Spermlon

Spermlon Price Today & AI Analysis

SpermlonSolanaAnalysis as of May 6, 2026

Price

$0.051948

FDV $1,947

Contract

Live
8ZwVcPCWN4MaDxM6rbnyArQZZFhD3FcB8BGmCnfmpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

52

Market cap

$1,947

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Spermlon: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-06 21:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Spermlon ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Spermlon?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Spermlon liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-06 21:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 6, 09:17 PM UTC

FDV

$148,590

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Spermlon (Spermlon) is a meme/novelty token on Solana launched via PumpFun (mint: 8ZwVcPCWN4MaDxM6rbnyArQZZFhD3FcB8BGmCnfmpump), themed around a viral news headline about Elon Musk. It trades on PumpSwap at ~$0.000149 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$148,590. The token exhibits extreme sell pressure (89.7% sell volume), zero reported liquidity, and a holder count that reads as 0 across all historical data — indicating significant data gaps or a very early/thin market. Distribution shows the top holder (likely the DEX liquidity pool) controls 12.84% of supply, with the remaining top holders each holding ~0.46–0.55%.

Key points

  • Viral meme narrative tied to Elon Musk/OpenAI news headline
  • Launched on PumpFun/PumpSwap with 1B token supply
  • Extreme sell pressure: 89.7% of 24h volume is sells ($304.5K vs $35K buys)
  • Top 10 holders control only 17.38% of supply — relatively dispersed below the LP
  • 20 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks, majority in profit

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token surged ~51% in 24h but is now facing intense selling pressure. The most recent candle (21:00 UTC) shows a sharp reversal: opened at $0.000226, dropped to a low of $0.0000772, and closed at $0.000164 — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star pattern. With 89.7% sell volume and 2,961 sells vs 339 buys, downward continuation is the most probable near-term outcome. Immediate support sits near the candle low of $0.0000772.

Target low

$0.000050

Target high

$0.000226

Support

$0.0000772 (recent candle low), $0.0000244 (prior candle open/low)

Resistance

$0.000164 (recent close), $0.000226 (recent open/high), $0.000266 (prior candle high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained narrative momentum, new buyer inflow, or liquidity depth, meme tokens of this type typically retrace 80–95% from peak. The zero-liquidity reading and overwhelming sell pressure suggest the token may struggle to maintain current price levels. A recovery would require renewed viral attention or coordinated buying.

Catalysts

  • Renewed viral social media attention to the Elon Musk/OpenAI narrative
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (unlikely at this FDV)

Bullish factors

  • 51% price gain in 24h demonstrates speculative demand
  • Viral meme narrative with Elon Musk association
  • Relatively dispersed supply below top holder (top 10 = 17.38%)
  • Most snipers are in profit but have not fully exited, suggesting some holding conviction
  • 339 unique buy transactions in 24h shows some ongoing interest

Bearish factors

  • 89.7% sell volume ($304.5K sells vs $35K buys) — extreme distribution
  • Zero reported liquidity depth creates severe slippage risk
  • Holder data shows 0 holders across 30-day history — data anomaly raises concerns
  • Unverified contract, mutable metadata authority not renounced
  • Meme token with no utility; narrative shelf-life is very short
  • Price % change shows 0% for 1h, 6h, 24h in analytics despite 51% 24h gain — data inconsistency

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) holder count reporting as 0 across all historical data, suggesting data feed issues; (2) zero liquidity reported despite active trading; (3) only 2 OHLC candles available for technical analysis; (4) meme token price action is inherently unpredictable and driven by social sentiment.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8ZwVcP...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1B)

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (89.7% of volume) with 9.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Zero reported liquidity — severe exit risk for any meaningful position
  • Sniper distribution ongoing — 18/20 snipers in profit and selling
  • Meme token with no utility — narrative dependent on viral news cycle

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.0000244, H=$0.000266, L=$0.0000244, C=$0.000232 — a massive bullish candle with a 10x range, indicating the initial pump. Candle [1] (21:00 UTC): O=$0.000226, H=$0.000226, L=$0.0000772, C=$0.000164 — a bearish shooting star/gravestone doji pattern where the open equals the high, price dropped sharply to $0.0000772, and closed at $0.000164. This is a classic distribution/reversal candle following the pump. Volume dropped from $217K to $107K, confirming weakening momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two-candle sequence shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: explosive upward candle followed immediately by a bearish reversal candle with a lower close. The short-term trend has turned down from the $0.000266 peak. Insufficient data exists for a reliable medium-term trend assessment, but the overwhelming sell pressure supports a bearish medium-term bias.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

10%

Sell

90%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000772 (21:00 candle low)

Major support

$0.0000244 (20:00 candle open/low — pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000164 (21:00 candle close)

Major resistance

$0.000266 (20:00 candle all-time high)

The pre-pump base at $0.0000244 represents the strongest support level if selling continues. The $0.0000772 level (recent candle low) is the first line of defense. Resistance is layered at the recent close ($0.000164), the pump candle open ($0.000226), and the all-time high ($0.000266).

