ETF

Elon Terminated Fund Price Today & AI Analysis

ETF
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

BFasgoab8cYxRs3sPXsFdBhV2Mu2rzLbBkveH9mtpump

$0.052295

-4.52%

FDV $2,283

LiveContract:BFasgoab8cYxRs3sPXsFdBhV2Mu2rzLbBkveH9mtpumpChain:SolanaHolders:200Market cap:$2,283

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Report snapshotas of Jul 21, 10:19 AM
FDV

$56,484

Liquidity

$37,072

Holders

1,007

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ETF (Elon Terminated Fund) is a meme token on Solana with mint BFasgoab8cYxRs3sPXsFdBhV2Mu2rzLbBkveH9mtpump, launched on PumpSwap. The token has a total supply of 1 billion, a fully diluted valuation of ~$56.5K, and a current price of ~$0.0000565. The data reveals a deeply anomalous picture: the historical holder series shows a flat 25 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period, then a sudden spike of +982 holders in the most recent hour — a pattern consistent with artificial inflation or a coordinated launch event. Sell pressure is extreme at 83.3% of 24h volume ($476.9K sells vs $95.7K buys). Liquidity is razor-thin at $37.07K against a $56.5K FDV. Top holder data is unavailable, supply concentration metrics report 0%, and no sniper data exists. The token carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme sell pressure: 83.3% of 24h volume is sells ($476.9K) vs only 16.7% buys ($95.7K)
Suspicious holder spike: flat 25 holders for 30 days, then +982 in a single hour — likely artificial or bot-driven
Razor-thin liquidity: only $37.07K total liquidity against $56.5K FDV creates extreme slippage risk
No top holder data available, supply concentration reported as 0% — data integrity is questionable
Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false — authority status partially unclear

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token just experienced a massive intra-hour swing: candle [2] (09:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000318, spiked to a high of $0.000153, then candle [1] (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001187 and collapsed to close at $0.0000565 — a ~53% drop from open within one hour. With 83.3% sell pressure, 11,379 sells vs 1,758 buys in 24h, and only $37.07K liquidity, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The 5-minute price change is already -2.8%.

Target low$0.000009 (recent candle low from 09:00 UTC)
Target high$0.000120 (candle [1] high)
Support: $0.0000565 (current close / candle [1] close), $0.0000221 (candle [1] low), $0.0000091 (candle [2] low — extreme downside)
Resistance: $0.0001187 (candle [1] open), $0.0001531 (candle [2] all-time high in data), $0.0001208 (candle [1] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Unless new catalysts emerge (viral social media, exchange listing, influencer promotion), the structural sell imbalance and thin liquidity make sustained recovery unlikely. The token's meme nature tied to a political/news theme (Elon Musk terminations) means any price action is entirely sentiment-driven and highly ephemeral.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media moment or Elon Musk-related news event driving speculative interest
  • New liquidity injection from a whale or market maker
  • Coordinated community buying campaign

Bullish factors

  • 38.5% 24h price gain despite heavy selling suggests some residual buying interest
  • Meme token narrative (Elon/ETF branding) could attract speculative retail flows
  • Low FDV of $56.5K means a small capital injection could move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • 83.3% sell pressure — sellers outnumber buyers 6.5:1 by transaction count (11,379 vs 1,758)
  • Price collapsed ~53% from open to close in candle [1] (10:00 UTC)
  • Only $37.07K liquidity — any meaningful sell order will crater the price
  • Holder spike of +982 in one hour after 30 days of stagnation is highly suspicious
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles are available, top holder data is missing, supply concentration shows 0% (likely a data gap), and the holder spike is anomalous. The extreme volatility (price ranged from $0.0000091 to $0.000153 within two hours) makes any price target highly uncertain.

ETF call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-94.2%
7d-96.6%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000318, H=$0.000153, L=$0.0000091, C=$0.0001171 — a massive bullish spike with a long lower wick, suggesting a pump from a very low base. Candle [1] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.0001187, H=$0.0001208, L=$0.0000221, C=$0.0000565 — opened near the prior close, briefly pushed higher, then collapsed sharply, closing near the lower quarter of the range. This is a classic 'shooting star' / bearish reversal candle following the pump. Volume dropped dramatically from 444,367 (candle [2]) to 114,638 (candle [1]), confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 17%Sell 83%

The two-candle sequence shows a pump-and-dump pattern: a sharp spike in candle [2] followed by a bearish reversal in candle [1]. The close at $0.0000565 is well below the candle [2] high of $0.000153, indicating a short-term downtrend is in progress. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the 30-day holder stagnation and the structural sell imbalance.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000565 (candle [1] close / current price)
Major$0.0000091 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001187 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area)
Major$0.000153 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

