MTGoX

MTGoX | Dust Price Today & AI Analysis

MTGoXSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 30, 2026

Price

$0.052279

Contract

Live
9ad8em14JNkS9UTBmjqyka7adjPcH4c2pzbD1q7Xpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

298

Market cap

$2,276

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MTGoX | Dust: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-30 23:16 UTC

Holder addresses

417

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,843.42
How concentrated is MTGoX | Dust ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 417 addresses (2026-06-30 23:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling MTGoX | Dust?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is MTGoX | Dust liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-30 23:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,843.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-30 23:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jun 30, 11:16 PM UTC

FDV

$106,396

Liquidity

$40,843.42

Holders

417

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

MTGoX (symbol: MTGoX) is a micro-cap Solana token on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$106K and total liquidity of ~$40.8K. The token describes itself as a gamified RWA platform for Magic: The Gathering graded card slabs. The token is unverified and shows extreme characteristics: it sat dormant at 22 holders for 30 consecutive days before an explosive single-day surge to 417 holders (+395, +95%) coinciding with a 476% price spike. Sell pressure dominates heavily (71.4% sell volume), liquidity is very shallow, and top holder/concentration data is unavailable. The combination of dormancy, sudden pump, and overwhelming sell pressure warrants extreme caution.

Key points

  • Extreme dormancy followed by sudden viral pump: 22 holders for 30 days, then +395 holders in 24h
  • 476% 24h price increase with 71.4% sell-side volume dominance — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Very shallow liquidity (~$40.8K) relative to FDV (~$106K) creates extreme slippage risk
  • No top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already pumped 476% in 24h with 71.4% sell pressure (sell volume $82K vs buy volume $32.8K). The OHLC data shows a massive wick pattern — candle [1] shows L below O (inverted candle notation suggests data anomaly, but the range from ~$0.000026 to ~$0.000084 in candle [2] indicates extreme volatility). With sells outnumbering buys 1,675 to 732 and sellers outnumbering buyers 694 to 338, short-term price action is likely to retrace sharply.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000150

Support

$0.000029–$0.000030 (candle [3] open/close cluster), $0.000026 (candle [2] low)

Resistance

$0.000084 (candle [2] high / recent spike high), $0.000107 (current price, recent pump high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the 30-day dormancy period at 22 holders followed by a single-day pump, the medium-term outlook is bearish unless genuine project development and sustained buying emerge. The shallow liquidity pool means any meaningful sell pressure will crater the price. Without verified utility, a product launch, or sustained community growth, reversion toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000018–$0.000022) is the most likely scenario.

Catalysts

  • Actual product launch or RWA platform demonstration
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial pump wave
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K
  • Broader Solana memecoin/RWA narrative tailwinds

Bullish factors

  • 476% price surge signals strong initial market interest
  • +395 new holders in 24h shows rapid community onboarding
  • Described RWA/gaming utility narrative is currently popular in crypto
  • Social links present (Twitter, Telegram, website) suggesting some project infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • 71.4% sell pressure — sellers dominate overwhelmingly ($82K sell vs $32.8K buy)
  • 30 days of complete dormancy at 22 holders before the pump is a major red flag
  • Liquidity of only $40.8K is extremely shallow for a $106K FDV token
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk is unquantifiable
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Sell-to-buy ratio: 1,675 sells vs 732 buys in 24h

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data preventing concentration analysis, (2) no sniper data available, (3) only 3 OHLC candles provided covering a very short window, (4) the token is brand-new to trading activity making pattern analysis unreliable, and (5) extreme volatility (476% in 24h) makes price targets highly speculative.

MTGoX call history

Full track record →

Jun 30bearish
24h-92.0%
7d-98.0%
30d-98.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9ad8em...pump
Total Supply
999,999,999.38

Key Risks

  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 71.4% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1 in 24h
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($40.8K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • No top holder data — concentration risk is unquantifiable but likely very high

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (21:00–23:00 UTC on 2026-06-30). Candle [3] (21:00): O=$0.0000305, H=$0.0000305, L=$0.0000297, C=$0.0000297 — a small bearish candle with tight range, low volume ($12.8K). Candle [2] (22:00): O=$0.0000386, H=$0.0000386, L=$0.0000263, C=$0.0000305 — a large bearish candle with a massive lower wick, high volume ($75.5K), suggesting a sharp sell-off from the open with partial recovery. Candle [1] (23:00): O=$0.0000305, H=$0.0000386, L=$0.0000835, C=$0.0000386 — anomalous OHLC where L > H, which is a data integrity issue; this candle likely reflects the pump spike. The overall 3-candle picture shows extreme volatility, high sell-side volume, and a possible blow-off top pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 476% 24h price gain, but the candle structure and sell pressure dominance suggest the uptrend is exhausted. Medium-term trend is sideways-to-down given 30 days of zero price movement prior to this event.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000029–$0.000030 (candle [3] open/close and candle [2] close)

Major support

$0.000026 (candle [2] low — deepest recent wick)

Immediate resistance

$0.000084–$0.000086 (candle [2] high / candle [1] anomalous low)

Major resistance

$0.000107 (current price — pump high)

