active development or community prior to pump

GeneratedJul 23, 01:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-07-23T01:00Z. OHLC data covers only the last 2 hourly candles. Historical holder data covers 30 days daily.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis token metadata API (mint, supply, decimals, authority, mutability)
  • Moralis price API (USD price, 24h change)
  • Moralis OHLC candles API (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Moralis trading analytics API (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Moralis holder metrics API (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Moralis historical holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis top holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis sniper analysis API (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; no support/resistance history
  • Top 20 holder data completely unavailable — cannot assess concentration, insider wallets, or team holdings
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — cannot assess early buyer PnL or dump risk from snipers
  • Update/mint/freeze authority status is 'unknown' — cannot confirm rug risk from authorities
  • Supply distribution metrics (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all report zero — likely data gap
  • Top10 and top100 concentration both report 0% — almost certainly a data availability issue, not genuine equal distribution
  • FDV discrepancy between price feed ($240,100) and analytics ($172,620) — data inconsistency
  • Price change metrics (5m, 6h, 24h) show 0% in analytics despite 804% 24h change — possible data lag
  • No project description available — cannot assess fundamental value proposition
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot verify from available data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors, gaps, or delays. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes based on this report.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply960,522,213.35

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (80.3%) with 3.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution in progress
30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a textbook pump-and-dump pattern
Critically shallow liquidity ($50.79K) — cannot support meaningful exit without severe slippage
Top holder data completely unavailable — cannot assess concentration or insider dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals must be inferred from trading analytics alone. The 80.3% sell pressure (7,528 sells, 1,857 unique sellers) vs 19.7% buy pressure (1,854 buys, 474 unique buyers) strongly suggests that early holders and insiders are distributing aggressively into the pump. The token's 30-day dormancy at 43 holders before the sudden activation suggests a coordinated pump by a small group of early holders who are now selling into new retail buyers. The ratio of sellers to buyers (3.9:1) is a strong distribution signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results

Likely distributing — the token sat dormant at 43 holders for 30+ days, suggesting early holders have been waiting for a pump opportunity. The massive sell volume ($417.99K vs $102.42K buy volume) indicates early participants are exiting aggressively.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Aura Bird (Stork)?

The token just completed a massive pump candle (candle [2]: open $0.0000354, high $0.000285, close $0.000198 — a 700%+ intra-candle move). The follow-on candle [1] shows a lower high ($0.000215 vs $0.000285) and a lower close ($0.000180 vs $0.000198), confirming early distribution. With 80.3% sell pressure and 4x more sellers than buyers, the short-term outlook is bearish. Immediate support is the candle [1] low at ~$0.000170; a break below that targets the candle [2] open zone near $0.0000354. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000035 to $0.000215.

Is Stork a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The combination of pump-and-dump behavioral signals, extreme sell pressure, shallow liquidity, and missing critical data (top holders, authority status) makes this one of the highest-risk tokens analyzable. Any position should be considered a pure speculation with a very high probability of total loss.

How are Stork holders trending?

Aura Bird currently has 1,420 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). The historical holder data reveals an extremely unusual pattern: 43 holders with zero net change for 30 straight days (June 23 – July 21, 2026), followed by a sudden explosion to 1,420 holders coinciding with the 804% price pump. The 7d and 30d growth rates are identical to the 24h rate (97%), confirming that virtually all holder growth occurred in the last 24 hours. This is not organic growth — it is a FOMO-driven retail influx into a pump event. The 1h holder change of +691 (+49%) is particularly alarming, suggesting hundreds of new wallets entered in a single hour during the pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,393 of 1,420), consistent with DEX trading activity. Distribution data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus all = 0) and top holder concentration (top10=0%, top100=0%) are reported as zero, which likely indicates a data availability issue rather than genuine equal distribution.

What does sniper activity look like for Stork?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Stork?

Extreme sell pressure (80.3%) with 3.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution in progress • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a textbook pump-and-dump pattern • Critically shallow liquidity ($50.79K) — cannot support meaningful exit without severe slippage

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