The current price sits at the candle [1] close, which is a fragile support. A break below $0.0000221 (candle [1] low) would open the path to the $0.0000091 extreme low. Resistance is stacked from $0.0001187 upward, representing the prior pump zone that sellers are likely defending.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish reversal candle at candle [1] (10:00 UTC) — classic pump exhaustion signal
  • Pump-and-dump sequence: candle [2] spike followed by candle [1] collapse
  • Long lower wick on candle [2] suggests initial capitulation buyers before the pump
  • Volume climax on candle [2] (444K) followed by sharp volume decline on candle [1] (114K) — distribution pattern
  • Price closed in the lower 25% of candle [1]'s range — strong bearish close

Total holders1,007
24h Δ+982
7d Δ+982
30d Δ+982
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was flat at 25 for the entire 30-day historical period (June 21 – July 20, 2026), then spiked by +982 (98% growth) in a single hour on July 21. This coincides with the price pump visible in the OHLC data. However, the correlation is suspicious: a genuine organic holder increase of this magnitude in one hour, after 30 days of zero growth, is highly anomalous. This pattern is more consistent with bot-driven wallet creation, airdrop farming, or data anomalies than genuine community growth.

The historical holder series shows an absolutely flat 25 holders from June 21 to July 20, 2026 — zero net change across 30 consecutive days. Then, in the most recent reporting period, holders jumped to 1,007 (+982, +98%). This is a red flag. Legitimate tokens do not sit dormant for 30 days then gain 982 holders in one hour. The acquisition breakdown (swap=1,001, transfer=6, airdrop=0) suggests these new holders entered via swap transactions, which could be consistent with a coordinated pump event or bot activity. The supply distribution metrics (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration of 0% are likely data gaps rather than genuine equal distribution.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders. The supply concentration metrics report top10=0% and top100=0%, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of equal distribution. With only 25 holders for 30 days and a sudden spike to 1,007, the actual distribution is likely highly concentrated among a small number of early wallets. The absence of whale/shark/dolphin classifications in the distribution breakdown further confirms the data is incomplete. Investors should treat the concentration risk as HIGH until verifiable on-chain holder data is available. The 1,001 swap-acquired holders from the recent event may represent thin, speculative positions rather than committed holders.

Liquidity$37,070
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$95,670
Sell$476,900
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers505
Unique sellers2,332

Liquidity is critically shallow at $37.07K against a $56.5K FDV — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~65.6%, but in absolute terms $37K is insufficient to absorb any meaningful sell pressure without catastrophic price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $476.9K in sells vs $95.7K in buys represents a net outflow of ~$381.2K. Unique sellers (2,332) outnumber unique buyers (505) by 4.6:1. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair 5PTBCwGfpaMdaqaXuLri8mkwBg5V6FDzLwuBm3iUW4cb), a permissionless AMM where liquidity can be withdrawn at any time. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme sell pressure, and a pump-and-dump price pattern makes this market extremely unhealthy for new entrants.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$56,484

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a fixed supply of 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of ~$56.5K. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically burns mint authority upon graduation — however, this cannot be verified from the data provided. The absence of a description, unverified contract status, and unknown authority fields all contribute to elevated tokenomics risk. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or utility information is available.

Volatility
high

Price ranged from $0.0000091 to $0.000153 within two hours — a ~16x swing. The token is in active pump-and-dump territory with extreme intra-hour volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $37.07K is critically thin. A single moderate sell order could move the price 10–50%+. Slippage risk is very high for any position above a few hundred dollars.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable and supply concentration metrics report 0% (likely a data gap). With only 25 holders for 30 days prior to today's event, actual concentration among early wallets is presumed to be very high.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available. Sniper concentration cannot be assessed. Risk is marked low only due to absence of data, not absence of risk — the overall sell pressure pattern suggests early participants are distributing.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. The token is mutable=false (positive), and the PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 83.3% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 4.6:1 by unique wallet count
  • Suspicious holder spike: +982 holders in one hour after 30 days of zero growth — likely artificial/bot-driven
  • Razor-thin liquidity ($37.07K) creates catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position
  • No top holder data — actual supply concentration is unknown and presumed high
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Pure meme token with no utility, no description, and no verified team — entirely sentiment-driven
  • Pump-and-dump price pattern clearly visible in the two available OHLC candles

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun-launched tokens typically have mint authority burned upon graduation
  • Low absolute FDV ($56.5K) limits maximum loss exposure in dollar terms
  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone deploying meaningful capital. The combination of extreme sell pressure, thin liquidity, anomalous holder data, and pump-and-dump price action places this in the highest risk category.

