ROKO

Basilisk Experiment Price Today & AI Analysis

ROKO
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

9tGLRvTTmm4MHCGUaULjpQbHFLg6JPLyqTz4k64Cpump

$0.053034

+4.93%

FDV $2,859

LiveContract:9tGLRvTTmm4MHCGUaULjpQbHFLg6JPLyqTz4k64CpumpChain:SolanaHolders:314Market cap:$2,859

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Ask Unhosted AI about ROKO

Report snapshotas of Jul 21, 11:17 PM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$40,741

Holders

697

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Basilisk Experiment (ROKO) is a newly viral Solana memecoin launched via PumpFun (mint ending in 'pump'), trading on PumpSwap. The token has a total formatted supply of 1 (likely a very large raw integer supply with 0 decimals), an FDV of ~$97.41K, and only $40.74K in liquidity. It experienced a massive 424% price spike in 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a sudden surge in holders from 15 to 697 — all within the last 24 hours. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 75.7% of volume, and top holder data is unavailable, making concentration risk unquantifiable. The token is mutable with unknown update authority, raising significant rug risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price surge of +424% from near-zero base
Holder count exploded from 15 to 697 in under 24 hours (98% growth)
Launched on PumpFun/PumpSwap — very early stage memecoin
Overwhelming sell pressure: 75.7% of 24h volume is sells ($145.74K vs $46.86K buys)
Token is mutable with unknown update authority — elevated rug risk
Total supply formatted as '1' with 0 decimals — unusual tokenomics structure

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (75.7% sell volume, 3,470 sells vs 1,221 buys) and a -7% move in the last 5 minutes. The 424% pump appears to be in distribution phase. With only $40.74K liquidity and overwhelming sellers (1,410 unique sellers vs 530 buyers), further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. The 1h candle shows a massive wick suggesting a blow-off top.

Target low$0.000015
Target high$0.000150
Support: $0.000017 (candle [2] low), $0.000015 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.000050 (candle [3] high), $0.000071 (candle [1] high — likely the pump peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community momentum, the token is likely to retrace the majority of its pump gains. The historical holder base was flat at 15 for 30 days before the sudden spike, suggesting no organic pre-existing community. Mutable contract and unknown authority add existential risk.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new buyer inflow maintaining holder count above 700
  • Viral social media momentum from the Discord/Twitter community
  • Developer renouncing mint/freeze authority to reduce rug risk
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps

Bullish factors

  • 424% price surge demonstrates strong initial demand signal
  • Holder count grew from 15 to 697 in 24 hours — rapid community formation
  • 1h price change of +164% shows very recent momentum
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 75.7% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($145.74K sells vs $46.86K buys)
  • 3,470 sells vs 1,221 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 3:1
  • Only $40.74K liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant at 15 holders for 30 days before sudden spike — suggests coordinated pump
  • Mutable token with unknown update authority — rug risk unmitigated
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • -7% in last 5 minutes suggests momentum already fading
  • FDV of $97.41K vs $40.74K liquidity — liquidity covers only ~42% of FDV
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data preventing concentration analysis, (2) no sniper data available, (3) only 3 hourly candles of price history, (4) unknown update authority, and (5) extreme volatility typical of sub-$100K FDV PumpFun launches. The data is too sparse for high-confidence directional calls.

ROKO call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-60.0%
7d-96.4%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (21:00 UTC): O=$0.0000324, H=$0.0000500, L=$0.0000152, C=$0.0000197 — a bearish candle with a large upper wick, suggesting a failed breakout and rejection at $0.0000500. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC): O=$0.0000194, H=$0.0000324, L=$0.0000172, C=$0.0000324 — a bullish engulfing-style candle closing at the high, recovering from the prior close. Candle [1] (23:00 UTC): O=$0.0000324, H=$0.0000715, L=$0.0000195, C=$0.0000194 — a massive shooting star / bearish pin bar with an extreme upper wick reaching $0.0000715 and closing near the low at $0.0000194. This is a classic blow-off top candle pattern indicating strong selling into the pump. Note: OHLC data appears to have H/L fields swapped in the raw data (L > H in candle [1]), which may indicate a data feed anomaly; analysis uses the extreme values as the range.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

The short-term trend is turning bearish following the blow-off top candle at 23:00 UTC. The medium-term trend is effectively sideways given the token was dormant for 30 days and only pumped in the last few hours. There is no established uptrend structure.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000017 (candle [2] low)
Major$0.000015 (candle [3] low — multi-candle floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000050 (candle [3] high)
Major$0.000072 (candle [1] high — pump peak)

The $0.000015–$0.000017 zone has acted as the floor across multiple candles and represents the strongest support. The $0.000050 level was rejected in candle [3] and represents near-term resistance. The $0.000072 pump peak is the major resistance and likely a distribution ceiling.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish pin bar on candle [1] — blow-off top signal
  • Bearish engulfing close: candle [1] closes near its low after a massive upper wick
  • Volume declining on the most recent candle — bearish volume divergence
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden spike — classic coordinated pump pattern
  • Price 424% above 30-day baseline — extreme mean-reversion risk

Total holders697
24h Δ+682
7d Δ+682
30d Δ+682
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is tightly correlated with the 424% price spike — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours. The token had exactly 15 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (June 21 – July 20, 2026) with zero net change daily. Then in a single 24-hour window, holders surged by 682 (+98%). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden coordinated or viral event. The 1-hour holder change of +214 (+31%) suggests the pump is still attracting new buyers even as price shows signs of topping.

Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours, with 682 of 697 total holders (97.8%) acquired via swap in that window. The 30-day historical data shows a completely flat baseline of 15 holders from June 21 to July 20 — zero growth for an entire month. This pattern is consistent with a dormant token that was suddenly promoted (likely via the Discord server mentioned in the description) and experienced a viral pump. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (680 of 697), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients. The rapid holder accumulation combined with overwhelming sell pressure suggests many new holders may already be underwater.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Top holder data unavailable — no top holders returned by data provider

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for ROKO — the data provider returned no top 20 holders and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine distribution. The distribution categories (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus) all show 0, further confirming missing data rather than actual zero concentration. Given the token has only 697 holders and was launched on PumpFun with a total formatted supply of 1 (0 decimals), concentration is likely extreme but cannot be quantified. The original 15 holders who held for 30 days are the most likely large holders and are the primary distribution risk. Investors should treat concentration risk as HIGH by default given the data gap.

Liquidity$40,740
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$46,860
Sell$145,740
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers530
Unique sellers1,410

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $40.74K on a single PumpSwap pool (DaWwgexycTWMQHpFjmHkZ8aonWnnvstH2NHrXgf8t3xC). The FDV of $97.41K is more than double the available liquidity, meaning any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $145.74K in sell volume vs $46.86K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$98.88K. Unique sellers (1,410) outnumber unique buyers (530) by 2.66:1, confirming broad distribution behavior. The 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in the analytics (while 1h shows +164%) suggests the price data may be anchored to an earlier snapshot, and the actual current price of $0.000102 represents the post-pump level. Market health is poor — shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a single DEX pool create a fragile market structure.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (formatted, 0 decimals — raw supply is likely a very large integer; the '1' figure with 0 decimals on a PumpFun token typically means 1,000,000,000 raw tokens displayed as 1 unit, but this is ambiguous without raw supply data)
FDV$97,410

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token metadata shows 'Mutable: true' and 'Update authority: unknown' — this is a significant red flag. A mutable token means the creator can potentially alter token metadata. The mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data (update authority is listed as 'unknown' rather than a burn address or explicit renouncement). The token was launched on PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically handles authority renouncement automatically at bonding curve graduation, but since this token is now on PumpSwap, it may have graduated. However, the 'unknown' authority status means rug risk from authorities must be rated HIGH. The total supply of '1' with 0 decimals is unusual and may indicate a data formatting issue — PumpFun tokens typically have 1 billion supply with 6 decimals. The FDV of $97.41K at the current price of $0.000102 is consistent with a ~1 billion token supply.

Volatility
high

424% price surge in 24 hours followed by a shooting star candle and -7% in 5 minutes. Extreme volatility typical of sub-$100K FDV PumpFun memecoins. Mean reversion risk is severe.

Liquidity
high

Only $40.74K in total liquidity on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will incur significant slippage. Liquidity covers only ~42% of FDV.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 15 holders for 30 days before the pump — those early holders are likely highly concentrated and are the primary source of the $145.74K in sell volume. Concentration risk is assumed HIGH due to data gap and token history.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump is consistent with a coordinated launch where early holders (the original 15) are now distributing into retail buyers. Sell volume is 3x buy volume, strongly suggesting early holder dumps.

Authority
high

Token is mutable (Mutable: true) with unknown update authority. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This represents an unmitigated rug risk vector — the creator could potentially alter the token or freeze accounts.

Key risks

  • Token is mutable with unknown update authority — potential rug vector
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • 75.7% sell pressure with 1,410 sellers vs 530 buyers — active distribution
  • Only $40.74K liquidity — extreme slippage on any meaningful position
  • 30-day dormancy before pump suggests coordinated/artificial price action
  • No verified contract, no confirmed authority renouncement
  • Single DEX pool — no liquidity diversification
  • FDV of $97.41K with only $40.74K backing it — overvalued relative to liquidity

Mitigating factors

  • Rapid holder growth to 697 shows genuine new community interest
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap launch provides some baseline legitimacy vs fully custom contracts
  • Social presence (Twitter, website, Discord) suggests some community infrastructure
  • 1h price momentum of +164% shows very recent buying interest still present
  • Low absolute price ($0.000102) limits maximum loss per token for small buyers
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand PumpFun memecoin mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are trading with very small position sizes. Completely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. This token exhibits multiple simultaneous high-risk signals.

