Ban

Comedian Price Prediction 2026

Ban
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 13, 2026

9PR7nCP9DpcUotnDPVLUBUZKu5WAYkwrCUx9wDnSpump

$0.0734

+1.12%

FDV $70,677,604

LiveContract:9PR7nCP9DpcUotnDPVLUBUZKu5WAYkwrCUx9wDnSpumpChain:SolanaHolders:23,846Market cap:$70,677,604

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Report snapshotas of May 13, 10:17 AM
FDV

$77,254,017

Liquidity

$2,908,990

Holders

23,202

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Comedian (Ban) is a Solana meme token themed around Mauricio Cattelan's iconic 'Comedian' banana artwork, which was auctioned at Sotheby's. The token trades at $0.0803 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$77–78M and $2.91M in total liquidity on Raydium. While the cultural hook is clear and the contract is verified non-spam, the token exhibits extreme supply concentration — the top holder alone controls 50.11% of supply — and a slowly declining holder base over the past 30 days. No snipers were detected at launch, which is a positive signal. Overall risk is very high due to concentration.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bullish
Themed around a globally recognized, high-value art piece (Mauricio Cattelan's 'Comedian' banana, auctioned at Sotheby's)
Zero sniper activity in the first 1000 blocks — clean launch mechanics
Verified contract, non-spam, immutable metadata (mutable: false)
$2.91M liquidity on Raydium providing moderate depth for a meme token
Extreme top-holder concentration: single wallet holds 50.11% of total supply

Price Prediction

bullish

Short term

bullish
24–72 hours

Price has broken out of the $0.073–$0.075 consolidation range, posting a 24h gain of ~8.6% to $0.0803. The hourly candles show a clear staircase of higher lows from $0.0732 (candle 11) to the current $0.0803. Short-term momentum favors continuation toward $0.082–$0.083, but the 1h candle is showing a mild pullback (-2.0%), suggesting near-term consolidation before the next leg.

Target low$0.0750
Target high$0.0832
Support: $0.0775 (candle 4 close), $0.0749 (candles 6–9 consolidation zone), $0.0732 (candle 11 low — 24h base)
Resistance: $0.0822 (candle 3 high), $0.0832 (candle 2 open / session high), $0.0900 (psychological round number)

Medium term

neutral
1–4 weeks

The holder base has been in a slow but consistent decline for 30 days (-34 net holders, -0.15%), suggesting organic demand is not growing. Without a fresh catalyst (e.g., renewed Sotheby's/art news, broader meme cycle), the token is likely to trade sideways to slightly lower. A broader Solana meme rally could push price higher, but the structural concentration risk caps upside conviction.

Catalysts
  • Renewed mainstream media coverage of the Comedian artwork or Cattelan
  • Broader Solana meme token bull cycle
  • Whale wallet (50.11% holder) reducing position — would be bearish but could redistribute supply
  • New exchange listings or influencer attention

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +8.56% with buy pressure at 56.8%
  • Clean launch — zero snipers detected in first 1000 blocks
  • Verified contract, immutable metadata, no freeze/mint authority concerns
  • $2.91M liquidity provides reasonable depth
  • Cultural narrative tied to a globally recognized, high-value art auction event

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 50.11% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Top 10 wallets hold 60.79% of supply
  • Holder count declining for 30 consecutive days net (-34 holders)
  • Only 51 unique wallets active in 24h — very thin participation
  • No sniper data available to assess early buyer behavior
  • Meme token with no utility — entirely narrative-driven
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) meme token unpredictability, (2) extreme supply concentration in a single wallet (50.11%) creating binary risk, (3) only 51 unique wallets traded in 24h indicating thin active participation, and (4) declining holder trend over 30 days. Price targets are derived from OHLC data but meme token price action can deviate sharply.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series (hourly) reveals a clear two-phase structure. Phase 1 (candles 24–8, ~11 May 12:00 to 13 May 03:00): price traded in a tight $0.0732–$0.0750 consolidation band with very low volume (most candles under $5K). Phase 2 (candles 7–1, 13 May 04:00–10:00): a strong breakout initiated, with price climbing from $0.0749 to a session high of $0.0822 on candle 3, driven by a volume surge (candle 2: $115.8K, candle 3: $57.3K). The most recent candle (candle 1) shows a slight pullback close ($0.0803) from the open ($0.0810), forming a mild bearish candle after the breakout — consistent with post-breakout consolidation.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
neutral

