memecoin

just a memecoin Price Today & AI Analysis

memecoinSolanaAnalysis as of May 17, 2026

Price

$0.000292

-9.23% 24h

Contract

Live
Bb4jR951QtVjeFAYFLBYXDSMKjbTDroCLPbFLdd7pump

Chain

Holders

7,634

Market cap

$292,205

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just a memecoin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-17 17:50 UTC

Holder addresses

6,316

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$376,276.47
How concentrated is just a memecoin ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,316 addresses (2026-05-17 17:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling just a memecoin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is just a memecoin liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-17 17:50 UTC, reported liquidity was $376,276.47. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-17 17:50 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 17, 05:50 PM UTC

FDV

$11,719,402

Liquidity

$376,276.47

Holders

6,316

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

just a memecoin (memecoin) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin with ~1B token supply, currently priced at $0.01172 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$13.15M. The token has a verified contract, is non-mutable, and trades on PumpSwap. Despite a 24h price gain of ~13.9%, intraday momentum is fading with a -2.66% 1h change and extreme sell pressure (94.4% of 24h volume). Holder base is stable at ~6,316 with modest net growth over 30 days. The top holder controls 19.87% of supply, representing meaningful concentration risk.

Key points

  • Verified, non-mutable contract with no mint/freeze authority concerns
  • Stable holder base of 6,316 with slow but consistent 30-day net growth
  • Trades on PumpSwap with $376K total liquidity
  • Top holder concentration at 19.87% is notable but remaining top-10 are relatively dispersed (~1% each)
  • Extreme 24h sell pressure (94.4%) despite positive 24h price change — divergence warrants caution

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has been declining from the intraday high of ~$0.01400 (candle [11]) and is currently at $0.01172. The 1h change is -2.66% and 6h change is -8.45%, indicating sustained selling pressure. With 94.4% of 24h volume being sells and only 401 buys vs 2,503 sells, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Immediate support sits near $0.01150 (recent candle low), with a potential retest of $0.01038–$0.01040 if selling accelerates.

Target low

$0.01038

Target high

$0.01345

Support

$0.01150, $0.01094, $0.01038

Resistance

$0.01272, $0.01345, $0.01400

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

Over the medium term, the token's fate depends on whether the memecoin narrative sustains community interest. Holder growth has been flat-to-slightly-positive over 30 days (+107 net, +1.70%), suggesting neither strong accumulation nor mass exodus. Without a clear catalyst, price is likely to oscillate in a range around current levels. A breakout above $0.0140 would be bullish; a breakdown below $0.0100 would signal further downside.

Catalysts

  • Renewed social media momentum on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation by top holders
  • Listing on a centralized exchange

Bullish factors

  • 24h price up +13.88% showing recent momentum
  • Verified, non-mutable contract reduces rug risk
  • Stable holder base with slow net growth over 30 days
  • Liquidity of $376K is reasonable for a memecoin at this market cap
  • Most snipers show positive or near-zero PnL, suggesting early buyers are not in distress

Bearish factors

  • 94.4% of 24h volume is sell volume ($586.63K sells vs $34.61K buys)
  • 2,503 sells vs only 401 buys in 24h — heavily lopsided
  • Price declining from intraday high of ~$0.01400 to $0.01172 (-16% from peak)
  • Top holder controls 19.87% of supply — single-entity dump risk
  • Holder count declined -4 in the last hour
  • No clear utility beyond memecoin speculation

