PAINTWHALE

The Scribble Whale Price Prediction 2026

PAINTWHALE
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 1, 2026

BAAug4NhhwxjsCgSu4zT9GCkqQ8ggvw9JpNJKWYapump

$0.051649

FDV $1,649

LiveContract:BAAug4NhhwxjsCgSu4zT9GCkqQ8ggvw9JpNJKWYapumpChain:SolanaHolders:93Market cap:$1,649

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Report snapshotas of May 1, 09:17 AM
FDV

$144,460

Liquidity

$0

Holders

1,158

Snipers

49

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

PAINTWHALE (The Scribble Whale) is an extremely new Solana memecoin launched on PumpSwap (mint: BAAug4NhhwxjsCgSu4zT9GCkqQ8ggvw9JpNJKWYapump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$144K at the time of analysis. The token is less than 24 hours old — all 1,158 holders were acquired within the last hour, and the historical holder series shows zero holders prior to today. The price surged +204.8% in 24h but has already retraced ~19.5% in the last 5 minutes, indicating extreme early-stage volatility. Trading analytics show near-balanced buy/sell pressure ($485K vs $517K), with sell volume slightly dominant. The token has no verified contract, no social links, no description, and an unknown update authority — all hallmarks of a freshly launched PumpFun/PumpSwap memecoin.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h price gain of +204.8% from a very low base (~$0.000047 to ~$0.000144)
Extremely new token — all 1,158 holders onboarded within the last hour
20 snipers active in the first 1,000 blocks, majority in profit (15 of 20 show positive realized PnL)
Near-balanced but slightly sell-dominant volume ($517K sells vs $485K buys over 24h)
Mutable=false metadata flag provides minor tokenomics reassurance despite unknown update authority

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–6 hours

The token just posted a -19.5% drop in the last 5 minutes after a massive 204.8% run-up. The most recent hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a bearish rejection: opened at $0.000180, hit a low of $0.000100, and closed at $0.000144 — a clear bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure is slightly dominant (51.6%) and multiple snipers have already taken large profits (e.g., sniper CJdtJq sold $2,574 at +194.4% PnL). Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias unless fresh buy volume enters.

Target low$0.000047
Target high$0.000240
Support: $0.000100 (hourly candle low, 09:00 UTC), $0.000027 (hourly candle open low, 08:00 UTC)
Resistance: $0.000180 (hourly open/resistance, 09:00 UTC), $0.000240 (hourly high, 08:00 UTC)

Medium term

neutral
1–7 days

Medium-term trajectory depends entirely on whether organic community interest develops. With no social links, no description, and a fully diluted valuation of only ~$144K, the token could either fade to near-zero or experience another pump wave if viral attention materializes. The PumpSwap listing and near-zero liquidity reported ($0.00 total liquidity in analytics) are major concerns for sustained price discovery.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction (currently absent — no links provided)
  • Sustained buy volume above $500K/day maintaining upward pressure
  • Sniper sell-through completion clearing overhang
  • Broader Solana memecoin market momentum

Bullish factors

  • 204.8% price appreciation in 24h demonstrates strong initial demand
  • 4,770 buys vs 4,607 sells — more individual buy transactions than sell transactions
  • 2,921 unique buyers vs 2,587 unique sellers — more unique buyers
  • Several snipers still holding positions (e.g., sniper 3SkBCx holds $154 balance at +111.8% PnL)
  • Mutable=false reduces risk of metadata manipulation

Bearish factors

  • Price already down -19.5% in last 5 minutes — momentum reversing
  • Sell volume ($517K) exceeds buy volume ($485K) over 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extremely shallow market depth
  • 15 of 20 snipers are in profit and represent significant sell overhang
  • No social links, no description, no verified contract — zero fundamental backing
  • All 1,158 holders acquired in <1 hour — no organic holder base established
  • Unknown update authority introduces rug risk uncertainty
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0 in analytics (likely a data lag on PumpSwap), and all holder data was acquired within the last hour. There is insufficient price history to make reliable directional predictions.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (08:00 UTC): O=$0.0000274, H=$0.0002406, L=$0.0000274, C=$0.0001830 — a massive bullish candle with a 779% range from open to high, closing near the upper half. This represents the initial launch pump. Candle [1] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0001801, H=$0.0001801, L=$0.0001006, C=$0.0001445 — a bearish candle where the open equals the high (no upper wick), price fell to $0.0001006 low and closed at $0.0001445. This is a bearish pattern — the high equals the open, indicating immediate selling pressure from the open. The close is below the prior candle's close ($0.0001830), confirming a short-term downtrend beginning.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 48%Sell 52%