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 57%Sell 43%

Short-term trend is clearly bullish with a series of higher lows and higher highs over the past 6–8 hours. Medium-term (24h view) shows a prolonged sideways base followed by a breakout, suggesting the medium-term trend is transitioning from sideways to potentially upward, but confirmation is needed.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0775 (candle 4 close, first pullback after breakout)
Major$0.0732 (candle 11 low — 24h base / breakout origin)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0822 (candle 3 high — session high)
Major$0.0832 (candle 2 open, upper wick zone)

The $0.0749–$0.0750 zone served as a multi-hour consolidation ceiling that became support after the breakout. The $0.0732 level is the 24h low and represents the major support floor. On the upside, $0.0822 is the immediate resistance (session high), with $0.0832 as the next meaningful level based on candle 2's open price.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs and higher lows from candle 10 onward — confirmed short-term uptrend
  • Volume breakout: candle 2 volume ($115.8K) is ~10x the average of the consolidation phase — strong breakout confirmation
  • Post-breakout bearish candle (candle 1): close below open after session high — normal consolidation, not reversal signal yet
  • Prolonged low-volume base (candles 8–12) preceding the breakout — classic accumulation/compression pattern
  • Doji-like candle at candle 8 ($0.0749 O/H/L/C nearly identical) — indecision before breakout

Total holders23,202
24h Δ0
7d Δ-25
30d Δ-34
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder count has been declining slowly and consistently over the past 30 days (-34 net, -0.15%) even as price has recently moved up +8.56% in 24h. This negative divergence — rising price but falling holders — suggests the price move may be driven by a small number of active traders rather than broad new adoption. The one notable spike was on 2026-04-13 (+111 holders, +0.48%), which was an outlier likely tied to a specific event or listing, but has since fully reversed.

The holder base peaked around April 13 (23,347 holders after a +111 spike) and has been in a steady decline since, losing 145 holders from that peak to the current 23,202. The 7-day trend shows -25 holders and the 30-day trend shows -34 holders. Daily changes are small in absolute terms but consistently negative. The decline is not accelerating — recent daily losses (-9, -16, -3, +1, -4) are in line with the broader 30-day trend. Acquisition breakdown shows transfers (11,727) slightly outnumber swaps (11,130), with 345 airdrops — suggesting a mix of organic and distributed holders.

Top 10 hold60.79%
Top 100 hold65.98%
Sentiment
Holding

Notable holders

u6PJ8DtQuPFnfmwHbGFULQ4u4EgjDiyYKjVEsynXq2w

Project treasury or team wallet — holds 50.11% (482.3M tokens), an extraordinarily dominant position. Could be a locked treasury, team allocation, or a single large early buyer. This wallet alone represents the primary systemic risk for the token.

50.11%

7cAui6ADtxLnpRr2wYvwJWTkzwgmVF2LYKnjKTLx4xR8

Individual whale or early investor — holds 5.89% (56.7M tokens). Second largest holder with a significant but not controlling stake.

5.89%

5Q544fKrFoe6tsEbD7S8EmxGTJYAKtTVhAW5Q5pge4j1

DEX liquidity pool or individual whale — 1.87% (18M tokens). Address pattern and size suggest possible LP or large retail holder.

1.87%

7TWnq4WeYcwQWBCwKeEX2Q9xqVtthPGkB7adNvueuVuh

Individual whale — 1.08% (10.4M tokens). Likely a large retail or early participant.

1.08%

Cw32Ny2xcYdpfJmvFd7h2pRhcbcjoJFq8KrrA8YLwZeh

Individual whale or institutional holder — 0.34% (3.26M tokens). Round number balance (3,262,000) may suggest a structured purchase.

0.34%

Supply distribution is extremely concentrated. The top holder alone controls 50.11% of the 962.4M token supply (482.3M tokens), which is the single largest risk factor for this token. The top 10 wallets collectively hold 60.79%, and the top 100 hold 65.98% — meaning the remaining ~23,100 holders share only ~34% of supply. This is a very unhealthy distribution for a meme token. The dominant wallet has not shown recent selling activity (holder count decline is gradual, not a dump event), suggesting a holding posture. However, any movement from this wallet would have an outsized market impact given the $2.91M liquidity pool.