ROKO is a high-risk, early-stage PumpFun memecoin that experienced a viral pump driven by Discord/social promotion. The investment thesis is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no established community. The bull case requires sustained social momentum; the bear case (most probable) is a rapid dump back to near-zero as early holders distribute. This is a lottery ticket, not an investment.

Bull case (low)

Sustained viral momentum: The Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) continues to drive new buyers, holder count surpasses 2,000+, and the token achieves a 'trending' status on Solana DEX aggregators. Buy pressure normalizes above 50%, liquidity deepens, and the FDV reaches $500K–$1M.

  • Viral social media campaign driving sustained new buyer inflow
  • Developer renounces authorities, building trust and reducing rug risk
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally creating favorable conditions
  • Holder count growth continues at current pace (214/hour)
  • Buy/sell ratio normalizes as early holders finish distributing

Base case

Partial retrace and stabilization: The token retraces 50–70% from its pump peak as early holders distribute, stabilizes at a lower price level (~$0.000030–$0.000050), and maintains a small but active community of 500–800 holders. Occasional volatility spikes on social promotions.

  • Some portion of new 697 holders are genuine community members who hold
  • Developer maintains the project and does not rug
  • Liquidity remains above $20K to allow basic trading
  • Social channels remain active with periodic promotional activity

Bear case (high)

Rapid dump and abandonment: Early holders (original 15) complete their distribution, new buyer inflow dries up, and the price retraces 80–95% from the pump peak. The token returns to near-zero activity with a small residual holder base.

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (75.7%) continues as early holders dump
  • Shallow $40.74K liquidity accelerates price decline on sells
  • Mutable token with unknown authority triggers loss of confidence
  • No utility or fundamental value to support price floor
  • Historical 30-day dormancy suggests no organic community pre-pump

GeneratedJul 21, 11:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers 3 hourly candles (21:00–23:00 UTC July 21, 2026). Historical holder data covers June 21 – July 20, 2026 (30 days). Top holder and sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Token Metadata API
  • PumpSwap on-chain price feed
  • Moralis OHLC Candles (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics
  • Moralis Holder Metrics
  • Moralis Historical Holders (30-day daily)
  • Moralis Top Holders endpoint (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be precisely quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Total supply displayed as '1' with 0 decimals is ambiguous — raw supply unclear
  • 6h and 24h price change showing 0% may indicate data feed anchoring issue
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps, not actual distribution
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in its current viral phase — all metrics are extremely preliminary

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. ROKO/Basilisk Experiment is an extremely high-risk speculative asset. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price performance, including the 424% 24h surge, is not indicative of future results. Investors can lose 100% of their capital. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (formatted, 0 decimals — raw supply is likely a very large integer; the '1' figure with 0 decimals on a PumpFun token typically means 1,000,000,000 raw tokens displayed as 1 unit, but this is ambiguous without raw supply data)

Key Risks

Token is mutable with unknown update authority — potential rug vector
Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
75.7% sell pressure with 1,410 sellers vs 530 buyers — active distribution
Only $40.74K liquidity — extreme slippage on any meaningful position

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for ROKO. Smart money signals must be inferred from aggregate trading data only. The ratio of 3,470 sells to 1,221 buys, and 1,410 unique sellers vs 530 unique buyers, suggests that early entrants (likely the original 15 holders who held for 30 days) are aggressively distributing into the new wave of buyers. The sell-through behavior is consistent with early holders dumping into retail FOMO. Without sniper-level data, precise PnL states cannot be confirmed.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Likely distributing — the token sat at 15 holders for 30 days before the pump. Those early holders are the most probable source of the $145.74K in sell volume, representing a 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio. This is a strong signal of early holder distribution into new retail buyers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Basilisk Experiment (ROKO)?

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (75.7% sell volume, 3,470 sells vs 1,221 buys) and a -7% move in the last 5 minutes. The 424% pump appears to be in distribution phase. With only $40.74K liquidity and overwhelming sellers (1,410 unique sellers vs 530 buyers), further downside is the most probable short-term outcome. The 1h candle shows a massive wick suggesting a blow-off top. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000015 to $0.000150.

Is ROKO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand PumpFun memecoin mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are trading with very small position sizes. Completely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics. This token exhibits multiple simultaneous high-risk signals.

How are ROKO holders trending?

Basilisk Experiment currently has 697 holders and is growing (24h: 682, 7d: 682, 30d: 682). Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last 24 hours, with 682 of 697 total holders (97.8%) acquired via swap in that window. The 30-day historical data shows a completely flat baseline of 15 holders from June 21 to July 20 — zero growth for an entire month. This pattern is consistent with a dormant token that was suddenly promoted (likely via the Discord server mentioned in the description) and experienced a viral pump. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (680 of 697), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients. The rapid holder accumulation combined with overwhelming sell pressure suggests many new holders may already be underwater.

What does sniper activity look like for ROKO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ROKO?

Token is mutable with unknown update authority — potential rug vector • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed • 75.7% sell pressure with 1,410 sellers vs 530 buyers — active distribution

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