Short-term trend has turned bearish after the initial launch pump. The second hourly candle shows a lower close ($0.000144) vs the prior close ($0.000183), and the current 5-minute price is down another -19.5%. Medium-term trend is indeterminate given only 2 candles of history — classified as sideways pending more data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000100 (09:00 UTC candle low)
Major$0.000027 (08:00 UTC candle open — launch price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000180 (09:00 UTC candle open = high)
Major$0.000240 (08:00 UTC all-time high)

The $0.000100 level is the most recent tested support and represents a 30% discount from current price. The $0.000027 level is the token's launch price and represents maximum downside in a full capitulation. Resistance at $0.000180 is the level where sellers overwhelmed buyers in the most recent candle. The all-time high of $0.000240 is the ultimate resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star / open-equals-high pattern on 09:00 UTC candle
  • Volume climax on launch candle (08:00 UTC) followed by 51.8% volume decline — classic pump exhaustion
  • No upper wick on 09:00 candle — immediate selling from open indicates distribution
  • Price currently -19.5% in 5 minutes — momentum breakdown in progress
  • Launch candle range of 779% (low to high) is characteristic of PumpFun/PumpSwap launch mechanics

Total holders1,158
24h Δ+1170
7d Δ+1170
30d Δ+1170
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

All 1,158 holders were acquired within the last hour, coinciding with the token's launch pump of +204.8%. The holder growth is entirely a function of the initial launch event rather than organic accumulation over time. There is no historical baseline to measure acceleration — the token went from 0 to 1,158 holders in a single hour.

The historical holder series shows zero holders for all 30 days prior to today (2026-04-01 through 2026-04-30), confirming this token was launched on or around 2026-05-01. All 1,158 holders were acquired via swap (1,156 swap, 2 transfer, 0 airdrop), consistent with a PumpSwap launch. The holder count of 1,158 is modest for a token with $1M+ in 24h trading volume ($485K buys + $517K sells). The supply concentration data appears corrupted (top10 showing values >100% which is a data artifact), making concentration analysis unreliable from the percentage fields — raw balance analysis is used instead. Note: the +1,170 figure for 1h/24h/7d/30d growth likely reflects a data reporting artifact where the system counts all holders as acquired in the current period since the token is brand new.

Top 10 hold62.50%
Top 100 hold85.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

HzZR915K9yaF1KPkmWCBEQW2dPXNSXKh2qhnL1nPZLUD

DEX liquidity pool — this is the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data

10.83%

GKqtLVnFAUoak92oMwvCJo3FRJKAfcL7SgaMPfN8Cx16

Individual whale / early accumulator

2.06%

B5BTGQxu498PjvSHKhMnzvDTAVA3tm98TFrcwJN7W7KS

Individual whale / early accumulator

1.93%

5WqM15TkwTkJPXFfWtbmrRoazrMkYPE7MjQfAE1N4sHD

Individual whale / early accumulator

1.81%

2nHr19KiY8e5pmv1CQSaF3x3TxaX9tgktY1B2pJRNiT4

Individual whale / early accumulator

1.66%

The top holder (HzZR915K9yaF1KPkmWCBEQW2dPXNSXKh2qhnL1nPZLUD) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool pair address, holding ~10.83% of supply as pool reserves. Note: the percentage figures in the raw data appear to be corrupted (showing values like 10831738476799900%), so concentrations are estimated from raw balance figures relative to total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens. The top holder's balance of 108,317,384,767,999 appears to exceed total supply, suggesting a decimal/formatting issue in the source data — these figures should be treated with caution. Excluding the LP pool, the next 9 largest individual holders each hold approximately 1.2–2.1% of supply based on relative balance comparisons. The sniper data confirms early buyers are actively distributing profits, indicating a distributing whale sentiment overall.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported — likely data lag on PumpSwap)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$485,540
Sell$517,540
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,921
Unique sellers2,587

The trading analytics report $0.00 total liquidity, which is almost certainly a data lag or reporting issue for the PumpSwap pair (HzZR915K9yaF1KPkmWCBEQW2dPXNSXKh2qhnL1nPZLUD) rather than a literal absence of liquidity — the token is actively trading with $1M+ in 24h volume. However, even accounting for this, PumpSwap pools for newly launched tokens typically have very shallow liquidity depth, making large trades subject to significant slippage. Net flow is slightly negative (outflow): sell volume of $517.54K exceeds buy volume of $485.54K by ~$32K (51.6% sell pressure). Despite more unique buyers (2,921) than sellers (2,587), the higher average sell size suggests larger holders are distributing. The 24h volume of ~$1M on a $144K FDV token represents ~7x FDV in daily turnover — extremely high velocity consistent with speculative memecoin trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$144,459.77

