meritcoin

meritcoin Price Prediction 2026

meritcoin
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 30, 2026

AYauV9BsjAHcHJxGtPZcLHrE4bsLkV9t13k5PUCv7tBg

$0.052762

FDV $2,225

LiveContract:AYauV9BsjAHcHJxGtPZcLHrE4bsLkV9t13k5PUCv7tBgChain:SolanaHolders:88Market cap:$2,225

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Report snapshotas of Apr 30, 01:47 PM
FDV

$4,463

Liquidity

$0

Holders

151

Snipers

25

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

meritcoin (meritcoin) is a self-described memecoin on Solana with a mint address of AYauV9BsjAHcHJxGtPZcLHrE4bsLkV9t13k5PUCv7tBg. The token launched on or around April 29, 2026, experienced a violent pump-and-dump within its first 24 hours — surging from ~$0.000031 to a high of ~$0.0000388 before collapsing ~90% to ~$0.00000512. Total supply is ~871M tokens with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$4,463. The top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool address) controls 65.39% of supply, and the top 10 wallets collectively hold 87.18%. Sell pressure is extreme at 86.1% of 24h volume. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk, low-liquidity memecoin with concentrated supply and a completed dump cycle.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched ~April 29, 2026 — only ~1 day old at time of analysis
Suffered a ~90% price crash within 24 hours of launch
Top 10 holders control 87.18% of supply; top 100 control 99.99%
86.1% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($441K sells vs $71K buys)
Reported total liquidity is $0.00 — effectively illiquid
20 snipers active in first 1,000 blocks; majority in profit and have already sold

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has collapsed ~90% from its launch high of ~$0.0000388 to the current ~$0.00000512. With $0 reported liquidity, 86.1% sell pressure, and holders declining (-7 in the last hour), further downside or complete illiquidity is the most likely near-term outcome. The current price is sitting at the recent candle low, with no meaningful buy-side support visible.

Target low$0.000002
Target high$0.0000065
Support: $0.00000512 (current close / recent low), $0.000004039 (candle [3] low), $0.000002 (speculative floor)
Resistance: $0.0000065 (candle [2] close / recent intraday high), $0.0000079 (candle [2] high / candle [11] high), $0.0000088 (candle [16] high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token is a self-described memecoin with no utility, $0 liquidity, a completed dump cycle, and 99.99% supply held by top 100 wallets, sustained recovery is extremely unlikely without a new coordinated pump. The token existed for ~28 days with only 5 holders before launch day, suggesting pre-planned distribution. Medium-term outlook is bearish to zero.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media viral moment could trigger a secondary pump (low probability)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats temporarily
  • Whale accumulation at current lows (no evidence of this currently)

Bullish factors

  • 146 new holders acquired in 24h shows some community interest
  • 20 snipers, majority in profit, suggesting early buyers found value
  • Solana memecoin ecosystem can generate rapid viral momentum
  • Price is near multi-hour lows — potential for a dead-cat bounce

Bearish factors

  • Price down ~90% in 24 hours — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 86.1% sell pressure ($441K sells vs $71K buys)
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — effectively no exit liquidity
  • Top 10 holders control 87.18% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Holders declining: -7 in the last hour (-4.60%)
  • Token existed 28 days with only 5 holders before launch — pre-planned
  • FDV of only ~$4,463 — near-zero market cap
  • No verified contract, no utility described beyond 'memecoin'
Confidence: medium. The directional call (bearish) is high-confidence given the data: 90% crash, $0 liquidity, 86.1% sell pressure, and declining holders. However, memecoins are inherently unpredictable and can experience violent short-term pumps. Confidence is set to medium to account for memecoin irrationality.

Deep Analysis

The 21-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles [21] and [20] (Apr 29 16:00–17:00 UTC) show the token launching at ~$0.0000334 with a high of ~$0.0000388 on massive volume ($505K and $16.8K respectively). From candle [20] onward, price collapsed in a near-continuous downtrend from ~$0.0000388 to the current close of ~$0.00000512 — a decline of ~86% from the peak. Candles [19]–[11] show a consolidation range between ~$0.0000059 and ~$0.0000079 with moderate volume. Candles [10]–[3] show continued drift lower with declining volume. Candle [1] (most recent) closes at the session low of ~$0.00000512, confirming bearish momentum with no recovery attempt.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 14%Sell 86%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token made its all-time high in candle [21] (~$0.0000388) and has printed a series of lower highs and lower lows across all subsequent candles. There is no technical evidence of trend reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000512 (current close, candle [1] low)
Major$0.000004039 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000065 (candle [2] close)
Major$0.0000079 (candle [2] high / candle [11] high)

Immediate support is the current price of ~$0.00000512, which is also the candle [1] low. Below that, the next meaningful low is ~$0.000004039 from candle [3]. On the upside, immediate resistance sits at ~$0.0000065 (candle [2] close), with stronger resistance at ~$0.0000079 (candle [2] high). The all-time high of ~$0.0000388 is a distant ceiling that would require an extraordinary catalyst to approach.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump: Massive launch candle [21] ($505K volume) followed by immediate collapse
  • Series of lower highs and lower lows across all 19 post-launch candles
  • Candle [1] closes at its low with no lower wick — no buying absorption
  • Candle [20] shows a massive upper wick from $0.0000388 high to $0.0000070 close — classic distribution candle
  • Volume exhaustion: declining volume on each successive candle confirms distribution is winding down
  • Candles [6] and [7] show near-doji behavior with minimal range — temporary equilibrium before further decline