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence
  • Bearish shooting star / gravestone doji on candle [1] (open = high, sharp lower wick, close below open)
  • Volume climax on pump candle followed by volume decline on reversal
  • Gap-down open risk from current price to pre-pump levels
  • No higher highs established — single spike pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1B)

FDV

$148,590.36

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    51% gain in 24h followed by a sharp reversal candle with a 65% intra-candle range (H: $0.000266, L: $0.0000772). Extreme volatility typical of PumpFun meme launches.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (89.7% of volume) with 9.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Zero reported liquidity — severe exit risk for any meaningful position
  • Sniper distribution ongoing — 18/20 snipers in profit and selling
  • Meme token with no utility — narrative dependent on viral news cycle
  • Holder count data anomaly (reports 0) raises data reliability concerns
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Suspicious uniform distribution among top 2–20 holders may indicate bot/coordinated wallets
  • Very short token lifespan with no established price history

Mitigating factors

  • Relatively dispersed supply (top 10 ex-LP = ~4.5%)
  • Token marked mutable:false reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Viral Elon Musk narrative could attract renewed speculative interest
  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some standardization
  • Not flagged as possible spam by data provider

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk meme launch: extreme sell pressure, zero liquidity depth, active sniper distribution, unverified contract, and narrative-dependent price action. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

Spermlon is a pure speculative meme token riding a viral Elon Musk news narrative. The investment case is entirely momentum/narrative-driven with no fundamental value. The token has already experienced its initial pump (+51% 24h) and is showing clear signs of distribution. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric to the downside in the near term, though a second wave of viral attention could temporarily revive price action.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed viral social media attention to the Elon Musk/OpenAI sperm donation story drives a second wave of speculative buying. New buyers overwhelm existing sellers, pushing price back toward or above the $0.000266 all-time high. A broader Solana meme coin market rally amplifies the move.

  • Elon Musk engages with or amplifies the narrative on social media
  • Broader meme coin market enters risk-on phase
  • Influencer promotion drives new buyer inflow
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed levels

Base Case

Token stabilizes in the $0.000050–$0.000100 range after the initial pump-and-dump cycle completes. A small community of holders remains, with occasional low-volume trading. The token neither recovers to its peak nor goes to zero immediately, but slowly bleeds value over weeks.

  • Some buyers hold through the distribution phase
  • PumpSwap pool maintains minimal liquidity
  • No major new catalysts emerge in either direction
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate as snipers and early buyers complete their distribution. Liquidity dries up entirely, price collapses to pre-pump levels near $0.0000244 or lower. Token becomes illiquid and effectively abandoned as the news cycle moves on.

  • Narrative fades as news cycle moves on
  • Remaining snipers complete profit-taking
  • No new buyer catalysts emerge
  • Zero liquidity makes recovery impossible without fresh capital

Analysis details

Generated

May 6, 09:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-06 21:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • On-chain holder distribution data
  • OHLC price candles (hourly)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)

Limitations

  • Holder count reports 0 across all time periods — likely a data indexing error that prevents holder trend analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data feed issue; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper entry amounts and current balances are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation
  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Price % change fields show 0% for 1h/6h/24h despite a 51% 24h gain — data inconsistency
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • No social sentiment data or volume of social mentions available
  • FDV shown as $0.00 in trading analytics but $148,590 in metadata — inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Spermlon ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Spermlon?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Spermlon liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Spermlon (Spermlon)?

The token surged ~51% in 24h but is now facing intense selling pressure. The most recent candle (21:00 UTC) shows a sharp reversal: opened at $0.000226, dropped to a low of $0.0000772, and closed at $0.000164 — a bearish engulfing/shooting-star pattern. With 89.7% sell volume and 2,961 sells vs 339 buys, downward continuation is the most probable near-term outcome. Immediate support sits near the candle low of $0.0000772. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000050 to $0.000226.

Is Spermlon a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk meme launch: extreme sell pressure, zero liquidity depth, active sniper distribution, unverified contract, and narrative-dependent price action. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun token dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding Spermlon?

Extreme sell pressure (89.7% of volume) with 9.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio • Zero reported liquidity — severe exit risk for any meaningful position • Sniper distribution ongoing — 18/20 snipers in profit and selling

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