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens with 6 decimals, standard for PumpFun/PumpSwap launches. The FDV of ~$144K is very small, meaning even modest buying pressure can move the price significantly. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this prevents a definitive assessment of mint/freeze authority status. The token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal indicating the metadata itself cannot be changed. However, without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities, there remains a theoretical risk of supply manipulation or account freezing. The token has no description, no social links, and is unverified — consistent with an anonymous PumpFun launch. The 'pump' suffix in the mint address confirms PumpFun origin.

Volatility
high

Price moved +204.8% in 24h and is already down -19.5% in 5 minutes. Only 2 hourly candles of price history exist. Intra-candle range of 779% on the launch candle. Extreme volatility is expected to continue.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported as $0.00 (likely data lag but indicative of shallow depth). PumpSwap pools for new tokens are notoriously thin. High slippage risk on any meaningful position size. 7x FDV daily turnover suggests speculative churn rather than deep liquidity.

Concentration
high

Raw balance data shows highly concentrated holdings among top wallets. The LP pool holds ~10.83% of supply. Multiple individual whales hold 1.2–2.1% each. Supply concentration percentage data is corrupted in source, but relative balances confirm concentration. 20 snipers with mostly profitable positions represent significant sell overhang.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers active in first 1,000 blocks. 15 of 20 are in profit (realized PnL ranging from +2.6% to +224.1%). Top snipers have already sold $2,574, $1,451, and $845 respectively. Several snipers still hold balances ($154, $51, $51, $35) representing residual dump risk. The high profit rates confirm snipers entered at very low prices and have strong incentive to continue selling.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement. Mutable=false is a positive signal for metadata immutability. No verified contract. Anonymous launch with no social presence. Medium rather than high because mutable=false provides partial reassurance.

Key risks

  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, social presence, or fundamental value proposition
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit with active distribution — sustained sell pressure
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector
  • Price already reversing (-19.5% in 5 min) after 204.8% pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No description, no social links, unverified contract — zero transparency
  • All 1,158 holders acquired in <1 hour — no organic holder base

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces manipulation risk for token metadata
  • More unique buyers (2,921) than sellers (2,587) suggests broad retail interest
  • More buy transactions (4,770) than sell transactions (4,607)
  • FDV of only $144K means small capital can sustain price if interest continues
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline trading infrastructure
  • Several snipers still holding (not fully dumped yet)
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand the extreme risks of sub-24-hour PumpFun tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain activity in real time. Completely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics.

PAINTWHALE is a brand-new, anonymous Solana memecoin with no fundamentals, no social presence, and no track record. The investment case is purely speculative — based entirely on momentum and the hope of a second pump wave. The token has already delivered a 204.8% gain from launch but is showing early signs of reversal. The risk/reward is extremely asymmetric and unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Bull case (low)

A second pump wave materializes as the token gains viral attention on Crypto Twitter/Telegram. Fresh retail buyers overwhelm sniper sell pressure, pushing price back toward or above the $0.000240 all-time high. Community forms organically around the 'Scribble Whale' theme, social links are added, and the token sustains a market cap above $500K.

  • Viral social media adoption of the 'Scribble Whale' / PAINTWHALE brand
  • Sustained daily buy volume exceeding $1M+
  • Sniper sell overhang fully absorbed by new buyers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode
  • Developer adds social links and community infrastructure

Base case

The token experiences continued high volatility over the next 24–48 hours, oscillating between $0.000080 and $0.000200 as snipers distribute and new retail buyers enter on dips. Without a catalyst (viral moment, influencer mention, community formation), the token gradually loses volume and price drifts toward $0.000050–$0.000080 within 7 days.

  • Sniper distribution is gradual rather than sudden
  • Some retail buyers continue to enter on dips, providing partial support
  • No major catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the next 48 hours
  • PumpSwap liquidity remains functional for trading

Bear case (high)

Sniper distribution continues, sell pressure overwhelms buyers, and the token retraces to near-launch prices ($0.000027–$0.000047). With no community, no social presence, and no utility, the token fades into obscurity within 24–72 hours. Liquidity dries up entirely, making exit impossible for late buyers.