Liquidity$2,910,000
Depth
Moderate
Slippage risk
medium

Volume (24h)

Buy$179,850
Sell$136,680
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers35
Unique sellers34

The Raydium pair (DmAsjXoceoL5vTKZbYpTpXPo7MKm16FMfNMm3PJFiUha) holds $2.91M in total liquidity, which is moderate for a meme token at this market cap (~$77M FDV). The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~3.7% is reasonable but not deep. 24h net flow is positive with $179.85K in buys vs $136.68K in sells — a $43.17K net inflow. However, only 51 unique wallets participated in 24h trading (35 buyers, 34 sellers), indicating very thin active participation. The 486 buy transactions vs 479 sell transactions shows near-equal transaction counts despite higher buy volume, suggesting buyers are placing larger average orders. Slippage risk is medium — a large sell order from the 50.11% holder would overwhelm the $2.91M pool significantly. The token trades natively against WSOL at 841,751.62 WSOL.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply962,422,582.869543
FDV$77,254,017.10

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 962.4M tokens with 6 decimals. The FDV is $77.25M at the current price of $0.0803. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the system program (111...1) or a known burn address, meaning the update authority has NOT been renounced to a burn address. However, the metadata field 'mutable: false' indicates the token metadata itself is immutable, which reduces the risk of metadata manipulation. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively determined from the provided data alone — they are marked as 'unknown'. The contract is verified and flagged as non-spam by Moralis. The pump.fun suffix in the mint address (ends in 'pump') suggests this token was launched via pump.fun, which typically burns mint authority at graduation. If confirmed graduated from pump.fun, mint authority would be renounced. Investors should verify on-chain.

Volatility
high

Meme token with no utility, 8.56% 24h price swing, and thin active participation (51 unique wallets in 24h). Price is entirely narrative-driven and can move violently in either direction.

Liquidity
medium

$2.91M liquidity on Raydium is moderate for the FDV but insufficient to absorb a large sell from the 50.11% holder. Medium-to-large trades will experience meaningful slippage.

Concentration
high

Extreme concentration: top holder controls 50.11% of supply (482.3M tokens), top 10 hold 60.79%, top 100 hold 65.98%. A single wallet decision could collapse the price. This is the primary risk factor.

SniperDump
low

Zero snipers detected in the first 1000 blocks. No early bot buyers with large unrealized gains waiting to dump. This is a genuine positive for launch integrity.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced to a burn address. However, metadata is set to immutable (mutable: false), limiting manipulation risk. Mint/freeze authority status is unknown — likely renounced if launched via pump.fun but unconfirmed.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holding 50.11% of supply represents existential dump risk
  • Holder count declining for 30 consecutive days — no organic growth
  • Only 51 unique wallets active in 24h — extremely thin market participation
  • Meme token with no utility — entirely dependent on narrative momentum
  • Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • FDV of $77M is high relative to active trading base and holder engagement

Mitigating factors

  • Zero sniper activity at launch — clean, organic launch mechanics
  • Verified contract, non-spam classification
  • Immutable metadata (mutable: false) reduces manipulation risk
  • $2.91M liquidity provides reasonable buffer for normal trading
  • Culturally relevant narrative (Sotheby's auction, globally recognized artwork)
  • Net buy inflow in 24h ($43K net positive)
  • Pump.fun launch likely means mint authority is burned (unconfirmed)
Suitable for: Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme concentration risk.

Comedian (Ban) is a culturally-themed meme token with a clean launch (zero snipers), verified contract, and a recognizable art-world narrative. However, it is structurally compromised by extreme supply concentration (50.11% in one wallet), a declining holder base, and very thin active trading participation. The token is best characterized as a high-risk speculative play on meme momentum rather than a fundamentally sound investment.

Bull case (low)

Renewed mainstream attention to the Comedian artwork (e.g., new auction, viral media coverage, celebrity endorsement) triggers a meme cycle. The 50.11% holder remains dormant, new buyers enter, and the token rides broader Solana meme momentum to $0.12–$0.15+.