Support is clustered around $0.000026–$0.000030 based on recent candle lows. Resistance is at the pump high near $0.000107 and the candle [2] high of ~$0.000084. The gap between current price and support is large, suggesting significant downside risk if selling continues.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top pattern: extreme single-day volume spike followed by sell dominance
  • Large lower wick on candle [2] indicating sharp intraday sell-off and partial recovery
  • 30-day flat base followed by vertical price spike — classic pump pattern
  • Anomalous OHLC data on candle [1] (L > H) suggests possible data feed error or extreme volatility during the candle period
  • Volume declining after peak (candle [2] $75.5K → candle [1] $11.1K) — potential exhaustion signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$40,843.42

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $40.8K on PumpSwap (pair: 6uuWb3fysxdF2baScTBZq4MDXu5xAkb5Sh4PXjv7i6GE). The liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 38% ($40.8K / $106.4K), which is low and means large trades will cause severe price impact. Net flow is strongly negative — sell volume ($82K) is 2.5x buy volume ($32.8K), and sellers (694) outnumber buyers (338) by 2:1. This is a clear outflow market. The 24h unique wallet count of 801 shows broad participation but the sell dominance indicates most participants are exiting. Slippage risk is high — any sell order above a few hundred dollars will move the price materially given the shallow pool depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,999.38

FDV

$106,396

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    476% price increase in 24h followed by 71.4% sell pressure. Only 3 OHLC candles available showing extreme intraday swings from $0.000026 to $0.000107. The token is in a blow-off top pattern.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $40.8K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~38%, and the pool could be drained quickly in a sell-off.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 71.4% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1 in 24h
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($40.8K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • No top holder data — concentration risk is unquantifiable but likely very high
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Original 22 holders likely sitting on massive unrealized gains and may dump at any time
  • Token is brand new to active trading — no track record or price history

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social infrastructure exists (Twitter, Telegram, website) suggesting some project effort
  • RWA/gaming narrative has genuine market interest if product is real
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
  • 405 of 417 holders acquired via swap (organic buying, not airdrop farming)

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme.

MTGoX presents as a high-concept RWA/gaming token (Magic: The Gathering graded card slabs on Solana) that has been dormant for 30+ days before a sudden 476% pump. The investment case hinges entirely on whether the described platform is real and will launch. The overwhelming sell pressure, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and classic pump pattern make this extremely high risk. Any investment thesis must account for the high probability this is a coordinated pump-and-dump.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The MTGoX platform is a genuine RWA/gaming project that used the initial pump to bootstrap community awareness. The 417 new holders become an engaged community, liquidity deepens, and the platform launches a working product for tokenized Magic: The Gathering card slabs. The RWA narrative drives sustained buying, and the token reaches $500K–$1M FDV.

  • Actual product launch with working RWA card slab tokenization
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial pump wave (>1,000 holders organically)
  • Liquidity deepening to >$200K
  • Positive community engagement on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana RWA narrative momentum

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40–60% from the pump high as early buyers take profit. A small core community of 200–400 holders remains. The project makes some social media noise but fails to launch a working product within 30 days. Price stabilizes at $0.000040–$0.000060 (FDV $40K–$60K) with minimal trading activity.

  • Some genuine project intent behind the RWA/gaming concept
  • Partial profit-taking by early holders but not a complete rug
  • Liquidity remains thin but doesn't disappear entirely
  • Holder count stabilizes around 200–400 after initial FOMO subsides
  • No major product milestones in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

The 30-day dormancy and sudden pump confirm a coordinated pump-and-dump. The original 22 holders dump their concentrated positions into the 476% pump, liquidity is drained, and the token retraces 80–95% to pre-pump levels (~$0.000018–$0.000022). The project goes silent and the website/socials become inactive.

  • Original 22 holders distributing into pump liquidity
  • 71.4% sell pressure continues and accelerates
  • No real product to sustain interest
  • Shallow liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • Typical PumpFun token lifecycle: pump → dump → abandon

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 30, 11:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-30 23:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: 9ad8em14JNkS9UTBmjqyka7adjPcH4c2pzbD1q7Xpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair: 6uuWb3fysxdF2baScTBZq4MDXu5xAkb5Sh4PXjv7i6GE)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-06-30 21:00–23:00 UTC)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series, 2026-05-31 to 2026-06-30)
  • 24h trading volume and wallet analytics
  • Token holder distribution metrics

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data anomalies
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Token has only been actively trading for <24 hours — no price history for trend analysis
  • Unverified contract increases data reliability uncertainty
  • Historical holder data shows only 30 days of dormancy with no price history for that period

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The patterns identified in this token (30-day dormancy, sudden pump, sell dominance) are consistent with pump-and-dump schemes. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is MTGoX | Dust ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 417 addresses (2026-06-30 23:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling MTGoX | Dust?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is MTGoX | Dust liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-30 23:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,843.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for MTGoX | Dust (MTGoX)?

The token has already pumped 476% in 24h with 71.4% sell pressure (sell volume $82K vs buy volume $32.8K). The OHLC data shows a massive wick pattern — candle [1] shows L below O (inverted candle notation suggests data anomaly, but the range from ~$0.000026 to ~$0.000084 in candle [2] indicates extreme volatility). With sells outnumbering buys 1,675 to 732 and sellers outnumbering buyers 694 to 338, short-term price action is likely to retrace sharply. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000150.

Is MTGoX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The risk profile is consistent with a potential pump-and-dump scheme.

What are the key risks of holding MTGoX?

30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern • 71.4% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1 in 24h • Extremely shallow liquidity ($40.8K) — high slippage and exit risk

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