Total holders151
24h Δ+146
7d Δ+146
30d Δ+146
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price performance in this case. The 146 new holders acquired on April 29 coincided with the pump phase, but the price has since crashed ~90%. The most recent 1-hour data shows -7 holders (-4.60%), suggesting holders are now exiting as price declines. Growth is not accelerating — it was a one-day spike driven by the launch event.

The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token had exactly 5 holders for the entire 28-day period from April 1 to April 28, 2026 — consistent with a pre-launch holding period by insiders/team. On April 29, holders exploded from 5 to 176 (+171, +97%), coinciding with the token's public launch and pump. Current holders stand at 151, down from the 176 peak, with -7 in the last hour. The 30d, 7d, and 24h growth figures are all identical (+146) because all growth occurred in a single day. This is not organic holder accumulation — it is a launch-day spike now reversing.

Top 10 hold87.18%
Top 100 hold99.99%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

3rCyQ5vQhGZ4skf75UFh78g4ho8bSYAvsDWr7JpdC2Cd

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address in metadata)

65.39%

286CHN57Km41GsAnDv866WKd6YB6HPSjFgF4rGDJTRLf

Individual whale / early insider

4.33%

ungrcgkKfk9wYRsVJxGxg1F1xAPpneqpbazsrCTXYvn

Individual whale / early insider

3.66%

HBYfbfZUJEU3d17gmGLVuiJr6hNyDhhkpDeCYKxGVKRX

Individual whale / early insider

2.61%

HyaYcijb9dg4eHpnZAQK3y8fkWEm11qmiKebTYTkFvnD

Individual whale / early insider

2.13%

Supply concentration is extreme. The #1 holder (3rCyQ5vQhGZ4skf75UFh78g4ho8bSYAvsDWr7JpdC2Cd) holds 65.39% of supply and matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the token metadata — this is the DEX liquidity pool, not a true whale. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders collectively control ~21.79% of supply, with individual positions ranging from 1.31% to 4.33%. The top 100 wallets hold 99.99% of supply, leaving virtually nothing in the hands of smaller retail participants. The overall sentiment is distributing, consistent with the 86.1% sell pressure and declining holder count.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$71,070
Sell$441,180
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers279
Unique sellers2,304

Market health is critically poor. Reported total liquidity is $0.00, meaning there is effectively no exit liquidity for current holders. The 24h trading data shows 6,585 sell transactions vs 1,038 buy transactions — a ratio of ~6.3:1. Unique sellers (2,304) vastly outnumber unique buyers (279) — a ratio of ~8.3:1. Net sell volume is $441,180 vs buy volume of $71,070, representing an 86.1% sell dominance. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair 3rCyQ5vQhGZ4skf75UFh78g4ho8bSYAvsDWr7JpdC2Cd), but with $0 reported liquidity, any attempt to sell meaningful size would face extreme slippage or complete failure. This is a textbook post-dump illiquid state.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply871,021,822.412055
FDV$4,463.07

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~871M tokens with 6 decimals. The FDV of ~$4,463 is extremely low, reflecting the post-dump price collapse. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data — both are marked unknown. The token is self-described as a 'memecoin' with no stated utility. The unverified contract and unknown authority status represent meaningful rug risk that cannot be dismissed. The token had only 5 holders for 28 days before launch, strongly suggesting pre-planned insider accumulation prior to public distribution.

Volatility
high

Price dropped ~90% within 24 hours of launch, from a high of ~$0.0000388 to ~$0.00000512. Hourly candles show continued downward momentum with no stabilization.

Liquidity
high

Reported total liquidity is $0.00. The PumpSwap pool holds 65.39% of supply but with no USD liquidity depth, exits are effectively impossible at any meaningful size without catastrophic slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 87.18% of supply; top 100 control 99.99%. Excluding the LP pool, individual whales hold 4.33%, 3.66%, 2.61%, etc. — any coordinated sell from these wallets would be devastating.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 13 of 20 show positive realized PnL, and top sellers have already extracted $4,222, $3,941, and $1,786. Unknown remaining balances mean residual dump risk persists.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some protection against metadata changes, but the inability to confirm renounced authorities is a meaningful risk factor.