  • Viral catalyst tied to Cattelan's artwork or Sotheby's
  • Broader Solana meme token bull run
  • Large wallet remains inactive (no selling pressure)
  • Influencer or KOL promotion drives new holder acquisition

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.070–$0.085 range following the recent breakout. The token trades with low volume and slow holder decline, maintaining its current market position without significant upside or catastrophic downside, absent a major catalyst or whale movement.

  • 50.11% holder remains inactive
  • No major new catalyst emerges for the Comedian narrative
  • Solana meme market remains range-bound
  • Liquidity stays above $2M on Raydium
  • Holder decline continues at current pace (-1 to -5 per day)

Bear case (medium)

The 50.11% holder begins distributing tokens into the $2.91M liquidity pool. Even a 5% sell of their position (~24M tokens, ~$1.9M at current prices) would severely impact price. Combined with declining holder count and thin participation, price could retrace to $0.04–$0.05 or lower.

  • Large wallet begins selling into liquidity
  • Meme narrative fades without fresh catalyst
  • Continued holder attrition accelerates
  • Broader crypto market downturn reduces risk appetite for meme tokens

GeneratedMay 13, 10:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-13T10:00:00Z. Holder data current as of 2026-05-12T00:00:00Z (1-day lag). Sniper data covers first 1000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • Raydium DEX pair data (DmAsjXoceoL5vTKZbYpTpXPo7MKm16FMfNMm3PJFiUha)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (24 candles)
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series (30 days)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1000 blocks)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — inferred from context (pump.fun launch pattern, mutable:false)
  • Update authority identity not fully resolved — cannot confirm if it is a team wallet or neutral party
  • Sniper data shows zero snipers but does not provide early buyer PnL data for non-sniper early holders
  • Only top 20 holders shown — full distribution analysis limited
  • No social sentiment data, trading history beyond 24h, or order book depth provided
  • Holder historical data has 1-day lag relative to price data
  • FDV calculation uses circulating supply as total supply — vesting schedules unknown

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply962,422,582.869543

Key Risks

Single wallet holding 50.11% of supply represents existential dump risk
Holder count declining for 30 consecutive days — no organic growth
Only 51 unique wallets active in 24h — extremely thin market participation
Meme token with no utility — entirely dependent on narrative momentum

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

No sniper activity was recorded in the first 1000 blocks of this token's launch — a genuinely positive signal indicating the token was not targeted by bots or coordinated early buyers seeking to dump on retail. This reduces one common rug/dump vector. However, with zero sniper data, smart money behavior cannot be assessed from this angle. The 24h trading data shows only 51 unique wallets active, with 35 buyers and 34 sellers — extremely thin participation suggesting the token is not attracting broad speculative interest despite the price breakout.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
medium

No snipers detected in the first 1000 blocks. Sniper concentration is 0%.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The absence of snipers suggests early buyers were organic rather than bot-driven, which is a positive indicator for launch integrity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Comedian (Ban)?

Price has broken out of the $0.073–$0.075 consolidation range, posting a 24h gain of ~8.6% to $0.0803. The hourly candles show a clear staircase of higher lows from $0.0732 (candle 11) to the current $0.0803. Short-term momentum favors continuation toward $0.082–$0.083, but the 1h candle is showing a mild pullback (-2.0%), suggesting near-term consolidation before the next leg. Short-term outlook is bullish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0750 to $0.0832.

Is Ban a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without active monitoring capability. Position sizing should be minimal given the extreme concentration risk.

How are Ban holders trending?

Comedian currently has 23,202 holders and is declining (24h: 0, 7d: -25, 30d: -34). The holder base peaked around April 13 (23,347 holders after a +111 spike) and has been in a steady decline since, losing 145 holders from that peak to the current 23,202. The 7-day trend shows -25 holders and the 30-day trend shows -34 holders. Daily changes are small in absolute terms but consistently negative. The decline is not accelerating — recent daily losses (-9, -16, -3, +1, -4) are in line with the broader 30-day trend. Acquisition breakdown shows transfers (11,727) slightly outnumber swaps (11,130), with 345 airdrops — suggesting a mix of organic and distributed holders.

What does sniper activity look like for Ban?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding Ban?

Single wallet holding 50.11% of supply represents existential dump risk • Holder count declining for 30 consecutive days — no organic growth • Only 51 unique wallets active in 24h — extremely thin market participation

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