  • Continued sniper profit-taking (15/20 snipers in profit, several still holding)
  • No social community or narrative to sustain interest
  • Sell volume already exceeding buy volume (51.6% sell pressure)
  • Price momentum already reversing (-19.5% in 5 minutes)
  • Zero liquidity depth making price collapse self-reinforcing

GeneratedMay 1, 09:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 09:00–09:30 UTC on 2026-05-01. Price data is current to within minutes. OHLC data covers only the last 2 hours. Holder history covers 30 days but shows zero holders prior to today.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: BAAug4NhhwxjsCgSu4zT9GCkqQ8ggvw9JpNJKWYapump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (HzZR915K9yaF1KPkmWCBEQW2dPXNSXKh2qhnL1nPZLUD)
  • OHLC hourly candle data (2 candles: 08:00–09:00 UTC 2026-05-01)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder balances
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data lag on PumpSwap, actual liquidity unknown
  • Sniper total USD sniped amounts are 'unknown' — concentration percentage is estimated
  • Top holder percentage figures in source data appear corrupted (values >100%) — raw balances used for estimation
  • Supply concentration distribution data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all show 0 — data unavailable
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Token is <24 hours old — all metrics reflect launch-day dynamics only
  • No social data, no on-chain program verification, no audit data available

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance (including the 204.8% 24h gain) is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, social presence, or fundamental value proposition
Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
20 snipers mostly in profit with active distribution — sustained sell pressure
Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential rug vector

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. Of the 20 snipers with known PnL data, 15 show positive realized PnL percentages ranging from +2.6% to +224.1%, 2 show negative PnL (-8.0% and -4.4%), and 3 show 0% (either no sells or no activity). The majority of snipers are in profit, with several having already sold large positions (CJdtJq: $2,574; HVvAsdwx: $1,451; 912iwi9: $845). Total sniper dollar amounts sniped are unknown. Some snipers still hold balances (3SkBCx: $154; DrnuP46: $51; BwhEQgg: $51; BeDgSHL: $35), representing residual sell overhang. The high profit rates among snipers confirm the token launched at very low prices and pumped significantly.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Top sniper by sold volume: CJdtJqoBkdS7fCceuyDpYNM5yaoFJSbpMDcNqRzJNcVL sold $2,574 at +194.4% PnL; HVvAsdwxheFwHHpYyS5wG7FtYMt5X4M4gGqUtAARmhsc sold $1,451 at +191.5% PnL; 912iwi9rQV6mc6RxGa77QDjcQjLgoKvEVahBFeqdpSgN sold $845 at +129.4% PnL

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and actively distributing. The high realized PnL percentages (median ~80-130%) indicate the token price has risen substantially from sniper entry points. Most snipers appear to be taking profits rather than holding, which creates sustained sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Scribble Whale (PAINTWHALE)?

The token just posted a -19.5% drop in the last 5 minutes after a massive 204.8% run-up. The most recent hourly candle (09:00 UTC) shows a bearish rejection: opened at $0.000180, hit a low of $0.000100, and closed at $0.000144 — a clear bearish engulfing/shooting-star structure. Sell pressure is slightly dominant (51.6%) and multiple snipers have already taken large profits (e.g., sniper CJdtJq sold $2,574 at +194.4% PnL). Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias unless fresh buy volume enters. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–6 hours), with a target range of $0.000047 to $0.000240.

Is PAINTWHALE a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand the extreme risks of sub-24-hour PumpFun tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, use strict position sizing (e.g., <0.1% of portfolio), and have the technical capability to monitor on-chain activity in real time. Completely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics.

How are PAINTWHALE holders trending?

The Scribble Whale currently has 1,158 holders and is growing (24h: 1170, 7d: 1170, 30d: 1170). The historical holder series shows zero holders for all 30 days prior to today (2026-04-01 through 2026-04-30), confirming this token was launched on or around 2026-05-01. All 1,158 holders were acquired via swap (1,156 swap, 2 transfer, 0 airdrop), consistent with a PumpSwap launch. The holder count of 1,158 is modest for a token with $1M+ in 24h trading volume ($485K buys + $517K sells). The supply concentration data appears corrupted (top10 showing values >100% which is a data artifact), making concentration analysis unreliable from the percentage fields — raw balance analysis is used instead. Note: the +1,170 figure for 1h/24h/7d/30d growth likely reflects a data reporting artifact where the system counts all holders as acquired in the current period since the token is brand new.

What does sniper activity look like for PAINTWHALE?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding PAINTWHALE?

Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, social presence, or fundamental value proposition • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk • 20 snipers mostly in profit with active distribution — sustained sell pressure

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