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the highly speculative nature of the token, extreme sell/buy volume imbalance (94.4% sell pressure), limited on-chain fundamental data for snipers, and the inherent unpredictability of memecoin price action. The 24h gain of ~13.9% contrasts sharply with the intraday deterioration, making directional conviction difficult.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Bb4jR9...pump
Total Supply
999,998,740.14 (effectively 1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Single whale holding 19.87% of supply poses catastrophic dump risk
  • 94.4% sell pressure in 24h with 17:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution
  • No utility beyond memecoin speculation — value is entirely sentiment-driven
  • Mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed — potential hidden risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24-hour OHLC window (candles 18–1, oldest to newest), price action shows a clear two-phase structure. Phase 1 (candles 18–12, ~$0.0098–$0.0111): Low-volume consolidation in a tight range around $0.0098–$0.0110, with small-bodied candles and minimal volatility. Phase 2 (candles 11–1): A sharp breakout began at candle [11] (07:00 UTC) where price spiked from $0.01100 open to a high of $0.01421 on massive volume (71,980 USD), followed by sustained high-volume trading through candles [9]–[6] (144K, 91K, 15K, 108K USD respectively). The peak was reached at candle [11] high of $0.01421. Since then, price has been making lower highs and lower lows: candle [7] H:0.01400, candle [4] H:0.01357, candle [2] H:0.01281, candle [1] H:0.01232 — a clear descending pattern. Volume is also declining from the 144K peak, confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is a downtrend from the intraday high of $0.01421 (candle [11] at 07:00 UTC) with consecutive lower highs and lower lows over the last 6 candles. Medium-term (30-day holder data context) is sideways, as the token has been range-bound with no sustained directional move.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

6%

Sell

94%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01150 (candle [2] low: $0.01188, candle [1] low: $0.01151)

Major support

$0.01038 (candle [15] low / candle [14] open area)

Immediate resistance

$0.01272 (candle [4] close / candle [1] open)

Major resistance

$0.01400 (candle [7] high: $0.01400, candle [11] high: $0.01421)

The $0.01150 level is the nearest support, corresponding to recent candle lows. A break below this opens the door to $0.01038, the pre-breakout consolidation zone. On the upside, $0.01272 is near-term resistance (recent close cluster), and $0.01400 is the major resistance from the intraday spike high.

Notable patterns

  • Descending lower highs from candle [11] to candle [1]: $0.01421 → $0.01400 → $0.01357 → $0.01281 → $0.01232 — bearish lower-high sequence
  • High-volume breakout candle [11] with a long upper wick (O:0.01370, H:0.01421, C:0.01256) — shooting star / bearish reversal signal
  • Low-volume consolidation base (candles 18–13) followed by breakout — classic pump pattern
  • Volume declining as price declines — distribution phase
  • Candle [9] shows a strong bullish body (O:0.01255, C:0.01320) on highest volume (144K) but failed to hold gains — exhaustion signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$376,276.47

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $376.28K against an FDV of ~$13.15M gives a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 2.86%, which is moderate for a memecoin. The PumpSwap pair (EbpUDz8ekE1TavcRAsMAaeGZk3wJveESRxMiDmxUYXAY) is the sole trading venue identified. The 24h trading activity reveals a severe imbalance: $586.63K in sell volume vs only $34.61K in buy volume — a 17:1 sell-to-buy ratio. This is a major red flag indicating strong net outflow. Despite this, the price is up 13.88% on the day, which may reflect the timing of the morning pump (candles 7–11) occurring before the bulk of selling. With 526 unique sellers vs 139 unique buyers, the market is clearly in distribution mode. Slippage risk is medium — $376K liquidity can absorb moderate trades but large whale sells (e.g., the 19.87% holder) would cause significant price impact.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,998,740.14 (effectively 1 billion)

FDV

$13,150,000 (per trading analytics) / $11,719,402 (per metadata)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung from ~$0.0098 to $0.0142 (+45%) and back to $0.0117 within a single 24-hour period. The token exhibits extreme intraday volatility typical of low-cap memecoins. The 6h change of -8.45% following a 24h gain of +13.88% illustrates rapid reversals.