ETF (Elon Terminated Fund) is a high-risk meme token exhibiting multiple red flags: a pump-and-dump price pattern, extreme sell pressure (83.3%), razor-thin liquidity ($37.07K), anomalous holder data (flat 25 holders for 30 days then +982 in one hour), and missing top holder/concentration data. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and based on meme momentum rather than fundamentals.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum drives a second pump wave. If Elon Musk-related news or a social media campaign goes viral, the low FDV ($56.5K) means even a small capital injection could produce outsized percentage gains. A coordinated community push could temporarily overwhelm sell pressure.

  • Elon Musk-related news event or viral social media moment
  • Low FDV ($56.5K) amplifies price sensitivity to new capital inflows
  • Meme token narrative with recognizable branding (ETF ticker is memorable)

Base case

The token experiences a brief period of sideways-to-declining price action as the initial pump fades. Volume dries up, holders who entered during the spike gradually exit, and the price drifts toward the lower end of the recent range ($0.0000091–$0.0000565). The token eventually becomes dormant again unless a new catalyst emerges.

  • No major new catalyst emerges in the next 7 days
  • Sell pressure continues to dominate as pump participants exit
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying downside moves
  • The holder spike was largely speculative and those wallets will not hold long-term

Bear case (high)

Continued sell pressure exhausts remaining buyers, liquidity is withdrawn, and the price collapses to near zero. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-hour spike suggests this may be a coordinated pump-and-dump where insiders are already exiting.

  • 83.3% sell pressure with 11,379 sells vs 1,758 buys in 24h
  • Suspicious holder spike pattern consistent with bot activity or coordinated dump
  • Only $37.07K liquidity — any whale exit will crater the price
  • No utility, no verified team, no description — nothing to sustain long-term interest

GeneratedJul 21, 10:19 AM
Data freshnessOHLC data current to 2026-07-21T10:00 UTC. Holder data current to within 1 hour. Historical holder series covers June 21 – July 20, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC price feed (hourly candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — whale map and concentration analysis are severely limited
  • Supply concentration metrics report 0% for top10 and top100, which is almost certainly a data gap
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Holder spike of +982 in one hour is anomalous and may reflect data quality issues or bot activity
  • The token has no description or verified contract, limiting fundamental analysis
  • Only 2 unique buyers/sellers data points available for smart money analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed contains multiple anomalies and data gaps that significantly limit analytical confidence. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price action is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 83.3% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 4.6:1 by unique wallet count
Suspicious holder spike: +982 holders in one hour after 30 days of zero growth — likely artificial/bot-driven
Razor-thin liquidity ($37.07K) creates catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position
No top holder data — actual supply concentration is unknown and presumed high

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for ETF. Smart money signals must be inferred from trading analytics alone. The 24h data shows 2,332 unique sellers vs 505 unique buyers — a 4.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. With $476.9K in sell volume against only $95.7K in buy volume, early participants (if any) appear to be aggressively distributing. The suspicious holder spike (+982 in one hour after 30 days of stagnation at 25 holders) may indicate bot activity or a coordinated wash-trading event rather than genuine organic accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Cannot be determined from available data. The 30-day holder history shows only 25 holders existed prior to the current event, suggesting the token had minimal activity before today's spike. Those early 25 holders may be insiders or bots. The current sell-heavy activity suggests early participants are exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Elon Terminated Fund (ETF)?

The token just experienced a massive intra-hour swing: candle [2] (09:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000318, spiked to a high of $0.000153, then candle [1] (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001187 and collapsed to close at $0.0000565 — a ~53% drop from open within one hour. With 83.3% sell pressure, 11,379 sells vs 1,758 buys in 24h, and only $37.07K liquidity, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The 5-minute price change is already -2.8%. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000009 (recent candle low from 09:00 UTC) to $0.000120 (candle [1] high).

Is ETF a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone deploying meaningful capital. The combination of extreme sell pressure, thin liquidity, anomalous holder data, and pump-and-dump price action places this in the highest risk category.

How are ETF holders trending?

Elon Terminated Fund currently has 1,007 holders and is growing (24h: 982, 7d: 982, 30d: 982). The historical holder series shows an absolutely flat 25 holders from June 21 to July 20, 2026 — zero net change across 30 consecutive days. Then, in the most recent reporting period, holders jumped to 1,007 (+982, +98%). This is a red flag. Legitimate tokens do not sit dormant for 30 days then gain 982 holders in one hour. The acquisition breakdown (swap=1,001, transfer=6, airdrop=0) suggests these new holders entered via swap transactions, which could be consistent with a coordinated pump event or bot activity. The supply distribution metrics (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration of 0% are likely data gaps rather than genuine equal distribution.

What does sniper activity look like for ETF?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ETF?

Extreme sell pressure: 83.3% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 4.6:1 by unique wallet count • Suspicious holder spike: +982 holders in one hour after 30 days of zero growth — likely artificial/bot-driven • Razor-thin liquidity ($37.07K) creates catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position

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