Key risks

  • Complete loss of capital — token may go to zero given $0 liquidity and 90% crash
  • Extreme supply concentration (87.18% top 10) enables whale-driven price manipulation
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional token minting or account freezing
  • Sniper residual holdings could trigger further sell pressure
  • No verified contract and no stated utility beyond 'memecoin'
  • Token had only 5 holders for 28 days pre-launch — strong evidence of coordinated insider pre-positioning
  • Holder count already declining (-7 in last hour) post-launch

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Some snipers show negative PnL, suggesting not all early buyers profited
  • 146 new holders in 24h shows some genuine community interest
  • Token is on PumpSwap, a legitimate Solana DEX
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable at current price levels given the post-dump state.

meritcoin is a classic Solana memecoin launch that followed a textbook pump-and-dump trajectory. Insiders held 5 wallets for 28 days, launched publicly on April 29, pumped the price ~17x from ~$0.0000031 to ~$0.0000388, then distributed to 146+ retail buyers who are now sitting on ~90% losses. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no liquidity. The only viable bull case is a secondary viral pump, which is low-probability.

Bull case (low)

A secondary viral pump driven by social media momentum (Twitter/X) attracts new buyers, pushing price back toward the $0.0000079–$0.0000088 range (50–70% recovery from current levels). Remaining whale holders coordinate a new pump cycle.

  • Viral social media moment on Twitter (linked in metadata)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • New whale accumulation at current lows
  • Community-driven narrative around the 'meritcoin' brand

Base case

Price continues to bleed slowly toward the $0.000003–$0.000004 range over the next 24–72 hours as remaining sellers exhaust themselves. The token stabilizes at a near-zero price with minimal trading activity and a small residual holder base of 50–100 wallets.

  • No new viral catalyst emerges
  • Remaining snipers gradually sell residual holdings
  • Liquidity remains near zero, preventing large exits
  • Holder count continues to decline at current pace

Bear case (high)

Remaining liquidity drains completely, the token becomes untradeable, and price approaches zero. Remaining whale holders dump residual positions, and the 151 current holders are unable to exit.

  • $0.00 reported liquidity makes exits impossible at scale
  • 86.1% sell pressure with 8.3:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Declining holder count (-7 in last hour)
  • Snipers with unknown remaining balances may continue selling
  • No utility or development roadmap to sustain interest

GeneratedApr 30, 01:47 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-04-30T13:00:00Z (most recent candle close). Holder metrics and trading analytics may have a short lag.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: AYauV9BsjAHcHJxGtPZcLHrE4bsLkV9t13k5PUCv7tBg)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (3rCyQ5vQhGZ4skf75UFh78g4ho8bSYAvsDWr7JpdC2Cd)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (21 candles, Apr 29–30 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Total sniped USD amounts and sniper current balances are unknown — sniper concentration percent is estimated
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot assess full rug risk
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may reflect data lag or actual pool depletion
  • Token is only ~1 day old — extremely limited price history for technical analysis
  • No smart contract audit data available
  • Social sentiment data not quantified beyond platform links

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply871,021,822.412055

Key Risks

Complete loss of capital — token may go to zero given $0 liquidity and 90% crash
Extreme supply concentration (87.18% top 10) enables whale-driven price manipulation
Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional token minting or account freezing
Sniper residual holdings could trigger further sell pressure

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. Of the 20 snipers with known PnL data, 13 show positive realized PnL percentages (ranging from +4.3% to +145.2%) and 7 show negative PnL (ranging from -22% to -53.8%). The majority of snipers are in profit and have already sold significant portions of their positions — the top 3 sellers by USD volume (tefsDGYz: $4,222; STorreSu8: $3,941; 6XzmFvaN: $1,786) all show positive PnL. This confirms that smart money entered early, pumped the price, and has largely exited. Remaining sniper balances are unknown, creating residual dump risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.30%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are unknown; however, top sellers include STorreSu8 ($3,941 sold, +74.9% PnL), tefsDGYz ($4,222 sold, +52.1% PnL), and 6XzmFvaN ($1,786 sold, +24.4% PnL), indicating significant early exit activity.

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The high sell-through rate and positive PnL for the majority of snipers indicates the pump phase benefited insiders who have now largely distributed. Remaining holders are likely retail buyers who entered during or after the pump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for meritcoin (meritcoin)?

Price has collapsed ~90% from its launch high of ~$0.0000388 to the current ~$0.00000512. With $0 reported liquidity, 86.1% sell pressure, and holders declining (-7 in the last hour), further downside or complete illiquidity is the most likely near-term outcome. The current price is sitting at the recent candle low, with no meaningful buy-side support visible. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000002 to $0.0000065.

Is meritcoin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable at current price levels given the post-dump state.

How are meritcoin holders trending?

meritcoin currently has 151 holders and is growing (24h: 146, 7d: 146, 30d: 146). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token had exactly 5 holders for the entire 28-day period from April 1 to April 28, 2026 — consistent with a pre-launch holding period by insiders/team. On April 29, holders exploded from 5 to 176 (+171, +97%), coinciding with the token's public launch and pump. Current holders stand at 151, down from the 176 peak, with -7 in the last hour. The 30d, 7d, and 24h growth figures are all identical (+146) because all growth occurred in a single day. This is not organic holder accumulation — it is a launch-day spike now reversing.

What does sniper activity look like for meritcoin?

Snipers hold roughly 2.30% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding meritcoin?

Complete loss of capital — token may go to zero given $0 liquidity and 90% crash • Extreme supply concentration (87.18% top 10) enables whale-driven price manipulation • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional token minting or account freezing

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