  • Liquiditymedium

    Total liquidity of $376.28K is moderate for a $13M FDV token. Large sells (particularly from the 19.87% top holder) could cause severe slippage. The token trades on a single DEX (PumpSwap), limiting exit options.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single whale holding 19.87% of supply poses catastrophic dump risk
  • 94.4% sell pressure in 24h with 17:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution
  • No utility beyond memecoin speculation — value is entirely sentiment-driven
  • Mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed — potential hidden risk
  • Single trading venue (PumpSwap) limits liquidity and exit options
  • Holder base is stagnant (+1.70% over 30 days) — no strong organic growth narrative

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract and 'possible spam: false' classification
  • Non-mutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces rug-via-metadata risk
  • Low sniper count (11) and modest sniper balances reduce early-buyer dump pressure
  • Stable holder base of 6,316 suggests existing community retention
  • Liquidity of $376K is reasonable for the market cap tier
  • Social presence across Telegram, Twitter, and website indicates active community management

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Position sizing should be minimal (1–3% of portfolio maximum). This is a pure speculative play with no fundamental value proposition.

just a memecoin (memecoin) is a straightforward Pump.fun memecoin with no utility beyond community speculation. The token has a verified, non-mutable contract and a stable holder base of ~6,316. The primary investment thesis is purely momentum/sentiment-driven. The critical risk is the 19.87% top holder concentration and the extreme 24h sell pressure (94.4%). The token is appropriate only as a small speculative position for risk-tolerant traders.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed social media virality drives a new wave of buyers, the 19.87% whale holds or accumulates further, and the broader Solana memecoin market enters a bull phase. Price could retest the $0.0140 intraday high and potentially push toward $0.020–$0.025 if momentum sustains.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana ecosystem memecoin season
  • Top whale holding or accumulating rather than selling
  • New exchange listing or influencer promotion
  • Community-driven buyback or burn event

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.009–$0.013 range over the next 7–30 days. The holder base remains stable around 6,200–6,400. Occasional price pumps driven by social media activity are followed by sell-offs. The token survives but does not achieve significant new highs without a major catalyst.

  • Top whale does not sell a large portion of holdings
  • Liquidity remains above $200K
  • Holder base stays above 6,000
  • No major negative events (rug, exploit, authority misuse)
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral to slightly positive

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 19.87% top holder begins distributing, sell pressure (already at 94.4%) overwhelms the thin buy side, and price breaks below the $0.0100 support level. Holder count declines as retail loses interest, potentially pushing price toward $0.005–$0.007.

  • Top whale (19.87%) initiating a large sell
  • Continued 94.4% sell pressure with no new buyer catalysts
  • Memecoin market fatigue or broader Solana market downturn
  • Holder count declining (already -4 in last hour)
  • No utility or development roadmap to sustain interest

Analysis details

Generated

May 17, 05:50 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-17 17:50 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: Bb4jR951QtVjeFAYFLBYXDSMKjbTDroCLPbFLdd7pump)
  • Real-time price feed (PumpSwap pair EbpUDz8ekE1TavcRAsMAaeGZk3wJveESRxMiDmxUYXAY)
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candles (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 11 snipers)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — marked unknown
  • Total USD sniped by each sniper is unknown, preventing precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Sniper token balances are partially unknown, limiting full PnL analysis
  • Update authority identity (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) not classified — could be team, deployer, or third party
  • Top holder (19.87%) classification is uncertain — could be team, early investor, or large retail whale
  • No order book depth data available for precise slippage modeling
  • Historical price data beyond 24 hours not provided, limiting medium-term technical analysis
  • Memecoin price action is inherently unpredictable and driven by social sentiment not captured in on-chain data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is just a memecoin ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,316 addresses (2026-05-17 17:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling just a memecoin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is just a memecoin liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-17 17:50 UTC, reported liquidity was $376,276.47. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for just a memecoin (memecoin)?

Price has been declining from the intraday high of ~$0.01400 (candle [11]) and is currently at $0.01172. The 1h change is -2.66% and 6h change is -8.45%, indicating sustained selling pressure. With 94.4% of 24h volume being sells and only 401 buys vs 2,503 sells, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. Immediate support sits near $0.01150 (recent candle low), with a potential retest of $0.01038–$0.01040 if selling accelerates. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.01038 to $0.01345.

Is memecoin a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Position sizing should be minimal (1–3% of portfolio maximum). This is a pure speculative play with no fundamental value proposition.

What are the key risks of holding memecoin?

Single whale holding 19.87% of supply poses catastrophic dump risk • 94.4% sell pressure in 24h with 17:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio indicates active distribution • No utility beyond memecoin speculation — value is entirely sentiment-driven

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